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THE FUTURE OF

FOOD //2029

MANUELA SENZIONI
TESS FERNANDES
INDEX
TA R G E T
12/13
M A N A G E M E N T S U M M A R Y MARKE
4/5 14/27
INTRODUCTION IMPACT
6/7 28/29
PROBLEM DEFINITION FUTURE
8/9 30/41
C L I E N T
10/11
T GROUP

T A N A Y S I S

T DIAGRAM
I M P L I C AT I O N T R E E S
E SCENARIOS 42/45
R E C O M M E N DAT I O N
46/49
BIBLIOGRAPHY
50/53
MANAGEMENT
SUMMARY
In this report on the future of food we will research
and forecast possible scenarios of the future of food
in and around Amsterdam in 2029. The purpose of this
report is to help the Dutch supermarket chain ‘Albert
Key characteristics of our target
Heijn’ better understand what the ageing society of
population:
the Netherlands will eat and drink ten years from now.
­- Health concerns on average higher than
Ageing is one of the top challenges our economies
younger generations
face, and the population of the Netherlands is
- Need for convenience
aging rapidly. As the largest supermarket chain in
- High awareness of climate change and
the Netherlands, with a market share of just under
wastefulness
35 percent in 2018, Albert Heijn is the indisputable
- High demand for practicality
market leader of the Dutch supermarket industry and
aware that it’s going through a period of significant
change. We have evaluated the target group,
researched trends, and assessed environmental
factors using ‘STEEPLE’.
In this report, we will examine the effects of these
The emerging trends and predictions we external factors taking into consideration the key
are working with: characteristics of our target group. We will also
- Hyper-personalized food (DNA-based) consider what implications these factors and relevant
- Lab-grown food and the implications on surrounding trends will have on the consumer behavior
the environment of the 55+ target group regarding their purchases in
- Hyper-standardized mass production the supermarket sector. Our future scenario consists
- Local farming and sourcing of natural of ‘Personalized nutrition vs. Standardized nutrition’
produce on the y-axis and ‘Natural farming vs. Lab produced
- Home delivery by drones and the overall food’ on the x-axis. This diagram creates four different
rise of food delivery services worlds. One of these worlds offers the best-case
- Regulations and restrictions on salt, scenario and one implies the worst-case scenario for
saturated fats and sugar in food Albert Heijn. We will describe and visualize these
- Tax boxes in regard to environmental four worlds during this presentation. Our goal is to
footprint. construct well-fitting solutions and recommendations
in regard to both outcomes.
INTRODUCTION
The population of the Netherlands is ageing, we will answer the following question:
as it is across the industrialized world. Ageing
populations will create new demands for “What do 55+ people eat and drink in 2029 and
technologies, products and services, including what will the supermarkets look like?”
new infrastructures for the supermarket sector
and innovative solutions in regard to food and The 55+ consumers are set to become the largest
beverages. Albert Heijn operates in an industry share of the population with the highest purchasing
that is going through a period of significant power. It is in Albert Heijn’s interest to learn more
change, fueled by shifts in consumer behavior, about this target group. Albert Heijn feels an
rising competition from online players and obligation to cater to all its consumers and is
advancing technology (Ahold Delhaize Annual motivated to help older citizens lead independent,
Report, 2018). These changes are not only fulfilled lives, so they can continue to contribute to
pressuring Albert Heijn’s traditional business society. If we succeed at finding a well-fitted solution
models, but also prompting the supermarket we will help Albert Heijn create an innovative
giant to rethink its strategies and find new supermarket environment which works for everyone,
and innovative ways to serve customer needs, regardless of age.
specifically the 55+ consumers. Within this report
PROBLEM
DEFINITION

W H AT WHY WHEN
The purpose of this report is to The population of the Netherlands In this report we will be using
come up with an appropriate is ageing. As the largest and emerging trends and future
solution to the following most popular supermarket in the predictions. Our time frame is
question and to help Albert Netherlands it is in Albert Heijn’s ten years from now, which brings
Heijn gain valuable insight into a best interest to start exploring us to the year 2029.
target group they are struggling the immediate effects this will
to understand: “What do 55+ have on its consumer behavior.
people eat and drink in 2029
and what will the supermarkets
look like?”
WHERE WHO HOW
Albert Heijn is the leading food In this report we will mainly focus As junior trendwatchers we will
retailer in the Netherlands. Our on the target group from people research and analyze various
research will be limited to the aging from 55 to 75 years old. trends and the driving forces
Netherlands focusing on the behind these trends. Using
area in and around Amsterdam. ‘STEEPLE’ we will be researching
Moreover, we will be researching external factors and use relevant
global trends affecting food and factors to make a diagram that
consumers choices. We also use creates four scenarios. We will
some inspiration from cities that make two implication trees, one
are ahead of us. For example, for the best-case scenario and
Tokyo. one for the worst-case scenario.
CLIENT

Our client is Albert Heijn (AH), the leading Dutch grocery


chain, which was established in 1887. AH is mainly located
in the Netherlands. In addition, AH has been actively
operating in Belgium since 2011. Between 2012 and 2018
AH established several ‘AH to go’ stores in Germany and
opened a store on the Dutch Caribbean island Curaçao in
2016. Albert Heijn currently holds the biggest market share
of 34,7% with over a thousand stores.

The brand is renowned for their focus on quality, not only for
their products but also for staff and stores, this is why they
are known to be the best supermarket in the Netherlands.
“Both the rich and the poor
Albert Heijn’s mission is to deliver the ingredients for a better
should be able to do their
life, this is why they offer both online and offline services,
groceries at my store” –
a weekly food magazine which offers recipes and prepared
founder, Albert Heijn
meals catering to every consumer need, for example gluten
free or vegan.
THE AH SUPERMARKET AH.NL
The ‘regular’ supermarket where Customers can do their shopping
customers do their daily shopping via ah.nl or the AH App, the online
with a wide choice of products store with a wide range of products.
from A-brands to AH’s own brand, Customers can order whenever
including AH excellent, AH biological they want and the groceries will be
and AH basic. The items in the store delivered right at their doorstep
also match the customer location,
therefore customers can find their
favorite local products.

AH TO GO AH XL
For those always on the go, the AH AH XL offers a wide range of
To Go offers fresh and good quality groceries, where customers can
food and beverages. AH To Go stores always find what they seek. There
are located to be as accessible and is a large fresh square in the middle
practical as possible. You can find of the store and the XL stores offer
them at train stations and busy parts additional services. For example:
of the city. scanning your own articles, which
saves a lot of time at checkout.
Moreover, extended opening hours.
TA R G E T
For our target group we are mainly focusing on the
GROUP
50+ generation in the Netherlands. According to
the forecast by CBS Netherlands, by 2029 there will
be a continuous growth and the Netherlands will
reach 18 million inhabitants, one quarter of which
will be aged 65 years or older. Currently, people
under the age of 20 are outnumbering those over
the age of 65 by nearly half a million, but due to an
ageing population and decrease in birth rates, the
numbers will inverse by 2030; the population aged
65+ will exceed youngsters by nearly half a million.
An interesting fact is that the 50+ generation is the
group which has the highest purchasing power, due
to an increase in annual income (CNBC, 2019). So
brands would do well to start catering to this market
because it would be a huge resource in boosting
market potential.
STEE
MARKET A
EPLE
A N A LY S I S
SOCIO-
ETHICAL

1 PERSONALIZED AND SPECIAL DIETS


As we enter an age where consumers are more
conscious about what they eat, there’s a shift
towards viewing food as a sort of precautionary
nutrition occasion. People want functionality and
instead of being interested in the ingredients of a
certain meal, they’re more interested in what it’s
doing for their body. In relation to this, the demand
for individually tailored nutritional diets and DNA
testing is progressively growing. Personalized
nutrition is set to disrupt the regular consumer
market, helping average people get more from their
day-to-day life. (Forbes, 2018)
2 DELIVERY
The development in technology is reshaping
every inch of the market, including how we order
our dinner. Nowadays, consumers are used to the
convenience of shopping online and expect the
same ‘one click away’ experience when ordering
food, through apps like UberEats and Deliveroo.
This trend comes from the struggles of an ‘on the
go’ society, meaning people are managing so
many things at the same time that the latter lacks
for grocery shopping. (Mckinsey & co, 2019)

VEGANISM
This ethical way of living is making its way into many people’s
3
lives, particularly millennials, but the impact it’s having on
spreading awareness is reaching everyone. Being vegan means
you take special care in not contributing to pollution and meat
consumption, abandoning all animal products including eggs,
leather, or honey. The business in vegan food is booming, many
high street chains such as Wagamama and Marks and Spencer’s
are adapting to this new experimental wave of vegan menus.
(The Guardian, 2018)
AUTOMATIC RESTAURANTS
Constant drive towards efficiency, that’s the key to the 1
rise of automated and e-restaurants. Having robotic
kitchens means a substantial change in the food
industry (Gerhardt, 2019). For example, there will be
more room for personalized meals, an enhancement
in production (Boston restaurant ‘Spice’ has an
automatic preparation which takes no longer than 3
min. per meal), a safer environment, and furthermore
it allows human staff to focus on other tasks, such as
taking orders and ensuring that guests are having a
good time. (Payspace, 2019)

2 DRONES IN AGRICULTURE & DELIVERY


Lately, the use of advanced technology, such as
robots, has spread to farming and delivering.
In particular we’re talking about drones with
implemented tracking systems (GPS and weather
monitors) and satellite imagery. While Amazon is
developing a flight management system which uses
wireless communication to alert other dronesand
avoid collision, The implementation of robots doesn’t
mean the total elimination of farm workers, but it does
indeed help them to be more efficient. (Forbes, 2019)
TECHNOLOGY

3
3D PRINTED MEALS
The outstanding development in technology has made
it possible to 3D print not only PLA but food as well!
This gives way to a new range of benefit potentials, for
example it can help with swallowing disorders, it’s good
for the environment as it converts substitute proteins in
something tasty (insects and algae), and makes meat
consumption more sustainable, but it also facilitates
individual food customization (The conversation, 2017)
This new technology provides many new possibilities for
the food industry.
ECOLOGICAL

According to the National Geographic, The Netherlands is the world’s


number two exporter of food as measured by value, second only to the
United States, which has 270 times its landmass. The export of agricultural
products exceeded 90 billion euro in 2018.

It has been predicted that by 2050 it will be socially unacceptable to eat


meat (Mahdawi, 2019). In 30 years, we’ll find it almost unthinkable that
people used to consume animals so casually and frequently as they do
today. This idea may seem far-fetched given society’s carnivorous past but
there has already been a significant shift in the way people think about meat
consumption. In just the past few years veganism has gone from being a micro
movement associated with hippies to being downright trendy (Mahdawi,
2019). Additionally, people are becoming more aware of their environmental
footprint, wastefulness and their personal health.
LAB GROWN FOOD 1
The lab-grown meat industry saw rapid growth over
the course of 2018, paving the way for an alternative
to conventional agriculture, which would dramatically
change our entire food chain. This would help benefit
the environment and might be a dramatic but necessary
step toward averting widespread ecological disaster.
Lab grown food is made by taking stem cells and using
them to build new cells and encouraging them to grow
by placing them in a nutrient liquid. This new technology
could guide us into a more sustainable direction.

2 MEAT REPLACEMENTS AND INSECT PROTEIN


Fake meat, or alternative meat products, is rising in popularity as consumers look
to eat a more sustainable diet (Roos, 2019). According to NBC News, the pressure
on the planet would be impacted in a huge and positive way if everyone replaced
meat with plant or cell-based alternative. With the global population expected to
swell to 9.7 billion by 2050, meat alternatives could be effective in creating a more
sustainable food supply without forcing people to change their diet too drastically.
Furthermore, edible insects have been hailed as a solution to both global food
shortages and reducing emissions from animal agriculture (Brown, 2018).
3 VERTICAL FARMING
Vertical farming is a system of food production
in a controlled and indoor environment. This
new and upcoming approach of precision
agriculture can reduce the environmental
impact current greenhouse giants have on
our planet and climate change. One of the
advantages of vertical farming compared
to conventional farming is that it makes the
most out of land coverage, using less land is
a win. Food for thought: one acre of vertical
farming yields to an equivalent of 10 or
100 acres of conventional farming (Haspel,
2016). Moreover, produce grows faster under
artificial light because the plants are no
longer limited by the climate. Furthermore,
this new technique reduces water pollution
and can cut overall water consumption by
95%. Vertical farming also exposes us to
fewer toxic substances because it requires
fewer farm pesticides.
GREENHOUSES IN SUPERMARKETS
Our future vision for retailers going forward involves small greenhouses inside
4
supermarkets. In Japan, supermarkets already have greenhouses on top of, or
adjacent to, supermarkets. The Netherlands can join in on this trend by putting
a greenhouse right inside the grocery store, allowing shoppers to pick their own
items. It’s time to reimagine supermarkets by taking new strides in sustainability,
energy-efficiency, fresher experiences, shopping convenience – and ultimately the
relationship between grocery store and their customers (Lempert, 2018).

5 REDUCING PACKAGING IMPACT


The environmental impact of packaging is a huge problem. Yet, food needs to be
transported and stored in a way that is safe, prevents spoilage and is cost-effective.
Supermarkets have to keep all this in mind while satisfying consumer desires and
industry standards. Zero packaging supermarkets are spreading across Europe and look
set to become a global phenomenon. There are a growing number of zero-packaging
supermarkets around the UK and the trend is starting to take hold in the Netherlands. The
Little Plant Pantry is a new plant-based minimal waste wholefoods store in Amsterdam.
In the store, products are mostly sold loose without packaging in bulk form. Moreover,
the pre-packed goods they sell are in environmentally friendly packaging, including
refrigerated ready-to-go meals to take home.
ECONOMIC
Given the rapidly ageing society, the older generation is set to have the highest purchasing power in 10
years. Additionally, people are becoming more aware of their personal health and as a result they are willing
to pay more for healthier food. According to a price comparison report by the ‘Consumentenbond’ in 2019
buying organic produce is 63 percent more expensive than regular produce. Moreover, food delivery services
are on the rise and it’s becoming more and more challenging for supermarkets and restaurants to compete
with the luxury of having the perfect meal delivered right to your door.

1 GREEN BUSINESS STRATEGIES


Ethical labelling is an emerging topic in
environmental management studies. It has
come to light that certain eco-labels play a
significant role guiding consumers in their
purchasing choices. Some of the labels that are
gaining popularity are Non-GMO, Vegan, Bio,
Organic and Gluten-free.
2 ONLINE SHOPPING AND FOOD DELIVERY SERVICES
Food delivery services are a growing
challenge for supermarkets. Today’s
consumers are increasingly looking for
quick, practical and ready-to-eat meals,
instead of having to buy groceries and
preparing food at home. In this on-the-
go society we live in, the question “what’s
for dinner?” is a question that goes
unanswered until right before it’s time to
eat. This explains the growth of delivery
services like ThuisBezorgd.nl, Uber Eats
and Deliveroo and why they’re such a threat
to supermarkets. Consumers have grown
to become more and more willing to sign
on for a small delivery fee so they can have
their dinner brought to their doorstep in an
hour or less. Food for thought: Imagine a
world where these delivery services would
use drones.
POLITICAL &
LEGAL

At the moment there are no strict restrictions or bans concerning food and
beverage consumption. However, there are many government reports that
argue and urge the society to live healthier and more sustainable lives. Recently,
the Council for Environment and Infrastructure argued that it is important that
the government inform society about the necessary changes to be made across
the whole food chain in order to meet climate targets, from production and
processing to retail and consumption by the consumer. The council urges
people to maintain a sustainable diet containing much less animal protein and
more plant protein. Moreover, The Council has made a strong recommendation
for the government to work with the whole food value chain to ensure that the
proportion of animal protein in the Dutch diet is reduced from 60% at present
to no more than 40% by 2030.
Japan is facing a big challenge with its low birth rate
and fast ageing population. No less than 38% of its
inhabitants will be aged 65+ and over by 2035, but
TOKYO
nonetheless, the government wants to make Japan
into an “age free society” where 65+ people won’t be
in chewing such as jelly food. The innovations don’t
treated as senior citizens but will be encouraged to
stop here, many restaurants are implementing
stay healthy and keep working. Consumers in Japan
artificial intelligent staff which is quicker and more
are quite conscious about their food, the quality and
efficient, but also supermarkets are being physically
sourcing of the products is very important, in fact
remodeled in order to provide a mindful, handy and
they are willing to pay extra if necessary. Due to high
easy to access environment for seniors in wheelchairs
food import levels, their taste has shifted a little to a
or non. Furthermore supermarkets have their own
more western style.
greenhouses adjacent to them, where they grow
Furthermore, to increase awareness on healthy
their own vegetables.
food, the government introduced products food
with specified health uses in 1991. This ageing
development represents an opportunity for
innovation based on high-quality data, medical and
elderly consumer research. In fact, Japan is the most
advanced country in terms of elderly friendly food
solutions, these aren’t limited just to supermarkets,
whole restaurants were revolutionized to fit this
growing target group. For example, restaurants offer
specific menus catered to those who have difficulties
IMPACT HIGH
IMPACT
DIAGRAM BIO
RESTRIC
ON M
PACKAGING
GLOBAL WARMING CIRCULAR ECONOMY MERGING OF B
AGEING POPULATION DELIVERY
BIO HACKING/
NEURO NUTRITION ON THE GO

GUILT FREE CIRCULAR ENERGY


FOOD GREENHOUSE
SUPERMARKET

AUTOMATION

LOCAL
SOURCING
NUTRITION PILLS
NATURAL
FARMING WATER CAPSULES

LOW
CERTAIN
3D PRINTING IN
0% WASTE MASS MARKET
CITONS LAB GROWN
ROBOTIC 100%
MEAT FOOD
RESTAURANTS VEGANISM
PERSONALIZED
BIG CORPORATIONS DNA BASED
MEALS
FOODS
HIGH WATER
ILLNESS SPECIFIC DIET
RESTRICTION
USE OF
DRONES

INSECT PROTEIN
ALL SELF OWNED SOCIAL
BUSINESSES
VERTICAL TAX FOR NOT
TECHNOLOGY
FARMING RECYCLING
BAN ON SINGLE ECONOMIC
USE PLASTIC
ENVIRONMENT

ETHICAL

POLITICAL/
LEGAL

UNCERTAIN
DNA BASE

FUTURE
SCENARIOS

DON’T PANIC,
IT’S ORGANIC
NATURAL FARMING

RATION
ROULETTE

STANDARDIZED
ED FOODS

HI TECH
MENU
LAB GROWN FOOD

PILLS, THAT’S
THE DRILL

D NUTRITION
1

DON’T PANIC,
IT’S ORGANIC
Everything available in store is sourced are supported by highly qualified dietician
from local farms that produce the highest studies. After testing, a person belongs to a
quality all-natural meats and organic fruits certain diet type e.g. diet type A, B, C and
and vegetables. In this world, society is so on. The supermarkets will be divided into
well-educated and has become aware of the aisles that cater to these specific diet types.
impact of the food and beverage industry On the bio-packaging of the products in
on their physical, mental and emotional store you can see the different diet types
health as well as its negative impact on the to which the product caters the best of its
environment. The term “organic” refers to nutritious qualities. In this organic, high
the way the agricultural products are grown tech and advanced world AH also delivers
and processed, taking into consideration personalized natural meals directly to their
the benefits of organic food. Organic food customer’s homes e.g. diet type (A, B, C
often has more beneficial nutrients, and in etc.) breakfast, lunch and dinner. Creating a
this high-tech world personalized nutrition is service and a menu that will not only provide
the new norm. Through DNA testing, people convenience but will be contributing to the
can discover everything there is to know society’s health.
about their dietary DNA profile, allowing
them to fine-tune their diet. These DNA-tests
2

HI TECH
MENU
taken the next step of modifying their food. Many
opportunities arise due to the endless modifications
and nutritional add-ins that can be added to the lab
In this high-tech and advanced world, the food. People would be willing to pay ‘nutritional
conventional agriculture has disappeared characteristic’ fees. For example, special diet A
and has been replaced with lab grown add-ins that will ensure consumers to live longer,
food. The future ideals of optimal and happier and healthier lives. When you enter the
personalized diets have become a store, you use your phone to scan your personal
reality, and society is reaping all the DNA Nutrition App. At the entrance you can
health benefits. Everything available in then choose for either a shopping cart or basket.
grocery stores is sourced from high-tech The application has access to your daily dietary
labs that grow modified products that information and connects to your cart or basket.
cater to specific diet types. The lab food The cart and basket then guide you through the
takes many factors into account, from store while displaying the lab produced products
food sensitivities and intolerances to that fit your daily nutrition best, including specific
genetic disease profiles and sleep and diet add-ins. For example: If you are recovering
stress reports. As in the ‘Don’t panic, from a cold, extra vitamin add-in in your lab grown
it’s organic’ world, a person belongs to fruit or vegetables. In this highly convenient and
a certain diet type e.g. diet type A, B, high-tech world, consumers can also opt-in to have
C and so on. However, this society has their DNA Nutrition App send their dietary data to
the AH store. AH then prepares the perfect grocery
baskets or lab grown prepared meals for home
delivery by drones.
THE DNA MEALS

ADDITI
VISUALIS

THE SUPERMARKET
THE DELIVERY

IONAL
S AT I O N S

THE LABS
In contradiction to the two worlds described closely regulated with strict production policies.
before, where food will be tailored to your DNA, In this world, the government intervention leaves
this world will have the exact opposite. Today, no space for consumer preferences in regard to
we know that healthy eating is important to keep food anymore. Due to the constant pressures of
our bodies in tip-top condition. In ten years, our busy and controlled lives, this society has
this link between diet and health will be taken also lost touch with the enjoyment and emotional
to an extreme. Taking into consideration the aspect of cooking and eating food. However,
environmental effects our current lifestyles and controlling society’s food consumption has many
food choices have on our planet, there will be environmental and physical health benefits. For
a massive government intervention. Our entire starters, it helps making the ‘healthy choice’ an
food chain will be controlled and regulated by easy one. Furthermore, the agriculture sector
the government for the sake of our environment would have strict climate targets. Therefore,
and the health of our society. This ‘control’ certain foods with a relatively large environmental
means that the government would direct people footprint would be limited or even discontinued.
to eat a certain way or explicitly prohibiting or As a result, everything available in store is in
even banning the consumption of certain foods. rations. Consumers will have to make do with what
For example: limiting slaughtering and meat is available due to limited crop seasons and strict
consumption to two days a week, so everybody food regulations.
would be a weekday vegetarian. From monday to
friday the meat shelves in store would be empty or
filled with meat replacements. Agriculture will be
3

R A T I O N
ROULETTE
4

P I L L S , T H AT ’ S
THE DRILL
In this dystopian world science has dissected every
element of our diet to an extent that all our daily
nutritional needs fit into lab produced ‘meal capsules’.
Nutritional experts and dietary scientists have come single dose nourishment, but also came up
up with optimal nutritional pills that also eliminate our with a solution that is more environmentally
natural sensations of hunger or feeling full. As a result, sound, citing the various negative impacts
our natural human appetite and desire to eat food on our environment caused by today’s
disappears. It may seem like a scene from a science industrialized food production and
fiction blockbuster, but this is this world’s reality. distribution. However, one of the many
People would just have to pop a pill and knock it back implications for this world would be the fact
with some ‘nutritional liquid’, designed specifically for that essentially everything is automated.
the purpose of taking these capsules. For the inside, Therefore, human labor isn’t needed
these little capsules are a full course meal, designed anymore in most fields and people lose their
to mimic meals of the past in a single convenient, sense of purpose. The mass automation
portable dose. You can already feel it coming; This results in less job opportunities, which leads
won’t be the only thing to disappear. Our cherished to overall population dissatisfaction. This is
traditional ‘dinner time’ will be a thing of the past the worst-case scenario for a grocery store
and so will be the custom of cooking and preparing like AH, because it would also eliminate the
food. These are all joyful moments which bring people need for a supermarket to even exist. The
together and actually make us human. Cooking food pills would be sold directly by the high-tech
(over 40 degrees Fahrenheit) is believed to destroy labs or delivered monthly to people’s homes.
natural enzymes present in produce. Scientists not
only discovered how to create a pill that offers
HI TECH MENU
I M P L I C AT I O N
DIAGRAM FOOD HAS HIGHLY HIGHT TECH FOOD
PERSONALISED NUTRITION CHAIN
QUALITIES

HEALTHIER POPULATION STRICT RULES FOR LAB


FOOD PRODUCTION

DECREASE OF DISEASES LES

HIGH ENERGY/FOCUS MO

HIGHER PROFESSIONAL
CONTRIBUTION TO SOCIETY

HAPPY SOCIETY
DISAPPEARANCE OF
TRADITIONAL FARMING
TECHNIQUES

LESS GREENHOUSE MORE SPACE FOR


GASSES HOUSING

SS GAS EMISSIONS VERTICAL FARMING


(POLLUTION)

ORE SUSTAINABLE

HEALTHIER
ENVIRONMENT
BEST CASE
SCENARIO
PILLS
I M P L I C AT I O N
DIAGRAM
NO FOOD = ‘DINNER TIME’ DOESN’T LAB FO
NO SUPERMARKETS. EXIST

FOOD IS FORGOTTEN NO JOY COMES FROM RIS


EATING

LOOSE TRADITION OF
COOKING

PO
DEE
S, THAT’S THE
DRILL

OOD IS EXPENSIVE LESS JOB ROBOTS & AUTOMATION


OPPORTUNITIES

SE IN POVERTY STANDARD LESS PACKAGING


NUTRITION WASTE

RISE OF DANGEROUS LESS FREE WILL LESS POLLUTION


BEHAVIOUR

WORST CASE
OPULATION GETS
EPLY DEPRESSED
SCENARIO
R E C C O M E N DAT I O N

WHAT OPPORTUNITIES DOES AH HAVE IN THE BEST CASE SCENARIO?

The second scenario ‘Hi-Tech Menu’ would be the


most desirable outcome for Albert Heijn. In this
high-tech and advanced world, AH would have
the opportunity to play a vital role in society’s
health and food choices. As described in the
scenario, everything available in store would be
sourced from high-tech labs that grow modified
products that cater to specific diet types,
including food modifications and nutritional add-
ins. This scenario also presents revenue growth HI TECH
opportunities given that people would be willing MENU
to pay more for extra ‘nutritional add-ins’. In
this high-tech world AH would also be able to
eliminate most of its human forces, which would
save them a lot of money. Customers would
BEST CASE
SCENARIO

be guided through the store by either an intelligent shopping cart or basket. Shelves would
be restocked with the help of customer friendly robots. The DNA Nutrition App, mentioned
in scenario number two, would have access to all daily dietary information of each customer
that either enters the store or that has opted-in to sync their nutritional data to the online
AH environment. Not to mention the endless opportunities that go along with personalized
prepared meals that can be ordered and delivered on a daily basis.
Considering all of the above, our recommendation to AH is to start researching and conceptualizing
how to benefit from the emerging trend of personalized meals. The key here is to be one
step ahead of the competition, especially food delivery services. AH should start considering
environmentally sustainable store options, for example implementing in-store greenhouses. We
recommend that AH management assign a team of innovative and motivated people to stay on
top of this trend. We also recommend that AH sponsor labs that are experimenting with DNA
tailored nutrition. If they start by initiating a positive relationship with these labs, whom would
be their sole suppliers, it could be the start of a powerful long-term relationship.
R E C C O M E N DAT I O N

The fourth scenario ‘Pills, that’s the drill’ would be the worst outcome for Albert Heijn. As
mentioned before, society would be functioning entirely on little capsules, that are designed
to mimic meals of the past in a single convenient, portable dose. These capsules would be
produced in high-tech labs and distributed directly to the consumer, thus eliminating the need
for a supermarket like AH to exist. AH would not only lose its distributional purpose; the
stores would also become a huge waste of space. We can view this scenario from 2 different
perspectives: the laboratory’s view and AH’s view. For the labs, pills are the best way to go,
they’re efficient, sustainable, portable and easy to access. While for AH, this outcome changes
everything. The complete disappearance of culture customs surrounding traditional food
implies a dead-end for Albert Heijn’s journey. For humanity, this outcome is pretty grim too.
It would mean the loss of a big part of our cultural heritage and a huge part of what makes us
human.
WORST CASE
SCENARIO
How can Albert Heijn still have a purpose in this
worst-case scenario?
Our suggestion to Albert Heijn is to start by
building positive relationships with labs, who
are currently researching lab grown food. If
both parties bring their knowledge to the table,
they can work together towards a solution that
is more environmentally sound in regard to our
traditional food habits but keeping the positive
aspects of our food culture. This collaboration
between the two parties, mixing AH’s knowledge
PILLS,
on groceries and consumers with advanced T H AT ’ S T H E
technology and new, sustainable ways to DRILL
produce food may result in the development
of new hi-tech supermarkets. As a result of the
collaboration, the use of pills could be reduced
to nutritional supplements, instead of the
complete replacement of food.
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