aeo2010r.

d111809a 2007 2008 2009 2010

Report Annual Energy Outlook 2010

Scenario aeo2010r
Datekey d111809a
Release Date December 2009

Table 15. Coal Supply, Disposition, and Prices

(million short tons, unless otherwise noted)

Supply, Disposition, and Prices 2007 2008 2009 2010

Production 1/
Appalachia 378 391 351 323
Interior 147 147 144 147
West 621 634 587 592

East of the Mississippi 478 493 447 420

West of the Mississippi 668 678 635 642
Total 1147 1172 1082 1062

Waste Coal Supplied 2/ 14 14 12 13

Net Imports
Imports 3/ 34 32 22 31
Exports 59 82 61 70
Total -25 -49 -39 -39

Total Supply 4/ 1136 1136 1055 1035

Consumption by Sector
Residential and Commercial 4 4 3 3
Coke Plants 23 22 13 13
Other Industrial 5/ 57 55 47 48
Coal-to-Liquids Heat and Power 0 0 0 0
Coal to Liquids Production 0 0 0 0
Electric Power 6/ 1045 1042 952 971
Total 1128 1122 1015 1035

Discrepancy and Stock Change 7/ 8 15 40 0

Average Minemouth Price 8/

(2008 dollars per short ton) 26.40 31.26 31.65 30.17
(2008 dollars per million Btu) 1.30 1.55 1.56 1.50
Delivered Prices
(2008 dollars per short ton) 9/
Coke Plants 97.09 118.09 123.08 125.31
Other Industrial 5/ 55.64 63.44 60.11 57.27
Coal to Liquids -- -- -- --
Electric Power
(2008 dollars per short ton) 36.08 40.71 42.81 39.22
(2008 dollars per million Btu) 1.80 2.05 2.15 1.99
Average 38.31 43.36 44.63 41.17
Exports 10/ 71.82 97.68 97.98 99.18

Average Minemouth Price 8/

(nominal dollars per short ton) 25.82 31.26 32.13 31.08
(nominal dollars per million Btu) 1.27 1.55 1.58 1.54

Delivered Prices
(nominal dollars per short ton) 9/
Coke Plants 94.97 118.09 124.95 129.09
Other Industrial 5/ 54.42 63.44 61.03 59.00
Coal to Liquids -- -- -- --
Electric Power
(nominal dollars per short ton) 35.29 40.71 43.46 40.41
(nominal dollars per million Btu) 1.76 2.05 2.18 2.05
Average 37.47 43.36 45.31 42.41
Exports 10/ 70.25 97.68 99.47 102.17

1/ Includes anthracite, bituminous coal, subbituminous coal, and lignite.

2/ Includes waste coal consumed by the electric power and industrial sectors. Waste coal supplied is counted
as a supply-side item to balance the same amount of waste coal included in the consumption data.
3/ Excludes imports to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
4/ Production plus waste coal supplied plus net imports.
5/ Includes consumption for combined heat and power plants, except those plants whose primary business is to
sell electricity, or electricity and heat, to the public. Excludes all coal use in the coal-to-liquids process.
6/ Includes all electricity-only and combined heat and power plants whose primary business is to sell electricity, or electricity and heat, to the public.
7/ Balancing item: the sum of production, net imports, and waste coal supplied minus total consumption.
8/ Includes reported prices for both open market and captive mines.
9/ Prices weighted by consumption; weighted average excludes residential and commercial prices, and export free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) prices.
10/ F.a.s. price at U.S. port of exit.
- - = Not applicable.
Btu = British thermal unit.
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2007 and 2008 are model results and may differ slightly from official E
Sources: 2007 and 2008 data based on: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Coal Report 2008, DOE/EIA-0584(2008) (Washington, DC, Septem
Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2008, DOE/EIA-0121(2008/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2009); and EIA, AEO2010 National Energy Modeling Syste
Projections: EIA, AEO2010 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2010r.d111809a.
 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Reference case

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

326 325 330 322 317 312 309 312 309 305
151 163 166 179 184 191 197 200 198 198
644 661 663 678 654 663 661 671 681 681

425 435 442 445 444 446 447 451 448 444
695 713 716 735 710 721 721 731 740 740
1120 1149 1159 1180 1155 1167 1168 1183 1189 1183

13 14 15 16 16 15 15 15 15 15

31 32 32 32 30 30 30 27 31 37
70 72 69 65 60 58 57 56 54 53
-39 -41 -37 -33 -30 -28 -27 -30 -24 -15

1094 1123 1137 1163 1141 1154 1155 1168 1180 1183

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
15 17 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
49 51 52 53 53 53 53 53 53 53
0 1 3 10 11 13 14 15 16 17
0 1 3 8 9 11 12 13 14 15
1026 1049 1058 1069 1044 1054 1052 1063 1072 1073
1094 1122 1137 1163 1141 1153 1155 1167 1179 1183

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0

29.36 29.73 30.00 29.97 30.38 30.38 30.50 30.54 30.17 30.01
1.47 1.49 1.50 1.50 1.52 1.52 1.53 1.53 1.52 1.51
 126.94 131.14 132.17 132.82 132.98 133.18 135.12 136.65 138.35 139.25
57.34 57.33 56.73 57.13 57.43 57.23 57.49 57.29 57.12 56.95
14.91 14.56 14.95 20.46 20.14 20.07 20.32 20.54 20.44 20.37

38.79 38.85 39.00 39.02 39.46 39.13 39.23 39.06 38.94 38.90
1.98 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.01 1.99 2.00 1.99 1.99 1.98
40.83 41.04 41.22 41.15 41.58 41.22 41.33 41.16 41.02 40.95
102.46 107.42 108.40 109.11 109.63 110.93 114.80 118.70 122.32 124.95

30.64 31.47 32.31 32.84 33.86 34.46 35.23 35.94 36.16 36.67
1.53 1.57 1.61 1.65 1.69 1.73 1.77 1.80 1.82 1.84

132.48 138.81 142.37 145.54 148.19 151.06 156.11 160.79 165.80 170.18
59.84 60.69 61.11 62.60 64.00 64.92 66.42 67.41 68.46 69.59
15.56 15.41 16.11 22.42 22.44 22.76 23.48 24.17 24.50 24.90

40.48 41.12 42.01 42.75 43.97 44.38 45.32 45.97 46.67 47.55
2.07 2.10 2.15 2.19 2.24 2.26 2.31 2.34 2.38 2.42
42.61 43.44 44.40 45.09 46.34 46.76 47.75 48.43 49.16 50.05
106.93 113.70 116.76 119.56 122.17 125.83 132.63 139.68 146.60 152.70

ricity and heat, to the public.

gside-ship (f.a.s.) prices.

ts and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports.

-0584(2008) (Washington, DC, September 2009); EIA,
O2010 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2010r.d111809a.
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

305 295 294 292 291 282 281 280 276 278
199 200 195 196 199 198 198 199 190 197
703 713 726 720 744 738 752 761 767 785

441 430 423 419 422 411 411 411 398 407
766 778 792 788 813 806 821 829 835 854
1207 1209 1215 1207 1234 1217 1232 1240 1233 1260

15 14 14 14 15 14 14 14 14 14

34 37 38 41 34 45 40 42 47 38
53 49 50 49 48 43 42 39 37 36
-19 -12 -12 -8 -14 2 -2 2 9 2

1203 1211 1217 1213 1235 1233 1245 1257 1257 1276

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 20 20 19 19 19 18 18 18 17
53 53 53 53 53 53 53 52 52 52
19 20 21 22 24 25 27 28 29 31
16 17 18 19 20 21 23 24 25 26
1091 1099 1103 1096 1116 1111 1121 1132 1129 1147
1202 1211 1217 1213 1235 1233 1245 1257 1256 1276

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

29.59 29.07 28.78 28.60 28.19 27.81 27.68 27.58 27.37 27.43
1.49 1.47 1.46 1.46 1.44 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.41 1.41
139.96 140.32 140.07 139.10 137.06 135.02 134.50 134.43 133.62 133.66
56.68 56.69 56.30 56.22 56.11 56.38 56.14 56.41 56.58 56.74
20.88 21.09 21.47 21.29 21.22 21.12 21.05 20.94 20.86 20.91

38.73 38.76 38.65 38.67 38.49 38.78 38.68 38.93 39.16 39.29
1.98 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.00 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03
40.73 40.68 40.51 40.45 40.16 40.33 40.14 40.29 40.41 40.44
124.48 125.52 123.85 120.91 113.11 108.79 107.73 105.94 104.17 102.92

36.92 37.07 37.50 38.03 38.25 38.53 39.16 39.86 40.42 41.40
1.86 1.88 1.91 1.94 1.95 1.97 2.01 2.05 2.08 2.13

174.67 178.97 182.49 185.00 186.00 187.05 190.26 194.27 197.31 201.73
70.74 72.30 73.36 74.77 76.14 78.11 79.41 81.53 83.55 85.64
26.06 26.90 27.98 28.31 28.80 29.26 29.78 30.26 30.80 31.55

48.34 49.44 50.36 51.42 52.24 53.72 54.71 56.26 57.83 59.30
2.47 2.54 2.59 2.65 2.69 2.77 2.82 2.90 2.98 3.06
50.83 51.88 52.77 53.79 54.50 55.88 56.78 58.22 59.68 61.03
155.35 160.09 161.36 160.81 153.50 150.71 152.39 153.10 153.82 155.34
2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

2008-
2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2035

268 272 270 272 277 -1.3%

198 201 198 203 208 1.3%
784 789 793 791 800 0.9%

397 403 399 405 415 -0.6%

853 858 863 860 870 0.9%
1250 1262 1261 1265 1285 0.3%

14 14 14 15 15 0.3%

51 51 49 51 53 1.9%
34 34 34 33 33 -3.3%
17 18 15 17 20 --

1281 1294 1291 1297 1320 0.6%

3 3 3 3 3 -0.2%
16 16 15 15 14 -1.7%
52 52 52 51 51 -0.2%
32 34 35 36 37 --
27 29 30 31 31 --
1150 1161 1157 1161 1183 0.5%
1281 1294 1291 1297 1319 0.6%

0 0 0 0 0 --

27.31 27.49 27.45 27.75 28.10 -0.4%

1.41 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.44 -0.3%
133.16 132.88 132.69 132.18 132.10 0.4%
57.01 57.09 57.37 57.66 57.88 -0.3%
20.88 20.93 21.32 21.73 22.34 --

39.62 39.82 40.02 40.37 40.74 0.0%

2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.09 0.1%
40.66 40.74 40.87 41.13 41.42 -0.2%
101.47 99.14 95.95 95.88 96.29 -0.1%

42.14 43.36 44.24 45.67 47.23 1.5%

2.17 2.23 2.28 2.35 2.43 1.7%

205.46 209.61 213.82 217.54 221.99 2.4%

87.96 90.06 92.45 94.89 97.27 1.6%
32.22 33.02 34.35 35.77 37.54 --

61.14 62.82 64.49 66.44 68.46 1.9%

3.15 3.23 3.32 3.41 3.51 2.0%
62.73 64.27 65.86 67.69 69.60 1.8%
156.57 156.39 154.62 157.80 161.81 1.9%