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The Essence of Science
What is a theory?
Definition: Broad explanations and predictions
concerning phenomena of interest
Key features
Falsifiable: “It must make definite (testable)
predictions about the results of future observations.”
– Stephen Hawking, A Brief History of Time
Generalizable: “It must accurately describe a large
class of observations.” – Stephen Hawking, A Brief
History of Time
Parsimonious: “It is vain to do with more than what
can be done with fewer.” – “Occam’s razor”
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The Essence of Science
Everything should be
made as simple as
possible, but not simpler.
– Albert Einstein
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The Essence of Science
What is a hypothesis?
A statement that is derived from a theory and
can be operationalized into specific and directly
testable procedures.
“近朱者赤,近墨者黑” “孟母三迁”
Theory: Environment affects child development.
Find the hypothesis:
Children should not watch violent TV programs.
Violent TV programs are harmful to child development.
Children who spend more time watching violent TV
programs are more aggressive.
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The Essence of Science
What is a hypothesis?
A statement that is derived from a theory and
can be operationalized into specific and directly
testable procedures
“近朱者赤,近墨者黑” “孟母三迁”
Theory: Environment affects child development.
Find the hypothesis:
Children should not watch violent TV programs.
Violent TV programs are harmful to child development.
Children who spend more time watching violent TV
programs are more aggressive.
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Measurement
Variable: A behavior or mental process
that vary across individuals, time, and/or
situations.
Getting information on variables of interest
Observation
Survey
Psychophysiology
Case study
Archival study
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Measurement
Observation
Naturalistic
Structured
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Measurement
Survey
Rating (Likert-scale)
Ranking
Checklist
Open-ended
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Measurement
Psychophysiology
Heart rate, skin conductance
EEG (electro-en’cephalo-gram)
fMRI (functional magnetic resonance imaging)
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Designs
What are we interested to find out about
variables?
Descriptive research
Between-individual comparison on a variable
Within-individual comparison on a variable
Between-group comparison on a variable
Correlational research
Relation between two variables
Experimental research
Cause-and-effect relation between two variables
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Designs
Descriptive research
Between-individual comparison on a variable
Number of individuals
Standardized score
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Designs
Descriptive research
Within-individual comparison on a variable
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Designs
Descriptive research
Between-group comparison on a variable
45
40
35
30
25 Girls
20 Boys
15
10
5
0
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Designs
Correlational research
Relation between two variables
Two naturally occurring variables
Their relation can be statistically estimated as a
correlation coefficient
Ranging from -1.00 to +1.00
Direction
Positive (+): one variable increases, so does the other.
Negative (-): one variable increases, the other decreases.
Strength
The bigger the correlation, the stronger the relation.
Zero or near zero: no relation between the two variables.
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Designs
Correlational research
Relation between two variables
Two naturally occurring variables
Their relation can be statistically estimated as a
correlation coefficient
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Designs
Correlation Causation
Direction of cause and effect?
A B, A B, or A B
3rd variable? cause?
XA&B
Violent TV cause?
Aggression
Harsh Parenting
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Designs
Correlation Causation
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Designs
Experimental research
Cause-and-effect relation between two variables
Deliberately producing a difference (experimental
manipulation) in one variable (IV) and observing
the effect of that difference (treatment) on
another variable (DV)
Independent Variable (IV): the variable that is
manipulated by the experimenter
Dependent Variable (DV): the variable that is
observed, not manipulated, and expected to be
affected by the difference in IV
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Designs
Experimental research
Cause-and-effect relation between two variables
Deliberately producing a difference (experimental
manipulation) in one variable (IV) and observing
the effect of that difference (treatment) on
another variable (DV)
Experimental Group: the group of participants who
receives a treatment.
Control Group: the group of participants who receives
no treatment.
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Designs
Experimental research
Why is control group necessary?
If just: pre-assessment – treatment – post-assessment
Confounding factors: e.g.,
Anything associated with the experiment other than
the treatment
Time passage (cumulative effects)
Random assignment: Using a chance procedure to
make sure that every participant has the same
probability as any other participant of being
assigned to a given group (experimental or control).
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Designs
Experimental research
Watching violent TV causes aggression.
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Designs
Experimental research
Potential problems and solutions
Participant expectations
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Designs
Experimental research
Potential problems and solutions
Experimenter expectations
E.g.,
preferential
looking studies
of infants in the
old days
Use of double-
blind procedure
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Ethics
Informed consent
Protection from harm
Voluntariness
Confidentiality
Debriefing
Knowledge of results
Deception Safeguards:
Ethics Committee
Animal research Internal Review Board
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Ethics
• Milgram’s Obedience Experiment (Yale, 1961-1962)
• Subject introduced to stern experimenter in a white lab
coat and a rather pleasant and friendly co-subject.
• Experimenter explains the experiment is on the role of
punishment in learning, and that one will be the "teacher"
and one will be the "learner.”
• Co-subject taken to a room, strapped in a chair to prevent
movement and an electrode placed on his arm. The
"teacher" is taken to an adjoining room which contains a
generator. The "teacher" is instructed to read a list of two
word pairs and ask the "learner" to read them back. If the
"learner" gets the answer correct, then they move on to
the next word. If the answer is incorrect, the "teacher" is
supposed to shock the "learner" starting at 15 volts.
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Ethics
• Milgram’s Obedience Experiment (Yale, 1961-1962)
The generator has 30 switches
in 15 volt increments, each is
labeled with a voltage ranging
from 15 up to 450 volts. Each
switch also has a rating,
ranging from "slight shock" to
"danger: severe shock". The
final two switches are labeled
"XXX". The "teacher"
automatically is supposed to
increase the shock each time
the "learner" misses a word in
the list.
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Ethics
• Milgram’s Obedience Experiment (Yale, 1961-1962)
• 65% of all of the "teachers"
punished the "learners" to the
maximum 450 volts. No subject
stopped before reaching 300
volts!
• Milgram's obedience
experiment was replicated
many times. The experiments
spanned a 25-year period from
1961 to 1985, in Australia,
South Africa and in several
European countries. In some
cases, over 85% of the
subjects administered a lethal
electric shock to the learner.
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Ethics
• Ainsworth’s “Strange Situation”
Strange situation episodes Infant’s behavior
1. Infant, caregiver & experimenter
2. Infant & caregiver Quality of play
3. Infant, caregiver & stranger Reaction to stranger
4. Infant & stranger (separation 1) Separation anxiety
5. Infant & caregiver (reunion 1) Reaction to reunion
6. Infant alone (separation 2) Separation anxiety
7. Infant & stranger Ability to be soothed by
stranger
8. Infant & caregiver (reunion 2) Reaction to reunion
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Ethics
• Harlow’s Surrogate Mothers Study
with Monkeys
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No Easy Answers
“All our science, measured against reality,
is primitive and childlike. And yet it is the
most precious thing we have.”
– Albert Einstein
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