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Hence, any commodity in high demand but with scarce supply has
value. More the discrepancy between the demand and the supply,
more the value - and hence, the price - of such commodity.
Hence, the total money supply in the economy is now ₹ 600. The
maximum commodity this entire money can buy is 200 kg of rice
(let’s assume we haven’t eaten any of it). Hence, in this status
quo, ₹ 1 can buy only 0.5 kg of rice - that is, the price of rice is
now ₹ 2/kg!
At this rate, if we both need 30 kg of rice per month, we need to
now pay ₹ 60 for it, as opposed to ₹ 30 earlier! We thought
printing more currency would take us to heaven? Hell, no! This is
exactly what happens in the world economy, albeit on a far larger
and much more complex scale.
1 This is a tremendously simple calculation one may arrive at using unitary method.
This is a consequence of printing more currency. Without any
increase in the supply – that is, the economic output of the
country, if you continue to print more currency, it thus
decreases the purchasing power of that currency, thereby
increasing the price of commodities. Hence, it leads to
inflation.
For instance, if the rice available had increased to 600 kg, with
the new currency we had printed (total money supply being ₹
600), the unit price would have remained the same - ₹ 1/kg.
Similarly, pulling money out of the system has the exact opposite
effect - it increases the purchasing power of money, leading to
lowering of prices, and thus deflation.
We are aware that neither too much inflation nor deflation is good
for the economy. However, a little inflation is desirable. Hence,
the key to a proper economy is this:
● If production increases, money supply should be increased to
keep deflation in check.
● If production decreases, money supply should be decreased
to keep inflation in check.
● If production remains the same, no more money should be
printed. Neither should any money be taken out of the
economy.
Why did the smaller countries do this? Back then, Britain and USA
had large gold reserves, and both these currencies were
convertible to gold. Also, their large economies meant that the
purchasing power of the USD and GBP would only increase. In
effect, the USD and GBP, by virtue of their value because
of their respective home economies, became the
replacement for gold across the world.
Soon, the Great Depression hit the world. With rising inflation and
failing world economies, people lost confidence in the USD and
GBP. People made a run for gold - they wanted their gold back;
since the in gold we trust, not governments. This raised the
demand for gold and therefore its free market price. This only
stimulated more people to exchange their currency for gold.
Consequently, Britain dropped the gold standard in 1931
completely. In the US, President Franklin D. Roosevelt gradually
got rid of the convertibility of the USD into gold to deal with this
problem. Eventually, by law, all gold owned by banks and
individuals in the US were turned into Fort Knox - the largest
depository of gold bullion in the US. The USD was still pegged to
the value of gold, but people could no longer turn in their USD to
get the proportionate amount of gold back.
(iv) The Bretton Woods System (1945-1971)
Based on articles on Wikipedia and The Balance.
The world could not return to the gold standard, because gold
production was woefully short, and anyway, most of the world’s
gold was with the US and the USSR, and the west was not
comfortable with the communist leanings of the latter. GBP was
rejected as a reserve currency, because two World Wars had
taken its toll on the British economy.
The USD was set as the world’s reserve currency, and countries
were required to peg their currency exchange rates to the USD.
This exchange rate, for all practical purposes, was fixed. A 1%
revaluation was allowed only with the approval of the IMF to
correct serious problems with fundamental economic equilibria
(viz. Balance of trade). Further, in order to bolster the confidence
of world powers, the US pegged the USD to gold - setting $1 as
1/35 of the price of 1 oz. of gold.
With the Bretton Woods System, there existed just one problem -
there was too few USD outside of the US. The US was running on
a trade surplus - it exported far more than it imported, thus
sucking out USD from the world. It was necessary to reverse this
situation to ensure that there was enough USD in the world
market, since it had been envisioned by Bretton Woods to be a
global reserve currency.
2 This is because of the widespread (and mostly true) perception that gold is an evergreen investment,
for gold bought today can later be sold to get back currency when the economy transforms itself into
better shape.
debt due to a huge welfare state programme and the continuing
foreign involvement of the US in foreign wars further exacerbated
this situation. To counter this, President Nixon devalued the USD,
expecting a rerun of the 1934 dollar devaluation, which pushed
people and countries to sell their gold to get more USD. But this
plan backfired, for it only reinforced the widespread public
perception that the US economy was crumbling.
People naturally made a run for gold, and Fort Knox began to be
emptied! President Nixon was forced to impose controls.
Ultimately, Nixon unhooked the USD from the gold, thus bringing
an end to the last orifices of the gold standard in the world. In the
free market, the price of gold quickly shot up to $120/oz - itself
testimony to the horrible shape of the US economy.
With the collapse of Bretton Woods and the advent of the floating
forex rate system, currencies no longer have any value.
Currencies are now fiat currencies - they have value merely
because they are accepted as legal tender by the fiat - that is, the
decree by law - of the government. Fiat currencies have no
intrinsic value. Rather, they have value because they serve as a
standard reference with which to value goods and services.