SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.904609233766347
R Square 0.818317865815338
Adjusted R Square 0.784252465655714
Standard Error 4.58977844443262
Observations 20

ANOVA
df
Regression 3
Residual 16
Total 19

Coefficients
Intercept -36.7649252820071
Inhabitants 7.62936936851173E-07
Percent with incomes below $5000 1.19217421082948
Percent unemployed 4.7198213718734

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Murder per annum per 1,000,000 inhabitants

1 12.616685684226
2 18.3720712703823
3 38.9680601761314
4 8.44895482790935
5 21.531660877785
6 11.2434637411277
7 19.0222587007139
8 25.6670842852178
9 7.4115699024145
10 11.0614624785457
11 19.1557432816869
12 26.2823350858977
13 15.511448966327
14 33.837577793799
15 16.5651895421303
16 32.7462780982671
17 16.7440591301778
18 31.2329057575244
19 27.4174407779114
20 17.5637496218249
 SS MS F Significance F
1518.144941296 506.04831377 24.021965454 3.6288857E-06
337.0570587037 21.066066169
1855.202

Standard Error t Stat P-value
7.010925771609 -5.2439473016 8.028929E-05
6.36301183E-07 1.1990185737 0.2479775906
0.561653909485 2.1226135716 0.0497411728
1.530475467074 3.0838922109 0.0071158994
Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-51.627423978 -21.902426586 -51.627423978 -21.902426586
-5.8596131E-07 2.1118352E-06 -5.859613E-07 2.1118352E-06
0.00152111178 2.3828273099 0.0015211118 2.3828273099
1.4753583189 7.9642844249 1.4753583189 7.9642844249

Residuals
-1.41668568423
-4.97207127038
1.731939823869
-3.14895482791
3.268339122215
1.456536258872
1.877741299286
10.03291571478
1.288430097586
-1.46146247855
-4.65574328169
0.617664914102
0.188551033673
2.362422206201
1.53481045787
-3.84627809827
-1.84405913018
-5.43290575752
-5.71744077791
8.136250378175
 Inhabitants Residual Plot
15
10 Percent with incomes below $5000
Residual Plot

Residuals
5
0 20
Percent unemployed Residua
-5 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 10000000
15

Residuals
10
-10 10

Residuals
0
5Inhabitants
12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28
-10 0
4
-5Percent 5 incomes
with 6 below $5000
7 8
-10
Percent unemployed
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.904609233766347
R Square 0.818317865815338
Adjusted R Square 0.784252465655714
Standard Error 4.58977844443262
Observations 20

ANOVA
df
Regression 3
Residual 16
Total 19

Coefficients
Intercept -36.7649252820071
Inhabitants 7.62936936851173E-07
Percent with incomes below $5000 1.19217421082948
Percent unemployed 4.7198213718734

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Murder per annum per 1,000,000 inhabitants

1 12.616685684226
2 18.3720712703823
3 38.9680601761314
4 8.44895482790935
5 21.531660877785
6 11.2434637411277
7 19.0222587007139
8 25.6670842852178
9 7.4115699024145
10 11.0614624785457
11 19.1557432816869
12 26.2823350858977
13 15.511448966327
14 33.837577793799
15 16.5651895421303
16 32.7462780982671
17 16.7440591301778
18 31.2329057575244
19 27.4174407779114
20 17.5637496218249
 SS MS F Significance F
1518.144941296 506.04831377 24.0219654541222 3.62888565275412E-06
337.0570587037 21.066066169
1855.202

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

7.010925771609 -5.2439473016 8.02892934443653E-05 -51.6274239776881
6.36301183E-07 1.1990185737 0.247977590576667 -5.85961312863733E-07
0.561653909485 2.1226135716 0.049741172827977 0.001521111783324
1.530475467074 3.0838922109 0.007115899420243 1.47535831889574

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Residuals Percentile Murder per annum per 1,000,000 inhabitants

-1.41668568423 2.5 5.3
-4.97207127038 7.5 8.7
1.731939823869 12.5 9.6
-3.14895482791 17.5 11.2
3.268339122215 22.5 12.7
1.456536258872 27.5 13.4
1.877741299286 32.5 14.5
10.03291571478 37.5 14.9
1.288430097586 42.5 15.7
-1.46146247855 47.5 18.1
-4.65574328169 52.5 20.9
0.617664914102 57.5 21.7
0.188551033673 62.5 24.8
2.362422206201 67.5 25.7
1.53481045787 72.5 25.8
-3.84627809827 77.5 26.9
-1.84405913018 82.5 28.9
-5.43290575752 87.5 35.7
-5.71744077791 92.5 36.2
8.136250378175 97.5 40.7
 Inhabitants Residual Plot
15
10

M urde r pe r annum pe r 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 inhabit ant s

Percent with incomes below $5000

Residuals
5
0 20
Percent unemployed Residua
Residual Plot
-5 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 10000000
15
10 Normal Probabilit

Residuals
-10 10
50

Residuals
0
5Inhabitants40
12 14 16 18 30 20 22 24 26 28
-10 0
20
-5 4 with incomes
Percent 5 6
10 below $5000
7 8 9
-10 0
0 20 40 60
Percent unemployed
Sample Percenti

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

-21.902426586 -51.627423978 -21.902426586
2.1118352E-06 -5.859613E-07 2.1118352E-06
2.3828273099 0.0015211118 2.3828273099
7.9642844249 1.4753583189 7.9642844249
lot

omes below $5000

ployed Residual Plot
000 10000000
ormal Probability Plot

24 26 28
6$5000 7 8 9 10

20 40 60 80 100 120
ercent unemployed
Sample Percentile
Index Inhabitants Percent with incomes below $5000
1 587000 16.5
2 643000 20.5
3 635000 26.3
4 692000 16.5
5 1248000 19.2
6 643000 16.5
7 1964000 20.2
8 1531000 21.3
9 713000 17.2
10 749000 14.3
11 7895000 18.1
12 762000 23.1
13 2793000 19.1
14 741000 24.7
15 625000 18.6
16 854000 24.9
17 716000 17.9
18 921000 22.4
19 595000 20.2
20 3353000 16.9
Percent unemployed Murder per annum per 1,000,000 inhabitants
6.2 11.2
6.4 13.4
9.3 40.7
5.3 5.3
7.3 24.8
5.9 12.7
6.4 20.9
7.6 35.7
4.9 8.7
6.4 9.6
6 14.5
7.4 26.9
5.8 15.7
8.6 36.2
6.5 18.1
8.3 28.9
6.7 14.9
8.6 25.8
8.4 21.7
6.7 25.7
ESTIMATED REGRESSION EQUATION MODEL
ŷ=0.000000762937*Inhabitants + 1.192174211*Percent with incomes below $5000 + 4.719821372*Percent unemployed