Examination Instructions

Time allowed:
Final Term Exam Spring-2020
02 Hours Subject: Probability and statistics Maximum Marks:
40
Code: [MA-3334]
 Please read through all of the questions carefully.
 You are NOT permitted to start reading the examination paper, or to commence writing, until
instructed to do so by the invigilator.
 Stop writing immediately when the teacher says it is the end of the exam.

Question 1 (Suggested Time: 20 Minutes) Marks: 15

 When Stéphane plays chess against his favorite computer program, he wins with probability 0.60, loses
with probability 0.10, and 30% of the games result is a draw. Assume independence.
a. Find the probability that Stéphane wins 7 games, if he plays 10 games?

b. Find the probability that Stéphane wins at least 8 games, if he plays 12 games?

c. Find the probability that Stéphane loses 6 games, if he plays 10 games?

Question 2 (Suggested Time: 20 Minutes) Marks: 5+5=10

A company that sells mail-order computer systems needs to know something about typical weekly sales
in order to plan inventory and staffing. The company selects 15 weeks at random from the past year
and obtains the data (thousands of dollars) shown below:

Weekly sales 191, 222, 222, 223, 223, 225, 227, 228, 229, 232, 234, 234, 236, 244, 253

a. What are the mean and median weekly sales for the company?

b. What is the mode for the data? Do you think the mode is a good measure of typical weekly
sales? Why or why not

Question 3 (Suggested Time: 30 Minutes) Marks: 1+2+2=5

The marks obtained by 9 students are given below.

32, 36, 36, 37, 39, 41, 45, 46, 48

i. Find Range?
ii. Variance?
iii. Standard Deviation?

Question 4: Use Naïve Bayes algorithm to construct a model from the given data. Target
class is Evade. Test Sample to be classified is {Refund=yes, Marital Status=divorced and
Salary=46K-50K} Marks: 10

Refund Marital Salary Evade

Status
Yes Single 46k-50k No
No Married 40k-45k No
No Single 46k-50k No
Yes Married 40k-45k No
No Divorced 56k-60k Yes
No Married 46k-50k No
Yes Divorced 40k-45k No
No Single 46k-50k Yes
No Married 56k-60k No
No Single 46k-50k yes

Best of Luck