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3 B
1
4
A
2
C
The Elliot-Wave-Principle
Master and ride the waves
The Elliot-Wave-Principle
▪ Historical background
▪ Fundamental characteristics
▪ Fibonacci as the foundation of the "Wave-Principle"
▪ Motive-Waves
▪ Corrections
▪ Guidelines
The beginning
• Monograph "The Wave Principle" was published in 1938 by Charles J. Collins
• 1946 - Finished his works - "Nature`s Law –The Secret of the Universe"
• These patterns can be seen in long term as well as short term charts.
5
• Smaller patterns can be identified within bigger patterns.
3 B
1
4
A
2 C
Fundamental characteristics
1. Formation
2. Ratios
3. Time
Formation
3 B
1
4
A
2 C
Ratio-Analysis
Extension of wave 2 ?
Extension of wave 1 ? B
Retracement of Wave 2?
A
Retracement of Wave 1? C
Time
4days
6 days B
Retracement of Wave 2?
4 days
1 day
A
1 day C
The original idea
Simply put:
This theory implies that stock-markets show repeating rhythms
containing 5 impulsive and 3 following corrective Waves. Impulse-phase Correction
5
A complete cycle consists of 8 Waves overall.
3
Cycle 2 B
B 1
5
Cycle 1 3 4
1 A C
5 2
3 B 4 A
1 C
2
4 C
2 A
Impulse-phase Correction
Impulse-Phase Correction
Every wave is a part of a wave
(1)
Weekly Chart
5
3
A
1
(2)
4 C
2 Daily Chart
Impulse-Wave Correction
Waves subdivided in Waves of next lower period!
Fibonacci Ratios as the foundation
EXAMPLE: 89 / 55 = 1.168
Fibonacci Ratios as the foundation
Fibonacci Retracement in technical analysis and in Elliott Wave Theory refers to a market correction (counter
trend) which is expected to end at the areas of support or resistance denoted by key Fibonacci levels.
The market is then expected to turn and resume the trend again in the primary direction.
Fibonacci Extension refers to the market moving with the primary trend into an areas of support and resistance
at key Fibonacci levels where target profit is measured. Traders use the Fibonacci Extension to determine their
target profit.
Important Retracement- & Extensions-ratios
Retracements: Extensions:
• 14,6% (0.146) • 61,8% (0.618)
• 323,6 (3.236)
• 423.6% (4.236)
Types of "Motive Waves"
• Impulse-Wave
• Diagonal-Wave
1. Leading Diagonal
2. Ending Diagonal
The "Impulse-Wave"
• The classic "Impuls-Wave" is the most common "Motive-Wave" which is the easiest to identify.
• It contains three "Impulse-waves" (Wave 1, Wave 3, Wave 5) and two corrective Waves (Wave 2 and Wave 4).
5
3
1
4
Important:
Fibonacci Ratio useful to measure target of waves within the E.W structure.
3
Wave 3 can`t be the shortest wave of all "Impuls-Waves" 1,3,5.
• Extensions frequently occur in the third wave in the stock market and forex market.
Commodities market commonly develop extensions in the fifth wave.
(5)
[5] 5
[3] 3
(3) 1
5
5
(3) 4
3 2
(4) (3) (1)
(4)
1
(1) 4 [4] (1) (2)
[1] 2
(4)
(2)
(2) Extension in Commodity market
[2] Extension on Forex- and Stockmarket
The "Diagonal Waves"
• This wave consists of 5 sub-waves and can either show a 5-3-5-3-5 or a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern.
• Typical characteristic is that Wave 4 overlaps Wave 1 and often creates a "Wedge-Shape", either
expanding or contracting.
5
5
3 3
1
Wave 4 does overlap Wave 1
1 Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1
4
4
2
2 Impulse-Wave Diagonal-Wave
The "Leading Diagonal Wave"
• A "Leading Diagonal" is a special type of "Motive-Wave".
• Typical characteristic is that Wave 4 overlaps Wave 1 and often creates a "Wedge-Shape". (5)
• This pattern can appear in a 5-3-5-3-5 or a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern!
(3)
• Leads market into an Impuls (5-3-5-3-5) or a correction (3-3-3-3-3).
(1)
5
V
3
V III (4)
1 b I
IV
V III a
III b II
I
IV c
I 4
IV a II
c (2)
II
2
The "Ending Diagonal Wave"
• An "Ending Diagonal" is a special type of "Motive-Wave".
(2)
Let`s talk about corrections
When market moves against the trend of one higher degree, they do so with an apparent struggle.
This resistance prevents the pattern that forms from developing a motive type of structure, and the patterns that form
are more varied than in the motive wave type.
Sharp correction:
Sideways correction:
Appears to form a flat type of structure that often goes back to the price of where it began before ending the correction.
Let`s talk about corrections
• Difficult to forecast
Types of corrections
• Zig-Zags (A-B-C)
• Flats (A-B-C)
• Triangles (A-B-C-D-E)
• The A-B-C correction pattern subdivides into 5-3-5 internal wave pattern.
• The A-B-C correction wave usually appears in the position of wave '2'.
• An A-B-C correction wave will usually target the 61.8% retracement of the trend move.
5
B C
A
A
C B
5
Impulse-Wave Zig-Zag-Pattern after impuls Impulse-Wave Zig-Zag-Pattern after impulse
Pattern 1: Zig-Zag – But why 5-3-5?
Characteristics: 5 (C)
Wave (Y)
Wave (X)
Wave (W)
5 (X)
B C
A B
A B
C A
(W) C
(Y)
Double Zig-Zag connected with an A-B-C Pattern
Wave 5 of impulse
Pattern 2: Double Zig-Zag
Characteristics:
• A regular "Flat" is a correction against the trend divided in a 3-3-5 Pattern creating a "Range".
• Often used as a sign of strenght of the current trend, especially in the Bull-Market.
5 B Flat-Pattern Bearmarket
A C
A C
Flat-Pattern Bullmarket B
Pattern 3: Regular Flat – But why 3-3-5?
A C
Fibonacci Ratios:
• Wave B = 90-100% of waveA
Wave 5 of impuls Regular "Flat-Pattern" after impuls
• Wave C = 61.8%, 100%, or 123.6% of wave AB
Pattern 4: Expanded Flat (A-B-C)
• Wave B retraces more then 100% of Wave A and creates a new high.
• Wave C breaks through the low of Wave A and creates a new low.
B C
5
A
A
C
Expanded Flat in bullmarket
B
Pattern 4: Expanded Flat
(B)
• Wave A contains 3 Waves c
B
a b
5 3
c
(A)
Wave A Wave B Wave C 5 (C)
A
C Fibonacci Ratios:
• Wave B = 123.6% of waveA
Impulse-Wave Expanded "Flat-Pattern" after impuls • Wave C = 123.6% – 161.8% of waveAB
Pattern 5: Running Flat (A-B-C)
• Wave B retraces more then 100% of wave A and creates a new high.
• Wave C fails travel the full distance, falling short of the level where wave A ended!
B
5
A
C
C
A
(B)
• Wave A contains 3 Waves c
2
• Wave B contains 3 Waves
4
2 a
• Wave C contains 5 Waves 1 5
B 3
1 b (C)
5
3
(A)
Wave A Wave B Wave C
C
A
Fibonacci Ratios:
• Wave B = 123.6% of waveA
Impulse-Wave Running "Flat-Pattern" after impuls • WaveC = 61.8% – 100% of wave AB
Triangles: A-B-C-D-E Patterns
• Elliott wave triangles are overlapping five wave corrections labeled A-B-C-D-E.
• Triangle waves usually contract the range of price action from beginning to end.
• Each internal wave takes a three wave form, and the triangle subdivides into a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern.
• An A-B-C-D-E pattern causes a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility.
• Contracting triangle
• Descending triangle
• Ascending triangle
• Expanding triangle
Pattern 6: Contracting triangle
3 A
B
D C E
E D
C 3 B
A
3
(B)
c
(D)
c
b a b
b
a
a
a b a b c
(E)
c
(C)
c
Characteristic:
(A)
Waves creating lower highs and higher lows!
Pattern 7: Ascending triangle
3 B D
E
C
A • A "Ascending triangle" is subdivided in five internal waves (A-B-C-D-E).
3 (B) (D)
c c
b
b
a
b a
a
a
a b b c (E)
c
(C)
c
Characteristic: (A)
Waves creating equal highs but higher lows.
Pattern 8: Descending triangle
3 B D
D
B
3
• An expanding triangle appears in both downtrends and up-trends.
• The top trend line rises and the bottom trend line falls.
b a
a b
a b a
b a
b
3
c
(B) c
(D)
Characteristic:
2. Wave (W) and Wave (Y) subdivision can be zigzag, flat, double three of smaller degree, or triple three of smaller degree.
[X]
b C b
d
A
e
c
B [Y]
a a
c Fibonacci Ratio:
[W]
• WaveX = 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, or 85.4% of waveW
Triangle • WaveY = 61.8%, 100%, or 123.6% of waveW
Flat
Any three • WaveY can not pass 161.8% of waveW
Guideline of Equality
2
Guideline of Alternation
1. This guideline says that within an Impulse that the forms for
Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate.
2
Sharp style correction
Guideline of Alternation within correction
• This guideline says that within a correction that the forms for Wave A and
Wave B will alternate within a "3Wave correction".
• If the correction begins with a simple pattern for Wave A, we expect Wave
B and C to be more complex.
b c
a c a b (Z)
a
(W)
c (Y) Running Flat
Regular Flat
Expanded Flat
Guideline of Depth
2. This does not nescessarily mean that it will reach the bottom of
the previous Wave 4 but probably will reach the span of it.
5
3 b
a
1
4 c
2
The three HOLY RULES to start counting!
▪ Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of the three impulse waves, namely waves 1, 3 and 5.
▪ Wave 4 does not overlap with the price territory of wave 1, except in the rare case of a
diagonal or triangle formation.