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Equity 360 9th April 2020

Nifty level

INDEX PREV. CLOSING % CHANGE DAILY TREND


NIFTY 8748.75 -0.49% Up
NIFTY FUT. 8750.55 -1.41%
SGX CNX Nifty Index Fut. (8:15 am) 8891.50 +1.59%

Outlook for the day International market

The market is likely to see a gap up opening taking cues from the INDEX CLOSING CHANGE

global indices. Asian stocks were mixed following a three-day rally (SPOT) (%)

as investors mulled the spread of the coronavirus and when US MARKETS

economies will be able to ramp up again. US stocks jumped on NASDAQ COMPOSITE 8090.90 +2.58%

Wednesday on hopeful signs about the coronavirus outbreak in the DOW JONES 23433.57 +3.44%

United States was close to a peak, with health insurers getting an US MARKETS (FUTURE)

additional lift from Bernie Sanders' decision to suspend his NASDAQ 100 FUT. 8164.75 -0.31%

presidential campaign. As per provisional figures, foreign DOW JONES INDUS. FUT. 23241.00 -0.02%

institutional investors (FIIs)/Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) ASIAN MARKETS

bought shares worth net 1943.41 Crore on 8th April 2020. HANG SENG INDEX 24117.22 +0.61%

Domestic institutional investors sold shares worth net Rs. 1757.79 NIKKEI 225 19286.59 -0.34%

Crore on that day. SHANGHAI COMP. INDEX 2286.84 +0.48%

Sector to watch today


Sectors to Outperform Sectors to Underperform

Pharma and Bank Energy and IT

Macro news

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's emergency monetary policy meetings in March showed a few participants preferred a smaller interest rate
cut to slashing rates by a full percentage point at the March 15th meeting. The minutes said some meeting participants favored cutting rates by
50 basis points, noting that such a decision would provide support to the economy in the face of coronavirus outbreak while preserving the Fed's
ability to lower rates again in the event the economic outlook deteriorated further. The participants also noted that cutting rates by 100 basis
points less than two weeks after an emergency 50 basis point cut ran the risk of sending an overly negative signal about the economic outlook.
Nonetheless, the Fed ultimately voted to slash rates by 100 basis points to a range of zero to 0.25 percent, pointing to the likely near-term
decline in economic activity due to the coronavirus outbreak and the extremely large degree of uncertainty about the length and severity of the
decline.

1
Index level Nifty outlook SGX Nifty 8869 (+118)

Index Close S1 S2 R1 R2 Today the markets are likely to open on a positive note. All the emerging
NIFTY 8751 8600 8500 8900 9000 markets are trading mixed. The coming session is likely to witness a
BANKNIFTY 18890 17450 17000 19740 20000
range of 8600 on declines and 8900 on advances.

Nifty snapshot

8-Apr 7-Apr
Nifty Spot 8748.75 8792.20 Stock is in ban period
Nifty Apr 8750.55 8875.85
Nifty May 8762.70 8893.05 No Stock
Chg. OI (Apr) (%) -2.46 -0.40
Chg. OI (May) (%) 8.56 3.27
50 Day SMA 10696 10763
100 Day SMA 11400 11432
Sentiment indicator
200 Day SMA 11392 11408
8-Apr 7-Apr 3-Apr 1-Apr 31-Mar
NIFTY Discount/Premium 1.80 83.65 0.70 3.50 23.20
Nifty option OI concentration COST OF CARRY% 0.60 0.75 0.50 0.54 0.61
PCR(OI) 1.28 1.29 1.20 1.26 1.26
In lakhs
In lakhs PCR(VOL) 0.90 0.86 0.83 0.87 0.81
23.14

25.00 A/D RATIO(Nifty 50) 0.92 All up 0.47 0.11 7.33


19.90

A/D RATIO(All FO Stock)* 1.13 44.67 0.40 0.17 4.35


17.21

20.00 IMPLIED VOLATILITY 50.04 46.61 54.01 59.41 61.44


15.42

14.74
14.23
14.19

VIX 52.24 51.80 55.30 60.05 60.05


11.65

15.00
HISTORICAL VOLATILITY 92.1 94.75 86.71 88.85 89.25
10.52

*All Future Stock


8.69

8.42
7.86

10.00
7.11
7.05
6.47

6.23
5.89

2.80
2.64

Nifty v/s OI
2.36

5.00
0.78

0.49

0.00 Date Nifty % Change Open Interest % Change


7000 7500 8000 8100 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500 11000 11500
27-Mar 8651 -0.3% 9616500 -3.8%
Call Put
30-Mar 8290 -4.2% 10246950 6.6%
31-Mar 8621 4.0% 9933750 -3.1%
Nifty option OI change 01-Apr 8257 -4.2% 9658875 -2.8%
03-Apr 8085 -2.1% 9590325 -0.7%
07-Apr 8876 9.8% 9551850 -0.4%
In lakhs
08-Apr 8751 -1.4% 9316500 -2.5%
1.50
0.99
0.84

1.00
0.53
0.53

0.49
0.44

0.32
0.31

0.50
0.12

0.02

Fund flow (FII/DII)


0.00
-0.01

0.00
-0.04
-0.05

-0.06

Net investment (in cr)


-0.11

-0.13
-0.13

-0.18

-0.50
-0.50

FII INDEX FUTURE -413


-1.00
FII INDEX OPTION -485
-1.27

-1.50
FII STOCK FUTURE -1167
-1.43

-2.00 FII STOCK OPTION 14


7000 7500 8000 8100 8500 9000 9500 10000 10500 11000 11500
FII CASH 1943
Call Put DII CASH -1758

2
FII’S activity in Nifty future Nifty discount / premium

88.60
In Cr. 100.00

83.65
3000

2368
2500 80.00

2000
1506

52.75
60.00
1500

35.80
737

1000
40.00

23.20
279
500

0 20.00

9.05

3.50
-29
-45

1.80
0.70
-500
-360

-413 0.00
-1000
-967

-1197

-8.85
-1500
-20.00

24-Mar 25-Mar 26-Mar 27-Mar 30-Mar 31-Mar 01-Apr 03-Apr 07-Apr 08-Apr 24-Mar 25-Mar 26-Mar 27-Mar 30-Mar 31-Mar 01-Apr 03-Apr 07-Apr 08-Apr

Top 10 long build up Indices to out perform

LTP % Change Open Interest % OI Change Closing % Change


TORNTPHARM 2545.1 7.71% 449000 19.41% PHARMA 8412 3.54%
UJJIVAN 144.4 0.10% 1747600 17.49% BANK 18946 -0.61%
GLENMARK 234.9 2.18% 2760800 13.99% AUTO 5044 1.86%
CADILAHC 350.0 12.25% 3777400 10.13% FMCG 28840 0.33%
TVSMOTOR 283.3 6.52% 2532600 9.71% MIDCAP 3288 1.72%
BIOCON 329.3 2.68% 8907900 7.23%
NCC 18.3 5.19% 17379000 6.69% Indices to under perform
ADANIPORTS 252.1 0.74% 27385000 2.79%
Closing % Change
LUPIN 709.4 0.55% 6455400 2.44%
IT 12492 -0.77%
EXIDEIND 140.6 0.36% 3317600 1.15%
ENERGY 11685 0.15%
SMALL CAP 3679 1.79%
PSE 2263 0.33%
Top 10 short build up PSU BANK 1261 -0.05%

LTP % Change Open Interest % OI Change Stocks to out perform


RAMCOCEM 459.5 -6.58% 599200 14.18%
MOTHERSUMI 56.6 -0.62% 21420000 10.73% Closing % Change
HDFCBANK 879.9 -1.91% 28974000 9.83% CADILAHC 350.0 12.25%
FEDERALBNK 41.1 -4.64% 37975000 7.00% TORNTPHARM 2545.1 7.71%
PVR 949.8 -4.35% 886400 6.90% SUNPHARMA 437.1 4.32%
TATACHEM 229.5 -0.28% 953100 6.01%
CIPLA 514.1 3.65%
UBL 920.1 -1.44% 417200 5.86%
BIOCON 329.3 2.68%
VOLTAS 482.2 -1.67% 1303000 5.85%
ACC 960.1 -5.71% 1978000 5.55%
MINDTREE 720.2 -1.67% 876000 5.19% Stocks to under perform
Closing % Change
PVR 949.8 -4.35%
BANKBARODA 48.6 -0.21%
RBLBANK 121.1 3.68%
MINDTREE 720.2 -1.67%
BEL 66.7 -4.17%

3
Sector overview Sector overview

Scrips/Indexs OI Volume Price Remark Scrips/Indexs OI Volume Price Remark


Change Change (%) Change Change Change (%) Change
Auto -4783480 15.7% 2.3% Long Buildup Infrastructure 360000 11.2% 0.0%
Auto Ancillaries 2003060 45.5% 2.7% Short Covering Media -127600 31.4% 4.5% Long Buildup
PSU Banks -2882200 9.9% -0.3% Long Unwinding Metals -2607500 18.8% 0.2% Long Buildup
Private Banks -205175 20.5% -0.3% Long Unwinding
NBFC -2341200 -11.1% 2.4% Long Buildup
Capital goods -165225 -19.3% -0.7% Long Unwinding
Oil & Gas -4781116 -2.4% 0.2% Long Buildup
Cement 692350 23.3% -3.8% Long Unwinding
Pharma -191200 12.3% 1.9% Long Buildup
Fertilizers 198900 27.4% -0.8% Long Unwinding
FMCG -272200 9.3% -0.8% Long Unwinding Power -3299600 25.8% 1.3% Long Buildup

IT -1965800 6.9% -0.7% Short Buildup Textile -87775 -8.0% 2.8% Long Buildup
Real Estate -435600 29.4% -2.5% Long Unwinding Telecom 2883749 -7.3% -1.0% Long Unwinding

Change in sector open interest

In Lakhs

28.84
40.00
20.03

30.00
20.00
6.92

3.60
1.99

10.00
0.00

-0.88
-1.28
-1.65

-1.91
-2.05

-2.72

-10.00
-4.36

-20.00
-19.66

-30.00
-23.41
-26.08
-28.82

-40.00 -33.00
-50.00
-47.81
-47.83

-60.00
Cement

Pharma
FMCG
Auto

Capital goods

Oil & Gas


Media

Metals
IT
Auto Ancillaries

Private Banks
PSU Banks

Power
Infrastructure

NBFC

Telecom
Real Estate
Fertilizers

Textile

4
Stocks trend on daily closing levels for short term

STOCKS CLOSING PRICE TREND DATE TREND CHANGED RATE TREND CHANGED CLOSING STOP LOSS
Nifty 50 8749 Down 09.03.20 10451 11200
Nifty IT 12492 Down 11.03.20 14669 15400
Nifty Bank 18946 Down 09.03.20 26470 29000
ADANIPORT 251 Down 27.02.20 354 380
ASIANPAINT* 1609 Down 16.03.20 1683 1830
AXIS BANK 391 Down 12.03.20 543 640
BAJAJ AUTO 2260 Down 03.03.20 2692 2950
BAJAJFINSV 4609 Down 12.03.20 7438 8600
BAJFINANCE 2333 Down 12.03.20 3734 4200
BHARTI ARTL 462 Down 09.03.20 496 490
BPCL 342 Down 26.02.20 449 360
BRITANNIA 2776 Down 12.03.20 2811 3100
CIPLA 513 up 08.04.20 513 450
COALINDIA 137 Down 17.07.19 230 255
DRREDDY 3683 UP 01.04.20 3095 2750
EICHER MOTOR 13159 Down 25.09.18 25600 24200
GAIL 86 Down 26.03.18 421 365
GRASIM 513 Down 29.07.19 796 890
HCL TECH 463 Down 16.03.20 451 540
H.D.F.C 1559 Down 12.03.20 1876 2120
HDFC BANK 889 Down 04.03.20 1149 1220
HEROMOTOCO 1822 Down 23.07.18 3155 3050
HINDALCO 101 Down 31.01.20 189 120
HINDUNILVR 2461 UP 01.04.20 2180 2000
ICICI BANK 319 Down 06.03.20 480 360
INDUSIND 399 DOWN 30.04.19 1607 1750
INFRATEL 166 Down 23.01.18 339 325
INFOSYS 632 Down 09.03.20 706 670
IOC 82 Down 08.07.19 144 160
ITC 179 UP 07.04.20 182 158
JSWSTEEL 155 Down 21.11.18 326 310
KOTAK BANK 1188 Down 12.03.20 1465 1610
LT 807 Down 07.10.19 1398 920
M&M 326 Down 22.01.19 709 760
MARUTI 4698 Down 28.01.20 6997 5300
NESTLEIND 16871 UP 07.04.20 17039 14500
NTPC 85 Down 13.07.19 117 93
ONGC 74 Down 02.12.19 128 84
POWERGRID 158 Down 09.03.20 181 195
RELIANCE 1192 Down 31.01.20 1412 1210
SBI 183 Down 03.03.20 290 230
SHREECEM 16064 Down 19.03.20 - 21000
SUN PHARMA 437 Down 25.10.18 559 500
TATA MOTORS 68 DOWN 07.05.19 191 220
TATA STEEL 275 Down 31.01.20 439 315
TCS 1705 Down 12.03.20 1770 2080
TECHM 559 Down 12.03.20 650 770
TITAN 913 Down 12.03.20 1077 1240
ULTRACEMCO 3256 Down 12.03.20 3664 4150
UPL 320 Down 30.07.19 574 640
VEDL 70 Down 20.03.18 287 210

5
STOCKS CLOSING PRICE TREND DATE TREND CHANGED RATE TREND CHANGED CLOSING STOP LOSS
WIPRO 193 Down 16.08.19 250 275
ZEEL 143 Down 28.06.18 539 490

Note: These levels should not be confused with the weekly trendsheet which is sent in weekly magazine in the name of "Wisemoney"

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