Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
d by the United Nations Statistics Division.
d by the United Nations Statistics Division.
ea.org/t&c/termsandconditions/
ank.org/en/topic/poverty/brief/global-database-of-shared-prosperity).
bank.org/en/topic/poverty/brief/global-database-of-shared-prosperity).
rtal.sipri.org/publications/pages/transfer/splash).
rtal.sipri.org/publications/pages/transfer/splash).
d Contraceptive Use, household surveys including Demographic and Health Surveys and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys.
urveys. Largely compiled by United Nations Population Division.
eports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) United Nations Statistical
r services. This series differs from the standard debt to exports series. It covers only long-term public and publicly guaranteed debt and rep
aff estimates.
http://unctadstat.unctad.org)
nd International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics.
nd International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics.
eports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) United Nations Statistical
nd database.
nd database.
nd database.
nd database.
d by the United Nations Statistics Division.
d by the United Nations Statistics Division.
ses, World Bank, International Debt Statistics, and World Bank and OECD GDP estimates.
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development and official national sources.
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development and official national sources.
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development and official national sources.
ea.org/t&c/termsandconditions/
ea.org/t&c/termsandconditions/
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. For more information and methodology, please see P
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
//openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/30498
dstat.unctad.org/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx.
dstat.unctad.org/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx.
http://unctadstat.unctad.org)
nd International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics.
nd International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics.
(http://apps.who.int/ghodata/).
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
pective Observational Study, Lancet Global Health 2017.
pective Observational Study, Lancet Global Health 2017.
pective Observational Study, Lancet Global Health 2017.
pective Observational Study, Lancet Global Health 2017.
nd database.
The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
. Urban-Rural Population and Land Area Estimates Version 2. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). h
able online at : http://www.worldbank.org/lpi. Summary results are published in Arvis and others' Connecting to Compete: Trade Logistics
able online at : http://www.worldbank.org/lpi. Summary results are published in Arvis and others' Connecting to Compete: Trade Logistics
eports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) United Nations Statistical
eports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) United Nations Statistical
rom male and female life expectancy at birth from sources such as: (2) Census reports and other statistical publications from national stati
n Maternal Mortality: 1990 to 2015. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2015
n Maternal Mortality: 1990 to 2015. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2015
/www.worldbank.org/lpi
/www.worldbank.org/lpi
/www.worldbank.org/lpi
/www.worldbank.org/lpi
/www.worldbank.org/lpi
/www.worldbank.org/lpi
/www.worldbank.org/lpi
out by United Nations Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC) in collaboration with governments, non-gover
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
ty of California, Berkeley, and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. The Human Mortality Database.
ty of California, Berkeley, and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. The Human Mortality Database.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
pment, Geographical Distribution of Financial Flows to Developing Countries, Development Co-operation Report, and International Develo
oretopics/entrepreneurship).
oretopics/entrepreneurship).
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
Patent Activity. The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
Patent Activity. The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
.wssinfo.org/).
.wssinfo.org/).
.wssinfo.org/).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
shdata.org).
GDP estimates.
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
d Population Prospects: 2017 Revision, (2) Census reports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: De
. Urban-Rural Population and Land Area Estimates Version 2. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). h
a are available at : http://mdgs.un.org/
the United Nations Population Division's World Population Prospects: 2017 Revision.
n's World Population Prospects: 2017 Revision.
the United Nations Population Division's World Population Prospects: 2017 Revision.
n's World Population Prospects: 2017 Revision.
eports and other statistical publications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) United Nations Statistical
bt Statistics.
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
es or are computed by World Bank staff using national (i.e. country–specific) poverty lines.
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
obtained from government statistical agencies and World Bank country departments. Data for high-income economies are from the Luxem
es or are computed by World Bank staff using national (i.e. country–specific) poverty lines.
(http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.main.1?lang=en).
(http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.main.1?lang=en).
(http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.main.1?lang=en).
(http://apps.who.int/gho/data/node.main.1?lang=en).
NICEF, WHO, and the World Bank harmonized dataset (adjusted, comparable data) and methodology.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
NICEF, WHO, and the World Bank harmonized dataset (adjusted, comparable data) and methodology.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
NICEF, WHO, and the World Bank harmonized dataset (adjusted, comparable data) and methodology.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
NICEF, WHO, and the World Bank harmonized dataset (adjusted, comparable data) and methodology.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
NICEF, WHO, and the World Bank harmonized dataset (adjusted, comparable data) and methodology.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
ata are unadjusted data from national surveys, and thus may not be comparable across countries.
O, World Bank, UN DESA Population Division) at www.childmortality.org.
atistics Division
atistics Division
n September 2018.
n November 2018.
ww.pgssc.org/)
ww.pgssc.org/)
. Urban-Rural Population and Land Area Estimates Version 2. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). h
. Urban-Rural Population and Land Area Estimates Version 2. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). h
. Urban-Rural Population and Land Area Estimates Version 2. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). h
on Prospects: 2018 Revision.
on Prospects: 2018 Revision.
on Prospects: 2018 Revision.
. Urban-Rural Population and Land Area Estimates Version 2. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). h
es or are computed by World Bank staff using national (i.e. country–specific) poverty lines.
es or are computed by World Bank staff using national (i.e. country–specific) poverty lines.
mployment data from International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT database.
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database.
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database.
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database.
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database.
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database.
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database.
ank.org/en/topic/poverty/brief/global-database-of-shared-prosperity).
ank.org/en/topic/poverty/brief/global-database-of-shared-prosperity).
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
om United Nations Conference on Trade and Development's Trade Analysis and Information System (TRAINS) database and the World Trad
out by United Nations Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC) in collaboration with governments, non-gover
out by United Nations Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC) in collaboration with governments, non-gover
JRC)/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc
ency (PBL). Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR), EDGARv4.2 FT2012: http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
uring Sustainable Development in the New Millennium" (World Bank, 2011).
d Bank and OECD GDP estimates.
Patent Activity. The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
Patent Activity. The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
ww.wipo.int/econ_stat. The International Bureau of WIPO assumes no responsibility with respect to the transformation of these data.
n September 2018.
n September 2018.
n September 2018.
rveys: STATcompiler (http://www.statcompiler.com/) as of November 22, 2016, UNICEF global databases (http://www.data.unicef.org/) a
rveys: STATcompiler (http://www.statcompiler.com/) as of November 22, 2016, UNICEF global databases (http://www.data.unicef.org/) a
rveys: STATcompiler (http://www.statcompiler.com/) as of November 22, 2016, UNICEF global databases (http://www.data.unicef.org/) a
rveys: STATcompiler (http://www.statcompiler.com/) as of November 22, 2016, UNICEF global databases (http://www.data.unicef.org/) a
rveys: STATcompiler (http://www.statcompiler.com/) as of November 22, 2016, UNICEF global databases (http://www.data.unicef.org/) a
rveys: STATcompiler (http://www.statcompiler.com/) as of November 22, 2016, UNICEF global databases (http://www.data.unicef.org/) a
or Surveys(AIS), Reproductive Health Survey(RHS), and other household surveys.
ance Program.
ance Program.
ance Program.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database
ster Surveys.
4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database
cly guaranteed debt and repayments (repurchases and charges) to the IMF. Exports of goods and services include primary income, but do
ance Program.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database
d methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/index.htm).
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
plications Center (SEDAC). http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lecz-urban-rural-population-land-area-estimates-v2.
to Compete: Trade Logistics in the Global Economy, The Logistics Performance Index and Its Indicators report.
to Compete: Trade Logistics in the Global Economy, The Logistics Performance Index and Its Indicators report.
4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database
4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database
blications from national statistical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital
ith governments, non-governmental organizations, academia and industry. The data is available online through the Protected Planet webs
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline. IMF central gover
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline. World Bank GNI e
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline. World Bank gross
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline. World Bank impo
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline. World Bank popu
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ort, and International Development Statistics database. Data are available online at: www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
n of these data.
n of these data.
stical offices, (3) Eurostat: Demographic Statistics, (4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various yea
4) United Nations Statistical Division. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
onomies are from the Luxembourg Income Study database. For more information and methodology, please see PovcalNet (http://iresearc
ublished on its website. Data from UNHCR are available online at: www.unhcr.org/en-us/figures-at-a-glance.html.
ublished on its website. Data from UNHCR are available online at: www.unhcr.org/en-us/figures-at-a-glance.html.
ance Program.
ch (EDGAR): http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu/.
.ec.europa.eu/
n of these data.
n of these data.
eau: International Database, and (6) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography Programme.
eau: International Database, and (6) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography Programme.
vision. Population and Vital Statistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database, and (6) Secretariat of the Pac
h the Protected Planet website (https://www.protectedplanet.net/).
/idsonline. IMF central government expense estimates are used for the denominator.
/idsonline. World Bank GNI estimates are used for the denominator.
/idsonline. World Bank gross capital formation estimates are used for the denominator.
/idsonline. World Bank imports of good and services estimates are used for the denominator.
/idsonline. World Bank population estimates are used for the denominator.
tatistics Reprot (various years), (5) U.S. Census Bureau: International Database, and (6) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and
stimates-v2.
eau: International Database, and (6) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography Programme.
e PovcalNet (http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/index.htm).
e PovcalNet (http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/index.htm).
e PovcalNet (http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/index.htm).
e PovcalNet (http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/index.htm).
e PovcalNet (http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/index.htm).
e PovcalNet (http://iresearch.worldbank.org/PovcalNet/index.htm).
stimates-v2.
stimates-v2.
stimates-v2.
stimates-v2.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
ules (CTS) database.
h the Protected Planet website (https://www.protectedplanet.net/).
h the Protected Planet website (https://www.protectedplanet.net/).
stimates-v2.
stimates-v2.
stimates-v2.
stimates-v2.
nd (6) Secretariat of the Pacific Community: Statistics and Demography Programme.
fic Community: Statistics and Demography Programme.
Data series for the main equations of the model
Note: data are copied from the WDI files (in Data worksheet)
VI. Series used for Econometric analysis
Lines# Codes Labels Years
Nyears Years 1970 1971
1. GDP : Production Sectors (constant, lcu)
calc NY_GDPFC GDP factor cost (constant,bilions,lcu) 705.57 710.78
NY_GDPMIN GDP Extractive (oil, mines)
NY_GDPNMIN GDP Non-Extrative 705.57 710.78
75 NY_GDPAGR GDP Agricultue, fishery, forestery 278.94 286.37
672(%) NY_GDPIND GDP Industries 77.64 79.38
804 NY_GDPINDM GDP Ind Manufacturing 76.03 78.14
calc NY_GDPINDO GDP Ind Construction and Others 1.62 1.23
1400 NY_GDPSER GDP Services 348.98 345.03
calc NY_GDPSERPV GDP Serv Private 314.83 305.85
539 NY_GDPSERPB GDP Serv Administration 34.15 39.18
NY_GDPITTAX GDP Ind. Trade Taxes 197.82 203.51
517 NY_GDPMKPK GDP Market Price (constant, lcu) 903.39 914.29
517 NY_GDPMKPC GDP Market Price (current, lcu) 21.99 22.23
2. GDP: Demand Components
NY_GDPMKPK GDP Market Price 903.39 914.29
475 (%gdp) NY_ADCON Consumption total 873.40 891.67
610 (% gdp)) NY_ADCONPV Consumption private 794.52 801.19
NY_ADCONPB Consumption Public 78.88 90.48
571 (%gdp) NY_ADINV Investment total 63.68 83.49
587 (%gdp) NY_ADINVPV Investment Private 42.45 55.66
NY_ADINVPB Investment Public 21.23 27.83
NY_ADNEXP Net Export Total (gods and services) -33.69 -60.87
443 (%gdp) NY_ADEXP Export (g&s) 103.94 93.36
647 (%gdp) NY_ADIMP Import (g&s) 137.62 154.23
NY_ADWORLD World Demand 903.39 914.29
3. Prices and Factor Costs
PI_PRIDOM Prices
251 PI_PRICPI Consumer Price Index 2.4% 2.4%
PI_PRIGDP GDP Deflator 2.4% 2.4%
PI_WAGE Wages
PI_WAGEPV Wages Private
PI_WAGEPB Wages Public
PI_CAPINTR Capital (interest rates)
341 PI_CAPINTRD Interest rate: Deposit rate #VALUE! #VALUE!
764 PI_CAPINTRL Interest rate: Lending rate #VALUE! #VALUE!
707 PI_CAPINTRSP Interest rate: Spread (lending rate - d #VALUE! #VALUE!
1324 PI_CAPINTRR Interest rate: Real interest rate #VALUE! #VALUE!
World Prices
439 PI_WPEXPD Export Price (US$) #VALUE! #VALUE!
644 PI_WPIMPD Import Price (US$) #VALUE! #VALUE!
1007 PI_WPEXCHR Exchange rate (lcu per 1US$) 99.9999999 99.70733
PI_RERX Real Exchange Rate Export #VALUE! #VALUE!
PI_RERM Real Exchange Rate Import #VALUE! #VALUE!
4. Government Finances (lcu,nominal)
calc GF_REV Revenue Total #VALUE! #VALUE!
569 GF_REVGRANT Grants #VALUE! #VALUE!
1339 Revenue Excluding Grants #VALUE! #VALUE!
GF_REVNTAX Non-Tax Revenue #VALUE! #VALUE!
1457 GF_REVTAX Tax Revenue #VALUE! #VALUE!
1470 GF_REVTAXTD Taxes on International Trade #VALUE! #VALUE!
calc GF_REVTAXDAB Taxes on domestic absorption #VALUE! #VALUE!
1468 GF_REVTAXINC Taxes on Income, profits and capital gains #VALUE! #VALUE!
GF_EXPNTL Expenditure and net lending
540 GF_EXPCUR Current expenditure 1.92 2.2
GF_EXPCURSAL Current expenditure: Salaries
GF_EXPCURGSE Current expenditure: Good & services
GF_EXPCURTRS Current expenditure: Transfert & subsidies
GF_EXPCURINT Current expenditure: interest payments
GF_EXPCURINTD Current expenditure: interest domestic debt
GF_EXPCURINTF Current expenditure: interest foreign debt
GF_EXPCAP Capital expenditure 1.52 #VALUE!
GF_EXPCAPINV Public investment
GF_EXPCAPFIN Acquisition of financial assets
5. Money (lcu,nominal)
144 MN_MDM2 Money Demand (M2) 2.5684 2.9213
MN_MDCUR Currency
MN_MDDD Demand Deposit
MN_MDTD Time Deposit
MM_MS Money Supply 0 0
MN_MSNFA Net Foreign Assets
MN_MSNDA Net Domestic Assets
MN_MSNDACRPB Credit to the Government
MN_MSNDACRPV Credit to the Private sector
MM_MB Base Money 0 0
MN_MBCUR Currency
MN_MBRES DMB Reserves at Central Bank
Key Monetary Ratios
calc MN_MRVLCTY Velocity (Nominal GDP/nominal Money 8.5617507398 7.609626
calc MN_MRMULTIP Base Money Multiplier (M2/Base Money) #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
6. Population, Labor force and Employment
PO_POP Population 0.003754541 0.003868
PO_POP1564 Population (15 - 64) 1.855931 1.916856
PO_LABFORCE Labor Force #VALUE! #VALUE!
PO_LABFORCEPrt Labor Force participation rate (lab force over po #VALUE! #VALUE!
PO_UNEMPLrt Unemployment total (% of labor force, ILO) #VALUE! #VALUE!
PO_EMPLrt Employment total (% of labor force, ILO) #VALUE! #VALUE!
PO_UEMPL Unemployed population total #VALUE! #VALUE!
PO_EMPL Employed population total #VALUE! #VALUE!
PO_POVRATE Poverty Rate (% population) #VALUE! #VALUE!
7. Important Computed Variables
4. Capital Stock
KA_KZEROrt Initial Value (ratio to GDP in 1970, constan 1.6
KA_KDELTA Depreciation rate (constant parameter) 0.05
KA_GDPINVFIX Gross Fixed Investment (constant, lcu) 63.68 83.49
KA_KSTOCK Capital Stock (constant, lcu) 1,445.42 1,456.64
KA_KSTOCKgr Capital Stock (annual growth, pct) 0.8%
KA_GDPINVFIXgr Gross Fixed Investment (annual growth,pct) 31.1%
KA_KSTOCKrt Capital Stock (ratio to GDPMP, %) 1.60 1.59
END DATA FOR ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981
731.56 734.05 737.22 804.32 994.24 1,026.11 1,148.04 1,246.64 1,354.36 1,473.19
731.56 734.05 737.22 804.32 994.24 1,026.11 1,148.04 1,246.64 1,354.36 1,473.19
198.61 284.57 335.65 316.33 407.10 410.17 421.41 512.61 504.84 498.69
86.42 82.77 88.51 178.55 212.53 243.29 277.03 262.50 328.89 334.61
80.33 83.55 85.47 87.28 89.73 99.54 105.56 104.61 136.17 144.14
6.09 -0.78 3.04 91.26 122.80 143.76 171.47 157.88 192.72 190.47
446.53 366.71 313.06 309.45 374.60 372.65 449.61 471.54 520.62 639.89
383.18 296.67 238.51 203.52 260.90 253.35 340.31 378.50 427.76 481.44
63.36 70.04 74.54 105.93 113.70 119.29 109.30 93.04 92.86 158.45
185.14 214.16 224.36 136.93 130.61 121.16 104.22 154.25 171.95 136.09
916.70 948.21 961.58 941.25 1,124.84 1,147.27 1,252.26 1,400.90 1,526.30 1,609.28
22.70 24.40 28.68 52.77 61.87 71.63 81.05 96.17 107.99 122.64
916.70 948.21 961.58 941.25 1,124.84 1,147.27 1,252.26 1,400.90 1,526.30 1,609.28
902.16 876.32 949.17 892.20 1,023.58 1,013.37 1,157.24 1,256.25 1,462.28 1,587.23
804.03 768.29 833.50 735.59 835.77 814.61 959.47 1,072.42 1,271.61 1,264.95
98.13 108.03 115.67 156.61 187.81 198.77 197.77 183.83 190.66 322.28
87.63 89.38 100.58 129.32 155.45 172.82 207.96 168.54 246.35 214.02
58.42 59.59 67.06 86.21 103.63 115.21 138.64 112.36 164.23 142.68
29.21 29.79 33.53 43.11 51.82 57.61 69.32 56.18 82.12 71.34
-73.09 -17.49 -88.18 -80.27 -54.18 -38.92 -112.94 -23.89 -182.33 -191.97
75.92 109.98 117.01 86.33 163.99 163.69 185.10 294.83 220.34 158.12
149.01 127.46 205.19 166.60 218.17 202.61 298.04 318.72 402.67 350.09
916.70 948.21 961.58 941.25 1,124.84 1,147.27 1,252.26 1,400.90 1,526.30 1,609.28
2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6%
2.5% 2.6% 3.0% 5.6% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 7.6%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.99 0.76
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 1.74 1.65
92.105 83.922 92.97851 92.27727 97.01235 95.93509 89.48791 86.69071 86.06388 87.16031
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 1057.741 772.5156
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 1859.06 1677.172
#VALUE! 2.615 3.649 5.335 7.126 9.154 9.92 13.283 15.735 #VALUE!
#VALUE! 0.196 0.28 0.796 0.377 0.451 0.74 0.805 1.93 #VALUE!
#VALUE! 2.419 3.369 4.539 6.749 8.703 9.18 12.478 13.805 #VALUE!
#VALUE! 0.509 0.729 1.366 0.997 1.345 2.042 2.029 4.431 #VALUE!
#VALUE! 2.106 2.92 3.969 6.129 7.809 7.878 11.254 11.304 #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
2.43 2.78 3.45 8.780001 10.33 12.41 12.8 12.62 13.49 24.5601
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
2.9727 4.0289 5.3503 5.9974 8.0465 10.1384 11.1806 14.0856 15.2261 15.9377
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7.636155 6.056243 5.360447 8.798813 7.689057 7.065217 7.249165 6.82754 7.092427 7.694962
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
0.003984 0.004102 0.004227 0.004359 0.0045 0.004648 0.004804 0.004968 0.005141 0.005315
1.981074 2.048253 2.117949 2.190123 2.254884 2.32353 2.395907 2.472029 2.551772 2.618681
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
87.63 89.38 100.58 129.32 155.45 172.82 207.96 168.54 246.35 214.02
1,471.44 1,487.25 1,513.47 1,567.12 1,644.21 1,734.81 1,856.04 1,931.77 2,081.54 2,191.48
1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 3.5% 4.9% 5.5% 7.0% 4.1% 7.8% 5.3%
5.0% 2.0% 12.5% 28.6% 20.2% 11.2% 20.3% -19.0% 46.2% -13.1%
1.61 1.57 1.57 1.66 1.46 1.51 1.48 1.38 1.36 1.36
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
1,478.98 1,563.85 1,484.33 1,540.69 1,639.54 1,560.55 1,657.05 1,653.90 1,727.46 1,705.27
1,478.98 1,563.85 1,484.33 1,540.69 1,639.54 1,560.55 1,657.05 1,653.90 1,727.46 1,705.27
545.06 568.87 518.71 530.60 546.00 534.97 565.05 540.95 527.11 557.68
356.10 418.19 386.40 393.82 422.66 326.41 327.81 333.10 459.56 380.98
145.43 169.56 145.77 149.00 183.39 178.56 168.84 176.58 173.30 143.31
210.67 248.63 240.63 244.82 239.27 147.85 158.97 156.52 286.26 237.67
577.82 576.79 579.22 616.27 670.88 699.17 764.19 779.84 740.80 766.61
435.79 444.96 457.73 472.37 521.29 533.89 593.03 595.29 543.02 532.85
142.03 131.83 121.49 143.90 149.59 165.28 171.16 184.55 197.77 233.77
159.43 172.55 178.43 195.28 191.43 269.97 255.82 258.28 138.84 114.10
1,638.42 1,736.40 1,662.76 1,735.97 1,830.96 1,830.52 1,912.88 1,912.18 1,866.30 1,819.37
130.96 142.19 159.11 173.70 170.34 171.43 183.13 192.76 213.46 239.26
1,638.42 1,736.40 1,662.76 1,735.97 1,830.96 1,830.52 1,912.88 1,912.18 1,866.30 1,819.37
1,553.54 1,660.81 1,516.88 1,593.54 1,678.91 1,757.79 1,845.76 1,868.64 1,750.68 1,759.64
1,342.03 1,456.72 1,347.10 1,397.90 1,460.17 1,510.51 1,587.70 1,626.04 1,561.42 1,540.13
211.51 204.09 169.78 195.65 218.74 247.28 258.06 242.60 189.26 219.51
291.28 234.94 262.83 300.49 290.66 286.74 277.22 256.73 273.41 255.11
194.19 156.63 175.22 200.32 193.77 191.16 184.81 171.15 182.28 170.07
97.09 78.31 87.61 100.16 96.89 95.58 92.41 85.58 91.14 85.04
-206.41 -159.35 -116.94 -158.06 -138.61 -214.01 -210.11 -213.19 -157.79 -195.38
189.28 201.11 210.03 187.18 230.41 136.38 126.62 117.39 104.79 133.12
395.69 360.46 326.97 345.24 369.02 350.38 336.73 330.59 262.58 328.49
1,638.42 1,736.40 1,662.76 1,735.97 1,830.96 1,830.52 1,912.88 1,912.18 1,866.30 1,819.37
9.7% 10.3% 10.8% 11.0% 10.9% 11.4% 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 14.7%
8.0% 8.2% 9.6% 10.0% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 11.4% 13.2%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
0.93 1.1 1.11 0.81 1.05 0.62 0.78 0.69 0.7 0.73
1.37 1.3 1.26 1.33 1.33 1.56 1.6 1.69 1.74 0.9
93.05997 96.09394 100.2329 101.2447 87.59092 79.46065 76.44774 80.14898 83.7041 125.1642
896.6375 1027.38 1026.267 743.3787 843.1016 433.6975 509.7476 468.0341 475.9559 620.3818
1320.853 1214.176 1164.952 1220.609 1067.929 1091.239 1045.636 1146.344 1183.09 764.8543
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 34.846 31.849 42.445
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 8.859 8.705 16.389
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 25.987 23.144 26.056
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 13.976 13.099 20.289
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 20.87 18.75 22.156
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 5.945 8.278
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 8.749 10.276
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 4.056 3.602
16.906 16.712 16.246 19.576 20.35 23.158 24.705 24.456 21.647 28.868
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 13.966 12.227 10.503 12.653 16.789
16.1544 18.0536 19.8811 23.3075 26.4857 29.2171 31.3692 30.0622 31.7437 33.5028
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8.106646 7.875936 8.003129 7.452452 6.431357 5.867489 5.837892 6.412042 6.724515 7.141612
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
0.005489 0.005674 0.005882 0.00612 0.006408 0.006732 0.00703 0.007216 0.007236 0.007052
2.687923 2.763852 2.851797 2.9535 3.076625 3.217783 3.350877 3.449215 3.502312 3.446168
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 3.184547 3.129155
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 90.93% 90.80%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.80% #VALUE! 0.30%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 99.20% #VALUE! 99.70%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.009387
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 3.119768
#VALUE! #VALUE! 60.80% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
291.28 234.94 262.83 300.49 290.66 286.74 277.22 256.73 273.41 255.11
2,373.19 2,489.47 2,627.82 2,796.92 2,947.73 3,087.09 3,209.96 3,306.19 3,414.29 3,498.69
8.3% 4.9% 5.6% 6.4% 5.4% 4.7% 4.0% 3.0% 3.3% 2.5%
36.1% -19.3% 11.9% 14.3% -3.3% -1.3% -3.3% -7.4% 6.5% -6.7%
1.45 1.43 1.58 1.61 1.61 1.69 1.68 1.73 1.83 1.92
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
1,732.34 1,615.16 865.57 1,095.68 1,249.44 1,431.82 1,554.88 1,653.18 1,771.93 1,906.29
1,732.34 1,615.16 865.57 1,095.68 1,249.44 1,431.82 1,554.88 1,653.18 1,771.93 1,906.29
586.68 487.40 334.73 433.21 519.49 540.95 597.44 701.69 754.36 820.85
360.27 324.53 186.43 190.19 242.82 284.46 311.20 305.38 297.32 316.47
143.36 116.55 53.61 65.20 75.35 89.97 93.66 114.27 114.00 125.41
216.91 207.98 132.82 124.99 167.47 194.49 217.55 191.11 183.31 191.06
785.39 803.23 344.41 472.27 487.14 606.41 646.24 646.11 720.26 768.97
511.18 554.50 247.05 351.47 335.39 358.66 482.05 412.67 476.52 502.63
274.21 248.73 97.36 120.81 151.74 247.75 164.19 233.44 243.74 266.34
193.88 154.87 15.05 95.14 93.15 96.72 109.07 81.70 108.17 133.33
1,926.22 1,770.03 880.62 1,190.82 1,342.59 1,528.54 1,663.95 1,734.88 1,880.10 2,039.62
271.76 284.37 165.80 339.14 424.13 558.30 621.30 606.99 676.10 741.87
1,926.22 1,770.03 880.62 1,190.82 1,342.59 1,528.54 1,663.95 1,734.88 1,880.10 2,039.62
1,869.60 1,744.92 1,307.80 1,277.29 1,420.42 1,590.64 1,710.81 1,824.30 1,977.54 2,082.08
1,590.84 1,492.05 1,208.81 1,154.47 1,266.15 1,444.17 1,543.70 1,496.72 1,626.48 1,700.68
278.76 252.87 98.98 122.81 154.27 146.47 167.12 327.59 351.06 381.40
301.15 296.43 87.91 159.68 192.94 211.09 246.39 228.12 251.48 280.00
200.76 197.62 58.61 106.45 128.62 140.73 164.26 152.08 167.65 186.67
100.38 98.81 29.30 53.23 64.31 70.36 82.13 76.04 83.83 93.33
-244.53 -271.32 -515.08 -246.15 -270.77 -273.19 -293.26 -317.54 -348.92 -322.47
107.26 91.60 55.50 61.34 80.98 119.19 92.93 107.94 118.82 172.72
351.79 362.92 570.58 307.48 351.74 392.38 386.19 425.49 467.74 495.19
1,926.22 1,770.03 880.62 1,190.82 1,342.59 1,528.54 1,663.95 1,734.88 1,880.10 2,039.62
16.1% 18.1% #VALUE! 36.1% 38.7% 43.4% 46.1% 45.0% 46.7% 48.3%
14.1% 16.1% 18.8% 28.5% 31.6% 36.5% 37.3% 35.0% 36.0% 36.4%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 10.97% 11.01% 8.38% 8.84% 8.45% 9.49% 9.98%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 7.24% 8.34% 6.87% 7.87% 7.00% 6.38%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 6.61% 0.95% 13.19% 24.14% 13.33% 15.04%
42.968 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
14.245 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
28.723 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
18.378 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
24.59 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
8.92 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
11.183 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
4.487 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
39.33 40.6250004 18.636 34.977 48.734 53.5 62.4 114.614 126.243 138.728
27.587 21.8419999 4.436 27.4 39.405 45.6 42.3 40.80022 42.50015 57.8837
37.6706 38.6207 37.1849 63.0463 68.475 88.3722 91.484 98.70731 114.132 119.0376
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7.214247 7.363072018 4.458799 5.379253 6.19391 6.317598 6.791352 6.149403 5.923834 6.232249
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
0.006702 0.006299909 0.006005 0.005928 0.006115 0.006522 0.00706 0.007593 0.008026 0.008329
3.34259 3.240185 3.195799 3.24264 3.350425 3.548367 3.785436 4.013779 4.211961 4.402073
3.024376 2.914254852 2.854967 2.873239 2.962345 3.138673 3.357417 3.568731 3.746245 3.906223
90.48% 89.94% 89.33% 88.61% 88.42% 88.45% 88.69% 88.91% 88.94% 88.74%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.56% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 99.44% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.016589 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 2.945756 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 76.50% #VALUE!
301.15 296.43 87.91 159.68 192.94 211.09 246.39 228.12 251.48 280.00
3,624.90 3,740.08 3,640.99 3,618.62 3,630.62 3,660.18 3,723.56 3,765.50 3,828.71 3,917.27
3.6% 3.2% -2.6% -0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3%
18.0% -1.6% -70.3% 81.6% 20.8% 9.4% 16.7% -7.4% 10.2% 11.3%
1.88 2.11 4.13 3.04 2.70 2.39 2.24 2.17 2.04 1.92
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0 0
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.0% 0.0%
0.0% 0.0%
0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00%
0 0
0 0
0 0
### #DIV/0!
### #DIV/0!
0 0
Input or Estimated Coe
Key Variables Structural Equation Estimated Equation C(1) cst
A. SPECIFYING EXOGENOUS VARIABLES and POLICY TARGETS
1. Population
Trend variable
Population (growth) PO_POPgr: Exogenous Long-term trend or moving avg
Population (15 - 64) (growth) PO_POP1564gr: ExogenouLong-term trend or moving avg
2. Structural Parameters: Poverty
Poverty rate, Elasticity to Income/capPO_POVP0yel: ExogenoInput as a constant -0.8
3. Structural Parameters: Capital Stock
Capital depreciation rate KA_KDELTA Input as a constant 0.05
4. Fiscal Policy
Average Taxe Rate (ratio/GDP) GF_REVTAXrt: Policy Calculated: GovRev/GDP, input
Government Consumption (gr) NY_ADCONPBgr: Policy Trend, or input
Government Investment NY_ADINVPBgr: Policy Trend, or input
5. Monetary Policy
Interest rate: Real interest rate PI_CAPINTRR: Policy targeTrend, or input
Exchange rate (lcu per 1US$, growth) PI_WPEXCHRgr: Policy TarTrend, or input
Net forein Reserves (in month of import) MN_MSNFAmimp Policy Target in month of import
6. External Sector
World Demand (growth) NY_ADWORLDgr: ExogenousTrend, or input
Export Price (US$, growth) PI_WPEXPDgr: Exogenous Trend, or input
Import Price (US$, growth) PI_WPIMPDgr: Exogenous Trend, or input
NY_ADINVgr -1.888313
2.2. Capital Stock delta
KA_KSTOCK K_t =(1-delta)*K_(t-1)+INV_t calculated from investment 0.05
KA_KSTOCKgr
PI_CAPINTRL (real interest rate) Identified with the real intereSee real interest rate (monetary policy)
2.3. Labor Force LOG(PO_LABFORCE) = 0.492830176895
+
LOG(PO_LABFORCE) = C(1) + 0.0465749761979*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK/
C(2)*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK/NY_G NY_GDPMKPK(-1)) +
DPMKPK(-1)) + 0.925415691186*LOG(PO_LABFORCE(-
PO_LABFORCE C(3)*LOG(PO_LABFORCE(-1)) 1))
PO_LABFORCEgr (growth) -0.001931
2.4. GDP - Capacity Output
LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) = -4.93129703141 +
LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) = C(1) + 0.288834172124*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) +
C(2)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) + 0.849846426755*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) +
C(3)*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) + 0.617007340813*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK(-
NY_GDPMKPKcap C(4)*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK(-1)) 1))
NY_GDPMKPKcapgr (growth) 1.962997
LOG(NY_GDPAGR) = 2.91603721169 +
LOG(NY_GDPAGR) = C(1) + 0.240970133895*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) -
C(2)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) + 0.0668528574823*LOG(PO_LABFORCE)
C(3)*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) + + 0.371977564516*LOG(NY_GDPAGR(-
NY_GDPAGR C(4)*LOG(NY_GDPAGR(-1)) 1))
NY_GDPAGRgr 4.673937
3.2 GDP - Industry
LOG(NY_GDPIND) = C(1) + LOG(NY_GDPIND) = -7.18053863438 +
C(2)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) + 0.143829658944*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) +
C(3)*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) + 1.23440511389*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) +
NY_GDPIND C(4)*LOG(NY_GDPIND(-1)) 0.731331392007*LOG(NY_GDPIND(-1))
NY_GDPINDgr 0.2674274
3.3 GDP - Servives
LOG(NY_ADCONPV) = -0.955914324941
LOG(NY_ADCONPV) = C(1) + + 0.905202356948*LOG(NY_YPERM) -
C(2)*LOG(NY_YPERM) + 2.65345639681e-06*NY_YTRAN +
C(3)*NY_YTRAN + 0.110422533546*LOG(NY_ADCONPV(-
NY_ADCONPV C(4)*LOG(NY_ADCONPV(-1)) 1))
NY_ADCONPVgr -0.0584274
1.2 Consumption Government
NY_ADCONPB
NY_ADCONPBgr Policy target Trend or input (cf fiscal policy)
1.3 Consumption Total
NY_ADCON Total consumption, level sum of private and public
NY_ADCONgr Total consumption, gowthpercentage change of level
2. Investment
2.1. Investment : Private
LOG(NY_ADINV) = C(1) + LOG(NY_ADINV) = -0.746710723578 +
C(2)*LOG(NY_YEXP1) + 0.86926382845*LOG(NY_YEXP1) -
C(3)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK(-1)) + 0.280528796649*LOG(KA_KSTOCK(-1)) -
C(4)*PI_CAPINTRR + 0.957134033963*PI_CAPINTRR +
NY_ADINVPV C(5)*LOG(NY_ADINV(-1)) 0.476755695457*LOG(NY_ADINV(-1))
NY_ADINVPVgr -1.888313
2.2 Investment: Public
NY_ADINVPB
NY_ADINVPBgr Policy target Trend or input (cf fiscal policy)
2.3 Investment: Total
NY_ADINV Total Investment, level sum of private and public
NY_ADINVgr Total Investment, gowth percentage change of level
3. Export
LOG(NY_ADEXP) = C(1) + LOG(NY_ADEXP) = -4.03430885821 +
C(2)*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) + 0.555062439274*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) +
C(3)*LOG(PI_RERX) + 0.697520801764*LOG(PI_RERX) +
NY_ADEXP C(4)*LOG(NY_ADEXP(-1)) 0.644102509984*LOG(NY_ADEXP(-1))
NY_ADEXPgr -3.729321
4. Import
LOG(NY_ADIMP) = C(1) + LOG(NY_ADIMP) = -3.76063295774 +
C(2)*LOG(NY_ADDABS) + 0.627054103656*LOG(NY_ADDABS) +
C(3)*LOG(PI_RERM) + 0.559163563077*LOG(PI_RERM) +
NY_ADIMP C(4)*LOG(NY_ADIMP(-1)) 0.552631095483*LOG(NY_ADIMP(-1))
NY_ADIMPgr -2.717196
5. Total GDP - Uses
GDP Demand: Levels (billion, constantGDP=Cp+Cg+Ip+Ig+X-M By aggregation from the above
1. Consumption Total
1.1 Consumption Private
1.2 Consumption Public
2. Investment Total
2.1 Investment Private
2.2 Investment Public
3. Next Export
3.1 Export
3.2 Import
GDP Demand: Annual Growth (%)
1. Consumption Total
1.1 Consumption Private
1.2 Consumption Public
2. Investment Total
2.1 Investment Private
2.2 Investment Public
3. Next Export
3.1 Export
3.2 Import
GDP Demand: Ratio to Total (%)
1. Consumption Total
1.1 Consumption Private
1.2 Consumption Public
2. Investment Total
2.1 Investment Private
2.2 Investment Public
3. Next Export
3.1 Export
3.2 Import
MN_MDM2gr -2.037755
PI_PRIGDPgr -0.570114
PO_LABFORCEgr -0.0019311
2. Employment (level)
LOG(PO_EMPL) = C(1) + LOG(PO_EMPL) = 5.81476149742 +
PO_EMPL C(2)*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) 0.0718910851426*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK)
PO_EMPLgr -1.669519
3. Unemployment (level)
LOG(PO_UEMPL) = C(1) + LOG(PO_UEMPL) = -13.4156123916 -
C(2)*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) + 0.201705536108*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) +
C(3)*LOG(PO_POP1564) + 2.48431955678*LOG(PO_POP1564) +
PO_UEMPL C(4)*LOG(PO_UEMPL(-1)) 0.558247678274*LOG(PO_UEMPL(-1))
PO_UEMPLgr -13.41561
3. Unemployment (rate)
PO_UNEMPLRT = C(1) + PO_UNEMPLRT = 0.0131456231119 -
C(2)*NY_YGAP + 0.0109130911554*NY_YGAP +
PO_UEMPLrt C(3)*PO_UNEMPLRT(-1) 0.953607937282*PO_UNEMPLRT(-1)
PO_UEMPLrt 0.013146
0 1 2 3 4
3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 3.4%
3.4% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 2.6%
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.0% 4.7% 5.1% 4.4%
2.6% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.2% 4.6% 4.1%
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
2.6% 0.3% -2.5% -5.0% -6.0% -4.7% -1.3%
2.9% 1.5% -1.6% -3.0% -3.1% -1.4% 1.5%
26 27 28 29 30 31 32
3.2% 6.7% 8.2% 7.6% 5.7% 3.8% 2.5%
3.3% 5.9% 6.7% 6.0% 4.9% 4.5% 3.8%
33 34 35 36 37 38 39
1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8%
3.3% 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6%
40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47
2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4%
2.7% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
48 49 50 51 52 53
2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
II. Prices
2.1 Price Level (Index, 2010=1.00)
Consumer Price Index 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.53 0.59
GDP Deflator 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.42 0.48
Export Price (US$) 1.00 0.88 0.88 0.96 1.22
Import Price (US$) 1.00 0.97 0.96 1.04 1.15
Exchange rate (lcu per 1US$) 389.70 442.99 475.37 537.65 577.45
Real Exchange Rate (e.pw/p, index)) 1.43 1.53 1.58 1.82 1.92
Terms of Trade (px/pm) 1.00 0.90 0.92 0.92 1.06
2.2 Price Level (growth,%)
Consumer Price Index 3.90% 3.34% 1.99% 7.45% 12.25%
GDP Deflator 2.78% 1.15% -5.04% 21.79% 13.10%
Export Price (US$) 20.48% -12.41% 0.13% 10.01% 26.23%
Import Price (US$) 12.36% -2.93% -1.35% 8.95% 10.35%
Exchange rate (lcu per 1US$) 16.70% 13.68% 7.31% 13.10% 7.40%
Real Exchange Rate (e.pw/p, index)) 26.20% 6.78% 3.79% 14.69% 5.58%
Terms of Trade (px/pm) 7.23% -9.77% 1.50% 0.97% 14.40%
III. Money
Money M2: billion, constant lcu 244.22 246.48 277.66 303.72 318.32
Money M2: growth rate 11.29% 0.92% 12.65% 9.39% 4.81%
Money M2: ratio to GDP (%) 12.99% 12.08% 12.03% 12.87% 12.56%
Money M2: velocity (GDP/M2) 7.70 8.28 8.31 7.77 7.96
END PROJECTION
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2,773.02 3,028.89 3,261.55 3,625.78 3,853.66 4,135.31 4,457.20 4,850.34 5,078.96 5,466.21
1,008.36 1,036.22 1,063.20 1,131.77 1,219.19 1,279.96 1,335.58 1,426.71 1,473.56 1,571.78
373.42 404.24 489.64 529.65 545.52 612.72 736.76 801.71 873.56 939.30
1,391.24 1,588.42 1,708.71 1,964.36 2,088.95 2,242.62 2,384.85 2,621.91 2,731.84 2,955.13
2,773.02 3,028.89 3,261.55 3,625.78 3,853.66 4,135.31 4,457.20 4,850.34 5,078.96 5,466.21
2,717.76 2,930.00 2,980.37 3,409.47 3,672.84 3,957.62 4,193.52 4,568.75 4,692.83 5,127.77
2,213.75 2,403.62 2,475.99 2,922.45 3,140.85 3,368.73 3,616.77 3,896.11 4,005.04 4,303.96
504.00 526.38 504.38 487.01 531.98 588.89 576.75 672.64 687.79 823.81
437.56 486.70 592.70 842.88 872.24 920.06 1,003.66 1,203.04 1,292.20 1,332.66
291.71 324.47 395.14 561.92 581.49 613.37 669.11 802.03 861.47 888.44
145.85 162.23 197.57 280.96 290.75 306.69 334.55 401.01 430.73 444.22
-382.30 -387.81 -311.52 -626.57 -691.42 -742.37 -739.99 -921.45 -906.07 -994.22
316.85 368.01 510.91 455.00 452.18 497.86 608.20 620.21 715.65 804.74
699.15 755.82 822.43 1,081.57 1,143.60 1,240.23 1,348.19 1,541.66 1,621.72 1,798.96
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
9.38% 9.23% 7.68% 11.17% 6.28% 7.31% 7.78% 8.82% 4.71% 7.62%
6.49% 2.76% 2.60% 6.45% 7.72% 4.98% 4.35% 6.82% 3.28% 6.67%
13.85% 8.26% 21.12% 8.17% 3.00% 12.32% 20.25% 8.81% 8.96% 7.52%
10.39% 14.17% 7.57% 14.96% 6.34% 7.36% 6.34% 9.94% 4.19% 8.17%
9.38% 9.23% 7.68% 11.17% 6.28% 7.31% 7.78% 8.82% 4.71% 7.62%
8.71% 7.81% 1.72% 14.40% 7.72% 7.75% 5.96% 8.95% 2.72% 9.27%
8.80% 8.58% 3.01% 18.03% 7.47% 7.26% 7.36% 7.72% 2.80% 7.46%
8.33% 4.44% -4.18% -3.44% 9.23% 10.70% -2.06% 16.63% 2.25% 19.78%
14.81% 11.23% 21.78% 42.21% 3.48% 5.48% 9.09% 19.86% 7.41% 3.13%
14.81% 11.23% 21.78% 42.21% 3.48% 5.48% 9.09% 19.86% 7.41% 3.13%
14.81% 11.23% 21.78% 42.21% 3.48% 5.48% 9.09% 19.86% 7.41% 3.13%
10.57% 1.44% -19.67% 101.13% 10.35% 7.37% -0.32% 24.52% -1.67% 9.73%
12.36% 16.15% 38.83% -10.94% -0.62% 10.10% 22.16% 1.97% 15.39% 12.45%
11.37% 8.11% 8.81% 31.51% 5.73% 8.45% 8.70% 14.35% 5.19% 10.93%
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
36.36% 34.21% 32.60% 31.21% 31.64% 30.95% 29.96% 29.41% 29.01% 28.75%
13.47% 13.35% 15.01% 14.61% 14.16% 14.82% 16.53% 16.53% 17.20% 17.18%
50.17% 52.44% 52.39% 54.18% 54.21% 54.23% 53.51% 54.06% 53.79% 54.06%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
98.01% 96.74% 91.38% 94.03% 95.31% 95.70% 94.08% 94.19% 92.40% 93.81%
79.83% 79.36% 75.91% 80.60% 81.50% 81.46% 81.14% 80.33% 78.86% 78.74%
18.18% 17.38% 15.46% 13.43% 13.80% 14.24% 12.94% 13.87% 13.54% 15.07%
15.78% 16.07% 18.17% 23.25% 22.63% 22.25% 22.52% 24.80% 25.44% 24.38%
10.52% 10.71% 12.11% 15.50% 15.09% 14.83% 15.01% 16.54% 16.96% 16.25%
5.26% 5.36% 6.06% 7.75% 7.54% 7.42% 7.51% 8.27% 8.48% 8.13%
-13.79% -12.80% -9.55% -17.28% -17.94% -17.95% -16.60% -19.00% -17.84% -18.19%
11.43% 12.15% 15.66% 12.55% 11.73% 12.04% 13.65% 12.79% 14.09% 14.72%
25.21% 24.95% 25.22% 29.83% 29.68% 29.99% 30.25% 31.78% 31.93% 32.91%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
0.65 0.71 0.77 0.89 1.00 1.00 1.03 1.14 1.20 1.23
0.52 0.57 0.64 0.73 0.79 0.81 0.88 0.93 0.97 1.00
1.60 1.86 2.11 2.89 2.58 2.99 3.20 2.97 2.80 2.65
1.23 1.29 1.40 1.57 1.46 1.53 1.75 1.71 1.67 1.65
557.82 551.71 546.96 546.85 568.28 583.13 600.31 614.30 646.64 678.97
1.81 1.73 1.71 1.66 1.42 1.53 1.74 1.59 1.54 1.56
1.30 1.44 1.51 1.84 1.76 1.96 1.83 1.74 1.68 1.60
9.01% 8.88% 9.08% 15.44% 12.89% -0.25% 3.08% 10.27% 5.92% 2.35%
9.13% 10.58% 11.71% 14.28% 8.21% 2.63% 8.58% 5.09% 4.46% 3.05%
31.58% 15.80% 13.88% 36.97% -10.93% 15.92% 6.93% -7.04% -5.65% -5.41%
6.68% 5.08% 8.67% 11.89% -6.68% 4.36% 14.31% -2.02% -2.43% -1.08%
-3.40% -1.10% -0.86% -0.02% 3.92% 2.61% 2.95% 2.33% 5.26% 5.00%
-5.47% -4.55% -1.23% -3.10% -14.10% 7.36% 14.16% -9.08% -3.04% 1.48%
23.34% 10.20% 4.80% 22.42% -4.56% 11.07% -6.45% -5.12% -3.30% -4.38%
347.75 403.48 493.49 500.79 461.10 555.53 703.48 723.60 768.37 875.14
9.24% 16.03% 22.31% 1.48% -7.93% 20.48% 26.63% 2.86% 6.19% 13.90%
12.54% 13.32% 15.13% 13.81% 11.97% 13.43% 15.78% 14.92% 15.13% 16.01%
7.97 7.51 6.61 7.24 8.36 7.44 6.34 6.70 6.61 6.25
8.99 9.21 9.45 9.71 9.98 10.25 10.52 10.79 11.07 11.35
5.00 5.14 5.27 5.40 5.54 5.69 5.85 6.01 6.19 6.37
4.37 4.49 4.62 4.75 4.89 5.03 5.17 5.31 5.46 5.62
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 0.07
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 5.55
6.04 #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 6.39 #VALUE! #VALUE! 6.20 #VALUE!
1.97% 2.39% 2.62% 2.76% 2.77% 2.70% 2.63% 2.59% 2.56% 2.53%
2.84% 2.83% 2.62% 2.50% 2.57% 2.73% 2.64% 2.84% 2.96% 2.96%
2.65% 2.85% 2.87% 2.84% 2.86% 2.87% 2.74% 2.80% 2.85% 2.81%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE!
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
55.56% 55.81% 55.81% 55.67% 55.56% 55.57% 55.58% 55.72% 55.94% 56.17%
87.43% 87.45% 87.66% 87.95% 88.20% 88.32% 88.40% 88.37% 88.27% 88.14%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 1.17%
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 98.83%
67.20% #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 62.40% #VALUE! #VALUE! 56.00% #VALUE!
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2. GDP_Agriculture
Estimated Equation:
LOG(NY_GDPAGR) = C(1) + C(2)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) + C(3)*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) +
C(4)*LOG(NY_GDPAGR(-1))
LOG(NY_GDPAGR) = 4.673937 - 0.1129176*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) +
1.932742*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) + 0.055219*LOG(NY_GDPAGR(-1))
Estimation Output:
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
3. GDP_Industry
Estimated Equation:
LOG(NY_GDPIND) = C(1) + C(2)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) + C(3)*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) +
C(4)*LOG(NY_GDPIND(-1))
LOG(NY_GDPIND) = 0.2674274 + 0.0980511*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) +
0.5216363*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) + 0.6981125*LOG(NY_GDPIND(-1))
Estimation Output:
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPIND)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic
C 0.2674274 1.310904 0.2
LOG(KA_KSTOCK) 0.0980511 0.2409844 0.41
LOG(PO_LABFORCE) 0.5216363 0.3037574 1.72
LOG(NY_GDPIND(-1)) 0.6981125 0.1426226 4.89
4. GDP_Services
Estimated Equation:
LOG(NY_GDPSER) = C(1) + C(2)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) + C(3)*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) +
C(4)*LOG(NY_GDPSER(-1))
LOG(NY_GDPSER) = 0.407708 + 0.2260046*LOG(KA_KSTOCK) +
1.061912*LOG(PO_LABFORCE) + 0.4491152*LOG(NY_GDPSER(-1))
Estimation Output:
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPSER)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Graphs
Prob.
0
0
10.68381
0.314335
-4.185536
-4.104718
-4.215457
0.427269
Graphs
Prob.
0
0.244
0
0.739
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
Graphs
Prob.
0.84
0.688
0.099
0.0001
9.296032
0.766119
-3.520982
-3.330667
-3.462801
0.736716
Graphs
Prob.
0.756
0.344
0.005
0.007
9.354171
0.810683
-4.93916
-4.748846
-4.880979
0.826139
Graphs
Prob.
0.073
0.424
0.001
0.016
10.09811
0.773028
-4.858917
-4.668602
-4.800736
0.515867
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Prob.
0.0001
0
0.3379
0.0068
8.259839
0.316563
-6.656221
-6.465906
-6.59804
1.313935
LOG(NY_GD
PAGR) =
LOG(NY_GD
2.91603721
PAGR) = C(1)
169
+ +
0.24097013
C(2)*LOG(K
3895*LOG(K
A_KSTOCK)
A_KSTOCK)
+ -
0.06685285
C(3)*LOG(P
74823*LOG(
O_LABFORC
PO_LABFOR
E) +
CE) +
Estimated
C(4)*LOG(N Equation:
0.37197756
Y_GDPAGR(-
4516*LOG(N
1))
Y_GDPAGR(-
1))
Estimation Output: Graphs
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 20:08
Sample (adjusted): 1990 2017
Included observations: 28 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient
C 2.916037
LOG(KA_KST 0.24097
LOG(PO_LAB -0.066853
LOG(NY_GDP 0.371978
R-squared 0.999414
Adjusted R- 0.999341
S.E. of regre 0.008125
Sum squared 0.001584
Log likeliho 97.1871
F-statistic 13654.63
Graphs
Variable: LOG(NY_GDPAGR)
Graphs
Graphs
COUNTRY: CHINA ESTIMATED INVESTMENT FUNCTION
1. Investment Function: A flexible accelerator model
Estimated Equation:
LOG(NY_ADINV) = C(1) + C(2)*LOG(NY_YEXP1) + C(3)*LOG(KA_KSTOCK(-1)) +
C(4)*PI_CAPINTRR + C(5)*LOG(NY_ADINV(-1))
LOG(NY_ADINV) = -1.888313 + 0.4344056*LOG(NY_YEXP1) +
0.0550923*LOG(KA_KSTOCK(-1)) - 0.3810827*PI_CAPINTRR +
0.6881112*LOG(NY_ADINV(-1))
Estimation Output:
Dependent Variable: LOG(NY_ADINV)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 03/03/19 Time: 23:33
Sample (adjusted): 1980 2016
Included observations: 21 after adjustments
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
PI_PRICPI PI_PRICPI1_FIT
PI_PRICPI1G_FIT PI_PRICPI2_FIT
PI_PRICPI2G_FIT
Graphs
0.0
China: Domestic Price Equation - GDP Deflator
-0.4
-0.8
.08
.06 -1.2
.04
-1.6
.02
.00
-.02
.06 -1.2
.04
-1.6
.02
.00
-.02
-.04
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
3. Employment (level)
Estimated Equation:
4. Unemployment (level)
Estimated Equation:
LOG(PO_UEMPL) = C(1) + C(2)*LOG(NY_GDPMKPK) + C(3)*LOG(PO_POP1564) +
C(4)*LOG(PO_UEMPL(-1))
5. Unemployment Rate
Estimated Equation:
Graphs
Graphs
800
China: Estimated Labor Force
760
720
680
640
600
560
520
480
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
600
560
520
480
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
PO_LABFORCE
PO_LF1_FIT
PO_LF1G_FIT
Graphs
760
China: Estimated Employment
720
680
640
600
560
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
PO_EMPL
PO_EMPL1_FIT
PO_EMPL1G_FIT
Graphs
3.6
China: Estimated Unemployed Population
3.4
3.2
3.0
.10
2.8
.05
2.6
.00
3.2
3.0
.10
2.8
.05
2.6
.00
-.05
-.10
-.15
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Graphs
.045
.040
.035
.030
.004
.025
.002
.020
.000
-.002
-.004
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14