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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
CONTENTS
GCC Plastics Processing Industry 4
Introduction 5
1. Polyethylene (PE) 8
2. Polypropylene (PP) 14
3. Polyvinylchloride (PVC) 18
4. Polystyrene (GP/HIPS) 22
5. Polystyrene (EPS) 24
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
Introduction
Polymer production in the GCC region has increased In 2013, plastics exports make up the largest non-oil
dramatically in recent years as the region benefitted contribution to Saudi Arabian exports, accounting for
from thriving exports and rising local demand and around 35 percent of non-oil export revenues (around
continued to diversify into downstream industries. $30 billion) followed by chemical industry products at
Between 2008 and 2013, polyolefin capacity soared 30 percent. As downstream industries develop and
from 11.0 million tons to 19.6 million tons, a compound plastics exports rise, polyolefin demand is expected to
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.1 percent. However, grow strongly. Polyolefins consumption will continue
following this period of rapid expansion, new capacity to be dominated by the three major economies in the
build is forecast to level off to a CAGR of 4.2 percent to Middle East, namely Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iran.
2020. Nonetheless, demand in other smaller countries in the
region such as Qatar is growing at a higher rate as
Although oil revenues continue to drive the Middle East their economies develop.
economy with export revenues from petroleum product
contributing on average 40-45 percent to the GDP Production of commodity grade polyolefins continues
for most GCC countries, there has been a concerted to be the mainstay of the petrochemical industry with
attempt within the region to develop new downstream 70 percent of Middle Eastern ethylene consumption
industries, thereby reducing their dependency on oil consumed in polyethylene production and 91 percent
and by-passing the volatility of the market. of propylene in polypropylene.
EDC
4% Cumene
1% 1% Acrylic Acid
Propylene
3% 5% Others Acrylonitrile
1% 4% Others
Propylene Oxide 2%
Styrene 3%
LDPE 19%
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
Within the Middle East and GCC, Saudi Arabia is by Iran are also emerging as major regional producers.
far the largest polyolefin producer and is expected to Nonetheless, in the case of Iran, the developments are
remain the leading producer taking into account all expected to take longer than previously anticipated
the proposed projects currently under various stages due to the impact of sanctions and delays in project
of development. The United Arab Emirates and execution.
2% Turkey
3% Others
Turkey
2% 2% Others
Iran
19% Iran
21%
56% Saudi Arabia
UAE 14%
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Source: Nexant
6
A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
7
A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
1. Polyethylene (PE)
Africa
3%
Other ME
11% S America
7% 6% C&E Europe
25% China
8% UAE
W Europe 14%
Iran 24%
2% Qatar
1% Kuwait
Turkey 30%
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
GCC polyethylene demand has grown strongly at a positive with a forecast CAGR of 6.2 percent. Higher
CAGR of 5.2 percent since 2008, reaching 1.8 million than average growth is anticipated in Kuwait and Qatar
tons in 2013. The outlook to 2018 remains similarly due to on-going infrastructure projects, in particular
the World Cup in Qatar.
CAGR
13-18
Bahrain/Oman 6.2%
UAE 5.7%
S Arabia 6.0%
Qatar 8.6%
Kuwait 8.7%
2013 2018
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
By far the largest application for polyethylene is in heavy duty bags which are used for the packaging of
packaging applications which uses combinations of polymers which are mainly exported. Heavy duty sack
LDPE, LLDPE and HDPE. The main items within this demand will continue to rise strongly in response to the
sector are shopping bags, garbage bags and heavy growth in production of polymers, fertilizers, and other
duty sacks. One of the most notable applications is for commodity chemicals in Saudi Arabia.
Extrusion Coating
2%
Rotomoulding
4% 5% Others Textiles
2% 4% Others
Injection Moulding
12% Consumer Goods 3%
64% Film
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
The major end-use of LDPE is in film for the For wire and cable, PE has been a major success
production of heavy duty bags for use in agriculture and growth has been steady. Although there are only
and construction. In the long term, regional LLDPE handfuls of converters, the demand for cross-linked
consumption growth is projected to be higher than PE for medium and high voltage has been extremely
that of LDPE, reflecting its gradual substitution. The strong. The introduction of the Borouge LDPE plant
penetration of LLDPE into the LDPE film sector has in 2014, which will produce XLPE for wire and cable
not been significant, with the exception of UAE, due to applications, should help support local demand.
the age of the downstream processing equipment and
relative lack of sophistication of the market. Rotomoulding has seen good growth related mainly
to construction and infrastructure projects. Hence,
PE blown and cast films are by far the largest large tanks, reservoirs, and heavy duty drums have
production processes, with blown film production been made by rotomoulding. This sector will continue
currently much higher than cast film. Blown film to grow at a moderate rate since it can only be used
extruders mostly are mono-layers however all the locally in GCC and cannot be exported.
largest converters are currently investing in new multi-
layer extrusion processes. Other extrusion applications such as foam extrusion
are small markets.
Cast films mainly produce stretch films for the local
and for export markets. The constant substitution
of shrink palletizing by stretch hood is ongoing and
propelling more local demand for stretch films.
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
Supply noted that there are very few new olefins complexes
under construction in the Middle East as a result of
Polyethylene production capacity in the GCC is the shortage in additional available advantaged gas
estimated at 12.9 million tons in 2013. Since 2008, feedstock for ethylene production.
GCC PE capacity has grown at an annual average
rate of 16.8 percent. And with several further Out of the four producing countries in the GCC (Saudi
developments planned, particularly in the UAE and Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE), Saudi Arabia is by
Saudi Arabia, capacity is forecast to rise at an annual far the largest producer with almost 70 percent of the
rate of 6.4 percent in the next five years. However, region’s production capacity in 2013.
despite these major developments, it should be
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
UAE
S Arabia
Qatar
Kuwait
12
A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
13
A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
2. Polypropylene (PP)
5% C&E Europe
S America
5% 3% Africa
Other ME
12% 14% Saudi Arabia
Middle East
7% Iraq
3% 5% UAE
31% Japan
1% Qatar
1% Kuwait
2% Bahrain/
W Europe 13% Oman
Iran 21%
N America 13%
23% Asia
41% Turkey
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
Bahrain/Oman 5.6%
UAE 7.1%
S Arabia 6.7%
Qatar 9.8%
Kuwait 10.2%
2013 2018
Polypropylene consumption in the GCC has risen textiles and BOPP film. Within textiles, the main
annually by 5.0 percent from 2008 to 2013 where application is in carpet manufacture which is a major
consumption is estimated at 792 000 tons. Further export industry, (local producer, Saudi Carpet, is
growth of 7.0 percent is forecast in the next five years reportedly the fifth largest global supplier). The
as the region develops its downstream industries second application is woven PP used for heavy duty
especially as block and random copolymer grades sacks, IBCs for resins, fertilizers, grains, etc. The third
become more available for use in consumer goods application is non woven PP which is also mainly for
and appliances which are under-developed markets. export and is led by SGN of Dammam and Al-Saaf of
The two major sectors for PP usage are in fibre for Al-Hasa.
Other Extrusion
7% 6% Others
Blow Moulding
3% 8% Others
Construction
3%
Injection Moulding
19% Consumer Goods
9%
41% Textiles
42% Fibre
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
UAE
S Arabia
Qatar
Kuwait
Total GCC
2013 2018
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
The wave of capacity additions has now almost The Borouge III complex, based around a 1.4 million
ground to a halt. The Borouge II complex is the only tons per year ethylene cracker, will include two 480
new polypropylene capacity projected before 2019, 000 tons per year polypropylene plants. The project
with 960 000 tons of capacity due in 2014. Borouge will not include a metathesis unit, but will instead
uses a unique approach to produce propylene at its import refinery and PDH-based propylene from
Borouge II complex since the steam cracker is entirely Takreer. Full commercial operations are expected by
ethane based. The process dimerises a proportion of the end of 2014.
the ethylene to butene, which will in turn be fed into a
metathesis plant along with more ethylene. No further The Kuwaiti company, Petrochemical Industries
capacity additions are expected in Saudi Arabia in the Company (PIC) announced plans with its joint venture
short to mid-term. with EQUATE to develop a 1.4 million tons per year
cracker project at their joint Olefins III site at Al Zour.
In Saudi Arabia, propylene availability has historically Since the initial announcement was made there has
been minimal due to the predominantly light feedstock been little progress amid rising costs and a relocation
slate of steam crackers. The development of Saudi of the site. The facility, now proposed for a 2017
Arabia’s polypropylene industry has been enabled by start-up, would produce 600 000 tons per year of
on-purpose propylene production, which now includes polypropylene if it were to go ahead.
five major propane dehydrogenation plants, and two
metathesis units. There has also been development
of crackers based not only on ethane, but on
mixed feeds of ethane with propane and heavier
hydrocarbons. The propylene availability situation in
Saudi Arabia will change considerably as the amount
of propylene produced will increase as well as other
co products such as pygas and mixed C4s.
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
3. Polyvinylchloride (PVC)
Demand
In 2013, the global PVC demand stood at 39 million tons with the Middle East representing six percent of the
global market. The GCC accounts for 33 percent of Middle East demand, 757 000 tons.
2% Africa
Iraq
1% 8% Others ME S America
6% 6% C&E Europe
Middle East
6%
Iran
16%
22% Saudi Arabia
Western Europe
11%
7% UAE
North America 13% 56% Asia Pacific
42%
Turkey
1% Kuwait
Bahrain/Oman 2% 2% Qatar
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
CAGR
13-18
Bahrain/Oman 5.7%
UAE 6.1%
S Arabia 5.6%
Qatar 8.4%
Kuwait 7.1%
2013 2018
PVC consumption in the Middle East has grown The largest PVC consumer in the region is Turkey,
considerably over the past decade with a CAGR of accounting for more than 40 percent of regional
4.3 percent between 2008 and 2013. This was mainly demand in 2013. Saudi Arabia is the second largest
driven by the rapid development of infrastructure and PVC consumer in the region, constituting 22 percent of
water distribution systems as well as the strength in regional demand in 2013. The GCC region as a whole
Turkish manufacturing activity. With the current low grew at a rate of greater than 6 percent in 2013 as
consumption per capita in comparison with developed governments invest oil and gas revenues in improving
countries, the growth is forecast to 2018 remain strong the infrastructure, making the GCC construction
at a CAGR of 5.7 percent. market one of the most rapidly expanding globally.
However, this is expected to slow somewhat in the
near future, as a lack of supply stymies future growth
rates with polyolefins expected to capture the majority
of new plastic consumption.
5% Others
Window Profiles
15%
60% Pipe
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
4. Polystyrene (GP/HIPS)
Demand
In 2013, the global GP/HIPS demand stood at ten million tons with the GCC accounting for 25 percent of Middle
East demand at 146 000 tons.
Global PS Demand, 10.4 million tons Middle East PS Demand, 590 000 tons
Middle East
6% 2% Africa
6% Other ME
C&E Europe
6% Iran
21%
S America
6% 18% Saudi Arabia
W Europe
16% 4% UAE
1% Qatar
1% Kuwait
45% Asia Pacific
N America
19% Turkey 49%
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
CAGR
13-18
Bahrain/Oman 8.7%
UAE 8.7%
S Arabia 4.4%
Qatar 5.6%
Kuwait 6.5%
2013 2018
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
5. Polystyrene (EPS)
Global EPS Demand, 6.6 million tons Middle East EPS Demand, 436 000 tons
3% S America
7%
Other ME
4% 5% Saudi Arabia
Middle East
1% Africa
N America
8%
Iran
38% 7% UAE
1% Kuwait
1% Bahrain/Oman
C&E Europe 10%
W Europe 15%
Turkey 44%
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
CAGR
13-18
Bahrain/Oman 7.0%
UAE 7.0%
S Arabia 3.5%
Qatar 14.9%
Kuwait 5.9%
0 20 40 60 80 100
2013 2018
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
26
A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
Having grown in recent years from their original (RPTP), located directly next to the Petro Rabigh
status as oil and gas producers into leading polymer refinery. The Park has attracted many companies
producers, countries in the GCC are looking to move taking advantage of the incentives provided by
to the next stage of development programs and are the Saudi government to encourage the local
focusing on downstream industries such as plastics conversion industry. It offers low utility and land
conversion. Both Saudi Arabia and the UAE have lease rates, guaranteed petrochemical feed from
introduced initiatives to boost the growth of small and Petro Rabigh and provides numerous support
medium size industries (SMEs) for plastics processing services.
and have developed several plastic conversion
clusters. • Abu Dhabi KIZAD within Port Khalifa, U.A.E.
In Saudi Arabia, the Saudi Clusters Development Kizad was officially opened in September 2012.
Programme has worked well in creating key industrial The 418-square-kilometre Kizad site in Taweelah
cities but the government is ambitious for more, (adjacent to the newly built Khalifa Port) is
aiming to make KSA a world top-10 exporter of part of Abu Dhabi efforts to achieve economic
plastics, and creating 17 000 additional plastics and diversification by 2030.
packaging sector jobs. As part of its Vision 2020
agenda, the Saudi government has set up five key Envisioned as a prominent gateway to capture
industrial clusters including a ‘Plastics and Packaging’ regional industrial development, Kizad is expected
cluster. Although the country has around 900 plastics to contribute up to 15% of the emirate’s non-oil
processors, only 20 are considered large and ten as GDP by 2030.
world-scale (consuming over 50 000 tons per year of
resin). Kizad offers supply-chain efficiencies for
downstream, midstream and upstream industries
Abu Dhabi in the UAE is also fast emerging as (under its ‘vertically integrated clusters’ concept).
an important hub for plastics converters with the These industries include companies specializing
introduction of the Abu Dhabi Polymers Park, and is in: chemicals, aluminum, steel, engineered
aggressively encouraging foreign investment. metal products, pharmaceuticals and healthcare
equipment, food, paper, print and packaging, trade
Industrial Parks and logistics, as well as mixed use industries.
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
Plaschem Park
King Abdullah
Economic City (KAEC)
Abu Dhabi KIZAD
Rabigh Conversion Industrial within Port Khalifa, U.A.E.
Park (RCIP)
The plastics parks in Saudi Arabia and UAE account New Key Polymers
for more than 60 percent of plastics processed in
the GCC and around 70 percent of the 50 largest Although the plastics and packaging markets are
processors. Minor clusters of plastics processing are heavily focused towards polyolefins, there has been
appearing around resin producers in other parts of growing demand for specialty polyolefins, engineering
the region in Oman and Qatar, but there is very little plastics and elastomers. Petrochemical producers
processing activity outside these industrial parks. Pipe are investing in new products, moving away from
production is the exception in being geographically traditional C1-C4 chemistries and towards new
dispersed, as generally production takes place close plastics such as rubbers, PBT, PC and thermoplastic
to the point of installation. elastomers. A series of new developments have been
announced recently.
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
SABIC Kemya
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
About Nexant
Nexant Energy & Chemical Advisory Services offers clients a suite of products and advisory services with an
exclusive focus on the energy, chemicals, and related industries. Using a combination of business and technical
expertise, with deep and broad understanding of markets, technologies and economics, we provide solutions
that these industries have relied upon for over 45 years. Services include Strategic Investment Studies, Market
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A New Horizon for the GCC Plastic Processing Industry
31
The Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) represents the downstream hydrocarbon industry
in the Arabian Gulf. Established in 2006, the association voices the common interests of more than 240 member
companies from the chemical and allied industries, accounting for over 95% of chemical output in the Gulf region.
The industry makes up the second largest manufacturing sector in the region, producing up to $US 102 billion
worth of products a year.
The association supports the region’s petrochemical and chemical industry through advocacy, networking
and thought leadership initiatives that help member companies to connect, to share and advance knowledge,
to contribute to international dialogue, and to become prime influencers in shaping the future of the global
petrochemicals industry.
Committed to providing a regional platform for stakeholders from across the industry, the GPCA manages six
working committees - Plastics, Supply Chain, Fertilizers, International Trade, Research and Innovation and
Responsible Care - and organizes six world-class events each year. The association also publishes an annual
report, regular newsletters and reports.