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Article history: In this study, a hybrid system for potential electricity generation for Rohingya refugees in Kutupalong
Received 25 May 2019 camp, Ukhia, Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh is investigated. Six scenarios are considered, and an optimal
Received in revised form configuration is chosen based on low cost of energy and low emission. The optimum system consists of a
22 October 2019
combination of Generator/PV Panel/Wind/Converter/Battery. The configuration has cost of energy of
Accepted 16 November 2019
Available online 20 November 2019
0.35$ per kW, and the renewable fraction is found to be 87%. The proposed system is also environ-
mentally friendly and the optimum system discharges less than 65%, 84%, and 61% emission when
compared with grid, diesel, and kerosene respectively. From sustainability indicators, it was observed
Keywords:
Hybrid energy
that the amount of diesel needed to be imported is 30%. Therefore, dependency on import is less, and this
Rohingya refugee makes the proposed system highly reliable. Besides, this system does not use biomass to generate
Life cycle emission electricity. 87% resources come from renewable energy sources. So this system is highly sustainable.
Techno-economic analysis There is literally no idle time for equipment since their deployment is according to the demands of
Sustainability people. This idle time of equipment causes depreciation which in turn leads to less efficiency and higher
Bangladesh cost.
© 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.116568
0360-5442/© 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
2 T. Chowdhury et al. / Energy 191 (2020) 116568
challenge, a possible solution is to implement a hybridized energy system was studied by Tu et al. (2018) [8] who presented a model
scheme and incorporate energy storage components (capacitors, using mixed integer linear programming. Their study reported that
batteries, etc) [3]. load deferring substantially reduced the requirement of battery
Over the past few decades, several studies have been conducted capacity in their proposed scheme. Giallanza et al. (2018) [9]
to find out the optimum energy production schemes with energy developed a high-resolution model to size a hybrid system by
storage [4]. The average solar power generation potential in introducing a new parameter called seasonal loss of load proba-
Bangladesh has been assessed by Mondal et al. (2010) [4]. This bility ratio. This study reported that the proposed model can
study has considered 6.5 h per day as the average luminous hour improve the reliability by up to 75%. Petrakopoulou et al. (2016)
and concluded that 69,751 TWh of solar energy can be produced [10] performed exergy analysis of a remote hybrid system that
annually. Comparison of two-hybrid systems (PV/Wind/Li-ion- consists of wind turbines and a series of photovoltaic arrays. Exergy
Battery and PV/Wind/LA-Battery) was done by Testa et al. (2010) analysis was done based on real-time data and exergy efficiency of
who reported that the cost of electricity generation is lower for the that hybrid power plant reported was 17.9% while the generation of
first case [5]. For rural electrification of Kutubdia, a hybrid system electricity was 25,000 MWh per year.
was proposed by Chowdhury et al. (2018) which could be able meet Several techniques such as iterative approaches, and probabi-
the village’s demand [6]. To determine the pico-hydro potential of listic methods, have also been proposed to optimize hybrid systems
Chotokomoldoho, Bangladesh, a survey was conducted by [11e14]. Kanzumba Kusakana (2014) designed an optimized system
Chowdhury et al. (2018) [7]. This study also included other consisting of photovoltaic panels, diesel generator, wind turbine,
renewable resources and proposed an optimum system for power hydrokinetic turbine, and a battery for remote locations in South
generation. Financial and operational optimization of a hybrid Africa [15]. Different configurations with the integration of
T. Chowdhury et al. / Energy 191 (2020) 116568 3
Table 1
Load calculation for the selected location.
Description of loads Watt per unit No. Connected loads (KW) (AprileNovember) kW-hrs/day (DecembereMarch) kW hrs/day
Hrs/day Hrs/day
Table 2 (supplementary file) shows the DMap of the load throughout the
Total estimated load demand. year.
Average unit consumed per day (KWh) 199
Average load demand 8.30
Peak (KW) 34.5 2.4. Solar resources
Load Factor 0.240
Monthly average solar radiation data has been taken from NASA
(National Aeronautics and Space Administration) [22] and a nearby
weather station. These data are compared and validated and then
colored according to the data value for that hour. The DMap allows
used as input to the Homer software (in Fig. 4).
viewing of daily and seasonal patterns more easily than with a
Fig. 4 illustrates the solar radiation of the selected location. The
simple time series plot. Here, this Map shows the variations of the
average annual clearness index is 0.513 and the average daily ra-
load with respect to every hour in each day of the year. Fig. 2
diation is 4.80 kWh/m2/day.
T. Chowdhury et al. / Energy 191 (2020) 116568 5
Fig. 3. The monthly load curve throughout different months of the year.
2.6.2. Economic analysis optimum value for RF is 100% since it indicates that the entire load
An economic analysis can also be carried out using Homer has been covered by renewable energy resources. RF can be
software. Homer determines the optimum result based on Cost of expressed as following
Energy (COE) and Net Present Cost (NPC). COE can be found by
using Equation (5), where Ca ($/year) depicts the total annualized Eren
RF ¼ (9)
cost which is the sum of annualized maintenance, capital and Edemand
replacement cost, and Es is the energy generated in a year to meet
the demand [1,25,26] (please also see the supplementary file).
Net energy import dependency ¼ NI=TPES (11) IT
PPV ¼ YPV f PV 1 þ aP ðTC TS Þ (15)
IS
Equation (16) can be used to find the value of cell temperature
(Tc) [1]. The value 0.9 denotes the effective transmittance-
2.7.3. Rate of deforestation attributed to energy use absorptance of PV array as was assumed by Homer.
Annual change in the amount of forest area that could be uti-
lized for using wood as energy resource is defined by the rate of Tc;NOCT Ta;NOCT h
deforestation attributed to energy use. This is defined as the ratio of TC ¼ Ta þ IT 1 PV (16)
IT;NOCT 0:9
fuel wood deforestation rate to total deforestation rate. The rate of
deforestation (RD) attributed to fuel wood can be found from the
following equation
2.9.2. Wind turbine model
FWF
RD ¼ TRD* (12) To convert wind energy into electrical energy, turbines are used.
TWF
Hub height, cut in wind speed, service time, and cost of compo-
And TRD can be found from this following equation nents play a major role in the selection of wind turbine. For this
8 9 reason the output power available from various wind generators is
>
< 1> = quite different, and it is a function of the velocity of the wind at hub
FAS SE
TRD ¼ 100 1 (13) height. The power law equation (Equation (17)) can be used to
>
: FA E >
; evaluate the wind speed necessary for power generation at a
certain place for a given hub height [1,33e35]. The value of ɣ de-
pends on the type of land [1].
H g
2.8. Emission analysis V ¼ Vrer (17)
Href
Table 3
Technical and economic data for hardware components used as an input for this Simulation [1e3].
Component Technical Description Capital cost ($) Replacement cost ($) O &M cost ($) Lifetime LCE (kg CO2-eq/kWh)
Table 4
Total annualize cost of different hybridized systems.
Case Capital cost ($) Replacement cost ($) O&M cost ($) Total operating cost ($/year) Total NPC Total fuel cost ($)
$
Table 5
Operational emissions from different system configurations.
Table 6 cost of $99729, replacement and O&M cost of 40,169 $/year and $
Operational CO2 emissions comparison between different systems. 23,875 respectively. Higher COE, and higher fuel cost, makes this
Scenarios CO2 emissions (kg/yr) system economically unattractive while a significant amount of
Optimum System 14,041
emission has also been observed in this case (Table 5). From the
National Grid 41,085 simulation, it is also evident that the wind turbines contribute 88%
Diesel Only 89,338 in total system energy production while rest is supplied by the
Kerosene 36,135 generator.
Fig. 6. Comparison between (a) Cost of Energy (COE),(b) Renewable fraction for different hybridized system configurations.
10 T. Chowdhury et al. / Energy 191 (2020) 116568
12,421 L. COE and NPC are reported to be lower (Table 4, Fig. 6) but would reduce the COE by a 5%. Less effect on COE was observed
this proposed case is environmentally infeasible because this sys- when cost of PV, diesel generator, battery and fuel were varied.
tem produces more emission than scenario in Case 5 (Table 5). Similar trend was observed in Fig. 8. From Fig. 8 it, was found that
when discount rate dropped down by 20% from baseline, NPC
would climb up to $237,111 and a 40% reduction in discount rate
3.4. Sensitivity analysis would result in 2.7% increase in NPC. It was also observed that
when capital cost was increased by 20% from baseline ($234,328),
In this subsection, sensitivity analysis has been carried out for NPC would gradually rise to $23, 9891 and 40% increase from
the optimum case (case V). Different input parameters were varied baseline would raise the NPC to $242,178.
to observe the effects on NPC and COE as shown in Figs. 7e8. From
Fig. 7, it is evident that 20% decrease in capital cost would bring the
COE down to around 0.28$/kWh (20% reduction) from the baseline 3.5. Discussion
scenario (0.35$/kWh) while 20% increase in capital cost would
result in a 17% increase in COE from the baseline. When discount In Bangladesh, government buys electricity at the rate of 0.34
rate was reduced by 20% from the baseline, it was observed that $/kWh from the diesel operated power plants, and at the rate of
COE came down to 0.31$/kWh and a 20% increase in discount rate $0.11e0.22 $/kWh from the power plants operated by heavy fuel oil
[37]. This shows that the proposed system cannot compete with based subsidies) and incentives (custom fee, income tax and
grid cost. But if connection from the grid to the selected location is VAT exemption).Several forms of economical support such as
considered then this difference between COE and grid cost may ensuring proper amount of loan during crisis period will moti-
reduce. Besides this, there is the expenditure of solar home system vate organizations to come forward in setting up hybrid power
(SHS) which is 0.72$/kWh [38]. The proposed system is more plants.
economical than SHS and if the geographical conditions for 2) Topology is an essential indicator in the employment of a system
example types of land are considered, the hybrid system will offer [42,43]. Proper market infrastructure addressing the high capi-
better service than SHS. From Table 6, it can be seen that the pro- tal cost of renewable energy components for hybrid systems
posed system provides better environmental performance than the needs to be developed for complex topology.
grid and kerosene operated lamp. The system has less than, 65%,
84% and 61% CO2 emission when compared with the grid, diesel, 4. Conclusion
and kerosene respectively. Besides this, people living in the refugee
camp also are deprived of pure drinking water and entertainment In this study, a hybrid system for potential electricity generation
facility [21].This environmentally techno-economic system can be for Rohingya refugees in Kutupalong camp, Ukhia, Cox’sBazar
used to run a desalination plant which will help to reduce water Bangladesh is investigated. Six scenarios are considered and a
scarcity of the affected people. The electricity produced by this feasible configuration is suggested based on lower COE and lower
system can help in improving the life condition of women and emission. The selected case consists of Generator/PV/Wind/Con-
children. Besides, it will create three times more jobs for people verter/Battery. This system includes a 60 kW PV panel, a 18 kW
than with the fossil fuel based systems [39]. From sustainability generator, 40 pieces of battery, and a 26 kW converter. The
indicators, it was observed that the amount of diesel needed to be configuration has COE of 0.35$ and the renewable fraction is found
imported is 30%. Therefore, dependency on import is less, and this to be 87%. Total NPC of the configuration is 234,328 $ and total fuel
makes the proposed system highly reliable. The movement of cost is found to be 44,042$/year. The proposed system is also
Rohingya people has also caused deforestation since these people environmentally friendly and has less than 65%, 84% and 61% CO2
use forest woods for cooking and other household activities. The emission when compared with grid, diesel, and kerosene respec-
rate of deforestation was found to be 40%. Access to electricity will tively. The proposed system is much more economical than solar
help to reduce this problem. Besides, this system does not use home system. The findings of this study are stated below;
biomass to generate electricity. 87% resources come from renew-
able energy sources. So this system is highly sustainable. There is Case V is the most optimum system consisting of Generator/PV/
literally no idle time for equipment since their deployment is ac- Wind/Converter/Battery system. COE and NPC of the system is
cording to the demands of people. This idle time of equipment 0.35$/kWh and $ 234,328. Although case IV and case VI has close
causes depreciation which in turn leads to less efficiency and higher COE and NPC to case V, they emit 23.65% and 23.32% more CO2
cost. And the proposed system addresses these issues. than Case V. The optimum system ($0.35/kWh) is much more
economical than solar home system (0.72$/kWh) and diesel
3.6. Uncertainties & future work only system (0.732$/kWh).
In the proposed optimized system, PV contributes 40%, wind
The main uncertainty of implementing hybrid energy system for turbine contributes 53%, and diesel generator contributes 7% of
refugee camp is the duration of the camps. Several camps last for a systems total electricity generation. RF is also higher for case V
shorter period and others are set up for a longer period of time. than any other cases (87%). Although Cases II and III has higher
Establishment of a hybrid system may take time and the cost RF, these cases have higher COE and higher emission than case
associated with the operation and maintenance of the equipment V. It was also observed that 20% decrease in capital cost would
may vary. Weather and geographical location also play a vital role in bring the COE down to around 0.28$/kWh (20% reduction) from
the selection of the equipment. Also, the Government and other the baseline scenario (0.35$/kWh) while 20% increase in capital
organizations have to take care of the most immediate needs of the cost would result in a 17% increase in COE from the baseline. It
refugees which may also delay in setting up the systems. Other was also observed that when capital cost was increased by 20%
important issues such as political instability, conflict with the local from baseline ($234,328), NPC would gradually rise to $23, 9891
communities, the legal status of the people, lack of infrastructure, and 40% increase from baseline would up the NPC to $242,178.
and absence of governance within the camp can also play major
roles in setting up the hybrid energy system. Sustainability indicators introduced in this study prove that the
For future work, the following issues should be addressed: proposed system is highly optimum. It was estimated that the
amount of diesel needed to be imported is 30%. Therefore, de-
1) Policies should be established for hybrid systems. In Bangla- pendency on import is less, and this makes the proposed system
desh’s Government Renewable Energy policy [40] towards highly reliable. The movement of Rohingya people has also caused
sustainable development, there is no policy that deals with the deforestation since these people use forest woods for cooking and
hybrid system. Involvement of private sectors must be other household chores. The rate of deforestation was found to be
addressed in the policy. Without a proper policy, the imple- 40%. Access to electricity will help to reduce this problem. Besides,
mentation of hybrid systems will face hindrances. Government this system does not use biomass to generate electricity. 87% re-
should insure the participation of international organizations sources come from renewable energy sources. So this system is
for ensuring electricity for refugees. Several challenges such as highly sustainable. There is literally no idle time for equipment
institutional (low regulated tariffs, lack of policy, complex since their deployment is according to the demand of the people.
organizational policy), technical (unstable population distribu- This idle time of equipment causes depreciation which in turn leads
tion, fluctuations in generation and distribution, lack of tech- to less efficiency and higher cost.
nical skill) and financial (lack of affordability and revenues) may
hinder the development of hybrid power generation [41]. Gov- Acknowledgement
ernment should provide support for the organizations in
different forms of subsidies (capital, operating, and output The authors are thankful to Department of Mechanical
12 T. Chowdhury et al. / Energy 191 (2020) 116568
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