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& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
102 D. W. Pickton and S. Wright
closely associated with the `mechan- light on the use of SWOT and on its practical
istic' approach and suffers as a dif®culties and limitations. Warning is given
consequence of this association. that a too simplistic adoption of the SWOT
SWOT analysis does not have to be activity can lead to damaging consequences
mechanistic; adoption of the ap- and suggestions are made as to how organiza-
tions can introduce this form of analysis to
proach proposed here with empha-
avoid its potential pitfalls through the use of
sis on its process values as well as its
Performance±Importance, Opportunity and
output is strongly recommended. Threat matrices. These approaches have been
reported elsewhere and are only brie¯y
referred to here.
Introduction While recognizing some of the limitations of
SWOT analysis, the paper also acknowledges
Analysis of the business environment is its bene®ts, the value of which is not only seen
extolled as a fundamental part of the strategic in its outputs (which may be used in the
management planning process. In making development of sound strategic business
sense of such analysis, consultants, business plans) but also in the very process of carrying
schools throughout the world and textbooks it out. Highlighted are the extra bene®ts to be
propose the use of the SWOT framework gained in the use of SWOT not just as a static
(Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and analytical tool which helps generate an under-
Threats analysis) to practising managers and standing of business activity but, also, as a
business and management students as a dynamic part of the management process
precursor to strategy formulation, managerial which can actually facilitate management
decision making and action. development and which can be harnessed to
As a framework, SWOT analysis is highly the advantage of all involved. It can be seen as a
commended for its simplicity and value in valuable management tool which may be easily
focusing attention on key issues which affect absorbed with good effect into the realities and
business development and growth. It there- practicalities of an organization's existing
fore has the potential to become a signi®cant planning and strategy formulation processes.
tool in identifying the factors which are most
likely to in¯uence a ®rm's strategy and
success. Yet its very simplicity can be its Environmental analysis
downfall.
Although many will be familiar with SWOT, Businesses seek survival, improvement and
it is felt necessary to provide a brief overview. success. To ful®l such outcomes, management
The reader may wish to refer to Kotler (1991), planning and decision making require infor-
Palmer and Hartley (1996), Wilson et al. mation about business operations and the
(1992), Johnson and Scholes (1993), McDo- circumstances which surround them; such
nald (1992), Fi®eld (1992) and others for information is the basis upon which business
further elaboration. It is signi®cant that the decisions may be made. By monitoring the
limitations of SWOT analysis tend not to be business environment it is possible to gain a
considered and elucidated by many authors view of the market and competitive position
although such shortcomings are, perhaps, the of the business. If no such activity is under-
reasons why authors such as Aaker (1992), taken, businesses increase their risks to a
O'Shaughnessy (1988) and Greenley (1986) point where their very survival may be in
do not emphasize the use of the SWOT jeopardy.
framework in the ®rst place. So-called `environmental scanning' and
This paper reports on experience with `environmental analysis' (although many may
managers on business and management pro- use alternative terminology) are considered
grammes and `action' research which has shed such a fundamental and basic part of the
& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
What's swot in strategic analysis? 103
business planning process that the need to impact on business. Stacey (1993) describes
carry them out is accepted without question. SWOT analysis as
There are few, if any, who would deny the
inherent value of, and necessity for, an
understanding of the business environment a list of an organization's strengths and
as a precursor to management decision weaknesses as indicated by an analysis of its
making although there is only mixed evidence resources and capabilities, plus a list of the
to suggest that businesses carry out such threats and opportunities that an analysis of
environmental `auditing' very well. its environment identi®es. Strategic logic
obviously requires that the future pattern of
actions to be taken should match strengths
Businesses seek survival, with opportunities, ward off threats, and
improvement and success seek to overcome weaknesses. (p. 52)
Increasingly, this environment is being It should be noted that other authors (e.g.
de®ned `holistically' to include not only Porter, 1985; Tilles, 1968; Ansoff and McDon-
those elements external to the business but nell, 1990; Johnson and Scholes, 1993;
also those internal to it (although it is the Davidson, 1987; Mercer, 1992; Argenti,
authors' experience that more attention 1989; Brassington and Pettitt, 1997) also
tends to be paid to the external, rather emphasize that the analysis should be under-
than, internal factors). SWOT analysis em- taken by reference to the ®rm's competitors
braces both as it endeavours to make sense so that strengths and weaknesses are only
of the `raw' information generated from the such in comparison to the competition and
environmental audit. opportunities and threats only arise out of the
collective actions or inaction within the
marketplace of the ®rm and its competitors
in their response to changing environmental
What is SWOT and what SWOT is forces. They are, thus, relative and not
not! absolute and the ®rm's task is to seek
competitive advantage.
Business planning is typically portrayed as Although there are many corporate plan-
something which should be a deliberate, ning and marketing texts which refer to
sequential, systematic and rational process. SWOT (both academic and those that purport
In reality, this is not the case. It is a social to provide practical advice to businesses),
activity which is better described as some- there are few which allude to the process
what more informal, irregular, incremental bene®ts of conducting SWOT analysis. While
and non-rational (Taylor, 1982). It is a process some authors prefer not to propose the SWOT
which embraces the values and power of framework at all (O'Shaughnessy (1988),
those involved (Taylor, 1982). The reality of Greenley (1986)), others proffer only brief
planning is less mechanistic and more organic descriptions which provide little more than
than many authors suggest. Unfortunately, the simple SWOT framework itself (e.g.
SWOT analysis has tended to be associated Brown and McDonald, 1994; Baker, 1992;
with mechanistic planning and this associa- Kenny and Dyson, 1989; Brown, 1993; Carson
tion has tended to unnecessarily limit man- et al., 1995; Brassington and Pettitt, 1997)
agers' and academics' views of the use and even if those authors do at least issue some
value of SWOT. warnings on its use. Indeed, some authors
SWOT analysis involves the collection and describe SWOT entirely in terms of a frame-
portrayal of information about internal and work or list such as shown in Stacey's
external factors which have, or may have, an quotation above and Kay's (1993) below:
& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
104 D. W. Pickton and S. Wright
The best and most familiar example of an business development and growth. At this
organizing framework is SWOT analysis . . . level it may be described as a naive form of
SWOT is simply a list. It conveys no analysis because it would typically consist of
information in itself. little more than a listing of factors which have
been `intuitively' generated by one or more
The author proceeds: members of the company or an external agent
of the company. The resultant chart should
It is a particularly useful list, as demon- provide a reasonable overview of major issues
strated by its continued popularity . . . which can be taken into account when
(p. 358) subsequently drawing up strategic plans for
the business but is often predicated upon the
views of one manager (or a biased few) all of
While this viewpoint is entirely understand-
which contribute to the naivete of the analysis
able, it can lure the reader into reducing
generated. More sophisticated analysis is often
SWOT analysis to its most basic and fail to
not conducted although the process of SWOT
realize its full potential. Organizations which
analysis certainly does not preclude the
perceive SWOT in this way run the risk of
opportunity.
producing a simplistic analysis upon which
inappropriate decisions may be based.
The SWOT is often portrayed as a 262
matrix and in this form is, indeed, no more SWOT analysis is supremely
than a listing or categorizing of `environmen- simple
tal' factors under the headings of Strengths,
Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats.
Strengths and weaknesses pertain to factors At its most basic, carrying out a `SWOT' is a
internal to the company and opportunities and `low-grade' form of analysis which causes
threats pertain to factors external to it. Figure some people to question whether it is truly
1 illustrates a SWOT analysis produced for the analysis at all.
Firkin public house and brewing interests. Mercer's (1992) views are entirely in
To its credit, SWOT analysis is supremely keeping with those expressed in this paper:
simple and, possibly, its greatest advantage is
that its use allows management to focus its It tends to persuade companies to compile
attention on the key issues which affect lists rather than think about what is really
Internal External
Strengths Opportunities
Monopolies Commission hostile to big brewers Increasing availability of licensed premises
Strong and broad cult following Guest beers
Strong cash ¯ow Brewing of lager
Financial backing of Stakis Group Further growth in London
High growth potential in rest of the UK
Weaknesses Threats
Dubious name may limit expansion opportunities Lack of direction under Stakis management
Management complacency Loss of entrepreneurial management
Erosion of Firkinism Increasing competition from similar
Poor location of current pubs Saturated London market?
Risk of declining appeal of Firkin pubs (analogy of fads
like skateboards, etc.)
Figure 1. An example SWOT Analysis Ð Firkin Pubs and Brewery. (Source: Competitive Marketing Strategy for
Europe, Brown and McDonald 1994, p. 284 with permission of Macmillan Press Ltd.)
& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
What's swot in strategic analysis? 105
important to their business. It also presents De®nition of Factors; Lack of Prioritization; and
the resulting lists uncritically, without clear Over-subjectivity/Compiler Bias.
prioritization; so that, for example, weak By way of illustration of the factors
opportunities may appear to balance strong identi®ed in Table 1, it is possible to look at
threats. (p. 706) the dif®culties experienced when trying to
categorize a commonly identi®ed factor Ð
that of `exchange rates'. This factor affects
SWOT analysis which is conducted to any business operating in an international
produce a simple listing output is, frankly, context whether this be buying, selling or
inexcusably inadequate. In practical terms, a investing overseas. Managers typically seem to
serious risk is taken if the SWOT is left at this have a great deal of dif®culty in placing this
naive level Ð it may be considered inherently factor satisfactorily within the SWOT frame-
dangerous because a false sense of con®dence work because it is a factor which often ®ts
in its ®ndings may be created which in turn into all three areas identi®ed in Table 1: it is
may lead to poor management decisions and poorly de®ned, lacks priority compared with
action. While consultants and academics extol other factors, and is typically represented
the virtues of SWOT analysis and recommend subjectively.
its use in the early stages of business planning Exchange rates ¯uctuate and can prove to
(e.g. Piercy, 1991; McDonald, 1992; Fi®eld, be both an opportunity and a threat. If it
1992; Carson et al., 1995), descriptions of cannot be placed into the correct SWOT box
SWOT analysis typically do not address the then it renders the analysis useless or, at the
problems and limitations which are often very least, ¯awed. The movement of exchange
experienced in its use. This is a great pity as rates would have to be forecast to determine
most of these dif®culties can be overcome which of these it was likely to be and to create
quite easily, resulting in a greatly improved a sense of priority or importance or impact for
piece of analysis with the added bene®t of this factor. If the forecast is for stable
enhancing management development. exchange rates over the next strategic plan-
Experience with managers on business and ning period then the level of priority for the
management programmes and `action' re- business is likely to be diminished whichever
search within organizations has revealed in- way the rates ¯uctuate. If limited or no
herent limitations in the practice of `SWOTing' external information is obtained to better
both in terms of the processes involved and in inform judgements about the movement of
its output. In the case of the former, this is exchange rates then the opinions expressed
addressed below in the section `SWOT analysis are just that Ð opinions or views which re¯ect
as a management process'. In terms of the the bias of the compiler of the SWOT chart.
SWOT output, Table 1 provides a summary of Unfortunately, the dif®culties faced in this
the limitations discovered under three head- example of exchange rates are not isolated
ings which appear to embrace the range and and they bedevil managers' attempts to
types of limitation encountered: Inadequate produce meaningful analysis. In particular,
Factors which appear to ®t into more than one Factors which are given Factors missed out: lack of
box/category too much emphasis comprehensiveness
Factors which do not appear to ®t well into any Factors which are given Serendipity in the generation of
box/category too little emphasis factors
Factors described broadly: lack of speci®city Factors which are given Disagreement over factors and to
Lack of information to specify factors accurately equal importance which box/category they belong
Factors represent opinions not fact
& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
106 D. W. Pickton and S. Wright
the de®nition of strengths and weaknesses is a formal methodology for utilizing the judge-
especially sensitive and open to extreme bias. ments of individuals to provide scores which
may be agreed upon by adopting Delphi
forecasting techniques.
SWOTing and plotting By way of a brief illustration to emphasize
the value of this analysis, as part of a research
How, then, can the `simple' SWOT listing be project, a SWOT analysis was undertaken with
improved? Kotler (1991) has identi®ed a the aid of the managers of an engineering
means by which many of its limitations can company. Initially, a simple SWOT chart was
be overcome yet it is surprising to see so little constructed in which the company identi®ed
reference to this approach in other writings. some 7 strengths, 7 weaknesses, 9 opportu-
He advocates the development of Opportunity nities and 10 threats which were considered
and Threat matrices which encourage an relevant to the business at that time. This
assessment of the likely probability and impact listing was produced with the involvement of
any factor may have on the business. The a consultant and 10 staff representing differ-
process of conducting these extra stages of ent sections of the company and different
analysis can result in an improvement in the levels of the management hierarchy. Where
clarity of the factor (i.e. an improved de®ni- necessary, extra information was gathered
tion) and allows an assessment of the relative from within and outside the company to more
importance of the factor compared with accurately inform the process. Further analy-
others in the analysis (i.e. prioritization). Thus, sis was then conducted by asking the
a factor which scores highly on both `prob- consultant and a group of managers to assign
ability of occurrence' and on `likely impact on scores to each of the factors identi®ed. The
the business' would have to be one worthy of scores represented participants' views of the
close attention and play a signi®cant part in the likelihood and impact of the opportunities
development of the business's strategic plan. and threats, the size of the strengths and
The reverse would be true of factors which weaknesses and their relative importance to
obtain low scores; such factors could even be the company. Any discrepancies in scoring
removed entirely from the SWOT analysis due resulted in further discussions until a con-
to their lack of relevance. sensus was reached. The results were then
Similarly, Strengths and Weaknesses can be plotted on appropriate Opportunity, Threat
further assessed against a scoring system and Performance±Importance matrices.
which allows the factors to be identi®ed Signi®cantly, although a variety of threats
according to their signi®cance (major, minor faced the company, a simple SWOT chart
or neutral) and level of importance (high, would have resulted in the company focusing
medium, or low). Such assessments need to be their attention (and subsequent strategic
considered relative to the ®rm's competitors. plans) towards what they considered might
It is then possible to represent this analysis in a be a threat from a new competitor. The
Performance±Importance matrix which high- managers, having experienced the process of
lights those factors which are both important producing a threat matrix, realized that this
and in which the performance of the business potential threat was of little concern and that
is low. It is towards these factors that the another threat, that of a skill shortage of key
company should pay particular attention. staff in the area, was much more pressing. In
Examples of these more `sophisticated' the early SWOT chart, the skill issue was
forms of SWOT analyses can be found in merely one of many which, initially, was not
Kotler (1991), Palmer and Hartley (1996), recognized to be of particular concern
Wilson et al. (1992) and, using a modi®ed because it lacked any sense of prioritization
scoring scheme, Johnson and Scholes (1993). when compared with the other SWOT factors.
The Stanford Research Institute's `Vulnerabil- Without the more detailed analysis which
ity Analysis' approach (Hurd, 1977) proposes resulted in a better speci®cation of the issues
& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
What's swot in strategic analysis? 107
& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
108 D. W. Pickton and S. Wright
& 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strategic Change, March±April 1998
What's swot in strategic analysis? 109