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OUTPUT RIEPILOGO

Statistica della regressione


R multiplo 0.99874357
R al quadrato 0.99748873
R al quadrato 0.99732131
Errore standa 0.07900343
Osservazioni 17

ANALISI VARIANZA
gdl SQ MQ F Significatività F
Regressione 1 37.1874971 37.1874971 5958.06181 6.40251E-21
Residuo 15 0.09362314 0.00624154
Totale 16 37.2811202

CoefficientiErrore standard Stat V


t alore di significatività
Inferiore 95%Superiore 95%
Intercetta 9.61503066 0.04007842 239.90546 2.66652E-28 9.52960554 9.70045578
Variabile X 1 -0.30190367 0.00391125 -77.1884824 6.40251E-21 -0.31024031 -0.29356703
Inferiore 95,0%
Superiore 95,0%
9.52960554 9.70045578
-0.31024031 -0.29356703
OUTPUT RIEPILOGO

Statistica della regressione


R multiplo 0.99873145
R al quadrato 0.9974645
R al quadrato 0.99729547
Errore standa 0.07926273
Osservazioni 17

ANALISI VARIANZA
gdl SQ MQ F Significatività F
Regressione 1 37.0734634 37.0734634 5900.99249 6.88058E-21
Residuo 15 0.09423872 0.00628258
Totale 16 37.1677021

CoefficientiErrore standard Stat V


t alore di significatività
Inferiore 95%Superiore 95%
Intercetta 11.5589186 0.04020996 287.464082 1.77025E-29 11.4732131 11.6446241
Variabile X 1 -0.30144043 0.00392409 -76.8179178 6.88058E-21 -0.30980443 -0.29307643
Inferiore 95,0%
Superiore 95,0%
11.4732131 11.6446241
-0.30980443 -0.29307643
45
46
50
guariti
83
149
160 1258
f(x) = 0.00596719 x⁵ − 0.1676964 x⁴ + 1.107565 x³ + 9.401792 x² − 48.09884 x + 89.01399
276
414 1004 1045

523
589 724
589 622
622 523
724 414
276
1004
149 160
1045 45 46 50 83
1258 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

30000
100
DATA GUARITI K a b=
25-Feb 45 11.1074487 3000000 87903.6432 0.261
26-Feb 46 11.0854695
27-Feb 50 11.0020865
28-Feb 83 10.4952578
29-Feb 149 9.91012989
Retta regressione guar
12
1-Mar 160 9.8388987
10 f(x) = − 0.261629734599422 x + 11.3838021459901
2-Mar 276 9.29363281
8
3-Mar 414 8.88812157
6
4-Mar 523 8.65436967
4
5-Mar 589 8.53550291
2
6-Mar 622 8.48097798
0
7-Mar 724 8.32909263
8-Mar 1004 8.00204326
9-Mar 1045 7.96200471
10-Mar 1258 7.77642736
11-Mar
12-Mar
30000
100
DATA MALATI Log(K/y-1) K a b
25-Feb 322 9.139467 3000000 9226.15088 0.2371
26-Feb 400 8.92252768
27-Feb 650 8.43693636
28-Feb 888 8.12485754
29-Feb 1049 7.95818294
1-Mar 1694 7.47871242
2-Mar 2036 7.2947038
3-Mar 2502 7.08844497
4-Mar 3089 6.87749205
5-Mar 3858 6.65493385
6-Mar 4636 6.47097109
7-Mar 5883 6.23233971
8-Mar 7375 6.00581214
9-Mar 9172 5.78715195
10-Mar 10149 5.68560539
11-Mar 12462 5.47952257
12-Mar 15113 5.28576348

7000
100
DATA MORTI Log(K/y-1) K
1 25-Feb 10 11.15624 700000
2 26-Feb 12 10.9739152
3 27-Feb 17 10.6256012
4 28-Feb 21 10.4142863
5 29-Feb 29 10.0915014
6 1-Mar 34 9.93242954
7 2-Mar 52 9.5075205
8 3-Mar 79 9.08927767
9 4-Mar 107 8.78585659
10 5-Mar 148 8.46141447
11 6-Mar 197 8.17535291
12 7-Mar 233 8.00746669
13 8-Mar 366 7.55568159
14 9-Mar 463 7.32044914
15 10-Mar 631 7.01063005
16 11-Mar 827 6.73985085
17 12-Mar 1016 6.53375649
1258
9.401792 x² − 48.09884 x + 89.01399

1004 1045

724
589 622
3

10 11 12 13 14 15

Retta regressione guariti

1629734599422 x + 11.3838021459901

retta di regressione
malati

10
9
8 f(x) = − 0.237148905801679 x + 9.12983572107064
retta di regressione
malati

10
9
8 f(x) = − 0.237148905801679 x + 9.12983572107064
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

a b
14987.8787 0.3019

Retta di regressione
Morti

12
f(x) = − 0.301440428271153 x + 11.5589185780021
10

0
y=(281,69*e^(0,264*x))-(25,012*e^(0,329*x))

x y

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

640 640
900 900
1.1 1100
1.5 1500
2 2000
2.6 2600
3.3 3300
4 4000 Chart Title
4.8 4800 70000

6 6000 60000
f(x) = − 1.0328393 x³ + 104.46801 x² − 612.44606 x
6.8 6800 50000 + 2140.1045

8.1 8100 40000


30000
20000
10000
0
60000
f(x) = − 1.0328393 x³ + 104.46801 x² − 612.44606 x
50000 + 2140.1045

40000
9.5 9500 30000
10.9 10900 20000
12.7 12700 10000
14.5 14500 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33
16.3 16300
18.5 18500
20.8 20800
22.6 22600
24.9 24900
27.4 27400
30.5 30500
32.8 32800
36.5 36500
39.4 39400
42.3 42300
45.1 45100
48.1 48100
50.94 50940
53.5 53500
55.6 55600
57.6 57600
60172 60172
01 x² − 612.44606 x
01 x² − 612.44606 x

21 23 25 27 29 31 33