Population in Population in

2010 2015
DADIANGAS 538,086 594,446
City Heights 23,772 24,014
Tambler 15,845 21,474
Katangawan 11,959 13,948
Dadiangas West 15,202 13,827
Sinawal 10,718 13,825
Siguel 9,905 12,757
San Jose 7,486 11,333
Buayan 10,375 11,196
Conel 9,762 11,164
Source: 2010 and 2015 NSO Census of General Santos City

Formulas:
1. Arithmetic / Linear Method

𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏
Where:

𝑛 = no. of years between 0 and 0+n

𝑃0+𝑛 = population to be forecast at time 0+n (the projection year)

𝑃(0) = population at time 0 (the base year)
𝑚 = gradient
 ∑(𝑃0 − 𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

II. Geometric Method

𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
Where:

𝑃𝑡 = projected population for a certain year

𝑃0 = base year
𝑟 = rate of growth
𝑡 = time interval between the base and projected years

𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )
𝑟=
𝑡

II. Exponential Method

𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
Where:

𝑃𝑡 = projected population for a certain year

𝑃0 = base year
𝑒 = constant (the e of 1 is 2.71828)
𝑟 = rate of growth
𝑡 = time interval between the base and projected years
 [𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

Dadiangas
Given:
𝑃2015 594,446 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 538,086

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(594,446−538,086)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 56,360
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏 The total population of Dadiangas
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟗𝟒, 𝟒𝟒𝟔 + (𝟓𝟔, 𝟑𝟔𝟎)(𝟏𝟓) in 2030 will be 1,439,846.
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏, 𝟒𝟑𝟗, 𝟖𝟒𝟔

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(594,446/538,086)
𝑟=
5
𝑙𝑛(56,360)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0199
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟏𝟗𝟗)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟗𝟒, 𝟒𝟒𝟔(𝟏. 𝟎𝟏𝟗𝟗)𝟏𝟓

The total population of

in 2030 will be 798
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟕𝟗𝟖, 𝟖𝟕𝟎. 𝟑𝟏𝟗

Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(594,446/538,086)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(56,360)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0.0199
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟏𝟗𝟗(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟗𝟒, 𝟒𝟒𝟔𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟏𝟗𝟗(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟖𝟎𝟏, 𝟐𝟏𝟓. 𝟒𝟒𝟑𝟕
The total population of
in 2030 will be 801
City Heights
Given:
𝑃2015 24,214 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 23,772

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(24,214−23,772)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 242
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏 The total populat
Heights in 2030 w
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟒, 𝟐𝟏𝟒 + (𝟐𝟒𝟐)(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟕, 𝟔𝟒𝟒

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(24,214/23,772)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0020
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟎)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟒, 𝟎𝟏𝟒(𝟏. 𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟎)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟒, 𝟕𝟒𝟒. 𝟓𝟗𝟑𝟖𝟐

The total population of C

Heights in 2030 will be 2

Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(24,214/23,772)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0.0020
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟎(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟒, 𝟎𝟏𝟒𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟎(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟒, 𝟕𝟒𝟓. 𝟑𝟑𝟓𝟏𝟖

The total population o

Heights in 2030 will b
Tambler
Given:
𝑃2015 21,474 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 15,845

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(21,474−18,845)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 5,629
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏 The total populat
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟏, 𝟒𝟕𝟒 + (𝟓, 𝟔𝟐𝟗)(𝟏𝟓) Tambler in 2030
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟎𝟓, 𝟗𝟎𝟗

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(21,474/15,845)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0607
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟔𝟎𝟕)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟏, 𝟒𝟕𝟒(𝟏. 𝟎𝟔𝟎𝟕)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟏, 𝟗𝟕𝟓. 𝟖𝟑𝟓𝟕𝟖

The total population of Bara

Tambler in 2030 will be 51,
Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(21,474/15,845)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0.0607
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟔𝟎𝟕(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟏, 𝟒𝟕𝟒𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟔𝟎𝟕(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟑, 𝟑𝟕𝟓. 𝟎𝟐𝟐𝟗𝟐

The total population of

Tambler in 2030 will be
Katangawan
Given:
𝑃2015 13,948 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 11,959

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(13,948−11,959)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 1,989
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟗𝟒𝟖 + (𝟏, 𝟗𝟖𝟗)(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟒𝟑, 𝟕𝟖𝟑

The total populat

Katangawan in 20
Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(13,948/11,959)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0308
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑𝟎𝟖)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟗𝟒𝟖(𝟏. 𝟎𝟑𝟎𝟖)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟏, 𝟗𝟖𝟓. 𝟎𝟖𝟏𝟖𝟓

The total population of Bara

Katangawan in 2030 will be 2
Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(13,948/11,959)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0.0308
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟑𝟎𝟖(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟗𝟒𝟖𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟑𝟎𝟖(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟐, 𝟏𝟑𝟖. 𝟖𝟗𝟕𝟒𝟗

The total population

Katangawan in 2030
Dadiangas West
Given:
𝑃2015 13,827 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 15,202

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(13,827−15202)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = −1375
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏 The total populat
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟗𝟒𝟖 + (−𝟏𝟑𝟕𝟓)(𝟏𝟓) West in 2030 w
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟔, 𝟕𝟗𝟖

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(13,827/15,202)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = −0.0190
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + (−𝟎. 𝟎𝟏𝟗𝟎))𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟖𝟐𝟕(𝟎. 𝟗𝟖𝟏)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟎, 𝟑𝟔𝟗. 𝟔𝟐𝟓𝟓𝟑

The total populatio

West in 2030 w
Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(13,827/15,202)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = −0.0190
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆−𝟎.𝟎𝟏𝟗𝟎(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟖𝟐𝟕𝒆−𝟎.𝟎𝟏𝟗𝟎(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟎, 𝟑𝟗𝟖. 𝟏𝟎𝟏𝟎𝟗

The total population of D

West in 2030 will be 10
Sinawal
Given:
𝑃2015 13,285 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 10,718

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(13,285−10,718)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 2,567
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏 The total populat
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟐𝟖𝟓 + (𝟐, 𝟓𝟔𝟕)(𝟏𝟓) 2030 will be 51,7
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟏, 𝟕𝟗𝟎

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(13,285/10,718)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0429
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟒𝟐𝟗)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟖𝟐𝟖𝟓(𝟏. 𝟎𝟒𝟐𝟗)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟒, 𝟗𝟒𝟔. 𝟎𝟑𝟕𝟕𝟒𝟗

The total populatio

2030 will be 24,94
Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(13,285/10,718)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0.0429
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟒𝟐𝟗(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟐𝟖𝟓𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟒𝟐𝟗(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟓, 𝟐𝟖𝟑. 𝟎𝟖𝟒𝟔

The total popu

2030 will be 25
Siguel
Given:
𝑃2015 12,757 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 9,905

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(12,757−9,905)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 2,852
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏 The total populat
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟐, 𝟕𝟓𝟕 + (𝟐, 𝟖𝟓𝟐)(𝟏𝟓) 2030 will be 55,5
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟓𝟓, 𝟓𝟑𝟕

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(12,757/9,905)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0506
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟓𝟎𝟔)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟐, 𝟕𝟓𝟕(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓𝟎𝟔)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟔, 𝟕𝟒𝟗. 𝟏𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟏

The total population

2030 will be 26,750.
Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(12,757/9,905)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0,0506
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟓𝟎𝟔(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟐, 𝟕𝟓𝟕𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟓𝟎𝟔(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟕, 𝟐𝟓𝟎.72539

The total population

2030 will be 27,251.
San Jose
Given:
𝑃2015 11,333 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 7,486

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(11,333−7,486)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 3,847
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟑𝟑𝟑 + (𝟑, 𝟖𝟒𝟕)(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟔𝟗, 𝟎𝟑𝟖

The total populatio

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
2030 will be 69,03
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(11,333/7,486)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0829
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟓𝟎𝟔)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟐, 𝟕𝟓𝟕(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓𝟎𝟔)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟑𝟕, 𝟒𝟐𝟓. 𝟕𝟐𝟐𝟔𝟐

The total population of S

2030 will be 37,426.
Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(11,333/7,486)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0.0829
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟖𝟐𝟗(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟑𝟑𝟑𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟖𝟐𝟗(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟑𝟗, 𝟐𝟗𝟗. 𝟕𝟕𝟔𝟏𝟖

The total population o

2030 will be 39,300.
Buayan
Given:
𝑃2015 11,196 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 10,375

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(11,196−10,375)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 821
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟏𝟗𝟔 + (𝟖𝟐𝟏)(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟐𝟑, 𝟓𝟏𝟏

The total populati

2030 will be 23,51
Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(11,196/10,375)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0152
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟏𝟓𝟐
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟏𝟗𝟔(𝟏. 𝟎𝟏𝟓𝟐)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟒, 𝟎𝟑𝟗. 𝟎𝟐𝟕𝟓𝟒

The total population

2030 will be 14,040.

Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(11,196/10,375)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0.0152
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟏𝟓𝟐(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟏𝟗𝟔𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟏𝟓𝟐(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟒, 𝟎𝟔𝟑. 𝟑𝟏𝟑

The total population o

2030 will be 14,064.
Conel
Given:
𝑃2015 11,164 𝑃2030 ?
𝑃2010 9,762

Arithmetic Method:
∑(𝑃0 −𝑃0−1 )
𝑚=
𝑛𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠

∑(11,164−9,762)
𝑚=
1

𝑚 = 1,402
𝑷𝟎+𝒏 = 𝑷(𝟎) + 𝒎𝒏 The total populat
The total popula
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟏𝟔𝟒 + (𝟏, 𝟒𝟎𝟐)(𝟏𝟓) 2030 will be 32,1
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟑𝟐, 𝟏𝟗𝟒
2030 will be 23,

Geometric Method:
𝑙𝑛(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0)
𝑟=
𝑡
𝑙𝑛(11,164/9,762)
𝑟=
5

𝑟 = 0.0268
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 (𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟐𝟔𝟖)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟏𝟗𝟔(𝟏. 𝟎𝟐𝟔𝟖)𝟏𝟓
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟔, 𝟓𝟗𝟗. 𝟗𝟖𝟔𝟐𝟑

The total populatio

2030 will be 16,600
Exponential Method:
[𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑃𝑡 /𝑃0 )]
𝑟=
𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

[𝑙𝑜𝑔(11,164/9,762)]
𝑟=
5 𝑙𝑜𝑔 𝑒

𝑟 = 0,0268
𝑷𝒕 = 𝑷𝟎 𝒆𝒓𝒕
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟐𝟔𝟖(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟏, 𝟏𝟔𝟒𝒆𝟎.𝟎𝟐𝟔𝟖(𝟏𝟓)
𝑷𝟐𝟎𝟑𝟎 = 𝟏𝟔, 𝟔𝟖𝟖. 𝟎𝟕𝟑𝟕𝟐

The total pop

2030 will be