Probability SOL 4.

13 Study Guide

Learning Goals:
The students will:
a) predict the likelihood of an outcome of a simple event; and
b) represent probability as a number between 0 and 1, inclusive.

Vocabulary:

Probability – the chance that a particular outcome will occur, measured as a ratio of the total
possible outcomes.

Likely - will probably happen, an outcome with a probability between 0.5 (1/2) and 1

Unlikely – will probably not happen, an outcome with a probability between 0 and 0.5 (1/2)

Certain – inevitable – will definitely happen, an outcome with a probability of 1.

Equally likely – a equal chance of happening and not happening, an outcome with a probability
of 0.5 (1/2)

Impossible – no chance – will not happen, an outcome with a probability of 0.

Likelihood – the chance that a particular outcome will occur.

Outcomes – one of the possible results of a probability experiment.

Trials - the performance or exercise of an experiment.

Inclusive – a range of numbers includes the first and last number and all numbers in between

Examples & Explanations:

The probability of an event should be a fraction.

Probability = Favorable (desired) outcomes

Total possible outcomes

The likelihood of an event will be a word to describe how likely an outcome is to occur using the words:
impossible, unlikely, equally likely, likely, certain.

Impossible Equally Likely Certain

Unlikely Likely
 1 ½ 1
0.5

Sample Questions:

1.) SOL 4.13a 2.) SOL 4.13a

Boazi is going to spin the arrow. Alani has the following folders in her
backpack.

6 6 - 3 blue, 1 red, 2 yellow and 5 purple

The folders are all the same size and shape.

Amani reaches into her backpack and selects
6
one folder without looking. What is the
Which best describes his chance of the arrow likelihood the folder will be purple?
landing on the number 2?

A.) Certain C.) Likely A.)Certain C.) Unlikely, but not impossible

B.) Unlikely D.) Impossible B.)Likely, but not certain D.) Impossible

3.) SOL 4.13a

Nichole is making a spinner game. She wants

the arrow on the spinner to have a likely
chance of landing on the spaces labeled with a A.) B.)
rectangle or circle. The spinner will have an
unlikely chance of landing on the 6 sided
figure, hexagon. Which appears to be the
spinner Molly should make?

C.) D.)

4.) SOL 4.13a 5.) SOL 4.13a

Daniella bought a box of 12 donuts. It is A box contains 30 bags of caramel popcorn.
certain for the donut picked from the box to Which of the following best describes the
be sprinkled. Which of the following is the chances that the first bag of popcorn taken
number of sprinkled donuts in the box? from the box will be cheese popcorn?

A.)Certain C.) Likely, but not certain

A.) 1 B.) 6 C.) 12 D.) 0 B.)Impossible D.) Unlikely, but not impossible
 6.) SOL 4.13b
Marck will roll a fair number cube
that has sides labeled 1 through 6. Place a
point on the number line to represent the
probability that Adam will roll a 6 on the first
roll?
7.) SOL 4.13b
Eric will roll a fair number cue that has sides
labeled 1 through 6. Place a point on the
number line to represent the probability that
Makensie will roll a number less than 3?

0 ½ 1

8.) SOL 4.13b 9.) SOL 4.13b

Justus has a spinner with eight equal sections Arturo has a spinner with
as shown. eight equal sections as
shown.

Kristen will spin the

arrow on the spinner one time. What is the Colson will spin the arrow on the spinner one
probability that the arrow will land on a time. What is the probability the arrow will
section that is NOT yellow or green? land on a blue section?

0 ½ 1