Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
nl/orie
Hülya Canbakal
Sabancı University, Istanbul
1
Peter H. Lindert, “Unequal English wealth since 1670”, The Journal of Political Economy,
94 (1986), pp. 1130-1; Richard H. Steckel and Carolyn M. Moehling, “Rising inequality:
trends in the distribution of wealth in industrializing New England”, The Journal of Economic
History, 61 (2001), pp. 160-83. Henry Phelps Brown, Egalitarianism and the Generation of
Inequality (Oxford: Clarendon, 1991), pp. 312-13, identifies an improvement in everyone’s lot,
already in the 19th century.
2
For example, Christian Morrisson and Wayne Snyder, “The income inequality of France in
historical perspective”, European Review of Economic History, 4 (2000), pp. 59-83; Leandro Pra-
dos de la Escosura, “Inequality and poverty in Latin America: a long-run exploration”, in New
© Koninklijke Brill NV, Leiden, 2009 DOI: 10.1163/007865209X12555048403772
238 H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252
ity in 18th-century Kastamonu: estimations for the Muslim majority”, International Journal of
Middle East Studies, 40/1 (2008), pp. 23-46.
8
Carole Shammas, “The determinants of personal wealth in seventeenth-century England
and America”, The Journal of Economic History, 37/3 (1977), pp. 675-89; Lindert, “Unequal
English wealth”, p. 1129.
9
Lindert, “Unequal English wealth”, p. 1132; Alice Hanson Jones, “Wealth estimates for
the New England Colonies about 1770”, The Journal of Economic History, 32/1 (1972), p. 111;
Shammas, “The determinants of personal wealth”, p. 678.
10
Carole Shammas, “Constructing a wealth distribution from probate records”, Journal of
Interdisciplinary History, 9/2 (1978), pp. 297-307; Peter H. Lindert, “An algorithm for probate
sampling”, Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 11/4, (1981), pp. 649-68; and idem, “Unequal
English wealth”, p. 1139.
11
Hülya Canbakal, Society and Politics in an Ottoman Town: Ayntab in the Seventeenth Cen-
tury (Leiden: Brill, 2007), pp. 139-45; Boğaç Ergene, Local Court, Provincial Society and Justice
in the Ottoman Empire. Legal Practice and Dispute Resolution in Çankırı and Kastomonu (1652-
1744) (Leiden and Boston: Brill, 2003), pp. 76-98; idem, “Social identity and patterns of inter-
action in the shariʿa court of Kastamonu (1740-44)”, Islamic Law and Society, 15/1 (2008),
pp. 19-20.
240 H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252
Fig. 1
Distribution of Probates in Seventeenth-Century Ayntab
2
Frequency of Probates
0
0
0
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
50
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
Value ( guruş)
Table 1
Size Distribution of Probates in Seventeenth-Century Ayntab
0-100 101-200 201-500 501-1,000 1,001- 2,001- 5,001-
2,000 5,000 10,000
27 29 21 4 11 8 3
(26.20%) (28.20%) (20.40%) (3.90%) (10.70%) (7.80%) (2.90%)
12
Ultimately one has to know the living standards in the two cities to use common criteria
of economic classification. Considering the size of each town, it is quite possible that the thresh-
old of ‘modest living’ in Ayntab was lower.
13
See also Abraham Marcus, The Middle East on the Eve of Modernity, Aleppo in the Eigh-
teenth Century (New York: Columbia University Press, 1989), pp. 66-7. Yet, Marcus finds a
much larger ‘middle class’ in Aleppo.
H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252 241
wealthiest 20 per cent held 75.90 per cent; the wealthiest and the next quin-
tile together held 90 per cent of the total wealth registered, with two thirds of
the estates holding only one tenth of the total wealth. It will be seen below
that Ayntab was not unique among Ottoman cities with this highly unequal
pattern of distribution. In fact, this pattern essentially paralleled the situation
in contemporary European towns: here, too, 30-60 per cent of the popula-
tion was unpropertied while two to five per cent owned almost everything.14
Whether or not it was typical of the pre-modern (or the early modern world)
in general, we can safely state that it was distinctly different from most of the
modern world today. The poorest 20 per cent of the estates in 17th-century
Ayntab accounted for a mere quarter of the share that the same group had in
Turkey in 2003, and that was identical with the share of the poorest 20 per
cent in United Kingdom in 1978-79 (Table 2). Likewise, all wealth groups
increased their relative share both in Turkey and United Kingdom in the 20th
century with a very similar momentum while the share of the wealthiest
20 per cent alone shrank significantly. The 19th century had witnessed a
change in the opposite direction, at least, in England.
Table 2
Quintile Distribution of Wealth in Ottoman Ayntab,
Modern Turkey and United Kingdom
Ayntab Turkey United Kingdom
Late 17th century 200315 1978/7916
Lowest 20% 1.64 6.00 6.00
Next 20% 3.34 10.30 10.30
Next 20% 5.44 14.50 14.30
Next 20% 15.01 20.90 26.90
Highest 20% 75.90 48.30 42.50
14
Van Zanden, “Tracing the beginning of the Kuznets curve”, pp. 646-47; Brown, Egalitari-
anism, pp. 306-10; Alexander F. Cowan, Urban Europe, 1500-1700 (London: Arnold, 1998),
p. 152; Christopher Friedrichs, The Early Modern City, 1450-1750 (London: Longman, 1995),
pp. 150-1.
15
Burcu Duygan and Nezih Güner, “Income and consumption inequality in Turkey: what
role does education play?”, in Sumru Altuğ and Alpay Filiztekin (eds.), The Turkish Economy:
the Real Economy, Corporate Governance, and Reform (New York: Routledge, 2006), p. 65.
16
Brown, Egalitarianism, p. 312.
242 H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252
17
Van Zanden, “Tracing the beginning of the Kuznets curve”, p. 645.
18
Adapted from Todorov, The Balkan City, p. 158. The samples for Ruse and Vidin are
rather small and can be considered useful only for a preliminary consideration.
19
Todorov’s akçe figures have been converted to guruş (at the rate of 120:1), hence the odd
division of the classes of wealth in Table 3.
20
Establet, Pascual and Raymond, “La mesure de l’inégalité”, p. 179; for Ayntab, Canbakal,
Society and Politics, Appendix. The figure for Cairo is for the 18th century in Raymond, Artisans
et commerçants, vol. 2, p. 374.
H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252 243
Table 3
Size Distribution of Estates: Ayntab and Small to Medium-Size Towns
Estate size 0-417 425-833 842-4,167 4,175 Total
(guruş)
Vidin 15(62.50%) 6(25.00%) 3(12.50%) 0(0.00%) 24(100.00%)
Ruse 24(58.54%) 7(17.07%) 9(21.95%) 1(2.44%) 41(100.00%)
Ayntab 75(72.82%) 5(4.85%) 20(19.42%) 3(2.91%) 103(100.00%)
Table 4
Polarity of Wealth: Ayntab and Provincial Centres
1682-1700 Smallest/Largest Estates (guruş) Ratio
Ayntab 12/7,613.25 1:634
Damascus 10/32,541.00 1:3,000
Cairo 5.9/60,588.50 1:10,000
About a century later, the distribution of wealth in Ayntab was more unequal
(Table 5). For example, the average size of the poorest estates, i.e. the bottom
28.1 per cent, was 68 guruş in the 17th century, while the average estate size
in the top one percentile was 7,613 guruş, or 111.9 times the size of the
poorest.21 In the sample from 1760-78, the respective figures were: 50 guruş
average in the poorest group and 13,500 guruş in the top one percentile.
Thus, the distance between the two groups reached a ratio of 1:270. In other
words, the poor became more than twice as poor in comparison with the
richest.22 The poorest group also declined vis-à-vis all others in different
degrees. A reverse trend is observed only in the third group. If we were to
correlate it with data in Table 2, this group represents the lower half of the
21
The format of the 18th-century data found in Özlü has determined the relative size of
each wealth group. Özlü classifies his estates in groups of 0-100, 101-500, 501-1000, 1001-
5,000, 5,001-10,000, and each group makes up 28.1 per cent, 51.5 per cent, 10.7 per cent, 6.8
per cent, 1.9 per cent and 1 per cent of his data base. This distribution has been applied to the
17th-century probates and the average wealth per probate has been determined accordingly.
Özlü, “XVIII. Yüzyılın İkinci Yarısında Gaziantep”, Appendix 1-2.
22
This is actually a minimalist estimate. See footnote 21.
244 H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252
highest quintile. In other words, lower sections of the upper class appear to
have declined in relative terms.
Table 5
Change in Average Wealth Relative to the Poorest
17th Century 18th Century
Wealth Relative size Average Wealth Average Wealth
groups in of the wealth wealth per groups wealth per groups relative
ascending group23 (%) probate24 relative to probate to the
order (guruş) the poorest (guruş) poorest
1. 28.10 68 1.00 50 1.00
2. 51.50 265 3.90 300 6.00
3. 10.70 1,444 21.20 750 15.00
4. 6.80 3,005 44.20 3,000 60.00
5. 1.90 5,175 76.10 7,500 150.00
6. 1.00 7,613 13,50025 270.00
23
See footnote 21.
24
Reflects nominal value in 17th-century guruş. If adjusted according to the 18th-century
silver-value of guruş in terms of its silver content, the 17th-century averages would be much
higher. Şevket Pamuk, “Money in the Ottoman empire, 1326-1914”, in An Economic and Social
History of the Ottoman Empire, ed. by Halil İnalcık and Donald Quataert (Cambridge: Cam-
bridge University Press, 1994), pp. 966-7.
25
Özlü cites five estates in the category of probates larger than 10,000 guruş and specifies
the actual amount only in one case as 27,500 guruş. Thus, the minimum total wealth in this
category can be assumed to have been 27,500+(10,001x4)= 67,500. The average, therefore,
would be 13,500.
H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252 245
estimates for the wealthiest (10,000+) group, the disparity between the top
and the bottom must have actually been wider.26
Table 6
Polarity of Wealth
Average Wealth: Average Wealth: Top 1% to
Top 1% (guruş) Bottom 95% bottom 95%
(guruş)
17th Century 7,613.00 455.74 16.70 x
18th Century 4,505.40 121.45 37.00 x
26
See footnote 25.
27
Hüseyin Çınar, “18. Yüzyılın İlk Yarısında Ayıntab Şehri’nin Sosyal ve Ekonomik
Durumu,” Ph.D. diss., İstanbul University, 2000, pp. 22-55, 192-251, 319-38; Canbakal, Soci-
ety and Politics, pp. 27-33, 38-48.
246 H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252
Fig. 2
Long-Term Trends of Economic Activity in Ayntab28
1810 and 1:225 in 1875.29 In other words, there was a much heavier concen-
tration of wealth in England at the very top. In the lower echelons of the
wealthy estates, however, for example, the top 10 per cent or 20 per cent con-
sidered together, the difference between Ayntab and England was not as dra-
matic: while in Ayntab the top ten per cent of the estates held 70 per cent of
the overall wealth, in England, the same group represented 82 per cent of
the total wealth (83.3 per cent and 91.3 per cent respectively among the top
20 per cent)30 (Table 8b-c).
28
Dotted lines are more conjectural than the rest.
29
Lindert, “Unequal English wealth”, pp. 1140, 1145, 1147. The gap between the top one
percentile and the lower 95 percent was smaller in the case of personality but increased at a
much higher speed. John A. James, “Personal wealth distribution in late-eighteenth-century
Britain”, The Economic History Review, 41/4 (1988), p. 561.
30
Lindert, “Unequal English wealth”, p. 1145; James, “Personal wealth distribution”, p. 559.
H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252 247
18th century although, as seen earlier, the poorest became twice as poor
(Table 5). This is a remarkable development and suggests an improvement in
the lot of the ‘middling sort’. Who exactly constituted these ‘middling sort’
needs qualitative reading of the registers concerned.
Table 7a
Share of Wealth Held by the Lower Half
Place 1682-1700 ~1760-1798
Ayntab 7.20% 14.14%
Damascus31 4.50%
Cairo32 4.30%
Table 7b
Share of Wealth Held By the Top Three Percentile33 3435
Place 1682-1717 ~1760-1798
Ayntab 25.35% 37.16%
34
Damascus 49.00%
35
Cairo 50.15%
As for the Balkan towns under consideration, the situation in Ruse and Vidin
does not lend itself to an easy interpretation. They maintained a more even
pattern of distribution than Ayntab as had been the case in the previous cen-
tury. The share of the largest estates in Ruse and Vidin in total wealth was no
more than a third of the share of the same group in Ayntab (6.50 per cent
and 5.08 per cent to 18.36 per cent) (Table 8a). The limited data I use sug-
gest that the distribution of wealth deteriorated in Ruse at a rate roughly on a
par with Ayntab in the range of top 10-20 percentile but not at the very top,
where deterioration in Ayntab was much sharper. The change in Vidin in the
same period was insignificant (Table 8a-c).
31
Establet, Pascual and Raymond, “La mesure de l’inégalité”, pp. 171-82.
32
Establet, Pascual and Raymond, “La mesure de l’inégalité”, p. 177.
33
Three per cent for Cairo, 2.5 per cent for Damascus, 3.03 per cent for Ayntab.
34
Establet, Pascual and Raymond, “La mesure de l’inégalité”, p. 179.
35
Establet, Pascual and Raymond, “La mesure de l’inégalité”, p. 176.
248 H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252
Table 8a
Share of Wealth Held by the Top One Percentile36
Place 17th century 18th century
Ayntab 10.74 18.96
36
Ruse 4.75 6.50
Vidin 4.17 5.08
Sofia 5.22
Table 8b
Share of Wealth Held by the Top Ten Percentile37
Place 17th century 18th century
Ayntab 55.30 70.00
37
Damascus 70.00
Ruse 32.39 48.38
Vidin 41.73 41.56
Sofia 40.63
Table 8c
Share of Wealth Held by the Top 20 Percentile
Place 17th century 18th century
Ayntab 77.45 83.30
Ruse 60.13 68.11
Vidin 60.00 60.55
Sofia 59.30
36
As with the 18th-century figures for Ayntab, Todorov’s estate data are classified in groups
with no upper limit specified for the wealthiest. I have assumed that the largest probates varied
between 501,000 and 1,000,000 akçes in the 17th century and the six largest estate varied
between 5,001 and 10,000 in the 18th century.
37
Establet, Pascual and Raymond, “La mesure de l’inégalité”, p. 180.
H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252 249
enced economic and demographic growth in the 18th century like many
other places in the empire, including Ayntab itself, and one could tentatively
assume that the three towns remained roughly on a par, at least in terms of
population size, from the 16th through the 18th century.38 The same applies
to Sofia, which became highly commercial in the 18th century and compara-
ble to Ayntab, but had a relatively low level of inequality, more like Ruse and
Vidin (Table 8a-c). Thus, we may have to look for the reasons for the more
unequal structure of wealth in Ayntab beyond the factors of growth and
urbanization.
Conclusion
There are various conclusions that can be drawn. The distribution of wealth
in 17th-century Ayntab was already highly unequal and bore common fea-
tures with many contemporary towns outside the Ottoman empire. By the
second half of the following century, the situation further deteriorated with
higher wealth groups getting better off and the bottom plunging further. This
development paralleled van Zanden’s “super Kuznets curve of early moder-
nity” even if it did not represent the onset of a structural change that could
eventually reverse the curve towards more equality. Our knowledge about the
economic situation in Ayntab during the two centuries covered here is still
too patchy to speculate further.
Secondly, the shrinkage observed in the average wealth found in the pro-
bates from 1760-78 is remarkable. The average estate size in the 17th century
was 688 guruş and it went down to 248 guruş in real terms in the 18th cen-
tury. The decline was most radical in the lower tiers of wealth although,
admittedly, the direction and degree of change in the living standards of dif-
ferent social classes, or “real, as opposed to nominal inequality”,39 cannot be
38
Ayntab appears to have been the most populated of the three in the 16th century. Accord-
ing to cadastral surveys, Ayntab had 1,865 households in 1536 and 2,988 households in 1574
while the respective figures for Vidin and Ruse were 650 and 668 in 1520-30 and 2,152 and
1,699 in 1571-80. Todorov, The Balkan City, p. 67. Vidin and Ruse are estimated to have had a
population of 20,000 and 30,000 each in the 18th century — although McGowan himself
considers these figures slightly inflated. Bruce McGowan, “The age of the ayans”, in İnalcık and
Quataert, An Economic and Social History, p. 653. For 18th-century Ayntab we do not have
estimates. It may have reached a size comparable to Vidin and Ruse, but in the following cen-
tury, its population remained in the range of 20,000-43,000. Canbakal, Society and Politics,
Appendix for population estimates.
39
Philip T. Hoffman et al., “Real inequality in Europe since 1500”, The Journal of Economic
History, 62/2 (2002), p. 322.
250 H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252
40
Şevket Pamuk, “Osmanlı Zenginleri Servetlerini Nasıl Kullanırlardı?” Unpublished Paper,
TÜBA (2002), p. 4. I would like to thank Professor Pamuk for giving me a copy of his paper.
41
Canbakal, Society and Politics, p. 39.
H. Canbakal / Oriens 37 (2009) 237-252 251
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