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06111740000098
EXERCISE 8
Lee J. Bain pages 283 – 287
1. Let 𝑿 denote the weight in pounds of a bag of feed, where 𝑿 ~ 𝑵 (𝟏𝟎𝟏, 𝟒). What
is the probability that 20 bags will wight at least a ton?
Answer :
X ~ N (101, 4)
2000
X= = 100 ; 𝑛 = 20 ; 𝜇 = 101 ; 𝜎 2 = 4
2
𝑋− 𝜇
𝑧= 𝜎
⁄ 𝑛
√
100 − 101
= = −2,23
2⁄
√20
𝑃 [𝑍𝑛 ≥ 𝑧] = 𝑃 [𝑍𝑛 ≥ −2,23]
2. S denote the diameter of a shaft and B the diameter of a bearing, where S and B
are independent with 𝑺~𝑵(𝟏, 𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟒) and 𝑩~𝑵(𝟏. 𝟎𝟏, 𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟗).
a. If a shaft and a bearing are selected at random, what is the probability that
the shaft diameter will exceed the bearing diameter?
Answer:
Since both S and B are normal variables we may transform them, via theorem
8.3.1 into a new normal variable. The values we need are 𝜇 and 𝜎 both S and B.
For S we have 𝜇 = 1, 𝜎 2 = 0.0004, for B 𝜇 = 1.01, 𝜎 2 = 0.0009. For the
question, we want the probability that 𝑆 > 𝐵 so in other words Pr (𝑆 − 𝐵 > 0).
This means 𝑆 − 𝐵 = 𝑌 is a new normal variable (by theorem), with values 𝜇 =
−0.01 and 𝜎 2 = 0.0013. We will use the CLT to solve the probability, so we
need 𝜎 = 0.036. Using that we solve:
b. Assume equal variances 𝝈𝟐𝟏 = 𝝈𝟐𝟐 = 𝝈𝟐, and find the value of 𝝈 that will yield a
probability of noninterference of 0.95.
Answer:
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
We now assume that for S and B that 𝜎 2 are identical for each, but unknown. We
do know our desired probability, 0.95 so we will solve for that instead. Very
similar in approach to part a), we just solve for 𝜎 now. Important fact is that the
𝑁(−0.01, 𝜎 2 + 𝜎 2 ) = 𝑁(−0.01, 2𝜎 2 ) so 𝜎 = 𝜎√2
0.01
ɸ( ) = 0.95
𝜎√2
So we find the value in our table, 1.65 and solve for 𝜎
0.01
= 1.65
𝜎√2
≈ 0.00428
Answer:
Find for µ
𝜇 = 𝐸(𝑥̅ )
∑𝑛 𝑋
𝑖
𝜇 = ( 𝑖=1 )
𝑛
1
𝜇 = 𝐸(𝑈)
𝑛
Find for 𝜎 2
𝜎 2 = 𝐸(𝑆 2 )
∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖2 − 𝑛𝑥̅ 2
𝜎2 = ( )
𝑛−1
1 (∑𝑛
𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖 )
2
𝜎 2 = 𝑛−1 𝐸(𝑊 − 𝑛( ))
𝑛2
1 𝑈2
𝜎2 = 𝐸(𝑊 − )
𝑛−1 𝑛
1 𝑈2
𝜎2 = 𝐸 ( (𝑊 − ))
𝑛−1 𝑛
Thus
𝜃 = 2𝜇 − 5𝜎 2
1 1 𝑈2
𝜃 = 2( 𝐸(𝑈)) − 5𝐸 ( (𝑊 − ))
𝑛 𝑛−1 𝑛
2 5 𝑈2
𝜃 = 𝐸( (𝑈) − (𝑊 − ))
𝑛 𝑛−1 𝑛
2
2𝑈 5 𝑈
𝜃= − (𝑊 − )
𝑛 𝑛−1 𝑛
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
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Answer:
𝑃(𝑌𝑖 = 1) = 𝑃(𝑋𝑖 ≤ 𝑐)
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
𝑋𝑖 − 𝜇 𝑐 − 𝜇
𝑃(𝑌𝑖 = 1) = 𝑃 ( ≤ )
𝜎 𝜎
𝑐−𝜇
𝑃(𝑌𝑖 = 1) = 𝑃 (𝑁(0,1) ≤ )
𝜎
𝑐−𝜇
𝑃(𝑌𝑖 = 1) = 𝜙 ( )
𝜎
𝑃(𝑌𝑖 = 1) = 𝐹𝑥 (𝑐)
𝑛 𝑛
1 1
𝐸 ( ∑ 𝑌𝑖 ) = ∑ 𝐸(𝑌𝑖 )
𝑛 𝑛
𝑖=1 𝑖=1
𝑛
1 1 𝑐−𝜇
𝐸 ( ∑ 𝑌𝑖 ) = 𝑛 𝜙 ( )
𝑛 𝑛 𝜎
𝑖=1
𝑛
1 𝑐−𝜇
𝐸 ( ∑ 𝑌𝑖 ) = 𝜙 ( )
𝑛 𝜎
𝑖=1
1 𝑐−𝜇
Then 𝑛 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑌𝑖 = 𝑌 which is unbiased for 𝐹𝑥 (𝑐) = 𝜙 ( ).
𝜎
Answer:
𝑋, 𝑋𝑖~ 𝑁(𝜇, 𝜎 2 ) Independent and normally distributed 𝑌 ≔
∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑎𝑖𝑋𝑖~𝑁( ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑎𝑖𝜇𝑖, ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑎𝑖 2 𝜎𝑖 2 )
1
𝑀𝑋(𝑡) = 𝑒𝑥𝑝{𝑡µ + 𝑡 2 𝜎 2 }
2
𝑛1 𝑛1
𝑡 𝑡
𝑌1 = 𝑀𝑋1+𝑋2 (𝑡) = 𝑀𝑥1 (𝑡)𝑀𝑥2 (−𝑡) = ∏ 𝑀𝑋𝑖 ( ) ∏ 𝑀𝑋𝑗 ( )
𝑛1 𝑛1
𝑖=1 𝑗=1
𝑛1 𝑛1
2
𝑡 1 𝑡 2
𝑡 1 𝑡2 2
= ∏ 𝑒𝑥𝑝 { 𝜇1 + 𝜎 } ∏ 𝑒𝑥𝑝 { 𝜇2 + 𝜎 }
𝑛1 2 𝑛1 2 1 𝑛1 2 𝑛2 2 2
𝑖=1 𝑖=1
1 𝜎1 2 𝜎2 2
= 𝑒𝑥𝑝 {𝑡(𝜇1 + 𝜇2 ) + 𝑡 2 ( + )}
2 𝑛1 𝑛2
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
𝑛
𝜎1 2 𝜎2 2
𝑌1 ≔ ∑ 𝑎𝑖𝑋𝑖~𝑁(𝜇1 + 𝜇2 , + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
𝑖=1
𝑛1 𝑛1
𝑡 −𝑡
𝑌2 = 𝑀𝑋1−𝑋2 (𝑡) = 𝑀𝑥1 (𝑡)𝑀𝑥2 (−𝑡) = ∏ 𝑀𝑋𝑖 ( ) ∏ 𝑀𝑋𝑗 ( )
𝑛1 𝑛1
𝑖=1 𝑗=1
𝑛1 𝑛1
𝑡 1 𝑡2 2 −𝑡 1 𝑡2 2
= ∏ 𝑒𝑥𝑝 { 𝜇1 + 𝜎 } ∏ 𝑒𝑥𝑝 { 𝜇2 + 𝜎 }
𝑛1 2 𝑛1 2 1 𝑛1 2 𝑛2 2 2
𝑖=1 𝑖=1
2
1 𝜎1 𝜎2 2
= 𝑒𝑥𝑝 {𝑡(𝜇1 − 𝜇2 ) + 𝑡 2 ( + )}
2 𝑛1 𝑛2
𝑛
𝜎1 2 𝜎2 2
𝑌2 ≔ ∑ 𝑎𝑖𝑋𝑖~𝑁(𝜇1 − 𝜇2 , + )
𝑛1 𝑛2
𝑖=1
5. A new component is placed in service and nine spares are available. The times to
failure in days are independent exponential variables, 𝑻𝒊 ~ 𝑬𝑿𝑷(𝟏𝟎𝟎).
(b) What is the probability that successful operation can be maintained for at
least 1.5 years? Hint: Use Theorem 8.3.3 to transform to a chi-square
variable.
(c) How many spares would be needed to be 95% sure of succesful operation
for at leats two years?
Answer:
(a) 1 1
𝑀𝑇𝑖 = =
1 − 𝜃𝑡 1 − 100𝑡
10
𝑛
𝑀 ∑ 𝑇𝑖 (𝑡) = 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡(∑𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖) )
𝑖=1
So that
𝑀∑ 𝑇𝑖 (𝑡) = 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇1 . 𝑒 𝑡𝑇2 … . 𝑒 𝑡𝑇10 )
10
10 10
10
2𝑇𝑖 2
∑ 𝑇𝑖 ~ 𝐺𝐴𝑀(100,10) So that 100 ~ 𝑋(20)
𝑖=1
2 ∑10
𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖 2(1.5)(365)
𝑃( > )
100 100
2
𝑃 (𝑋(20) ≥ 10.95)
2
= 1 − 𝑃 (𝑋(20) ≥ 0.95)
= 1 − 0.05 = 0.95
∑ 𝑇𝑖 ~ 𝐺𝐴𝑀(100, 𝑛)
𝑖=1
𝑃 (∑ 𝑇𝑖 ≥ (2)(365)) = 0.95
𝑖=1
2 ∑10
𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖 (2)(730)
0.95 = 𝑃 ( ≥ )
100 100
2
0.95 = 𝑃 (𝑋(2𝑛) ≥ 14.6)
2
0.95 = 1 − 𝑃 (𝑋(2𝑛) ≤ 14.6)
2
0.05 = 𝑃 (𝑋(2𝑛) ≤ 14.6)
𝑆𝑜 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡
10
∑ 𝑇𝑖 ~𝐺𝐴𝑀(100,12)
𝑖=1
10
∑10
𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖
∑ 𝑇𝑖 ~𝐺𝐴𝑀(100,12) 𝑚𝑎𝑘𝑎 2 ~2 (24)
100
𝑖=1
2 ∑10
𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖 2(1.5)(365)
𝑃( ≥ )
100 100
∑ 𝑇𝑖 ~𝐺𝐴𝑀(100, 𝑘)
𝑖=1
𝑃 (∑ 𝑇𝑖 ≥ (2)(365)) = 0.95
𝑖=1
∑𝑘𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖 (2)(730)
𝑃(2 ≥ = 0.95
100 100
We need 12 spares
7. Five independent tasks are to be performed, where the time in hours to complete
the 𝒊th task is given by 𝑻𝒊 ~𝑮𝑨𝑴(𝟏𝟎𝟎, 𝒌𝒊 ), where 𝒌𝒊 = 𝟑 + 𝒊/𝟑. What is the
probability that it will take less than 2600 hours to complete all five tasks?
Answer:
Assume 𝑦 = ∑5𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖 ; 𝑇𝑖 ~𝐺𝐴𝑀(100, 𝑘𝑖 ), where 𝑘𝑖 = 3 + 𝑖/3
1 10
𝑘1 = 3 + =
3 3
2 11
𝑘2 =3+ =
3 3
3 12
𝑘3 =3+ =
3 3
4 13
𝑘4 =3+ =
3 3
5 14
𝑘5 =3+ =
3 3
5
10 + 11 + 12 + 13 + 14 60
∑ 𝑘𝑖 = = = 20
3 3
𝑖=1
𝑀𝑦 (𝑡) = 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑦 )
5
= 𝐸 (𝑒 𝑡 ∑𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖 )
= 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇1+𝑡𝑇2+⋯+𝑡𝑇5 )
= 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇1 ). 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇2 ). … . 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇5 )
= 𝑀𝑇1 (𝑡). 𝑀𝑇2 (𝑡). … . 𝑀𝑇5 (𝑡)
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
10 11 14
= (1 − 100𝑡)− 3 . (1 − 100𝑡)− 3 . … . (1 − 100𝑡)− 3
10 11 12 13 14
= (1 − 100𝑡)−( 3 + 3 + 3 + 3 + 3 )
5
= (1 − 100𝑡)− ∑𝑖=1 𝑘𝑖
5 5
𝑦 = ∑ 𝑇𝑖 ~𝐺𝐴𝑀(100, ∑ 𝑘𝑖 )
𝑖=1 𝑖=1
2 2600.2
𝑃(𝑦 < 2600) = 𝑃 ( 𝑦 < )
𝜃 𝜃
2 2600.2
= 𝑃 (𝜒(∑ 5 < )
𝑖=1 𝑘𝑖 .2) 100
2
= 𝑃(𝜒(40) < 52)
= 0,90
8. Suppose that 𝑿~𝝌𝟐 (𝒎) and 𝒀~𝝌𝟐 (𝒏), and 𝑿 and 𝒀 are independent.
Is 𝑿 − 𝒀~𝝌𝟐 if 𝒏 > 𝒎?
Answer:
No, because the value from 𝑋 − 𝑌 can be negative, whereas the random
variable with the distribution 𝜒 2 cant be negative.
9. Suppose that 𝑿~𝝌𝟐 (𝒎), 𝒀~𝝌𝟐 (𝒏) and X and Y are idenpendent. Use MGF’s to
show that 𝑺 − 𝑿~𝝌𝟐 (𝒏)
Answer:
𝑀𝑠 (𝑡) = 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑠 )
(𝑚+𝑛) 𝑚
(1 − 2𝑡)− 2 = 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡(𝑠−𝑥) ) ∙ (1 − 2𝑡)− 2
𝑚
−
(1−2𝑡) 2
𝐸(𝑒 𝑡(𝑠−𝑥) ) = (𝑚+𝑛)
− 2
(1−2𝑡)
𝑛
𝑀(𝑠−𝑥) (𝑡) = (1 − 2𝑡)− 2
10. A random sample of size n = 15 in drawn from EXP(𝜃). Find c so that P[cX < 𝜃]
= 0,95. Where X in the sample mean.
Answer:
𝑥̂−𝐸(𝑥̂) 𝜃/𝑐−𝐸(𝑥̂)
𝑃[ < ] = 0,95
√𝑉𝑎𝑟 (𝑥̂) √𝑉𝑎𝑟 (𝑥̂)
𝜃/𝑐−𝐸(𝑥̂)
𝑃 [𝑍 < ] = 0,95
√𝑉𝑎𝑟 (𝑥̂)
∑𝑥
Untuk 𝐸(𝑥̂) = 𝐸 ( 𝑛
)
= 1/n 𝐸 (∑ 𝑥)
= 1/n. n .x = 𝜃
∑𝑥
Untuk 𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑥̂) = 𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( )
𝑛
= 1/n2 𝑉𝑎𝑟 (∑ 𝑥)
= 1/n2. n. σ2
= σ2/ n
= 𝜃2/n
Sehingga :
𝜃/𝑐−𝜃
𝑃 [𝑍 < 𝜎2
] = 0,95
𝑛
𝜃/𝑐−𝜃
Misal A = 2
√𝜎
𝑛
𝜃/𝑐−𝜃
A= 𝜃
√𝑛
𝜃−𝜃𝑐
𝑐
1,65 = 𝜃
√𝑛
1−𝑐
1,65 = 𝑥 √𝑛
𝑐
1−𝑐
1,65 = 𝑐
𝑥 √15
1−𝑐
0,4260 = 𝑐
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
0,4260 = 1- c
1 = c + 0,4260
1 = 1,4260 c
1
C = 1,4260
C = 2,347262
a. Find 𝑷 (𝒁𝟐 < 𝟑, 𝟖𝟒 ) using tabled values of the standard normal distribution.
Answer :
12. The distance in feet by which a parachutist misses a target is 𝑫 = √𝑿𝟐𝟏 + 𝑿𝟐𝟐 ,
where 𝑿𝟏 and 𝑿𝟐 are independent with 𝑿𝒊 ~𝑵(𝟎, 𝟐𝟓). Find 𝑷[𝑫 ≤ 𝟏𝟐. 𝟐𝟓 𝒇𝒆𝒆𝒕]!
Answer:
= 𝑃[𝑍 ≤ 2.45]
= 0.99
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
̅ be
13. Consider independent random variables 𝒁𝒊 ~ 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏), 𝒊 = 𝟏, … , 𝟏𝟔, and let 𝒁
the sample mean. Find :
𝟏
a. 𝑷[ ̃𝒁 < 𝟐]
Answer:
𝑍𝑖 ~𝑁(0,1)
𝑖 = 1,2,3, … . . ,16
𝜎𝑥2 1
̃𝑍 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇𝑥, ) = 𝑁 (0, )
𝑛 16
Sehingga,
1 0.5 − 0
𝑃 ( ̃𝑍 < ) = 𝑃 (𝑧 < )
2 1
4
= 𝑃(𝑧 < 2)
= 0.977
b. 𝑷[𝒁𝟏 − 𝒁𝟐 < 𝟐]
Answer:
𝑍1 − 𝑍2 ~ 𝑁(𝜇1 − 𝜇2 , 𝜎12 − 𝜎22 )
2−0
𝑃(𝑍1 − 𝑍2 < 2) = 𝑃 (𝑧 < )
√2
= 𝑃(𝑍 < √2)
= 0.921
c. 𝑷[𝒁𝟏 + 𝒁𝟐 < 𝟐]
Answer:
Berdasarkan definisi 8.3.1 diketahui 𝑎1 = 1, 𝑎2 = 1
2 2
𝑦 = 𝑍1 + 𝑍2 ~ 𝑁(0, 2)
Sehingga,
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
𝑋−𝜇 2−𝜇
= 𝑃( < )
𝜎 𝜎
2
= 𝑃(𝑍 < )
√2
= 0,9207
d. 𝑷[∑𝟏𝟔 𝟐
𝒊=𝟏 𝒁𝒊 < 𝟑𝟐]
Answer:
Definisi 𝑌~𝑁(0, 1) ; 𝑍𝑁(0,1)
16
(𝑍𝑖 − 𝜇)2
𝑌=∑ ~ 𝑋 2 (16)
𝜎2
𝑖=1
16
(𝑍𝑖 − 𝜇)2
= 𝑃 (∑ < 32)
𝜎2
𝑖=1
16
(𝑍𝑖 − 0)2
= 𝑃 (∑ < 32)
12
𝑖=1
16
= 𝑃 (∑ 𝑍𝑖 2 < 32)
𝑖=1
16
= 0,990
e. 𝑷[∑𝟏𝟔 ̅ 𝟐
𝒊=𝟏(𝒁𝒊 − 𝒁) < 𝟐𝟓]
Answer:
Use theorem 8.3.6 part 3. First divide both by 𝑛 − 1 to get 𝑆 2 . Next,
multiply both sides by 𝑛 − 1 and divide by 𝜎 2 which will give a
distribution of 𝑋 2 (15).
16 ̅ 2
15 ∑ (𝑋− 𝑋 ) 15 ×25
Pr(∑16(𝑋 − 𝑋̅)2 ≤ 25) = Pr ( (15)(1) ≤ ) = Pr( 𝑋 2 (15) ≤
15 ×1
25)
𝑍 𝑍2
From that, 𝑇 2 = ( )= 𝑉 .
𝑉
√ 𝑣
𝑣
From the Theorem, we get 𝑍 2 ~𝜒 2 (1).
𝑊
2 1
Misal 𝑊 = 𝑍 ~𝜒 (1) we get 𝑇 = ( )
2 2
𝑉
𝑣
From the theorem 8.4.4 𝑇 2 ~𝐹(1, 𝑣)
So the distribution is 𝑇 2 ~𝐹(1, 𝑣)
a. 𝑿𝟏 − 𝑿𝟐
Answer:
a. 𝑋𝑖 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇, 𝜎 2 ), 𝑖 = 1, … , 𝑛
𝑋1 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇, 𝜎 2 ) and 𝑋2 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇, 𝜎 2 )
Where : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2 = 𝜇
𝜎1 2 = 𝜎2 2 = 𝜎 2
Then : 𝑌 = 𝑋1 − 𝑋2
Misal : 𝑎1 = 1 (Coef 𝑋1 )
𝑎2 = −1 (Coef 𝑋2)
2 2
𝑌 ~ 𝑁 (∑ 𝑎𝑖 𝜇𝑖 , ∑ 𝑎𝑖 2 𝜎𝑖 2 )
𝑖=1 𝑖=1
𝑌 ~ 𝑁((𝑎1 𝜇1 + 𝑎2 𝜇2 ), ( 𝑎1 2 𝜎1 2 + 𝑎2 2 𝜎2 2 ))
𝑌 ~ 𝑁( (𝜇1 − 𝜇2 ), ( 𝜎1 2 + 𝜎2 2 ))
𝑌 ~ 𝑁( (𝜇 − 𝜇 ), ( 𝜎 2 + 𝜎 2 ))
𝑌 ~ 𝑁(0 , 2𝜎 2 )
So that, 𝑋1 − 𝑋2 ~ 𝑁(0 , 2𝜎 2 )
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
b. 𝑿𝟏 + 𝟐𝑿𝟐
Answer:
𝑋𝑖 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇, 𝜎 2 ), 𝑖 = 1, … , 𝑛
𝑋2 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇, 𝜎 2 ) and 𝑋3 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇, 𝜎 2 )
Where 𝜇2 = 𝜇3 = 𝜇
𝜎2 2 = 𝜎3 2 = 𝜎 2
Then : 𝑌 = 𝑋2 + 2𝑋3
Misal : 𝑎2 = 1 (Coef 𝑋2 )
𝑎3 = 2 (Coef 𝑋3)
3 3
𝑌 ~ 𝑁 (∑ 𝑎𝑖 𝜇𝑖 , ∑ 𝑎𝑖 2 𝜎𝑖 2 )
𝑖=2 𝑖=2
𝑌 ~ 𝑁((𝑎2 𝜇2 + 𝑎3 𝜇3 ), ( 𝑎2 2 𝜎2 2 + 𝑎3 2 𝜎3 2 ))
𝑌 ~ 𝑁((1 ∙ 𝜇2 + 2 ∙ 𝜇3 ) , (12 ∙ 𝜎2 2 + 22 ∙ 𝜎3 2 ))
𝑌 ~ 𝑁( (𝜇2 + 2 ∙ 𝜇2 ), ( 𝜎2 2 + 4 ∙ 𝜎3 2 ))
𝑌 ~ 𝑁( (𝜇 + 2 𝜇 ), ( 𝜎 2 + 4𝜎 2 ))
𝑌 ~ 𝑁(3𝜇 , 5𝜎 2 )
𝐗𝟏− 𝐗𝟐
c.
𝛔 𝐒𝐳 √𝟐
Answer:
𝑋1 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇 , 𝜎 2 )
𝑋2 ~ 𝑁 (𝜇 , 𝜎 2 )
𝑋− 𝜇
𝑍=
𝜎
(𝑋1 − 𝑋2 ) − 𝐸(𝑋1 − 𝑋2 )
𝑍=
𝜎(𝑋1 − 𝑋2 )
For 𝑬(𝑿𝟏 − 𝑿𝟐 )
= 𝜎2 + 𝜎2
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
= 2𝜎 2
𝜎(𝑋1 − 𝑋2 ) = √2𝜎 2
= 𝜎 √2
So that,
(𝑋1 − 𝑋2 ) − 0
𝑍=
𝜎 √2
(𝑋1 − 𝑋2 )
𝑍=
𝜎 √2
(𝑘 − 1)
𝑆𝑧 2 ~ 𝑋(𝑘−1)
2
𝜎2
2
(𝑘 − 1) ∑𝑘𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 − 𝑍̅) 2
~ 𝑋(𝑘−1)
𝜎2 𝑘−1
2
∑𝑘𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 − 𝑍̅ ) 2
~ 𝑋(𝑘−1)
𝜎2
2
∑𝑘𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 − 𝑍̅ ) 2
~ 𝑋(𝑘−1)
12
𝑘 2
𝑖=1
2
𝑋(𝑘−1)
𝑆𝑧 = √
𝑘−1
So that
(𝑋1 − 𝑋2 ) 1 𝑍
=
𝜎 √2 𝑆𝑧 2
𝑋(𝑘−1)
√
𝑘−1
𝑍
~ 𝑡 (𝑘 − 1)
𝑋2
√ (𝑘−1)
𝑘−1
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
The answer is 𝑡 (𝑘 − 1)
d. 𝒁𝟐𝟏
Answer :
2
From the theorem 8.3.5 we know that if 𝑍 2 ~𝑋(1)
2
So that the 𝑍12 ~𝑋(1)
2
The answer is 𝑋(1)
̅− 𝝁 )
√𝒏 (𝑿
e.
𝑺𝟐
Answer :
𝑋̅ − 𝜇
~ 𝑡 (𝑛 − 1)
𝑆/√𝑛
√𝑛 (𝑋̅ − 𝜇 )
So, we get ~ 𝑡 (𝑘 − 1)
𝑆𝑧
f. 𝒁𝟐𝟏 + 𝒁𝟐𝟐
Answer:
g. 𝐙𝟏𝟐 − 𝐙𝟐𝟐
Answer:
Based on theorem 8.3.4 if 𝑍𝑖 ~𝑋 2 (𝑣1 ); 𝑖, … . 𝑛 are independent chi-square variables,
then
𝑛 𝑛
𝑉 = ∑ 𝑍𝑖 ~ 𝑋 2 (∑ 𝑣1 )
𝑖=1 𝑖=1
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
𝒁𝟏
h.
√𝐙𝟐𝟐
Answer:
Based on theorem 8.3.4 if 𝑍𝑖 ~𝑋 2 (𝑣1 ); 𝑖, … . 𝑛 are independent chi-square variables,
then
𝑛 𝑛
2
𝑉 = ∑ 𝑍𝑖 ~ 𝑋 (∑ 𝑣1 )
𝑖=1 𝑖=1
𝑍1
We get 𝑍1 ~𝑍12 and then 𝑍1 ~ 𝑥 2 (1)
and 𝑍22 ~𝑥 2 (1).
So ~(1)
√Z22
𝒛𝟐𝟏
i.
𝒛𝟐𝟐
Answer:
𝑧2
Y = 𝑧12
2
𝑥(𝑖)2 /1
Y = 𝑥(1)2 /1
Y ~ F(1,1)
𝒛𝟏
j. 𝒛𝟐
Answer:
𝑧1
identik dengan
√𝑧22
𝑧
jadi 𝑧1 identik dengan t(1)
2
̅
𝑿
k. ̅
𝒁
Answer:
𝑋̅ = µ dan 𝑍̅ = 0
Sehingga,
𝑋̅ µ
=
𝑍̅ 0
µ 𝑋̅
Karena 0 , maka 𝑍̅ Tidak diketahui distribusinya
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
l.
dengan
𝑍̅ µ 𝜎2 1
dan (𝜎2 ) = = 0 , 𝑣𝑎𝑟 (𝑍̅ ) = =
𝜎2 𝑘 𝑘
sehingga,
√𝑛𝑘(𝑋̅ − µ) √𝑛(𝑋̅ − µ)
=
𝑘 2
√∑𝑖=1 𝑍𝑖
𝜎
√∑𝑘𝑖=1 𝑍𝑖2
𝑘
𝜎=1
Dan
(𝑍𝑖 −0)2
Serta 𝑉1 = ∑𝑘𝑖=1 1
Maka
√𝑛𝑘(𝑋̅ − µ)
~𝑡(𝑘)
𝜎
√∑𝑘𝑖=1 𝑍𝑖2
∑𝒏
𝒊=𝟏(𝑿𝒊 − 𝝁)
𝟐
m. ̅ )𝟐
+ ∑𝒌𝒊=𝟏(𝒁𝒊 − 𝒁
𝝈𝟐
Answer:
menurut teorema 8.3.4 , maka didapat:
2 2 2
𝜒(𝑛) + 𝜒(𝑘−1) = 𝜒(𝑛+𝑘−1)
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
̅
𝑿 ∑𝒌𝒊=𝟏 𝒁𝒊
n. +
𝝈𝟐 𝒌
Answer:
𝑍̅ 𝜇
𝐸(𝑥̅ ) = 𝜇 𝐸 (𝜎2 ) = =0
𝜎2
𝑥̅ 𝜇 𝜎 1 2
𝐸 (𝜎2 ) = 𝜎2 𝑣𝑎𝑟(𝑍̅) = 𝑘 = 𝑘
𝜎2
𝑣𝑎𝑟(𝑥̅ ) = 𝑛
𝑋̅ ∑𝑘
𝑖=1 𝑍𝑖 𝑋̅
2
+ = + 𝑍̅ ...............(karena 𝜎 = 1)
𝜎 𝑘 𝜎2
𝑋̅ 𝑍̅
= +
𝜎2 𝜎2
Misal:
𝑋̅
𝑦= + 𝑍̅
𝜎2
𝑥̅ 𝑍̅ 𝜇
𝐸(𝑦) = 𝐸 ( 2 ) + 𝐸 ( 2 ) = 2 + 0
𝜎 𝜎 𝜎
𝑥̅ 𝑍̅ 1 1
𝑣𝑎𝑟(𝑦) = 𝑣𝑎𝑟 ( 2
) + 𝑣𝑎𝑟 ( 2
)= 2
+
𝜎 𝜎 𝑛𝜎 𝑘
𝜇
𝑦 − 𝐸(𝑦) 2+0 𝑑 𝑦−
= 𝜎 → 𝑍 ~𝑁(0,1)
√𝑣𝑎𝑟(𝑦) √ 1 1
+
𝑛𝜎 2 𝑘
𝑋̅ 𝜇 1 1
+ 𝑍̅ ~ 𝑁 (𝜎2 , 𝑛𝜎2 + 𝑘)
𝜎2
̅𝟐
o. 𝑘𝒁
Answer:
𝑋𝑖 ~𝑁(𝜇, 𝜎 2 )
𝑋𝑖 − 𝜇
𝑍𝑖 = ~𝑁(0,1)
𝜎
2
𝑋𝑖 − 𝜇 2
𝑍 =( ) ~ 𝜒 2 (1)
𝜎
(𝒌−𝟏) ∑𝒏 ̅̅̅̅𝟐
𝒊=𝟏(𝑿𝒊 −𝑿)
p. 𝒌 ̅ )𝟐
(𝒏−𝟏)𝝈𝟐 ∑𝒊=𝟏(𝒁𝒊 −𝒁
Answer:
𝑋𝑖 ~𝑁(𝜇, 𝜎 2 )
𝑍𝑖 ~𝑁(0,1)
(𝑘−1) ∑𝑛 ̅̅̅̅2
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖 −𝑋)
(𝑛−1)𝜎2 ∑𝑘 ̅ 2
𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 −𝑍 )
∑𝑛 ̅̅̅̅2
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖 −𝑋)
𝑆2 = (𝑛−1)
̅̅̅2
∑𝑛𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖 − 𝑋)
= (𝑛 − 1) ~𝜒 2 (𝑛 − 1)
(𝑛 − 1)
𝜎2
∑𝑛 ̅̅̅̅
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖 −𝑋)
= ~𝜒 2 (𝑛 − 1)
𝜎2
So,
(𝑘−1) ∑𝑛 ̅̅̅̅2
𝑖=1(𝑋𝑖 −𝑋) (𝑘−1)𝜒2 (𝑛−1)
𝑘
(𝑛−1)𝜎 ∑𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 −𝑍̅)2
2
= (𝑛−1) ∑𝑘 ̅ 2
𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 −𝑍 )
∑𝑘𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 − 𝑍̅)2
∑𝑘 ̅ 2
𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 −𝑍 )
𝑆2 = 𝑛−1
∑𝑘 ̅ 2
𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 −𝑍)
= (𝑛 − 1) 𝑛−1 ~𝜒 2 (𝑘 − 1)
12
∑𝑘 ̅ 2
𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 −𝑍 )
= = ∑𝑘𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 − 𝑍̅)2 (𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑛)
1
Thus :
(𝑘−1)𝜒2 (𝑛−1)
= (𝑛−1) ∑𝑘 ̅ 2
𝑖=1(𝑍𝑖 −𝑍)
(𝑘 − 1)𝜒 2 (𝑛 − 1)
=
(𝑛 − 1)𝜒 2 (𝑘 − 1)
𝜒 2 (𝑛 − 1)
= 2𝑛 − 1
𝜒 (𝑘 − 1)
𝑘−1
Suppose : 𝑉1 ~𝜒 2 (𝑛 − 1) , 𝑉2 ~𝜒 2 (𝑘 − 1)
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
with 𝑣1 = 𝑛 − 1 , 𝑣2 = 𝑘 − 1
𝜒2 (𝑛−1)
𝑛−1
let : 𝑋 = 𝜒2 (𝑘−1)
𝑘−1
𝑉1
𝑣1
𝑋= 𝑉2 ~𝐹(𝑣1 , 𝑣2 )
𝑣2
16. Let X1, X2, … , X9 be a random sample from a normal distribution Xi ~ N(6, 25),
and denote by 𝑿̅ dan S2 the sample mean and sample variance. Use table from
Appendix C to find each of the following:
̅<7]
a. P [ 3 < 𝑿
Answer:
𝑋̅ − 𝜇
P [ 3 < 𝑋̅ < 7 ], ingat dimana Z = 𝜎 . Sehingga
⁄ 𝑛
√
P [ 3 < 𝑋̅ < 7 ]
3−𝜇 𝑋̅ − 𝜇
7−𝜇
=P[𝜎 <𝜎 <𝜎 ]
⁄ 𝑛 ⁄ 𝑛 ⁄ 𝑛
√ √ √
3−6 7−6
=P[ 5⁄ <𝑍< 5 ]
⁄
√9 √9
= P [-1,8 < Z < 0,6 ]
= P [ Z < 0,6 ] – P [ Z < -1,8 ]
= (0,5 + 0,2257) – (0,5 – 0,4641)
= 0,6898
̅ – 6)/S ]
b. P [ 1.860 < 3(𝑿
Answer:
P [ 1.860 < 3(𝑋̅ – 6)/S ]
𝑋̅ −𝜇 𝑋̅ −6
Bawa 3(𝑋̅ – 6)/S ke bentuk 𝑆 ~ t(n – 1), sehingga menjadi 𝑆⁄ ~ t(8),
⁄ 3
√𝑛
Sehingga
P [ 1.860 < 3(𝑋̅ – 6)/S ]
𝑋̅ −6
= P [ 1.860 < 𝑆⁄ ]
3
= P [ 1.860 < T ], dengan v = 8
= 0,9
Therefore
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
P = 0,75
𝑃[𝑌 ≤ 𝑏] = 0.75
𝒀 𝟏𝟏
c. P (𝟏+𝒀 > 𝟏𝟔) if 𝒀 ~ 𝑿𝟐 (𝟔)
Answer:
𝑌 11 𝑌+1 16
Pr (1+𝑌 > 16) = Pr ( < 11)
𝑌
1 11
= Pr (𝑌 < 16 − 1)
11
= Pr (𝑌 ≥ )
5
= 1 – 0,1 = 0,90
𝑇≥𝑐, 𝑇≥0
|T| ≥ c {
𝑇 ≤ −𝑐 , 𝑇 < 0 (𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑒𝑥𝑖𝑠𝑡)
P[T ≥ c] = 0.02
1- P[T ≥ c] = 1-0.02
So 𝛾=0.98 ≈0.975
𝟏
h. 𝑷 [𝑿 > 𝟎, 𝟐𝟓] if 𝑿~𝑭(𝟐𝟎, 𝟖)
Answer:
1
𝑃 [ > 0,25] if 𝑋~𝐹(20,8)
𝑋
1 1
𝑃 [ > 0,25] = 𝑃 [ > 𝑋]
𝑋 0,25
= 𝑃[𝑋 < 4]
= 0,975
18. Assume that Z, V1, and V2 are independent random variabel with Z ~ N(0,1), V1 ~
χ2(5), and V2 ~ χ2(9). Find the following :
a. P [ V1 + V2 < 8,6 ]
Answer:
P [ V1 + V2 < 8,6 ]
b. P [ Z/√𝐕𝟏/𝟓 ]
Answer:
P [ Z/√V1/5 ] = P [ T < 2,015 ] , T ~ t(5) (diasumsikan distribusi t)
= P [t(5) < 2,015 ] (dicari melalui tabel distribusi t)
= 0,95
c. P Z 0.611 V2
Answer:
P Z 0.611 V2
Z
= P 0.611
V
2
Z
= P 3 3 0.611
V2
Z
= P 1.833
V 9
2
= P T 1.833
(9)
= 1 − P T 1.833
(9)
= 1 − 0.95
= 0.05
d. PV1 V2 1.450
Answer:
PV1 V2 1.450
V1 ~ 2 (v1 ) V1 v1
→ X = ~ F (v1 , v2 )
V2 ~ (v 2 )
2
V2 v2
V1 5 9V1
Y= = ~ F (5,9)
V2 9 5V2
Sehingga
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
P V1 V2 1.450
9V 9
= P 1 1.450
5V2 5
= PY 2.61
= 0.90
𝑉1 𝑉1 +𝑉2 1
e. Pr (𝑉 +𝑉 ≤ 𝑏) = Pr ( 𝑉1
≥ 𝑏)
1 2
𝑉2 1
= Pr (1 + ≥ )
𝑉1 𝑏
𝑉2 1
= Pr ( ≥ − 1)
𝑉1 𝑏
5 𝑉2 5 1
= Pr ( ≥ ( − 1))
9 𝑉1 9 𝑏
5 1
= Pr (𝐹(9, 5) ≥ ( − 1))
9 𝑏
We now find our value for an 𝐹(9, 5) = 0.90 which turns out to be 2.61. We must
take the inverse of this since we are ≥ and our table is in format for ≤. We now set
that equal to our percentile and solve for 𝑏.
1 5 1
= ( ( − 1))
2.61 9 𝑏
9 1 1
+1=
5 2.61 𝑏
𝑏 ≈ 5.92
𝑇~𝑡(1)
Therefore,
Γ(1)
𝑓𝑟 (𝑡) = (1 + 𝑡 2 )−1
1
Γ (2) √𝜋
1
= (1 + 𝑡 2 )−1
√𝜋 × √𝜋
1
=
𝜋(1 + 𝑡 2 )
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
1 1
The CDF of T is 𝐹(𝑡) = 2 + 𝜋 𝑎𝑟𝑐𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡(𝑡)
𝐹(𝑡) = ∫ 𝑓𝑟 (𝑡)𝑑𝑡
1
𝐹(𝑡) = ∫ 𝑑𝑡
𝜋(1 + 𝑡 2 )
1 1
= + 𝑎𝑟𝑐𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡(𝑡)
2 𝜋
𝟏
b. The 100 × 𝜸𝒕𝒉 percentile is 𝒕𝜸(𝟏) = 𝐭𝐚𝐧[𝝅 (𝜸 − 𝟐)]
Answer:
1
The 100 × 𝛾𝑡ℎ percentile is 𝑡𝛾(1) = tan[𝜋 (𝛾 − 2)]
𝑡𝛾 (𝑣)
𝛾 = ∫ 𝑓(𝑡; 𝑣)𝑑𝑡
−∞
𝑡𝛾 (1)
1
𝛾= ∫ 𝑑𝑡
𝜋(1 + 𝑡 2 )
−∞
1 1 (1)
𝛾= + 𝑎𝑟𝑐𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡(𝑡) |𝑡𝛾
2 𝜋 −∞
1
𝑡𝛾(1) = tan[𝜋 (𝛾 − )]
2
Answer:
2 + 2𝑏 2+2𝑏
Γ( ) 2𝑏 2⁄2 2 −1 2 −(
𝑏
)
𝑓(𝑥, 𝑣1 , 𝑣2 ) = 𝑏 ( ) 𝑥 ( ⁄2) (1 + 𝑥)
2 2𝑏
Γ (2) Γ ( 2 ) 2 2𝑏
Γ(1+𝑏) 1 1 −(1+𝑏)
= Γ(1)Γ(𝑏) 𝑏 (1 + 𝑏 𝑥)
Γ(1+𝑏) 1 𝑥 1 −(1+𝑏)
𝑃[𝑋 > 𝑥] = Γ(1)Γ(𝑏) 𝑏 ∫0 (1 + 𝑏 𝑥) 𝑑𝑢
𝑥
b Γ(𝑏) 1 1 𝑢 −𝑏
= 1 Γ(𝑏) 𝑏 [𝑏 (1 + 𝑏 ) 𝑏]
0
𝑥 −𝑏
= (1 + 𝑏)
𝟏
b. The 100 x 𝜸th percentile is 𝒇𝜸 (𝟐, 𝟐𝒃) = 𝒃[(𝟏 − 𝜸)−𝒃 − 𝟏]
Answer:
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
𝑥 −𝑏
(1 + ) = (1 − 𝛾)
𝑏
𝑥 1⁄
1+𝑏 = (1 − 𝛾)− 𝑏
1
𝑥 = 𝑏[(1 − 𝛾)−𝑏 − 1]
21. Show that if 𝑭(𝒙; 𝝁) is the CDF of 𝑿 ~𝑷𝑶𝑰(𝝁) and if H(𝒚; 𝒗) is the CDF of a
chi-square distribution with v degrees of freedom, then 𝑭(𝒙; 𝝁) = 𝟏 −
𝑯[𝟐𝝁; 𝟐(𝒙 + 𝟏)]. Hint: Use Theorem 3.3.2 and the fact that 𝒀 ~𝑿𝟐 (𝒗)
𝒗
corresponds to 𝒀 ~𝑮𝑨𝑴 (𝟐, 𝟐)
Answer:
Teorema 3.3.2
If 𝑋 ~𝐺𝐴𝑀(𝜃, 𝑛), where n is a positive integer, then the CDF can be written
𝑛−1
(x/θ)i −x/θ
𝐹(𝑥; 𝜃, 𝑛) = 1 − ∑ e
i!
𝑖=0
CDF of 𝑋 ~𝑃𝑂𝐼(𝜇)
𝑘
μi e−μ
𝐹(𝑥; 𝜇) = ∑
i!
𝑖=0
2𝑥
𝐹𝑥 (𝑥) = 𝐻( ; 2𝑘)
𝜃
Maka
𝐹(𝑥; 𝜇) = 1 − 𝐹𝑥 (𝑥)
2𝑥
𝐹(𝑥; 𝜇) = 1 − 𝐻( ; 2𝑘)
𝜃
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
Answer:
1
Pdf : 𝑓(𝑥) = 𝐵(𝑝 , 𝑥 𝑝−1 (1 − 𝑥)𝑞−1
𝑞)
∞
𝑛)
E(𝑋 = ∫ 𝑥 𝑛 𝑓(𝑥) 𝑑𝑥
−∞
∞ 1
= ∫−∞ 𝑥 𝑛 . 𝑥 𝑝−1 (1 − 𝑥)𝑞−1 𝑑𝑥
𝐵(𝑝 , 𝑞)
1 𝑞
=
𝐵(𝑝 ,
∫ 𝑥 𝑛+𝑝−1 (1 − 𝑥)𝑏−1 𝑑𝑥
𝑞) 𝑝
1
= 𝐵((𝑛 + 𝑝), 𝑞)
𝐵(𝑝 , 𝑞)
Γ(𝑝+𝑞) Γ(𝑛+𝑝)Γ(𝑞)
=
Γ(𝑝)Γ(𝑞) Γ((𝑛+𝑝)+𝑞)
Γ(𝑝+𝑞)Γ(𝑛+𝑝)
=
Γ(𝑝)Γ(𝑛+𝑝+𝑞)
23. Consider a random sample from a beta distribution, Xi BETA(1,2). Use the CLT
(Theorem 7.3.2) to approximate P[ X ≤ 0.5 ] for n = 12
Answer:
Xi BETA (1,2)
a = 1 dan b = 2
𝑎 1 1
E(Xi) = 𝑎+𝑏 = 1+2
= 3
𝑎𝑏 2𝑋1 1
Var (Xi) = (𝑎+𝑏+1)(𝑎+𝑏)2 = (2+1+1)(2+1)2 = 18
𝑋𝑖− 𝜇
P[ Xi ≤ 0.5 ] = [𝑍𝑛 ≤ 𝜎/√𝑛
]
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
1
0.5 −
3
= [𝑍𝑛 ≤ 1
]
√ /√12
18
0.5 − 3
= [𝑍𝑛 ≤ 1 1
]
√ /2√3
3 2
1
6
= [𝑍𝑛 ≤ 1 1
]
√ /2√3
3 2
= [𝑍𝑛 ≤ 2.45]
= 0.9929
𝒀𝒏 − 𝒏
24. Let 𝒀𝒏 ~𝑿𝟐 (𝒏). Find the limiting distribution of ⁄ as 𝒏 → ∞, using
√𝟐𝒏
moment generating function
Answer:
𝑌𝑛 ~𝑋 2 (𝑛)
𝑀𝑌𝑛 = (1 − 2𝑡)−𝑛⁄2
𝑡
𝑀(𝑌𝑛 −𝑛) (𝑡) = 𝑀(𝑌𝑛 − 𝑛)
√2𝑛
𝑡
(𝑌𝑛 −𝑛)
= 𝐸 (𝑒 √2𝑛 )
𝑡 𝑛𝑡
𝑌𝑛 −
= 𝐸 (𝑒 √2𝑛 𝑒 √2𝑛 )
𝑡 𝑛𝑡
𝑌𝑛 −
= 𝐸 (𝑒 √2𝑛 ) 𝐸 (𝑒 √2𝑛 )
𝑛𝑡 𝑡
− 𝑌𝑛
=𝑒 √2𝑛 𝐸 (𝑒 √2𝑛 )
𝑡√𝑛
− 𝑡
=𝑒 √2 𝑀𝑌𝑛 ( )
√2𝑛
−
𝑛𝑡
𝑡 −𝑛⁄2
=𝑒 √2𝑛 (1 − 2 )
√2𝑛
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
−
𝑛𝑡
2𝑡 −𝑛⁄2
=𝑒 √2𝑛 (1 − )
√2𝑛
−𝑛⁄2
−
𝑡 √2
2𝑡 −𝑛⁄2
= (𝑒 √𝑛 ) (1 − )
√2𝑛
𝑡√2 𝑡√2
−𝑛⁄2
2𝑡
= (𝑒 √𝑛 − 𝑒 √𝑛 )
√2𝑛
𝑡√2 𝑡√2
−𝑛⁄2
𝑡 √2
= (𝑒 √𝑛 − 𝑒 √𝑛 )
√𝑛
We know that
𝑡√2 2
𝑡 √2 1 𝑡 √2
𝑒 √𝑛 = 1 + + ( ) +⋯
√𝑛 2 √ 𝑛
−𝑛⁄2
𝑡2 𝑑
𝑀(𝑌𝑛 −𝑛) (𝑡) = (1 − + )
𝑛 𝑛
Where
So
−𝑛⁄2 𝑡 2⁄
𝑡2 𝑑
lim (1 − + ) =𝑒 2
𝑛 𝑛
25. Rework Exercise 5(b) and (c) using normal approximation, and compare to the
exact results.
Answer:
𝑇𝑖 ~𝐸𝑋𝑃(100)
1
MGF from the exponential distribution : 1−𝜃𝑡
10
𝑌 = ∑ 𝑇𝑖
𝑖=1
𝑀𝑌 (𝑡) = 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑌 )
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
10
= 𝐸 (𝑒 𝑡(∑𝑖=1 𝑇𝑖 ) )
= 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡(𝑇1+𝑇2+⋯+𝑇10 ) )
= 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇1+𝑡𝑇2+⋯+𝑡𝑇10 )
= 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇1 . 𝑒 𝑡𝑇2 … 𝑒 𝑡𝑇10 ) cause independent
= 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇1 ). 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇2 ) … 𝐸(𝑒 𝑡𝑇10 )
= 𝑀𝑇1 (𝑡) … 𝑀𝑇10 (𝑡)
1 1 1
= . …
1 − 𝜃𝑡 1 − 𝜃𝑡 1 − 𝜃𝑡
1
= ~𝐺𝐴𝑀(100,10)
(1 − 𝜃𝑡)10
from 𝑌~𝐺𝐴𝑀(100,10) we get
𝜇 = 𝐸(𝑌) = 𝑘𝜃 = 10.100
𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑌) = 𝑘𝜃 2 = 10. 1002
𝑌−𝜇 770−100𝑛
c. 𝑃[𝑌 > 770] = 𝑃 [ > ]
𝜎 100√𝑛
7,7 − 𝑛
= 𝑃 [𝑍 > ]
√𝑛
Dengan menggunakan tabel distribusi normal, Z yang mempunyai peluang 95%,
maka didapat:
7,7 − 𝑛
= 1,645
√𝑛
7,7 − 𝑛 = 1,645√𝑛
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
𝐸(𝑆 2 ) = 𝜎 2
𝑛−3 4
(𝜇 4 − 𝜎 )
𝑉𝑎𝑟 (𝑆 2 ) = 𝑛−1
;n>1
𝑛
1 𝑛−3
= 𝑛 (𝜇 4 − 𝑛−1 𝜎 4 )
𝜇 4 = 𝐸(𝑆 2 − 𝜎 2 )4
1
𝑃[|𝑆 2 − 𝜎 2 | < 𝑘𝜎] ≥ 1 − 𝑘 2
𝑛−3 4
√𝜇 4 − 𝜎
𝑛−1
𝑘𝜎 = 𝑘 =𝜀
𝑛
𝜀 √𝑛
𝑘= 𝑛−3 4
√𝜇 4 − 𝜎
𝑛−1
𝜀2 𝑛
𝑘2 = 𝑛−3 4
𝜇4 − 𝜎
𝑛−1
𝑛−3 4
(𝜇 4 − 𝜎 )
𝑃[|𝑆 2 − 𝜎 2 | < 𝜀] ≥ 1 − 𝑛−1
2
𝜀 𝑛
𝑛−3 4
(𝜇 4 − 𝜎 )
2 2| 𝑛−1
lim 𝑃[|𝑆 − 𝜎 < 𝜀] = lim 1 −
n→∞ n→∞ 𝜀2 𝑛
2 2|
lim 𝑃[|𝑆 − 𝜎 < 𝜀] = 1
n→∞
27. Compare the Wilson-Hilferty approximation (Equation 8.5.2) to exact tabled values
of 𝝌𝟐𝟎.𝟗𝟓 (𝟏𝟎) and 𝝌𝟐𝟎.𝟎𝟓 (𝟏𝟎).
Answer:
Given Wilson-Hilferty approximation
FIRA FAIZA TERTIA
06111740000098
2 2
𝜒𝛾2 (𝑣) = 𝑣[1 − + 𝑧𝛾 √ ]3
9𝑣 9𝑣
2 (10)
2 2
𝜒0.95 = 10[1 − + 1.645√ ]3
90 90
2 (10)
𝜒0.95 = 18.307
And
2 (10)
2 2
𝜒0.05 = 10[1 − − 1.645√ ]3
90 90
2 (10)
𝜒0.05 = 3.940
Conclution :
2 (10)
The Wilson-Hilferty Approximation 𝜒0.95 is equal to the Table Chi-Square
if we use degrees of value is 10 and area to the right of critical value is 0,05. The
2 (10)
value is 18.307. And The Wilson-Hilferty Approximation 𝜒0.05 is equal to
the Table Chi-Square if we use degrees of value is 10 and area to the right of
critical value is 0.95. the value is 3.940.