PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR

CIVIL ENGINEERS – CVE303

Syllabus 2017

Djamalddıne Boumezerane
djamaldb@metu.edu.tr
PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS FOR CIVIL ENGINEERS -
CVE303

• Course Credit : 3
• Course ECTS : 6.0

• Course Catalog Description

• Descriptive statistics, histograms, central tendency, dispersion and
correlation measures.
• Basic probability concepts, random variables, probability density and
mass function.
• Hypothesis testing, confidence intervals. Law of large numbers and
central limit theorem.
• Regression analysis. Applications in engineering
Instructor Dr Djamalddıne Boumezerane
Office Address : R Building, 1. Floor, 130
Emaıl : djamaldb@metu.edu.fr
Offıce hours Wednesday 14:40-15:30

Teachıng Assıstant Esra Fugen Pasaoglulari

Emaıl : esrap@metu.edu.fr
• Course Objectives
• This course aims to give students a solid grounding in Probability
and Statistics. Students will be introduced to probability theory
and inference theory. Topics to be covered include the notions of
probability and conditional probability, discrete and continuous
distributions of random variables, basic estimation methods,
hypothesis tesing confidence intervals, convergence theorems, law
of large numbers, central limit theorem, analysis of variance and
regression analysis. Students will learn the relevant theory and
gain the ability to formulate and solve practical problems in Civil
Engineering.
• The module covers both the completion of mathematical
calculations by hand as well as by the use of software and the
interpretation of quantitative results.
Course Learning Outcomes
On completion of the course the successful student will be able to:
· Use appropriate statistical techniques to summarise and interpret
numerical data;
· Calculate unconditional and conditional probabilities;
· Work with discrete and continuous random variables and their
distribution functions;
· Critically analyse the appropriateness of using different statistical tools
in a given situation;
· Analyse data and work with multivariate probability distributions;
· Use functions of random variables;
· Understand the Sampling Distributions, Convergence Theorems, Law of
Large Numbers and the Central Limit Theorem;
· Use different estimation techniques knowing the properties of
estimators;
· Conduct different hypothesis-testing procedures;
· Work individually as well as in a team and appreciate the
importance of attendance, cooperation, contribution and
responsibility in completing seminar questions and participating
in problem solving classes.Make analysis of variance and
estimate regression models;
· Use software package R to analyse data and produce suitable
output;
· Work individually as well as in a team and appreciate the
importance of attendance, cooperation, contribution and
responsibility in completing seminar questions and participating
in problem solving classes.
 Tentatıve outlıne

1.Introduction to Statistics 6.Functions of Random

2.Probability Variables
3.Discrete Random Variables 7.Sampling Distrıbutions and
and Probability Distributions the Central Limit Theorem
8.Estimation
4.Continuous Random
Variables and Probability 9.Properties of Estimators and
Distributions Methods of Estimation
10.Hypothesis Testing
5.Joint Probability
11.Linear Models and
Distributions and Random
Samples Estimation by Least Squares

There will be three homework assignments.

 Text books

• Devore, Jay L. Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences, 8th ed. Cengage
Learning, 2011. ISBN 9780840068279

• Wackerly D.,Mendenhall, W., and Scheaffer, R. Mathematical Statistics with Applications, 7th
edition. (2008)

• Casella, G. and Berger, R. (2001). Statistical Inference, 2nd ed., Duxbury press.

• Hogg, R. V. and Craig A. T., (2005) Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, 6th edition, Prentice
Hall.

• Mood. A.M., Graybill, and Boes D.C., (1974) Introduction to the Theory of Statistics, 3rd edition,
McGraw-Hall.

• Rice, J. (2006). Mathematical Statistics and Data Analysis, 3rd. ed., Duxbury press.