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BACKGROUND
Its island position isolated Japan from the constant pressure of disease contacts
with neighbors. So while Japan had suffered earlier epidemics, including likely
smallpox visitations, a generation or two might separate one epidemic from the
next. Each new epidemic therefore attacked a population that mostly lacked
immunity from any previous exposure, so its mortality might be unusually
high. Two further circumstances contributed to the severity of the epidemic of
735–737. Japan’s population had apparently grown rapidly earlier in the eighth
century; as the density of rural settlement increased, so too did the opportuni-
ties for the spread of an airborne disease such as smallpox. And the years imme-
diately preceding the epidemic had been ones of widespread harvest failure; the
Japanese population may have been poorly nourished in 735.
The Japanese political situation in the early eighth century helps explain
the relative wealth of information we have about this epidemic. In response to
the advance of the Chinese T’ang Empire, and the victory of anti-Japanese
forces in Korean states, the Japanese government attempted to strengthen its
central control of the country. That involved adopting government practices
used by the Chinese, including the careful collection of population, tax, and
land-holding records. The results were unusually (for the time) complete sets of
demographic data.