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CHICAGO COVID-19: Phases of an

Outbreak

Flattening the
Curve: Curve going down:
Curve going up: Protecting the Mitigation and
Early Mitigation Health System Containment Mass
Pre-Pandemic: Suppression Vaccination
Containment Campaign
and Monitoring
CHICAGO COVID-19: Daily Cases
There are 9,666 COVID-19 cases in Chicago as of April 14, 2020.
800

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0
3/6 3/10 3/14 3/18 3/22 3/26 3/30 4/3 4/7

Daily coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) cases reported for Chicago residents with known laboratory report date. Note, there was one case of COVID-19
reported in January 2020 that is not included in the daily counts.
CHICAGO COVID-19: Flattening the
10,000
Curve
Chicago Department
of Public Health
Shelter in Place
Order
3/18
Cases

1,000

State of Illinois City of Chicago Chicago COVID-19


Stay at Home Lakefront cases
Order Closure Order March 14 ---> April 14
3/21 3/26 122 ---> 9,666 cases

100
3/14
3/15
3/16
3/17
3/18
3/19
3/20
3/21
3/22
3/23
3/24
3/25
3/26
3/27
3/28
3/29
3/30
3/31

4/10
4/11
4/12
4/1
4/2
4/3
4/4
4/5
4/6
4/7
4/8
4/9
Chicago (specimen date) 2 days 4 days 8 days 12 days

Cumulative coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) cases reported for Chicago residents with known specimen collection date
CHICAGO COVID-19: Staying Home,
100,000
Saving Lives If we had continued doubling
every 3 days:
62,464 cases
2,000 deaths
Chicago Department of
Public Health
Shelter in Place
Order on 3/18 Because of flattening
10,000
the curve:
9,113 cases
308 deaths
Cases

1,000

City of Chicago
State of Illinois Chicago COVID-19 cases
Stay at Home Lakefront
Order on 3/21 Closure Order March 14 ---> April 13
on 3/26 122 ---> 9,113 cases
100
3/14 3/16 3/18 3/20 3/22 3/24 3/26 3/28 3/30 4/1 4/3 4/5 4/7 4/9

Chicago (specimen date) 3 days to doubling

Cumulative coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) cases reported for Chicago residents with known specimen collection date
CHICAGO COVID-19: Geographic
100,000
Comparison

10,000
Cases

1,000
US
Chicago
Illinois
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Days after reaching community spread, defined as 100+ cases

Sources: Chicago DPH; Illinois DPH; European CDC


CHICAGO COVID-19: ICU Bed Capacity
1200

1000

800
ICU Beds (#)

600

400

200

0
3/19 3/21 3/23 3/25 3/27 3/29 3/31 4/2 4/4 4/6 4/8 4/10 4/12

Total Occupied ICU Beds Total ICU Bed Capacity


Occupied ICU Beds (COVID)
ICU bed count includes all adult and pediatric ICU beds in EMS Region XI (Chicago) hospitals. NICU excluded from analysis. Beds occupied due to
COVID include confirmed positive cases and persons under investigation. Source: EMResource, Daily Report 2359h
CHICAGO COVID-19: Ventilator Capacity
1400

1200

1000

800
Ventilators (#)

600

400

200

0
3/19 3/21 3/23 3/25 3/27 3/29 3/31 4/2 4/4 4/6 4/8 4/10 4/12

Total Ventilators in Use Total Ventilator Capacity


EAMC Cache Ventilators in Use (COVID)

Ventilator count includes all hospital ventilators in EMS Region XI (Chicago) hospitals plus ventilators in EAMC (Emergency Asset Management
Center) cache. Ventilators used due to COVID include confirmed positive cases and persons under investigation. Source: EMResource, Daily Report
2359h
CHICAGO COVID-19: Tests Performed

January 21-April 12, 2020

Negative test: NOT A CASE


Positive test: CONFIRMED

By single day

Represents cumulative number of Chicago residents tested, by case status. Source: Illinois National Electronic Disease Surveillance System (I-NEDSS)
CHICAGO COVID-19: Staying at Home

Data analytics provided by


CHICAGO COVID-19: Staying at Home
Proportion of Mobile Device Check-ins at Home Location,
February 1, 2020 - April 11, 2020

Baseline Period 2/1 - 2/15 Week 4/5 – 4/11

Data analytics provided by BlueDot

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