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IBM
Embracing Uncertainty "Mankind has always thrived on
getting new solutions to old
A quantum frame of mind
problems, perhaps this time
through a quantum frame of
mind."
As we enter the second decade of the second Let's take quantum computing as an example,
millennium we find ourselves in a world that is which will be turning technology on its head in the - Andrew Sheng, Distinguished
unpredictable and changing daily, challenging the next decade. Based on probability, rather than Fellow, Asia Global Institute, The
learned logic of conventional science and culture. certainty, and embracing multiple states
University of Hong Kong
By 2022, many of the principles we have long held simultaneously, it heralds a new approach to
true will no longer apply: knowledge and problem-solving. Like quantum
physics, quantum computers behave in weird,
• Age-old political systems will be questioned
unpredictable ways – and these ways work.
and transformed, while national boundaries will Now that even computers are non-binary, we can
be pushed to extremes. Simply put, quantum computers move away from predict that by 2022 nothing will be binary anymore.
the binary 0s and 1s – the basic inputs and In the quantum era, we know that reality can change
• History itself will need to be rewritten from other
outputs of our current computers – and instead depending upon the position of the observer, and
points of view.
use qubits (quantum bits), which are this realisation means that space will be made for
• Science and technology will advance at a mind- simultaneously both 0s and 1s, to solve complex, other voices and observers to speak up and be
bending pace and established facts will be entangled problems at extremely rapid speeds, all heard. Information will no longer be delivered from
disproved with each new discovery. the while using less energy. one vertical source; it will increasingly be exchanged
• Material goods and human services will IBM, Microsoft, Intel, Google and others are all horizontally, with peers and experts. We will see new
disappear daily into the shiny rectangles of our investing in quantum computers, and Google metrics for measuring wealth, excellence, identity,
smartphones. recently claimed that its device reached quantum happiness, beauty, and even time.
• Most importantly, our planet will continue to supremacy, achieving a calculation in three While this can be destabilising, it will also be a time
send signals that it can no longer absorb the minutes and 20 seconds that would take of reckoning. In 2022, we will be discarding outdated
human activity and products we have charged it traditional supercomputers at least 10,000 years. mindsets, dealing with the discomfort that
with. As quantum computers improve, they will drive challenging ideas can bring, going back to ancient
We are moving away from certainty. advances in AI, and also drive design for knowledge, and creating new futures.
And this could be a very good thing. everything from batteries to life-saving drugs.
Executive Summary
In this report, we identify 12 need-to-know areas of • Intuitive, indigenous and pre-industrial wisdom
innovation so you can future-proof your business in will be embraced as additional knowledge systems,
an age of uncertainty and embrace all the offering solutions to the complex challenges of
possibilities that beckon. today.
• Overwhelmed and anxious, consumers will re- • Colonial-era values, histories and hierarchies will
prioritise in 2022, trading traditional markers of be deconstructed and replaced by a more inclusive
wealth and achievement for time affluence and world-view, shaped by influences from across the
space for feeling. Global South.
• Digital identities will evolve beyond text, voice and • Speculative design – the process of using
video, with the rise of 3D photorealistic avatars that storytelling to build fictional scenarios that imagine
are dressing, working and hanging out in simulated what the future might look like – will help
worlds, and accelerating demand for digital governments, brands and people envision
craftsmanship as a result. alternative futures. IBM's Quantum Computer
• Tight-knit community groups and empowered • In an era of natural and man-made disasters,
neighbourhood organisations will emerge to adaptable and solution-based products will be built
counter a fragmented, individualistic and diffuse for survival, and designed to offer protection and
society, where human engagement is increasingly support.
seen as a luxury. • As mindsets shift to prioritise social and
• By 2022 we will not only see and hear virtual environmental good over economic growth, 2022
worlds, but feel them as well. Haptics will simulate will see the rise of limitarianism and the
textures in mid-air, enabling us to touch digital questioning of what ‘enough’ looks like. The key message for 2022: the
objects and navigate increasingly mixed-reality • Visceral horror will shock consumers out of their next decade heralds an age of
worlds. uncertainty, which will allow
comfort zones.
• Bio-materials and biophilic design will lead to new voices to be heard and
• Challenging the notion that goodness is
product and material innovation, as brands and inherently unpleasant, environmentalists, new solutions to emerge
consumers seek solutions to rising concerns nutritionists and policymakers will appeal to
around biodiversity and sustainability. pleasure to incentivise behavioural changes.
Future Innovations Index
The 12 areas of innovation that will transform business and culture in 2022
2 Creating
Intimacy
4 The Tactile
Internet
6 Pre-Futures
The Fabricant
The Tactile Internet
By 2022 we will not only see and hear virtual experiences, but feel them as well, as haptic
technologies help us navigate through increasingly mixed-reality worlds
Ultraleap
Made in Nature
Bio-materials and biophilic design will lead product and material innovation in 2022 as
brands and consumers seek solutions to rising biodiversity and sustainability concerns
Growing Pavilion
Pre-Futures
Intuitive, indigenous and pre-industrial wisdom will be embraced as alternative knowledge
systems, rich with solutions for the complex challenges of today
In South Africa, blacksmith-artist Conrad Hicks • Craft products with the intention of creating
welds products by hand to pay homage to our future heirlooms, and combine pre-industrial
primordial connection with tools. "Good tools are techniques with 21st-century tech to take on the
sacred objects," he says. "They hold the values of most pressing challenges of our time.
our society and represent our cultural
achievements.”
Decolonisation
Colonial-era values, histories and hierarchies will be deconstructed and replaced by a
more inclusive world-view, shaped by influences from across the Global South
Bijoy Jain
Speculative Futures
Embrace the practice of imagining new futures to act on the present
CNBC
De-Materialisation
As mindsets shift to prioritise social and environmental good over economic growth, 2022
will see the rise of limitarianism, and a questioning of what ‘enough’ looks like
Studio Micat
The Horror
Horror will shock consumers out of their comfort zones
Business Insurance
The Pleasure Principle
Challenging the notion that goodness is inherently unpleasant, activists, nutritionists and
policymakers will equate living well with living pleasurably
Pony Express
Research Matrix
Harvard Business Review: Time for happiness The Telegraph: Decolonise curriculum movement is
NPR: Four-day workweek boosted workers' spreading to schools, UK’s first black history professor
productivity by 40%, Microsoft Japan says says
Market Watch: Why Gen Z spends more money on Fortune: Why this VC is pouring millions into start-ups
food than fashion building ‘a sci-fi future’
The New York Times: Human contact is now a luxury NBC News: Bulletproof backpacks wouldn't have saved
Good anyone in recent shootings
The New York Times: The digital gap between rich The Times: Terrorism hits high-street sales as wary
and poor kids is not what we expected shoppers stay at home
TechRadar: 5G and the tactile internet Allied Market Research: Online clothing rental market is
expected to reach $1.856bn globally by 2023
Ericsson: The 5G tactile internet is here. What next?
No Future: The world's first ever AR and VR fashion show,
AARP: Video games - attitudes and habits of adults AR facefilters, and why you need to forget fabric
aged 50+
Miquela: Money (official music video)
Open Cell: Biodesign Here Now
The Times: Don't look now ... horror is the fastest growing
Project Drawdown: Resources for climate solutions film genre
Decolonising Design Forbes: Blood, bones and bacteria: the next generation of
Museums Association: Working group on 'smart' and sustainable materials?
decolonising museum practice The Guardian: Food is a great source of pleasure. Forget
that, and we're doomed to eat badly
The Bookshelf
Short reading lists to further your research
Decolonisation in Universities The Parking Lot Attendant The Limits to Growth Get Out: The Complete Annotated
- Edited by Jonathan D Jansen - Nafkote Tamirat - Donatella Meadows Screenplay
- Jordan Peele
Open Veins of Latin America Children of Blood & Bone Slowdown: The End of the Great
- Eduardo Galeano - Tomi Adeyemi Acceleration – and Why It’s Good for The Uninhabitable Earth
the Planet, the Economy, and Our - David Wallace-Wells
Superior: The Return of Race Binti: The Night Masquerade
Lives
Science - Nnedi Okorafor
- Angela Saini - Danny Dorling The Pleasure Principle
Freedom is a Constant Struggle Survival Mode Making the Modern World: Pleasure Activism: The Politics of
Materials and Dematerialisation Feeling Good
- Angela Davis Not That Bad - Vaclav Smil - Adrienne Maree Brown
- Roxane Gay
Perilous Path: Talking Race,
The Book of Delights
Inequality, and the Law If They Come For Us: Poems - Ross Gay
- Sherrilyn Ifill, Loretta Lynch, Bryan - Fatimah Asghar
Stevenson, and Anthony C. The Way We Eat Now
Thompson Just in Case: How to Be Self-Sufficient When the - Bree Wilson
Unexpected Happens
Wade in the Water - Kathy Harrison
- Tracy K Smith
The Ultimate Survival Medicine Guide:
Emergency Preparedness for Any Disaster
- Joseph Alton
WGSN Macro Forecast 2022
The report timeline for WGSN's 2022 trends
FUTURE DRIVERS
Annual
November 2019
FUTURE INNOVATIONS
November 2019 Annual
will shape 2022, and Seasonal S/S 22:
January 2020
TREND CONCEPTS
strategies for success Apr 2020 – Aug 2020
The 12 areas of innovation
that will lead
BIG IDEAS
Future Drivers and Future
transformation across Innovations Trend Concepts present
industries in 2022, and contextualised for the the seasonal design
their implications for Fashion, Beauty, and directions for each
Annual department, with more
FUTURE CONSUMER
The Fear Factor Climate Urgency Degrowth for Good Balancing Age Mass to Micro Global Power Shift Migratory Patterns
Digital Identities Digital Identities The Pleasure Principle Digital Identities Made in Nature
The Pleasure Principle The Pleasure Principle Creating Intimacy The Tactile Internet Decolonisation
Survival Mode The Tactile Internet Time Affluence Pre-Futures
The Horror De-Materialisation