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2010 / 10
Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary............................................................................................. 4
2 Introduction.......................................................................................................... 6
2.1 Green ICT – Just another Fashion? ............................................................ 6
2.2 Purpose of the Survey – The Scale of Impact ............................................. 7
3 Perception – How do you see…? ...................................................................... 11
4 Approach – How do you address…?................................................................. 17
5 Activities – What do you do…?.......................................................................... 24
5.1 External – Facing Market........................................................................... 24
5.2 Internal – Facing In-House ........................................................................ 27
5.3 Financial – ROI & TCO .............................................................................. 28
6 Conclusion – The Green Hype Split .................................................................. 30
7 The Authors ....................................................................................................... 32
8 The Company .................................................................................................... 33
Table of Figures
Color Code:
1 Executive Summary
Carriers around the world are looking for new opportunities to reduce internal costs, grow
revenue through new services and smart solutions, and to create a positive brand image in
the hope that this results in promoting stickiness and lowering churn and at the same time
ensures compliance with regulations, satisfies stakeholders’ expectations, and avoids
bringing the company into the line of public fire. Green Information & Communication
Technology (ICT) – everything around sustainability and energy-efficiency in the
telecommunications space – has the potential to address all the above angles; if it is done
right.
At the moment it is (still) challenging to clearly distinguish between hype and reality in this
field. Therefore it is crucial to initiate the right steps and in the right order as the market is still
in its infancy, seeking new (or alternative) business models and best practice approaches.
Waiting is not an option because otherwise conflicts with upcoming regulations are
guaranteed.
The content of this publication is a reflection on the answers given to a survey by selected
ICT companies. It delivers first-hand insights as to what suppliers, vendors, and partners of
carriers have on their “green mind”. The survey addressed various fields (perception,
approach, activities) of the Green ICT sector and the answers are used to identify green
patterns and trends. Carriers should consider them for the development of their own green
strategies and approaches. When it comes to environmental-friendly actions, imitation is
highly welcome as it serves the greater good.
The sketch (Figure 1) illustrates the key take home messages and attitudes stemming from
the Valley. They are discussed in detail in this publication.
Embrace “green”
knowledge sharing Stick to public
Imitation is Walk the promises. Ideal:
along the supply OK
chain and other Talk Under-promise/
carriers. over-deliver.
New green business & services are enabled by technology, not the other way around.
The outcome of this survey will for sure not provide the solution for the “theory of everything”.
However, size indeed matters in this case and the impact scales directly with it. The
participants have double-digit telco market shares within their fields of core business.1 When
put together those companies essentially have a grip on 40% to 90% of the global telco
market. They are the main hardware, software, service and solution providers to the majority
of carriers around the world; they are the giants within their fields. Whatever “green” path
these players choose to walk will be the trail others shall follow. Carriers should therefore
pay close attention.
1
Disclaimer: All logos shown within this document are registered trademarks of the respective companies in the
U.S. and other countries. Logos are the property of their respective owners. The use of logos in this document
does not imply a partnership relationship between Detecon International (including its affiliated and subsidiary
companies) and any other company shown in this document.
This publication is derived from sources believed to be accurate and reliable, but neither its accuracy nor
completeness is guaranteed. The material and information in this publication are provided "as is" and without
warranties of any kind, either expressed or implied. Any opinions and views in this publication reflect the current
judgment of the authors and may change without notice. It is each reader's responsibility to evaluate the
accuracy, completeness and usefulness of any opinions, advice, services or other information provided in this
publication.
The information and opinions contained in this publication constitutes neither a solicitation, nor a
recommendation, nor an offer to buy or sell investment instruments or other services, or to engage in any other
kind of transaction. The information described in this publication is not directed to persons in any jurisdiction
where the provision of such information would run counter to local laws and regulation. Detecon International and
its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies disclaim all warranties, expressed or implied, including, but not
limited to, implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose.
2 Introduction
A core attribute of something being “en vogue” is that it tends to come and go. When at
times trendy products, services and attitudes get into the minds and imaginations of
consumers, they get onto the rollercoaster and run through the product life cycle until they
reach their natural end. For the last 2 years “green” appeared to be on a similar ride.
Is “being green” just a fashion? Another “wave” that will roll up to the beach, break a few
small sand-castles and then recede quietly? Or will it last longer and show tangible
sustainability? Trends often fall in the former category – a wave that is quickly rising and
then falling again.
2009 was when “Green” entered the collective imagination of consumers and governments.
It was a record year for “green” investments2. Every day brought new announcements, new
promises and new ideas. Discussions on greenhouse emissions and green technologies
were collectively spurred by nervous investors looking for the next stock market darling to
arrive, governments interested in new opportunities for job creation and consumers
interested in reducing their environmental footprint. In the year 2009 everyone was suddenly
involved and interested in both sides – green bucks and green trees.
This compelling mixture of demands and expectations triggered the urgency on part of
businesses to act. For one, it became clear that reducing expenses was crucial and could
potentially be the difference between bankruptcy and survival. In addition it started to
become clear that the public had generally accepted the idea of man-made global warming
and that companies would need to be viewed as “green” in order to be considered socially
acceptable (much like changes in public perception of pollution control, labor policies and
equal opportunities for women in the decades past). As a logical consequence, the public
and the government began drawing their attention to big industry players by judging and
observing their initiatives to drive a better (greener) future. Expectations and pressure from
and on the industry were put on a fast-track and (unfortunately) “green” was pulled into the
marketing machinery. The term “green” got exploited, deformed and abused to the very
limits. Suddenly everyone and everything was green, just in different shades.
Over the course of 2010 it has become rather quiet around the green bubble. Or so it seems.
In reality, activities have actually moved on to a different (higher) level. A lot simply has been
pushed out of the public radar and is taking place in-house. It is the result of lessons that
many companies had to learn in a rather painful way. Fingers were burned by having pushed
“green” marketing campaigns a bit too far. Due to misconception, over-hype, big promises
and small results, the term “green” is still viewed with suspicion by many consumers and
regulatory agencies. Companies have now realized that it is better to under-promise, then
over-deliver and do so without too much publicity.
2
Green Transition Scoreboard: Findings on Investments since 2007, July 2010
The purpose of this publication is to separate the reality from the hype in terms of green
activities. It aims to understand how leading players from Silicon Valley are dealing with and
working on energy efficiency and sustainability.
The survey is custom-tailored for the telecommunications industry and in particular for
carriers. The questions asked are addressing various fields of the Green ICT sector. The
survey identifies patterns and trends amongst the participants. These are useful for carriers
to consider for the development of their own green endeavors and optimizations as well as
for Corporate Social Responsibility strategy.
The survey has been conducted with only a few companies (in total 10, see Figure 2). Yet
these participants all have global market shares in the double-digit range within their fields of
core business. When put together they “control” 40% to 90% of the market. They are the
main hardware, software, service and solution providers to the majority of carriers around the
world. These companies are the giants within their fields. Size indeed matters and the impact
scales directly with it.
Every individual can no doubt contribute to a sustainable future. However, if action points for
solutions and changes have to be put onto a fast track, then the scale of impact matters. As
mentioned before, this naturally draws the attention to the large industry players rather than
end-consumers. A single move of a large enterprise may be of equal impact as to having
numerous end-consumers decide, act and move simultaneously. Consider the following
hypothetical scenario: A software update designed to increase the efficiency of power
consumption, is remotely pushed onto end-consumer laptops and PCs. About 1.5 billion
PC’s are worldwide in use3. Assuming that just 30% of these are configured to accept
automatic updates, the effect of such an automated remote push would be the equivalent of
a scenario where 500 million end-consumers proactively search the Internet for energy-
saving tools, install and then start using such a tool all in the same night. Which scenario is
more likely?
As for the interviews themselves, they were all conducted with VP’s, Directors and Principles
of these companies. Their titles might differ as might the names of their groups (Figure 3).
Regardless, all of the interviewees were directly involved with energy efficiency &
sustainability related topics within their respective companies. For a topic such as Green ICT
which is still in its burgeoning state and suffers from a lack of best practices & maturity,
talking to specialized group/division heads is important in order to gather both vision and
detail.
Green
Energy Energy
Business
Efficient Efficiency
Operations
Solutions Group
& Strategy
Climate Green
Environmental Corporate Business &
&
Sustainability Sustainability Technology
Energy
Group Group Development
Strategy
Power Energy
Eco- Strategies & &
Environmental Sustainable Environment
Engineering Technologies Group
Participants were chosen to avoid developing a “tunnel view”, e.g. only focusing on the top
10 network component manufacturers (or any other sector). From a carriers’ perspective this
would only be a slice of the ecosystem surrounding it. A carrier can be seen as multi-layered
structure. Each of these layers serves a specific purpose and is being provided or supported
by specific industry sectors.4 The goal of the survey is to cover as many relevant layers as
possible and to gain insights along their own supply chain (Figure 4).
3
George Shiffler, Gartner Research: PC Installed Base, Worldwide, April 2008
4
We neglect for a moment that there is a trend in the telco industry to either expand vertically or to acquire
companies to enter new business fields (inorganic growth). The figure above should be seen as traditional. In
reality, the individual pieces of the puzzle would not have sharp boundaries and rather show a strong overlap.
However, results of the survey remain unimpaired.
Within this report the interviewee’s responses have been sorted to fit areas of Green ICT
which are relevant to (Figure 5):
Perception & Definition
Approaches
Impacts on business & technology
Internal activities (in-house) The survey is custom-tailored for the
External activities (market-facing) telecommunications industry, in
particular for carriers.
Financial impacts
Financial impacts
of Green ICT? Survey Technology &
Business impacts
of Green ICT?
The reader should note that activities and initiatives around “Green” are still in transition.
They are shifting from an optimization-driven approach of IT systems & hardware such as
datacenters, facilities, computers, and network systems (aka Green ICT 1.0) to beyond the
walls of the company. The so-called Green ICT 2.0 is aiming for a birds-eye view
perspective, going for the holistic picture with all its collateral impacts. Prime attention is
therefore being drawn to, for instance, carbon management, embodied energy, green cities,
smart homes, and green supply chain management.
The participants of the green survey are the giants within the telecommunications
industry. Their responses and the deducted patterns & trends are to be considered by
carriers for the development of their own green endeavors and optimizations.
5
Dr. E. Dulkeith; R. Mukherjee (Detecon): OpEx and CO2 – Killing Two Birds with One Green Stone. Strategic
Considerations for incorporating Sustainability & Energy Efficiency in Access Networks, April 2010
How an enterprise or individual perceives “green” has a large impact on their expectations,
behavior, priorities, roadmaps, initiatives, etc. In the framework of this survey the term
“perception” is used as an umbrella term covering awareness, perspective, definition,
attitude, opinion, and conception. It determines how reality is seen and approached.
When asked about their definition of Green ICT, most players answered that neither purely
economical nor ecological definitions apply and that it was a blend of both.
“Nowadays, short-term ROI are prime directive as capital has become very
important and budget spending has been shortened. The global economic situation
has shifted priorities from “environment comes first” to “reducing costs comes first”. ROI
has reached new levels of importance. Just recently, “green” was mainly correlated to
power savings via AC, UPS and regulator improvements. The timeline was less urgent.”
10
70%
30%
0 0
When asked about the relative importance of different drivers for Green ICT most players
answered that cost savings dominate. 8 out of 10 companies stated that reducing costs is
the most important driver for green (Driver 1 in Figure 7)6. This is in agreement with the
previous question. However, adding potential governmental regulations as an additional
consideration permits more insight into the drivers for the individual companies in light of
their core businesses.
Driver 1 Driver 2 Driver 3
6
As will be seen later this implies that green in-house initiatives for cost-saving should come first (= reducing
Opex) because any tapping into the external “product line” in general requires first, significant R&D investments
(= increased expenses) and, second, is time consuming.
7
REN21 Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century: Global Trends in Green Energy in 2009 and
Global Status Report 2010, July 2010
8
Each interviewee (10 in total) was allowed to provide one complete set of ranks (First, Second, Third). Hence, the
total yields 300% as shown in Figure Figure 7).
The concern (and consequently the ranking) is justified as hardware is a “measurable box”
with detailed technical specifications. A piece of hardware can easily be put to a pass/fail
test, its carbon emissions can be easily determined and calculated and it can be subjected
to enforced boundary conditions for energy-efficiency 9.
“While some countries are leading & driving environmental friendly considerations for
ICT (e.g. Australia, UK, US, Germany) in far more countries new regulations are
emerging. From this point of view, being compliant with emerging regulations has
higher priority than being green.”
9
One example is the ISO 50001 (International Standards Organization) which is planned to be published in about
a year from now (ISO 50001 on Energy Management Systems: Approved as Draft International Standard,
http://www.ansi.org/news_publications, June 2010). The US Department of Energy has been one of the primary
motivators. In light of the current popularity (and true need) for energy efficiency the development of 50001 was
shortened to 3 years (instead of regular 5 years). 50001 will become the new standard for energy management. It
will be issued to complement ISO 9001 (quality management) and ISO 14001 (environmental management).
It can be concluded however that cost savings is clearly perceived as the major driver while
compliance with regulations and acting in a sustainable and environmentally friendly manner
both share the second place.
When setting green priorities carriers should assess the scope & nature of their assets.
Even though cost savings are prime directive the degree of regulatory impact can vary
significantly. VNO’s and ISP’s with only moderate hardware assets can be less
concerned about legal compliance whereas local incumbents should be alerted.
When asked as to how they perceive the market in terms of hype versus tangible benefits of
Green ICT the replies were rather evenly distributed between “equal”, “more hype”, and
“more tangible” with 40%, 30%, and 30% of the votes respectively (Figure 8).
This spread should not hide the fact that all participants agree that a green hype factor exists
in ICT and this factor is significantly greater than in other industry sectors. As the last two
years have shown, the market has been green-washed and numerous companies have tried
to exaggerate their position when trying to paint themselves in various shades of green.
However, the trend is slowly shifting from “equal” towards “more tangible”.
Another point worth emphasizing is that several companies responded to the hype question
by breaking it into different target groups. In consensus, “more hype” is seen in conjunction
with end-consumers while the business space is associated with “more tangible benefits”.
“Lots of clients for services and The green market still suffers from a lack of
business solutions are clearly tangibility. Facts and hard numbers are the only
aware of the necessity of way to objectively distinguish between hype and
efficiency benefits yet it is not reality. Although slowly emerging, there are no
clear and still challenging to global standards, benchmarks and references yet
determine how large the “green” to create an objective assessment and
benefits are. This is the biggest comparison. This is still up to the company.
challenge: How to measure it?”
When asked about their opinion on how the customer/end-consumer perceives “Green” and
whether a positive perception by the end consumer may show positive impacts on revenue,
most players replied in the negative.
Most interviewees felt that consumers are not willing to accept reduced performance (saving
energy) in order to contribute to an environmental friendly behavior (0%, Figure 9). 90% of
all companies agree upon that the consumer looks at the carrier and expects green new
products without any sacrifices in performance at all. As will be discussed later, the end-
consumers are seen as the second strongest group to push green changes (Figure 15).
0 2
Sensitized & expects green ecological Sensitized & expects green ecological Frustrated & confused by exaggerated
advances advances green-washing attempts throughout all
market segments
In general, green is not seen as a “feature” where consumers are willing to pay a significant
premium fee. The private end-consumer does not and cannot think in ROI terms, and hence
exhibit only limited willingness to pay a premium for the moment (if at all and even then only
a minor one). This is very different for companies. Considerations of special agreements
along the supply chain could be taken into consideration and could potentially be used to
compensate & balance each other e.g. costs for R&D in product advances from the
manufacturer’s side against OPEX reductions in the carrier network. This should be
communicated to manufacturers and carriers.
Silicon Valley players feel that end-consumers will not accept any premium-fee or
performance drop for the sake of being green. Carriers have to bear this in mind.
100% of companies agree that end-consumer have the final word. They decide if a
green product & service will shine or flop.
10
The reason for having a total of 110% in Figure 9 is the result of one company differentiating its answers by
geographical region stating that customers in Asia are leading edge with communication technology, hence, have
high standards and do not accept any performance drawback at all (answer “not willing”).
On the other hand, other regions may never have really cared (answer “ignorant”) simply because the majority of
energy has always been green, for instance from wind, water, solar, and geothermal sources. From an
environmental perspective any high power consumption has never really been an issue.
The perception of a company on market and target groups is essential. But equally
important is the approach adopted to address the situation. This chapter deals with
questions around the green approaches of the Silicon Valley players.
When asked about which business segment will Green ICT have a larger impact on more
than twice as many companies (70% versus 30%) responded that it will be the technology
that drives Green ICT.
When asked to name specific sectors within the technology segment where green activities
are expected to make an impact again three answers dominated the responses11:
Energy Management on Software Level with 7 out of 10. Energy efficient
hardware is only effective as long as it is being intelligently managed. This is
not essential for a single “box”, but for a nationwide (or global) carrier network
intelligent management via smart software that orchestrates all components in
a harmonic way is a key vision for any telecommunications operator. This is not
only true for carriers but also true for any company with large numbers of
employees (which implies at least an extensive internal network and many
desktops and laptops).
Data Center Optimization with 6 out of 10. As DC’s are not exclusive to
carriers the optimization is seen as a key activity field. It should be noted
though that here there is a fundamental difference to carriers. While the
majority of participants certainly have their own data centers to manage,
operate, and maintain, none of them owns a nationwide telecommunications
network. As explained in a recent Detecon publication12, it is the network itself
(combined hardware and software in the access, aggregation, and core) that is
the main contributor to a carrier’s energy bill.
Energy-Efficient Hardware with 5 out of 10. Advancements in hardware are
the fundamental ingredients for any sustainability & energy-efficiency
approach. Having the “same” hardware offering the “same” performance and
yet consuming only a fraction of the power the previous model consumed is the
perennial goal. Without improved power consumption at the hardware level,
intelligent software can barely make a difference without impairing the
performance. One clear path the industry is walking and intensively pushing is
the development of silicon photonics13 and next-generation multi-core
processors14.
11
R&D was not added as an option. Any advancement in technology commences with R&D, hence, it is taken for
granted to be an essential part of most technology activities. For instance, without R&D neither advanced
technology can be designed nor software developed. However, several companies still commented RD and
mentioned that R&D is a key ingredient and activity field within technology.
12
Dr. E. Dulkeith; R. Mukherjee (Detecon): OpEx and CO2 – Killing Two Birds with One Green Stone. Strategic
Considerations for incorporating Sustainability & Energy Efficiency in Access Networks, April 2010
13
Dr. E. Dulkeith; Dr. K. Grunert; S. van-der Merwe (Detecon): Photonic Packet Switching and the Evolution of
Optical Networks, November 2008
14
Dr. E. Dulkeith; Dr. Dominik Schmidt (Detecon/Intel): Convergence on a Chip: Potential Opportunities for Telco
Industry, August 2007
Figure 11: What are the prime green activity fields within the technology sector
Figure 11 shows that more than 60% of all responses (on average) regarding key activity
fields in technology are assigned to the above three categories15. At the low end of the
ranking, alternative energy, carrier network energy audits and substitution products can be
found (all 10%). A few further notes/comments are given for clarification:
15
Similar to previous questions, each participant was allowed to give 3 answers. This yields a total of 3x10
responses which was set equal to 300% as a total. This means that the sum of, for instance, DC (60%),
Hardware (50%) and Software (70%) equals 180%/300% = 60% of all answers.
16
Warren Wilson, Sustainability Management: An Opportunity for CIO’s, Jan 2010
17
Green Telecom East Conference: Transitioning to Environmentally Responsible Networks, New York City, June
2009
When asked to name specific sectors within the business segment where green activities
are expected to make an impact three answers dominated the responses (Figure 12):
Note that above answers (60% - 80%) have been chosen up to 2 - 8 times more often than
any alternative (10% - 30%), showing a clear preference of the Silicon Valley players18.
Organizational
20%
” Innovation on the business Restructuring
level is crucial”
60%
Procurement Design, 80%
Purchase Criteria
ROI and Cost
Calculations
Figure 12: What are the prime green activity fields within the business sector
18
Each participant was allowed to give 3 answers. This yields a total of 3x10 responses which was set equal to
300% as a total.
Looking at the very end of the rankings, the fields of activities which are not seen as being
key are PR and product sales approaches. 80 - 90 % of all participants did not vote for them.
As explained in the introduction of this document, the Silicon Valley community has become
cautious and rather prefers to “walk the talk”, then announce achievement instead of
communicating future “yet to be realized” plans and goals.
Optimize supply chain and define green purchase criteria (code of conduct).
Analyze and balance cost factors for going green.
Lastly when asked about whether any particular approach might be the most promising to
address Green ICT most interviewees responded that internal changes offered the brightest
immediate prospects.
This chapter covers all questions related to the specific activities. This is the logical
progression after having assessed the definition of sustainability & energy-efficiency (given
one’s own core business) and accordingly determined the approach.
External activities are initiatives that are meant to address the market - either from a
customer-facing perspective or in the opposite direction along the supply chain. Figure 14
gives an overview of activities of all participants.
CSR Reports
Audit and
Community
Compliance
Involvement
Eco Incentives
Carbon
Impacts? Footprint Code of Conduct Impacts?
Efforts? Calculations Efforts?
Green P&S
Roadblocks? Roadblocks?
Paperless Billing Ranking
Partnerships & Alliances
Dynamic Energy
Web Energy Pricing
POP Virtualization
Calculator
Telephony Soft Network
Biodegradable Community
Clients Energy
packaging Opportunities
Management
Internet Portal CustomerAlternative Market external Application
Development Home
Education energy activities, products & Tools Device Automation
Carbon Consulting & Intelligence services Energy Management
Corporate Vehicles Virtualization Services &
Public Transportation Utilization Enhancement
Suggestions Product Facility Control
Efficiency Assurance
Smart Processors Silicon Behavioral Changes
Multi-Mode Nanophotonics
Operation Routers Liquid
Impacts? Impacts? Software Changes
Manufacturing Green Cooling
Efforts? Efforts?
Optimization Ethernet Tele
Roadblocks? Roadblocks?
Multi-thread server Presence Hardware Changes
systems DC Consolidation
Supply Chain Greening
Knowledge Sharing
Innovative product
designs
The activities are grouped into 4 categories - changes in behavior (e.g. CSR, awareness
creation, code of conducts, community, etc…), in software (e.g. shift of services from
hardware to software, energy management tools, etc…), in hardware (new technologies,
expanding business, upgrades, replacements, comparison sheets, etc...), and sharing of
knowledge (insights, “how-to”, customer education, support of clients beyond the own good,
etc..). It should be noted that none of the above can be directly compared to each other in
terms of impact, efforts, or potential roadblocks and hurdles. As we will see later in the
financial section, each activity has to be assessed individually.
When asked as to whose main responsibility in the market should it be to push and/or force
Green ICT implementation the answers received were mixed.
There are two primary activities in the green space, to actively push/request green changes
or actively realize those changes. Figure 15 gives an overview. The responses are sorted by
their role within the supply chain. Also, the results are normalized to “Carrier/ISP” to facilitate
comparison.
1.5 (All)
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.0 1.0
Carriers Fulfill
Manufacturers & Vendors Face Governments & End Users
Important Enabling
Pressure from Large Carriers Pressuring Carriers to Act
Role
Figure 15: Responsibilities to push green implementations (along the supply chain)
19
The government occupies a rather umbrella-like “big brother” function across the supply chain.
Third position is occupied by the network component and device manufacturers; they are
still voted twice as often as carriers and vendors.
10 Contrary to end-consumers the manufacturers are at the
opposite end of the supply chain - the point of “product &
component creation”. The responsibility of manufacturers
to create green pressure is not top-ranked and
understandably so. It is the responsibility of others.
0 Manufacturers are not creating the pressure. They are the
ones under pressure. And this pressure is increasing.
Yes No Each survey participant confirms this expectation (100%,
Expectations f or HW Manuf acturers see Figure 16). This puts a large burden onto this industry
Figure 16: All have expectation sector. Developing new technology in the shortest time
for HW manufacturers possible, with better performance and decreased power
consumption is a highly challenging endeavor.
”Manufacturers do not Carriers occupy the last position. They are the group with
create pressure; they the lowest responsibility (telco vendors included). At first
are under pressure.” sight this appears surprising. However, there is a twofold
mission for greening the supply chain20.
20
Close to the ranking of carriers are the companies which have voted that “all” have responsibility to force/push
green ICT implementation. This answer is not taken into account for the individual elements of the supply chain.
If so, then 90% of all Silicon Valley players would have voted for the government to be the prime pusher/forcer
of green ICT implementations (before normalization).
Given the benefits of having ROI as a tool, green carriers should consider special
arrangements with manufacturers of telco equipment to find a middle ground of the
tremendously high R&D costs.
Asking for green in-house activities and campaigns resulted in a very wide range of answers.
Here, no break-down is possible as a function of participants’ the core businesses. Too
much overlap exists between the answers of too many companies. However, the same
grouping into behavioral, software, hardware, and knowledge sharing can be applied.
Figure Figure 18 provides an overview. Each of the individual activities comes along with a
different degree of effort, impact and hurdles. Carriers are welcome to imitate and to
complement their own in-house initiatives. No doubt, all participants are open to share their
insights, tips, and tricks beneficial for environmental and financial among each other and to
carriers. Synergies are the way to go.
Thermal
Sustainability Division Management
Intelligent Green
Software
Behavioral Changes
Software Changes
Impacts? Roadblocks?
Company Hardware Changes
in-house activities &
campaigns Efforts?
Knowledge Sharing
A few activities are overlapping with the market-oriented activities as they can be applied to
both fields and are simultaneously beneficial to employees as well as customers. Prominent
examples with a 100% spread throughout all interviewed companies are for instance:
Virtualization
“Demand Response Energy Curtailment:
Energy Management Software
Electricity providers call out for power
TelePresence
reduction during peak demand. As an
Awareness Creation incentive, discount on electricity are offered.”
Waste & Illumination Management
“Flexible workspace philosophy (“Open Work”): Employees can work from home. This
increases satisfaction, balances families, increases productivity, and saves expenses for
facilities. Teleworking and shared offices approaches are popular. About 40% of all
employees do not have an office”.
Questions regarding how much savings in OpEx are anticipated when implementing Green
technology revealed the similar results: no clear pattern with an equal number of companies
anticipating around 10% and 20% in OpEx savings. Again 60% of respondents gave
alternative answers (Figure 19).
10%
20% “Milestones to improve energy-efficiency of
our products should be set to at least 30-40%.
Indirect improvements (e.g. using 3rd party
60% 20%
Other 20% next-gen processors) can already trigger 20%
by itself. Otherwise the own company has no
own green contribution…However, it comes
Figure 19: No clear pattern and rule of
along with major investments.”
thumb for expected savings in OpEx
The range of products, components, and technology is too diverse to give a simple rule of
thumb. One cannot lump them together by using the same approach. For instance, a power
management tool for 1000s of desktops may carry relatively little CapEx, has negligible
OpEx, but can add up to significant savings in a short time. This must be treated differently
to a multi-million dollar upgrade of a data center. As a consequence, the answer for the ROI
of a green product/service/component varies between 6 months and 5 years.
Although difficult to quantify by means of a hard number, all companies have significantly
increased their efforts and resources for energy-efficiency and sustainability compared to
the previous years.
In light of the answers received in this survey and the green activities of companies (that
appear to be of rather discreet nature – see Chapter 2.1), the current market situation for
energy efficiency & sustainability can be described in two ways: the green hype is over and
yet the recovery to a realistic situation will take place on split timelines: in-house (internal)
facing initiatives and activities and market/product facing activities and announcements.
To better visualize the green market and its progression in time the hype cycle is used as
template21. However, certain adjustments are necessary. In case of green, and as shown in
Figure 20 the hype cycle splits up into 2 different recovery slopes.
Past Years: Back in 2008 the emerging green hype was successfully wrapping the market
into a green cloak triggering and causing a severe loss of transparency. The attempts by
companies - in all industry sectors - to improve their image through positive green branding
was pushed too hard, stretched too far and was blown out of proportion. An automobile with
a gas mileage of 14 MPG (bad) now improved to 20 (still bad) was acclaimed by marketing
as ergonomic & green. Plastic wrapping degrading in only 100 years (instead of 500) was
now environmental friendly. Also the T.I.M.E (telecommunication, IT, media, and
entertainment) markets participated (at least partially). A significant number of market
players were happily riding the green wave, believing to have found a new angle for selling
their products – a new USP (Unique Selling Point).
But the chase to win & retain customers by addressing their environmental soft spot went out
of control. The situation escalated and the peak of exaggeration was reached sometime
back at the beginning of 2009.
Spread
supported
Visibility
by Hype
Market (external)
Dull Recovery
&
Outbreak Blunt
Spark
Time
Figure 20: The hype cycle splits into 2 curves with both having different recovery times
21
http://www.gartner.com/it/products/research/methodologies/research_hype.jsp
Shortly after this the green bubble imploded. At that time it was challenging for customers
and consumers to tell the differences between the marginal shades of green. Exaggeration
used by marketing triggered an industry-wide loss of credibility and pushed consumers into a
blunt and dull state. They entered the next stage: Immunity.
The hype cycle has now split into two curves (Figure 20). The lower one describes external-
facing green initiatives including marketing announcements and campaigns. The upper curve
represents all green in-house (internal) related activities including community involvement.
The reason for the split and in particular for the low position of the “market curve” is because
of the lessons-learned companies from various industry sectors have experienced. They
received bad publicity by having launched deceptive advertising or publicly announced
environmental-friendly actions (and not living up to them); essentially overpromising and then
under-delivering. Consequently, market-facing green campaigns now have only a limited
positive impact on branding; simply as a result of green-washing and the fact that too many
companies tried too hard. Naturally, the most promising spots to look for improvements were
through in-house operations on both the business and the technology level.
Today & Tomorrow: Quiet is the new loud. As mentioned in the introduction, it has become
less noisy around energy-efficiency & sustainability in ICT. But this silence does not reflect a
decline in green activities but rather shows that companies have redrawn their focus to in-
house initiatives. Given the disillusioning hype which affected customers, shareholders, and
even raised the interest of regularity authorities, today’s prime directive is to “put one’s own
house in order first” before going on stage and claiming to be green. Too many (sensitized)
different interest groups are observing and monitoring the companies far too closely.
As a consequence, in-house facing initiatives are recovering fast and will soon reach a
normal and stable reality. This will happen presumably in 1-2 years from now (which
coincides with estimated timelines for carbon emission related laws & penalties).
The recovery of the market-facing hype curve will take longer. As a matter of fact, it is
strongly related to the timelines for R&D of new technologies, and consequently the timelines
for large investments. As this does not happen overnight, any significant breakthroughs (e.g.
decline of power consumption of 20-30% while maintaining the same performance) are
estimated to take place in the next 2-4 years. High levels of activity on the product and
service level are indeed present, but behind closed doors and with few (if any)
announcements. As mentioned earlier, sustainability and environmental-friendliness is not a
switch that can be flipped. It does not work for cars and neither does it work for end-
consumer devices and telco equipment.
Sustainability and Energy Efficiency is not a trend that will vanish anytime soon. It is an
emerging industry sector.
7 The Authors
Dr. Eric Dulkeith is member of the Strategy & Innovation Group in Detecon’s Silicon Valley
office in San Francisco, California and is the core topic leader of Green ICT. The main focus
of his activities is on innovation management and business development of converging
technologies and markets. Before joining Detecon, he worked at IBM Watson Research
Center in New York on future optical on-chip communication architectures. He was awarded
the degree of Ph.D. in Physics from the University of Munich (LMU) for his work on
nanosensor technology. He is the author of numerous publications and has given more than
30 written/oral contributions for international technology magazines, conferences, and
workshops.
Rajat Mukherjee is member of the Strategy & Innovation Group in Detecon’s Silicon Valley
office in San Francisco, California. He is also a member of the Mobile Internet Center of
Excellence at Detecon International GmbH. He was awarded a Bachelors degree in
Electrical Engineering (Honors) by McGill University in Montreal, Canada and a Masters
degree in Management Science and Engineering by Stanford University in Palo Alto, USA.
His prior work in the telecommunications industry has focused on next generation access
and convergence technologies. He is the co-author of numerous patents pending with the
US Patent and Trademark Office on various aspects of ICT technology. His current work at
Detecon is on best practices in products and services launch management and on
innovation strategies for future telecommunications networks.
8 The Company
Detecon is a consulting company which unites classic management consulting with a high
level of technology expertise.
Our company's history is proof of this: Detecon International is the product of the merger of
the management and IT consulting company Diebold, founded in 1954, and the
telecommunications consultancy Detecon, founded in 1977. Our services focus on
consulting and implementation solutions which are derived from the use of information and
communications technology (ICT). All around the globe, clients from virtually all industries
profit from our holistic know-how in questions of strategy and organizational design and in
the use of state-of-the-art technologies.
Detecon’s know-how bundles the knowledge from the successful conclusion of management
and ICT projects in more than 160 countries. We are represented globally by subsidiaries,
affiliates, and project offices. Detecon is a subsidiary of T-Systems International, the
business customer brand of Deutsche Telekom. In our capacity as consultants, we are able
to benefit from the infrastructure of a global player spanning our planet.
Our services for ICT management encompass classic strategy and organization consulting
as well as the planning and implementation of highly complex, technological ICT
architectures and applications. We are independent of manufacturers and obligated solely to
our client's success.