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Source: CBSL
NDB Stockbrokers (Pvt
(Pvt.
Pvt.) Ltd and NDB
Investment Bank Ltd are subsidiary RFCs are primarily engaged in providing
companies of National Development Bank leasing facilities. However, the entry of
PLC licensed commercial banks into this segment
has caused a minor drawback for RFCs as
banks are in a position to offer leasing facilities
at attractive rates, given their access to low-
cost funding. In 2009, the total leasing facilities
advanced by RFCs dropped a marginal 1% to
Rs 35 Bn.
1
Products of SFLL
Growth in Assets of RFCs (2002-2009)
Company
1.5
2
Financial Analysis
Funding Sources of SFLL (As of August
2010) FY08/09 FY09/10 FY10/11
Figures are in Rs Mn (5M)
Revenue 460 704 397
17%
Net Profit 13 54 47
53%
EPS* 0.32 0.96 0.62
BV* 5.54 5.82 6.45
DPS* 0.25 0.25 0.25
30%
Debt/Equity 88.37% 84.58% 83.45%
NPL 3.74% 2.69% 1.91%
Capital Adequacy Ratio 11.79% 15.43% 16.10%
*Adjusted for the share split
Public Deposits Loans Equity
SFLL is backed by the diversified multinational Provision for bad and doubtful debts for the 5
company Singer. The brand “SINGER” dates months ended 31 August 2010 declined 31%
back to 1851 and has been a household brand YOY to 10.6 Mn, while bad debt worth Rs 6 Mn
name in Sri Lanka for over 150 years, and has was recovered. Its net profit for the period
gained much recognition for its excellence. stood at Rs 49.7 Mn, up 61% YOY. SFLL’s net
profit for the five months stood at Rs 49.7 Mn,
Further, SFLL is exposed to the vast customer up 598% YOY.
base of SINS through its consumer lending
segment, which attracts higher interest rate SFLL’s gross NPL ratio as at 31 August 2010
margins compared to leasing and hire was 1.91%, down from 4.57% from a year ago,
purchase. well below the industry NPL ratio of 11.7% as at
31 June 2010. Meanwhile the gross NPL
Additionally, the ability to draw from the coverage has improved from 51.09% to 72.49%
expertise of the SINS management and to in FY09/10.
benefit from the economies of scale by being
associated with SINS also place SFLL at a
competitive advantage among its peers.
3
Proceeds of the IPO companies may affect SFLL’s market share and
interest spreads.
SFLL plans to raise Rs 400 Mn in the IPO. The
proceeds of the IPO would be used to part Financial Forecast and Valuation
Valuation
finance the loan disbursements of the company
for the remainder of FY10/11. Further, SFLL We have assumed an NIM of 16% and 14% in
plans to utilize the proceeds of the IPO before FY10/11 and FY11/12 respectively (assuming
the end of FY10/11. that the current level of 18.49% is not
sustainable). Further, we forecast a 40% and
Growth Prospects 35% growth in SFLL’s asset base, respectively,
in FY10/11 and FY11/12. Accordingly, the profit
SFLL expects the economic growth of the after tax is estimated at Rs 125 Mn for FY10/11
country would increase demand from middle and Rs 177 Mn for FY11/12. Thus we estimate
to low income earners, which would drive an EPS of Rs 1.45 in FY10/11 and Rs 1.66 in
demand for leasing facilities. FY11/12.
Furthermore, SFLL anticipates the increased We have employed a weighted P/E of 12.2X
activity in the second-hand vehicle market (as (based on earnings estimates for FY11/12),
vehicle owners try to switch to brand new taking into consideration the P/Es of Central
vehicles spurred by import tax reductions on Finance (50% weight), LB Finance (15%) and
vehicles) as well as the revival of the Vallibel Finance (35%). Accordingly we
agricultural sector would drive growth in the estimate an intrinsic value of Rs 20.25 per
hire purchase segments. share. BUY
Risks
4
FY10/11
Income st a t ement FY07/08 FY08/09 FY09/10 5M
Figures are in Rs '000
Income 286,896 460,349 703,915 396,523
Interest income 254,338 396,533 639,159 365,185
Interest expense (146,620) (283,228) (316,422) (116,207)
N et int er est incom e 107,717 113,305 322,737 248,978
Other operating income 32,558 63,816 64,756 31,338
P r of it f r om op er a t ing a ct ivit ies 140,275 177,121 387,493 280,316
Staff cost (30,304) (43,334) (42,947) (25,766)
Administrative and selling expenses (48,355) (83,815) (206,707) (137,495)
Provision for bad and doubtful debt (16,175) (20,585) (30,320) (10,598)
Recovery of bad debt - 45 1,200 6,035
VAT on Financial Services (5,041) (13,011) (21,700) (19,150)
P r of it b ef or e t a x 40,399 16,422 87,019 93,342
Income tax expense (3,980) (3,691) (32,900) (43,667)
N et p r of it 36,419 12,731 54,119 49,675
As a t
B a la nce sheet FY07/08 FY08/09 FY09/10 31.08.2010
Asset s
Cash and bank balances 100,115 2,498 17,336 7,271
Government securities - 169,211 156,758 166,864
Hire receivables 590,600 877,156 1,041,042 1,298,499
Lease rental receivables 418,998 437,275 404,762 464,712
Loans 205,512 477,374 1,535,276 1,371,585
Investment securities 41 41 41 41
Other debtors and prepayments 69,526 81,397 61,954 81,845
Property, plant and equipment 18,142 24,566 22,928 24,176
Intangible assets 10,749 8,978 7,314 8,588
Deferred tax assets - - 5,677 -
Tot a l a sset s 1,413,684 2,078,496 3,253,088 3,423,582
L ia b ilit ies
Public deposits 642,198 1,097,979 1,518,043 1,655,811
Trade and other payables 112,407 154,372 189,845 236,989
Amounts due to related companies 4,879 223,781 997,250 907,443
Interest bearing loans and borrowings 386,584 362,126 40,017 34,904
Current tax liabilities - 55 29,377 20,108
Retirement benefit obligation 1,643 2,843 3,751 4,351
Deferred revenue 4,082 7,024 9,024 10,531
Deferred tax liabilities 15,440 8,654 - 37,990
Tot a l lia b ilit ies 1,167,234 1,856,835 2,787,308 2,908,127
Eq uit y
Stated capital 200,000 200,000 400,000 400,000
Capital reserve 3,013 8,042 10,748 10,748
Accumulated profits 43,437 13,618 55,031 104,706
Tot a l eq uit y 246,449 221,661 465,779 515,454
5
N D B Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd
5th Floor
# 40, NDB Building
Nawam Mawatha
Colombo 02
Tel: +94 11 2314170 (Hunting)
Fax: +94 11 2314180
+94 11 2314181
Prasansani Mendis
prasansini@ndbs.lk
Research Sales
Viranthi Kumarage
Kumarage Aroos Faleel
viranthi@ndbs.lk aroosfaleel@ndbs.lk
Jayantha Samarasinghe
Samarasinghe
jayantha@ndbs.lk
Sidath Kalyanaratne
sidath@ndbs.lk
Uditha De Silva
uditha@ndbs.lk
Taamara De Silva
taamara@ndbs.lk
This document is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not make any representations as to its accuracy, completeness
or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have regard to the specific
investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is for the information of addressees only and is not
to be taken as substitution for the exercise of judgment by addressee. N D B Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd and its associates, their directors, and/or employees may
have positions in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other
banking services for these companies.