Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Submitted to
S.R. LUTHRA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE
REQUIREMENT OF THE AWARD FOR THE DEGREE OF
MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
In
Gujarat Technological University
UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF
Submitted by
Mr. Nishit Diwan [Batch No. 2014-16, Enrollment No.147500592026]
Mr. Piyush Jadav [Batch No. 2014-16, Enrollment No. 147500592033]
MBA SEMESTER III/IV
We, Mr. Nishit Y. Diwan & Mr. Piyush G. Jadav, hereby declare that the report
for Comprehensive Project entitled “Impact of monetary policy instruments on
profitability of co-operative banking sector with special reference of The
SUTEX co-operative bank ltd.” is a result of our own work and our
indebtedness to other work publications, references, if any, have been duly
acknowledged.
Place: Surat
Date: _____________
__________________
(Nishit Y. Diwan)
__________________
(Piyush G. Jadav)
Institute’s Certificate
Place: Surat
Date: ________________
___________________
(Hiren Patel)
Assistant Professor
___________________
(J. M. Kapadia)
Director
PREFACE
In today’s competitive global era only theoretical knowledge can’t work
anymore. So we have to acquire practical knowledge along with the
theoretical aspects so that we can utilize it in practical manner. We
understand that project report for five months is for the development and
enhancement of the knowledge in particular field. Practical knowledge of
administration and management of business is very important. Hence,
practical study is of great importance in our career.
It is our great honor and pride to be a part of The Sutex Co-operative Bank
Limited, Surat at least for five months. We heartily thank to Mr. Kamlesh
Patel (Branch Manager) with whose reference, we got the honor to take
great experience with the bank.
Lastly we extend our deep sense to God, our Parents, our family members
and our friends for motivating and encouraging us continuously throughout the
period of our study. Finally, we would like to thank to all those people who are
directly or indirectly contributed to our project work.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Cooperatives occupy an important position in the Indian financial system.
Cooperatives were the first formal institution to be conceived and developed
to purvey credit to rural India. In order to deal with the issue of dual control,
the Reserve Bank has taken several steps to develop a stronger and unified
regulatory framework for the cooperative sector. Gujarat Urban Co-operative
Banks, big & small, have been playing an instrumental role as financial power
houses for the common man in each stage of his life - education, career
building as entrepreneurs, helping buy the dream home, meeting personal
needs through gold loans, setting up industries through term loans, business
expansion through working capital limits & encouraging savings through term
deposits.
This project was carried out for the Sutex Co-operative bank ltd, Surat. The
bank has thirteen Branches and one Administrative office. The bank has 217
employers to give training at Administrative office and 36 employers to other
bank branches in previous year. The Bank is Economical, Social, Educational,
and Medical activity with go ahead in Surat city and Surat District. Bank has
provided donation in year 2010-2011 in various Economical and Social
activities.
o Company’s Certificate
o Students’ Declaration
o Institute’s Certificate
o Preface
o Acknowledgement
o Executive Summary
1. Introduction 1
2. Industry Profile
a. Global 5
5
b. National 10
c. State 12
d. Current trends 13
e. PESTEL 16
f. Major Players 18
g. Major Offerings 20
3. Company Profile
a. Company Profile 21
21
b. Organogram 28
c. Divisions/ Departments 29
d. SWOT 31
e. Market Position 32
4. Review of Literature 33
5. Research Methodology 48
48
a. Problem Statement
b. Research Objective 49
c. Research Design 49
i. Type of Design
ii. Sampling
iii. Data Collection
iv. Tools for Analysis
v. Limitations of the Study
7. Findings
8. Conclusion
9. Bibliography
Table Index
3 Branches 3.3 25
List of Figures
Figure Page
Sr. No. Particulars
No. No.
2 Organogram 3.2 28
MEANING OF MONETARY POLICY
Monetary policy is the macroeconomic policy laid down by the central bank. It
involves management of money supply and interest rate and is the demand
side economic policy used by the government of a country to achieve
macroeconomic objectives like inflation, consumption, growth and liquidity.
Monetary policy is not easy. Central bankers have multiple objectives and,
over time, must confront a variety of economic circumstances. They know
their actions have powerful effects on the economy, but the timing, magnitude,
and channels of those effects are not fully understood. Their job is made all
the more difficult by widespread disagreements among economists. Some
economists view monetary policy as a potential cure for economic
fluctuations. 0thers would be satisfied if monetary policy could avoid being a
cause of fluctuations.
The key aim of monetary policy for most central banks is to keep inflation low
and steady. Central banks are not, of course, indifferent to economic growth
and unemployment but believe that the best contribution they can make to
long-term economic growth is to aim for price stability, or something close to
it. In the short run, say over the period of a year, a reduction of interest rates
and an increase in the money supply can increase demand and output in the
economy but, unless output is below its potential, only at the cost of an
increase in inflation. Higher inflation, in turn, reduces output again. In fact, the
long - run effects of high inflation on the economy are probably adverse.
Recent comprehensive studies, covering a large number of countries, suggest
that, over ten-year periods, higher inflation - particularly of more than 10-20%
a year - is associated with lower not higher economic growth.1 In nearly all
former centrally-planned countries too, positive economic growth has
resumed recently only after inflation stabilized at relatively low rates. In a
market-oriented economy, central banks cannot control inflation directly. They
have to use instruments such as interest rates, the effects of which are
uncertain. And they have to rely on incomplete information about the economy
and its prospects. Decisions on monetary policy are based on a variety of
indicators. Some central banks use money growth or the exchange rate as the
sole guide to decisions. Others take a more eclectic approach and consider a
range of factors in assessing inflation conditions
In the United States, the Federal Reserve Bank indirectly influences demand,
by raising and lowering short-term interest rates. It watches various economic
indicators to determine which the direction the economy is going. By
forecasting increases in inflation or slow times in the economy, the Federal
Reserve knows whether to raise or lower interest rates or increase the supply
of money, in an effort to influence the economy.
In India, the Reserve Bank of India is India’s central banking institution. The
Reserve Bank lays downs restrictions on bank lending and other activities
with large companies. It is the sole authority for issuing bank notes and
supervises all banking operations in India.
1. Full Employment:
Full employment has been ranked among the foremost objectives of monetary
policy. It is an important goal not only because unemployment leads to
wastage of potential output, but also because of the loss of social standing
and self-respect.
2. Price Stability:
One of the policy objectives of monetary policy is to stabilise the price level.
Both economists and laymen favour this policy because fluctuations in prices
bring uncertainty and instability to the economy.
3. Economic Growth:
One of the most important objectives of monetary policy in recent years has
been the rapid economic growth of an economy. Economic growth is defined
as “the process whereby the real per capita income of a country increases
over a long period of time.”
4. Balance of Payments:
Another objective of monetary policy since the 1950s has been to maintain
equilibrium in the balance of payments.
Monetary operations
Cash Reserve Ratio is a certain percentage of bank deposits which banks are
required to keep with RBI in the form of reserves or balances. Higher the CRR
with the RBI lower will be the liquidity in the system and vice versa. RBI is
empowered to vary CRR between 15 percent and 3 percent. But as per the
suggestion by the Narsimham committee Report the CRR was reduced from
15% in the 1990 to 5 percent in 2002. As of September 2015, the CRR is 4.00
percent.
The bank rate, also known as the discount rate, is the rate of interest charged
by the RBI for providing funds or loans to the banking system. This banking
system involves commercial and co-operative banks, Industrial Development
Bank of India, IFC, EXIM Bank, and other approved financial institutes. Funds
are provided either through lending directly or rediscounting or buying money
market instruments like commercial bills and treasury bills. Increase in Bank
Rate increases the cost of borrowing by commercial banks which results into
the reduction in credit volume to the banks and hence declines the supply of
money. Increase in the bank rate is the symbol of tightening of RBI monetary
policy. As of September 29, 2015, the Bank Rate stands adjusted by 50 basis
points from 8.25 per cent on June 2, 2015 to 7.75 per cent.
Repo rate is the rate at which RBI lends to commercial banks generally
against government securities. Reduction in Repo rate helps the commercial
banks to get money at a cheaper rate and increase in Repo rate discourages
the commercial banks to get money as the rate increases and becomes
expensive. Reverse Repo rate is the rate at which RBI borrows money from
the commercial banks. The increase in the Repo rate will increase the cost of
borrowing and lending of the banks which will discourage the public to borrow
money and will encourage them to deposit. As the rates are high the
availability of credit and demand decreases resulting to decrease in inflation.
This increase in Repo Rate and Reverse Repo Rate is a symbol of tightening
of the policy.
BANKING INDUSTRY AT GLOBAL LEVEL
After climbing for 30 years, the share of economic activity attributable to bank
revenues fell in the wake of the global financial crisis. Looking forward,
revenues could flat line at about 5 percent of GDP through 2020 (exhibit). In
fact, that’s our base scenario for the global banking industry—one that implies
growth at the same rate as nominal GDP, following the pattern of other
industries.
The world’s central banks possess similar forms of operation and structure
although their long term goals may vary.
There are eight major central banks within the world economy today:
The Bank of Canada also has a committee which is known as the governing
council. The governing council consists of the governor of the Bank of
Canada, the senior deputy governor and four deputy governors. The
committee meets about 8 times a year and the key official associated with the
bank is David Dodge, who is the governor of the Bank of Canada.
Finally, the National Bank of New Zealand unlike all the other banks has no
committee. In fact, all the power of monetary policy lies in the hands of one
individual: the central bank governor. The decision is made about 8 times a
year by Alan Bollard who is the governor.
BANKING INDUSTRY IN INDIA
These banks are also known as apex bank & are registered under co-
operative societies act – 1912. In fact these banks are established to function
as a leading co-operative financial institution of the state offer co-operative
societies should grow. The “apex banks” as they are called are they to render
financial help as & when the co-operative societies are in need of their help.
Urban co-operative banks are organized & established in towns on the pattern
of joint – stock banks but are established under co-operative societies act –
1912. For funds these banks depend on their own sources. However central
co-operative banks are helping them in financially viable. Central co-operative
banks are directly links with the state co-operative banks. Urban primary co-
operative banks provide funds to rural folk in easy terms to help them in
agriculture work aid its development today they have started playing a
significant role in rural upliftment. They are in tune with the government
policies & program.
The Gujarat Co-operative Banking Sector has been servicing the common
man since last 125 years much before the Gujarat Co-operative Societies Act
got enacted in 1908, 103 years back.
Gujarat Urban Co-operative Banks, big & small, have been playing an
instrumental role as financial power houses for the common man in each
stage of his life - education, career building as entrepreneurs, helping buy the
dream home, meeting personal needs through gold loans, setting up
industries through term loans, business expansion through working capital
limits & encouraging savings through term deposits.
All through these years and in the context of the recent global meltdown that
shook the Western & European world the Co-operative Banking Sector has
stood the test of time. It continues to demonstrate that it is a sustainable &
viable model offering affordable finance for not only economic but socio
economic upliftment of the common man.
3) Carry out research for the sector to develop a road map for 2020 in its
endeavor to constantly prepare banks to meet future challenges.
The Federation has decided to celebrate this year through various initiatives
for financial inclusion & inclusive growth. The details of such initiatives &
projects with emphasis on youth & women are highlighted separately under
the title IYC initiatives.
The Federation is committed to serve the common man guided by Co-
operative Principles, Values & Regulation. The Federation continues to be
absolutely confident that the Urban Co-operative Sector of the State is fully
geared to raise to the expectations of the common man and handhold each
such individual to a safe, secure & prosperous future.
IT in Banking:
Used under two different avenues in Banking used under two different
avenues in Banking
Technology In Banks:
Improved Management/Accountability.
The RTGS system is maintained and operated by the RBI and provides
a means of efficient and faster funds transfer among banks facilitating
their financial operations.
Political
Banks need to adjust their interest rates accordingly, which may or may
not favor them
Banks are forced to lend as per the guidelines of RBI, that includes
credit growth in all sectors
Economic
Economic factors in the country also affect the Banking Industry both
favorably or unfavorably.
Social
The Indian banking system has been progressing rapidly. There are
still several untapped rural markets, despite the large number of banks
in India.
Many farmers still take loans from moneylenders at a very high interest
rate and small-scale industries continue to remain important for banks.
Changing lifestyle of the Indian urban population who wants easy ways
of financing to their desires.
Technological
Banking through cell phone benefits the banks too. It cuts down on the
cost of in-person banking and helps reduce headcount at branches.
Environmental
It is the great news that today service sector is contributing more than
half of the Indian GDP. It takes India one step closer to developed
economies of the world. Earlier it was agriculture which mainly
contributed to the Indian GDP.
In regard with the service sector, as the income of the people will
increase, lending and savings will increase leading to increased
business for banks.
Legal
Public sector:
Bank of Baroda
Union Bank
Dena Bank
Private sector:
Axis Bank
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Co-operative sector:
This bank provide most services such as savings and current accounts, safe
deposit lockers, loan or mortgages to private and business customers. For
middle class users, for whom a bank is where they can save their money,
facilities like Internet banking or phone banking is very important.
Bank also offers mobile application to their customers so that any customer
can easily access their account with the using of mobile phone.
“The Sutex Co-operative Bank Ltd.” has started on 15th may 1972. Bank has
Registered No. as per Gujarat Sate Co-op Act. S/5033 on 15th may 1972, and
Multi State Co-op Act. MSCS/CR/8099.on 8th February 1999. With the help of
Mr. Surajram Hiralal Bachakaniwala, Mr. Jyotindra Bhagwandas Lekhadiya
and other Director Member at Surat Textile Market. The bank is last 39 year to
provide services in various areas. The bank has thirteen Branches and one
Administrative office. Bank used Tragologist Software and Wipro Hardware,
the bank daily working cabol program. The Bank slogan is “HELPS YOU
LIVE BETTER”.
The bank has fifteen Branches, one Administrative office and five ATM
service available to customer in various areas. In 2000-01 year to open a new
branch at “Salabatpura” this branch is good working condition in very short
period. The bank has 217 employers to give training at Administrative office
and 36 employers to other bank branches in previous year. The Bank
Information technology of working in LAN (Local Area Network) system at all
branches.
The Bank is good facility to provide Senior Citizen in Fixed Deposit. The
facility is 1% more interest on Fixed Deposit. The Bank is Economical, Social,
Educational, and Medical activity with go ahead in Surat city and Surat
District. Bank has provided donation in year 2010-2011 in various Economical
and Social activities. The bank has received Audit Class “A”, in last 39 year; it
is a great achievement of the Bank. The Bank provided 15% dividend to share
holders as per profit. The Bank start with 272 shareholder and today
shareholder member is 33357. The Bank started with Rs. 5.25 lakh Working
Capital and today is 1400.31 Cr.
The following member of the Bank team at “Udhna main road” Branch has
played an important role in shaping my training by making this venture a
purposeful and an educative one.
Table No: 3.1
Name Position
Vision
The bank aims to double its business in next 5 years. Expansion plan is there
for opening of 3 more branches in prime locations of the city. Main focus is to
cover the areas which are not covered by adequate banking facilities.
The adoption of all modern technologies for better service will be priority of
the bank in future. The environment of all the branches will match an
international standard.
The bank will expand its horizons beyond the traditional banking products and
enter into newer ventures to increase its bottom line combines with cost
rationalization.
In summary, bank will spotlight on customer service as well as satisfaction
across all channels.
They are providing all modern and advanced services and facilities to their
Respondents such as CBS facility, SMS Alerts, E-statements, E-tax
payments, ATM services, RTGS/NEFT facility, Stamp Franking etc.
Name Position
Mr. K. T. Wadia C. E. O.
(SIMPLE INTEREST)
(COMPOUNDING INETEREST)
SPECIAL SCHEME
Audit class A A A
Figure No.:3.2
PRESIDENT
DIRECTORS
GENRAL MANAGER
CHIEF MANAGER
SENIOR MANGER
MANAGER
OFFICER'S
SPECIALIST OFFICER'S
SENIOR CLERK
JUNIOR CLERK
PUEN
SWIPEER
c. Divisions/ Departments
Loan recovery department: the customers who fail to pay the loan amount
then for recovery of the amount of the loan from the customer is done in loan
recovery department all the legal actions are been taken the recover the loan.
As the Surat district co-op bank ltd has its own share a separate department
to develop to do all the work related to share like share issue, payment of
dividend, share allotment, etc.
The electronic data possessing section is developing for data processing and
computer hardware and software implementation any development of
software for data entry of banking transaction is done in this department. All
the e-banking services like internet banking, ATM, mobile banking, etc. are
been handle in EDP department.
SWOT ANALYSIS
(1) Strengths
It is fully computerized.
(2) Weaknesses
(3) Opportunities
There is more opportunity for starting new branch in Surat; due to high
population.
As it has audit class “A” since last 39 year & has prosperous balance
sheet so, people at any place will welcome it.
It has an opportunity to become a Schedule bank in near future.
(4) Threats
As the banks are becoming “Multi State” it has more threat of competition.
Market Position
Financial Highlights
(Rs. in Lacs)
Key Areas 1972- 1982- 1992- 2002-03 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15
73 83 93
Paid up 1.10 6.07 56.57 618.81 2052.70 2426.70 2768.10 2886.04 3194.61
Share
Capital
Reserves 0.01 8.06 201.02 3291.41 4782.63 5478.41 6342.82 7271.89 8833.16
& Other
Funds
Deposits 5.23 109.1 1983.4 24671.83 63440.76 75629.78 88315.09 106812.21 124782.92
5 0
Loans & 0.47 36.75 1073.7 12396.24 41826.46 51572.27 58407.18 68721.45 84136.97
Advances 7
Working 6.35 141.2 2536.0 30054.65 68493.59 85778.00 100253.31 120138.67 140031.16
Capital 5 8
Net Profit -0.13 4.53 83.10 404.31 743.81 882.97 1125.96 1324.31 1567.61
Punita and Somaiya (2006) carried out a study on the impact of monetary
policy on the profitability of banks in India between 1995 and 2000. The
monetary variables were banks rate, lending rates, cash reserve system and
statutory ratio, and each was regressed on banks profitability independently.
Lending rate was found to exact positive and significant influence on banks’
profitability, which indicates a fall in lending rates will reduce the profitability of
the banks. Also, bank rate, cash reserve system and statutory ratio were
found to have negative and significant effect on the profitability of banks. Their
findings were the same when lending rate, bank rate, cash reserve system
and statutory ratio were pooled to explain the relationship between banks
profitability and monetary policy instruments in the private sector.
Ennis and T. Keister (2008) investigated that SLR and Cash Reserve
Requirement (CRR) were found to be significant tools of reducing inflation and
both are used only in situation of drastic imbalance resulting from major
shocks. They posited that Bangladesh Bank has used open market operations
(OMO) more frequently rather than changes in the Bank Rate and SLR as
instruments of monetary policy in line with its market oriented approach.
Okoye and Eze (2013) examined the impact of bank lnterest rate on the
performance of Nigerian Deposit Money Banks between 2000 and 2010. It
specifically determined the effects of lnterest rate and monetary policy rate on
the performance of Nigerian Deposit Money Banks and analyzed how bank
interest rate policy affects the performance of Nigerian deposit money banks.
Their result confirmed that the interest rate and monetary policy rate have
significant and positive effects on the performance of Nigerian deposit money
banks. The implication of this is that lending rate and monetary policy rate are
true parameter of measuring bank performance.
Obstfeld and Rogoff (2002) showed that if the distortion between the natural
rate and the socially optimal rate of output is fixed and if there are complete
financial markets, then monetary policy rules that stabilize prices are optimal
in the face of productivity shocks. Indeed, in this special case, unilateral
adoption of inflation targeting rules by national central banks produces just as
efficient an outcome as if central banks set their rules cooperatively. This
equivalence breaks down when financial markets are incomplete, and when
there is only partial pass-through from exchange rates to prices. (Corsetti and
Pesenti, 2003 demonstrate the latter).
As Blanchard and Gali (2005) have demonstrated, the general principle is that
when economies contain real rigidities (such as sluggish real wage
adjustment) in addition to nominal rigidities, tightly construed inflation
targeting is no longer optimal. They argue that an oil shock is likely to be a
case where monetary authorities, in general, will want to allow some higher
inflation to cushion the shock to output. They show that popular canonical
models that do not allow for such real rigidities (e.g., the New Embargoed
Until Presentation Time on August 26, 2006,23 Keynesian Model with Calvo
Pricing) give a misleading view of the efficacy of overly strict inflation
targeting.
Van den Heuvel (2005) argued that monetary policy affects bank profitability
through two channels. They argued that by lowering bank reserves,
contractionary monetary policy reduces the extent to which banks can accept
reservable deposits, if reserve requirements are binding. The decrease in
reservable liabilities will, in turn, lead banks to reduce lending, if they cannot
easily switch to alternative forms of finance or liquidate assets other than
profits.
Leena Ajit Kaushal, Neha Pathak (2011) investigated the impact of monetary
policy changes on inflation and banking sector interest profitability in India.
The banking system is the most dominant segment of the financial sector.
Indian banks are well regulated and have emerged stronger under the
regulator's watchful eye. Their unassailability could be well gauged by the
health of an economy. The paper focuses to find out that whether the
monetary policy instruments act as an important driver to regulate Inflation or
recession in subsequent years and further to assess the extent to which it
impacts the profitability status of the banks. The results suggest that there has
been a significant impact of policy changes on the commercial banks interest
profitability and the inflation. But when the policy tightens its stance,
commercial banks have enough flexibility to re-adjust their lending rates and
deposit rates to narrow down the impact on its profitability due to the hike in
policy rates. Banks work in tandem to the monetary policies stance to bring
out the desired result in the economy.
Ikhide and Alawode (2001) indicated that central bank’s measures such as
setting ceilings on interest rates and credit expansion, selective all ovation of
credit, and high reserve requirements could result in financial repression
which distorts the well functioning of domestic financial markets.
Ojo (2003) examined that there are two major control mechanisms of
monetary policy used to by Central Banks at any point in time and these
control mechanisms are usually referred to as tools/instruments of monetary
policy and they have effects on the proximate targets. Monetary instruments
can be direct or indirect. the direct instruments include aggregate credit
ceilings, deposit ceiling, exchange control, restriction on the placement of
public deposit, special deposits and stabilization securities while indirect
instruments include Open Market Operation (OMO), cash reserve
requirement, liquidity ratio, minimum discount rate and selective credit
policies. Monetary policy has vital roles in the short-run i.e. it is used for
counter-cyclical output stabilization, while in the long run; it is used to achieve
the macro-economic goals of full employment, price stability, rapid economic
growth and balance of payments equilibrium.
Uniamikogbo and Enoma (2001) observed that monetary policy objectives are
concerned with the management of multiple monetary targets among them
price stability, promotion of growth, achieving full employment, smoothing the
business cycle, preventing financial crises, stabilizing long-term interest rates
and the real exchange rate. That these objectives are all not consistent with
each other is obvious, as the preference of monetary policy objectives is
anchored upon the weights assigned by monetary authorities or country
priorities. Experience shows that emphasis is usually placed on maintaining
price stability or ensuring low inflation rates.
Van den Heuvel (2000) argued that monetary policy affects bank lending
through two channels. They argued that by lowering reserves, contractionary
monetary policy reduces the extent to which banks can accept deposits if
reserve requirements are binding. The increase in reserve requirements will in
turn lead banks to reduce lending if they cannot easily switch to alternative
forms of finance or liquidate assets other than loan.
Adofu and Audu (2010) used ordinary least square method to ascertain the
assessment of the effects of interest rate deregulation in enhancing
agricultural productivity in Nigeria. The study found out that interest rate play a
significant role in enhancing economic activities and as such, monetary
authorities should ensure appropriate determination of interest rate level that
will break the double - edge effect of interest rate on savers and local
investors.
Uchendu (2000) criticized Odufalu’s use of twelve banks as sample size out of
a total of one hundred and twenty banks on the basis that the sample size
was small to make any meaningful conclusion. Using data ranging from 1994
to 1999 and a sample size of a total of sixty commercial banks, he
investigated the impact of monetary policy on the performance of commercial
banking sector in Nigeria. He developed a profit function employing three
different measures of profitability namely: interest earning rate, rate of return
on assets and rate of return on capital as the dependent variables and six
independent variables which include: interest rate (saving or lending),
exchange rate, concentration ratio (a variable measuring efficiency unit labor
cost).
Nyong (2001) undertook a very outstanding study different from all other
previous studies earlier. He used two-ways causality test between profitability
and capital investment in banks. It was hypothesized that an increase in
lending rate as well as the spread between the lending rate and deposit rate
leads to increase in profit. However, an increase in excess liquidity may or
may not lead to increase in bank profitability. An increase in excess reserve
may lead to increase in profit in a condition of strong demand for loan able
funds. It may lead to a fall in profit in a condition of weak demand and hence
constrain the ability of banks to make profits. Rising labour costs could
increase profit only if matched with productivity in line with the marginal
productivity theory because generally increase in labour cost should decrease
bank profit as it is a cost to the banking sector. This implies that profit is
dependent on capital, investment, which provides the means for the purchase
of equipment and machinery and the adoption of modern technology for
improve performance, thus a resultant increase in profit.
Romer and Romer (2004) used a reasonable set of monetary policy shocks
and then include that in a VAR model they can identify different reasons and
objects that affect United States financial system during that phase. They
have used a time period of 1971:01-1996:12. According to them they have
recognized easily cumulative demand shock and cumulative supply shock
without striking any indication or long run limitations. They have used
decomposition analysis to compare the monetary policy shocks with these
shocks. Decomposition analysis also helpful to measures the relative
importance of that shocks and to explain the fluctuations of that time period.
Fiordelisi (2014) reveals that from many years’ central banks around the world
decreases their main policy to keep their interest rate at low levels. This policy
is helpful for the banks. The major purpose of this policy is to sustain funding
situation and to encourage lending to private sector. To solve this
phenomenon they have used a data set from 2007 to 2012 of monetary
policy. They have investigated this problem at three levels. Their findings
show that single central bank prepares monetary policy; this creates an
assorted market reaction. Regular interest rates must have been used by the
central banks instead of non-conventional ones. This policy can reinstate the
market response. Standard interest rate is an essential tool for maintaining
the standard execution of monetary intermediation. If central bank used
nontraditional procedures this registered a strong market response in both
areas.
Bangura (2011) reveals that maximum banks used interest rates on short
term basis, and it is considered as monetary policy. According to him when
monetary policy changes interest rates will also change by commercial banks
but normally this case is not true. Main point is that commercial banks change
their interest rates with lags in reaction to monetary policy. This method
makes their interest rate sultry. This sultriness in interest rate imposed by
commercial banks is a big hindrance in regular flow of monetary policy. To
estimate results he used different tests. Data has been taken from different
sources which comprised of the time period from 1989-2009. Twenty years
data has been used by him. He estimates the results of change in interest
rates impact on discount rates, lending rates, deposit rates, and Treasury bill
rates.
Goodhart (2007) showed that an interest rate instrument could make the
system unstable. But these results were shown to hold only if money was the
only nominal standard. Sticky wages and prices create an alternative that
fixes nominal variables, and allow real interest rates to be influenced by policy
for considerable periods. Moreover, an interest rate rule that responded to
macroeconomic variables such as output and inflation gaps would be stable.
Ozdemir (2009) reported complete pass-through to the lending rate and the
deposit rate in the long run. In a complete pass-through the changes in the
policy tool are transmitted completely to the retail rates.
Haron & Ahmad (2002) investigated that The Effects Of Conventional Interest
Rates And Rate Of Profit On Funds Deposited With Islamic Banking System
In Malaysia by using ‘Adaptive Expectation Model’ to measure the effects of
rate of profit declared by Islamic banks on the level of deposits placed by their
customers. Data Variables are saving deposits, Interest-free, Rates of Profit,
results shows that relationship between the amounts of deposits placed in the
Islamic banking system in Malaysia and returns given to these deposits hence
which are guided by the profit motive. It is recommended that these doctrines
require that Muslims should not placed profit maximization as the sole factor
in establishing relationship with Islamic banks.
Punita rao (2005) investigated that a monetary policy instruments are affected
to the profitability of banks in the context of financial sector reforms in India.
She also discussed the financial sector reforms and the implication of the
banks, the various instruments of monetary policy in India, and the impact of
monetary policy on the profitability of banks. Monetary policy objectives have
traditionally included promoting growth, achieving full employment, smoothing
the business cycles, preventing financial crisis and stabilizing long term
interest rates and the real exchange rate.
Uniamikogbo and Enoma (2001) observes that monetary policy objectives are
concerned with the management of multiple monetary targets among them
price stability, promotion of growth, achieving full employment, smoothing the
business cycle, preventing financial crises, stabilizing long-term interest rates
and the real exchange rate. That these objectives are all not consistent with
each other is obvious, as the preference of monetary policy objectives is
anchored upon the weights assigned by monetary authorities or country
priorities. Experience shows that emphasis is usually placed on maintaining
price stability or ensuring low inflation rates.
Howells and Keith (2000) argued in their book that, equity prices just like the
price of all assets will respond to changes in interest rates. That is to mean, if
the Central Bank raises the interest rates, for instance, the rate available on
the risk-free assets goes up and if more can be earned on risk-free assets,
then the holders of risky shares will want a higher return as well. The share
prices will also fall if the equity market as a whole becomes more risk averse
and demand a higher premium for any level of risk.
Howells and Keith (2000) argued in their book that, equity prices just like the
price of all assets will respond to changes in interest rates. That is to mean, if
the Central Bank raises the interest rates, for instance, the rate available on
the risk-free assets goes up and if more can be earned on risk-free assets,
then the holders of risky shares will want a higher return as well. The share
prices will also fall if the equity market as a whole becomes more risk averse
and demand a higher premium for any level of risk.
Hamdan and Masig (2008) in their research paper attempt to test the
“hypothesis that in the context of a relatively developed banking system and
effective monetary policy framework the speed of adjustment of the deposit
rates would be faster than that of the lending rates in response to a change in
monetary policy instrument such as the discount rates. This knowledge of the
speed of adjustment is crucial for an effective transmission and
implementation of a change in monetary policy instrument. The test of
hypothesis on a set of industrial and developing countries based on the 'Auto-
Regressive Distributed Lag' (ARDL) methodology, tends to suggest that the
deposit rates adjust faster than the lending rates in most of the industrial
countries as well as in those developing countries in which the banking
system appears to be relatively more developed. The findings are plausible
and have strong policy implications for both the industrial and developing
countries.”
Claudio Borio, Leonardo Gambacorta and Boris Hofmann (2015) investigates
how monetary policy affects bank profitability. We use data for 109 large
international banks headquartered in 14 major advanced economies for the
period 1995–2012. Overall, we find a positive relationship between the level of
short-term rates and the slope of the yield curve (the “interest rate structure”,
for short), on the one hand, and bank profitability – return on assets – on the
other. This suggests that the positive impact of the interest rate structure on
net interest income dominates the negative one on loan loss provisions and
on non-interest income. We also find that the effect is stronger when the
interest rate level is lower and the slopes less steep, i.e. that non-linearity are
present. All this suggests that, over time, unusually low interest rates and an
unusually flat term structure erode bank profitability.
Kunt and Huizinga (2000) were among the first to relate bank profits to
macroeconomic indicators, such as real interest rates. They find that high real
interest rates are associated with higher interest margins and profitability,
especially in developing countries where demand deposits frequently pay
below-market interest rates.
Alessandri and Nelson (2014) establish a positive long-run link between the
level and slope of the yield curve and bank profitability in the United Kingdom.
In this paper, we explore the link between monetary policy and bank
profitability in more depth, focusing precisely on the relationship between the
interest rate structure and bank performance. The influence of monetary
policy on bank profitability macroeconomic conditions as given and do not
include any effects that operate indirectly, through monetary policy’s
independent impact on aggregate demand.
Problem Statement
The increase in cost of capital often keep back prospective investors from
engaging in new ventures as well as discourages customers of companies
from optimal maintenance of their products. It therefore, stands to reason that
increase in cost of capital results in cyclical effects in the economy. In view of
this, any review of monetary policy is often greeted with wide spread
apprehension, that cuts across various sectors of the economy.
On the other hand, a decrease in the cost of capital tends to stimulate more
aggressive investment in any economy. The higher the volume of investment,
the greater the competition. Even though consumers of products from various
companies stand to benefit from this situation in the short run, it may portend
serious danger in the economy if it is allowed to stretch to the extreme. As
companies engage in stiff competition, weak ones (especially those that are
disadvantaged technologically) may be driven out of business. This may result
in monopolies with their obvious consequences in the economy.
Objectives of the Study
Websites
Tools and analysis: The research is based on the secondary data and for
the analysis of the data is undertaken by various analytical tools.
The study is based on the data of past ten years only i.e. from 2004-05
to 2014-15.
Independent Variable
SLR CRR IR
Particulars
R R2 R R2 R R2
Loans and
0.783 0.612 0.640 0.410 0.834 0.696
Advances
Interpretation:-
IR V/S R Interpretation
IR V/S R2 Interpretation
These studies cover the last five years of annual data of “The Sutex Co-
operative bank ltd.” i.e. Deposit, Net Profit, Investment, Loans and Advances
and Reserve Fund and identify the impact of the SLR, CRR and IR on it. The
results are quite encouraging and are summarized in Table no. 6.1.
On the Deposit R is determine for all the three independent variable is quite
high that reflect the considerable explanatory power of SLR, CRR and IR is
almost same but IR is reflect very high then other two i.e. 82.6% on the
Deposit. For the Net profit effect of IR is quite low as compare to the other two
i.e. SLR and CRR. In the case of Investment two independent variable SLR
and CRR are reflect almost same percentage but here also IR is quite high
reflecting on the investment i.e. 83.6%. In case of the Loans and advances
CRR will reflected very low percentage i.e. 64% or IR also is quite high
reflecting on the loans and advances i.e. 83.4% and lastly in case of the
reserve fund CRR will be reflected very low percentage i.e. 68.6% or the other
two variables are reflected high percentage on the reserve fund.
The refection of R2 on the dependent variable for all the three independent
variable is quite reflective. On the deposit CRR is explained only 42.2%
whereas other two independent variables i.e. SLR and IR is explained 60.6%
and 68.2% respectively. On the net profit IR is explained only 6.20% whereas
other two independent variables explained i.e. SLR and CRR is reflected
48.2% and 24.3% respectively. On the Investment IR is explained the 69.8%
and other two SLR and CRR is explained 57.1% and 56.7% respectively. On
the loans and advances IR is explained very high percentage i.e. 69.6
whereas CRR is explained very low percentage i.e. 41.0%. In the reserve
fund CRR explained very low percentage i.e. 47.1% only whereas other two
variables explained SLR and CRR is 72.2% and 64.5% respectively.
So, here we can clearly see that the effect of SLR, CRR and IR is different
percentage from the different variable of the bank. But one thing should be
evaluate is that they all are effect on the banks profitability level positively
correlation between them. All correlation between them i.e. Dependent
variable and independent variable are positive.
Conclusion:-
It is conclude that monetary policy instruments like SLR, CRR and IR are
affected to the profit of co.-operative banking sector and special reference
with The Sutex co.-Operative Bank Ltd.
In this study the selected dependent variables such as deposit, net profit,
investments, loans and advances, reserve funds which are mainly affected to
the profit of the bank. If any changes in the rate of independent variables i.e.
SLR, CRR and IR that will be directly affected to the profit of bank.
Websites:
http://www.sutexbank.in/pages/financial/
http://www.journalsbank.com/ajsr_9_2.pdf
http://iiste.org/Journals/index.php/RJFA/article/viewFile/22584/23397
http://naulibrary.org/dglibrary/admin/book_directory/Thesis/11670.pdf
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=356660
https://notendur.hi.is/ajonsson/kennsla2005/Bank_channel.pdf
http://www.theinternationaljournal.org/ojs/index.php?journal=tij&page=article&
op=view&path%5B%5D=154&path%5B%5D=pdf
http://www.sutexbank.in/branch/
Annexure:-
Regression
Model Summary
b
ANOVA
Total 1181347.217 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
Total 1181347.217 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
b
ANOVA
Total 1181347.217 10
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
b
ANOVA
Total 919550.113 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
b
ANOVA
Total 919550.113 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model Summary
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
b
ANOVA
Total 919550.113 10
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
Total 79262.934 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
b
ANOVA
Total 79262.934 10
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
b
ANOVA
Total 79262.934 10
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
b
ANOVA
Total 572155.955 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
Total 572155.955 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
b
ANOVA
Total 572155.955 10
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
b
ANOVA
Total 3268.882 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
b
ANOVA
Total 3268.882 10
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Regression
Model Summary
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
b
ANOVA
Total 3268.882 10
a. Predictors: (Constant), IR
a
Coefficients
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients