Determination in the Market System Determining the equilibrium • In this unit, we look at the meeting of buyers and sellers in a competitive market – the meeting of demand and supply curves. • Where both curves meet, or QD = QS, the point of intersection is where we say the market is in equilibrium. • At equilibrium, there is equilibrium price (PE) and equilibrium quantity (QE). Determining the equilibrium • The equilibrium price (PE) – also referred to as the market-clear price – because all the products supplied to a market are bought or cleared from the market – is where every buyer willing to pay for that price finds a seller willing to sell at that price. • The equilibrium quantity (QE) is the quantity bought and sold at that corresponding equilibrium price. Determining the equilibrium • Suppose here, an example of the demand and supply schedules. • The equilibrium price is _____, and equilibrium quantity is _____. Determining the equilibrium • Graphically, the equilibrium is represented by the point of intersection between demand and supply curves. • So, PE = £6, QE = 6m units What if it’s not in equilibrium? • When buyers and sellers cannot agree on the price, the market is in disequilibrium. • If price is £2, QD of 12m units > QS of 2m units. • What results is a shortage (excess demand) (QD > QS). There will be many consumers who want that good (sold at a relatively low price) but are not able to get the good. What if it’s not in equilibrium? • Therefore, shortage – measured in the difference in quantity – is 10m units. • At £2, would-be buyers cannot find sellers, market pressure forces buyers to have to pay more until it reaches PE. These forces are what we refer to as free market forces. What if it’s not in equilibrium? • If price is £10, QD of 0m units < QS of 10m units. • What results is a surplus (excess supply) (QS > QD). There are many producers happy to sell it at that price because they know they can fetch higher revenues / profits, but consumers are not willing willing and prepared to pay £10 for a unit. Sellers get no buyers. What if it’s not in equilibrium? • At £10, would-be sellers cannot find buyers, market pressure forces suppliers drop price until it reaches PE. Free market forces are at play. • Therefore, surplus – measured in the difference in quantities – is 10m units. • Therefore, only at £6 will all possible transactions occur. Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in equilibrium Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in equilibrium • Recall that changes in demand and supply are represented by shifts of the curves, either leftward or rightward. • These shifts of the curves will have an effect on equilibrium – PE and QE will change. • Let’s bring back one of the conditions of demand as an illustrated example – change in incomes. Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in equilibrium • If your income rises, your demand for a normal good will (increase / decrease). • The demand curve of this normal good shifts to the (left / right). Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in equilibrium • As a result of the shift (increase in demand for normal good), the equilibrium price rises, and the equilibrium quantity (quantity bought and sold) increases, ceteris paribus. • So, an increase in demand shifts the demand curve and this then leads to a movement along the supply curve. Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in equilibrium • Another example – in the early 2000s, manufacturers introduced into the market, flat screen, slim line televisions. • Clearly, demand for these flat screen, slim line televisions has had increased since, and demand for old, bulky sets has had decreased since. Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in equilibrium • If the good in question here is the old, bulky sets, this will translate to a leftward shift of the demand curve for these bulky sets (inferior goods). • As a result of this shift, the equilibrium price falls, and the equilibrium quantity decreases. Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in equilibrium • Another example – the prices of televisions have fallen since 1970s due to progress in technology. • Progress in technology benefits the suppliers – lower costs of production à producers more willing to supply à supply increases (supply curve shifts rightward). • As a result of this shift, the equilibrium price falls, and the equilibrium quantity increases. Simultaneous shifts of demand and supply curves Simultaneous shifts • Insofar, we have seen a change in either demand or supply curve that leads to a change in equilibrium. • In reality, several factors can affect both demand and supply at the same time. Both curves shift simultaneously. • E.g. in 2000s, the demand for flat screen high definition television sets increased due to rising incomes. At the same time, supply increased too because of an increase in productive efficiency. • What results is an increase in demand, and an increase in supply. Simultaneous shifts • Demand curve shifts rightward, supply curve shifts rightward. • What happens now to equilibrium? From point A to B, the equilibrium price falls (from P1 to P2), and equilibrium quantity increases (from Q1 to Q2). Simultaneous shifts • However, one of the variables – either P or Q – is what we say, indeterminate. • This is because – in this case – we are uncertain about the severity of the shift. We do not know by how much demand curve shifts to the right, or by how much supply curve shifts to the right. Simultaneous shifts • If supply curve shifts to the right by a small margin, and demand curve shifts to the right by a huge margin, what is likely to occur is that the equilibrium price rises, and equilibrium quantity increases. Simultaneous shifts • We can also expect a third outcome, where equilibrium price remains unchanged, and equilibrium quantity increases. • Since equilibrium price can increase, decrease or remain unchanged, we say PE is indeterminate, QE increases. In summary, • Markets move towards equilibrium. At equilibrium, we expect an equilibrium price (market price) and equilibrium quantity (quantity bought and sold). • Circumstances or events cause changes in demand and supply, which in turn causes changes in equilibrium. • When both demand and supply curves simultaneously shift, because the severity of shift is not known, one of the variables will be indeterminate. Exercise • For the market of burgers, what happens to equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity when there is new grilling technology. Exercise • Draw the demand for burgers. Show what happens when the price of a substitute falls. Exercise • Draw the demand and supply curve showing what will happen to equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity of hot dog buns if the price of hot dogs rises, and the price of flour falls. Readings and assignment • Essential – please read Unit 12 of textbook. • Anderton, Alain. (2015). Unit 12: Price determination. In Economics (6th ed.), pp.69-75. UK: Anderton Press Ltd. • Assignment • Please attempt the unit questions in the textbook.