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Case Study: How India is trying to flatten the Corona Curve through
lockdown
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered
coronavirus. The very first case was determined on 31 December, 2019 in Wuhan, Chaina.
This case study examines how through various measures including a strict lock down has
India been intermediately successful in controlling the spread of Corona Pandemic.
India has a population of 1.3 billion, and the only country with a bigger population --
China -- had imposed citywide lockdowns, but never a nationwide one.
India moved into lockdown relatively quickly -- it was announced when the country
had reported 519 coronavirus cases.
By comparison, Italy waited until it had more than 9,200 coronavirus cases before it
went into a nationwide lockdown, while the United Kingdom had about 6,700. On
March 11, India suspended all tourist visas, and announced that all travelers who
had been in the most-affected areas of the world in the past few weeks would be
quarantined for at least 14 days. From March 22, all international commercial flights
were banned from landing in India and all passenger train services in the country
were suspended.
The United States, by comparison, has restricted foreigners traveling from China,
Iran, and certain European countries, but there is no blanket ban on foreigners
entering the country. Another useful measure is the proportion of cases that are fatal.
In India, about 3% of cases have died, compared with more than 13% in Italy, the UK
and France, according to JHU. That suggests that India is testing people besides
those with the most serious symptoms.
But India's testing rate is extremely low per capita. Only about 48 out of every
100,000 people have been tested, compared with around 1,175 in South Korea and
1,740 in the US.
Indian is an exception as death rates in major Indian cities are lower compared to
global coronavirus hotspots. Nearly two months after its first recorded case, Covid-
19 infections in the world's second-most populous country have passed 27,000, with
more than 800 deaths. One way to understand the death rate is to track how many
days it takes for total deaths to double.In India, this is currently at nine days - there
were 825 confirmed deaths on 25 April, compared to about half or so of that number
on 16 April. Experts say that's good news. The doubling time for deaths in New York
at the same stage of the pandemic was only two or three days, they say.Many public
health professionals and doctors say India's grinding lockdown, which has lasted
more than a month, could have kept infection and deaths in check.
The World Health Organisation praises India’s response. “I think the commitment of
the Indian government from the top level has been enormous, very impressive. I am
During its lockdown frontline workers are still going out every day to win what one
doctor described as "a war India can't afford to lose".
Sources: https://www.who.int/
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic
https://swachhindia.ndtv.com/coronavirus-here-are-the-steps-taken-by-india-to-control-.
the-spread-of-covid-19-42304/
https://www.theguardian.com/international
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52039185
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