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SAMPLING THEORY

ESTIMATION & DISTRIBUTION


HYPOTHESIS TESTING
What is sampling?
 Sample surveys vs Census (Complete enumeration)
 Sample surveys collect information on a fraction of total
population – representative of the population
 For example, if a population has 30% males and 70% females,
then the sample is expected to have nearly 30% males and 70%
females
 Complete count of population is called census

 Examples of sample surveys- National Sample Survey


Organization (NSSO), Annual Survey of Industries, All
India Crop Estimation Survey
 http://www.mospi.gov.in/download-
reports?main_cat=NzIy&cat=All&sub_category=All
Sampling Frame & Sample Unit
 Sample Unit – An element or a group of elements on
which the observations is taken
 How to determine the sampling unit – decide on the
objective of the survey
 Sampling frame - list of all the units of the population
to be surveyed

 Example 1–To determine household income of a city


 Example 2- To determine income of working individuals in
a city
 Sample unit - ?
 Sampling frame -?
Sampling techniques
 Random or Probability
 The selection of units in the sample from a population is
governed by the laws of chance or probability.
Probability of selection of a unit can be equal/ unequal

 Non-random or Purposive
 The selection of units in the sample from population is not
governed by the probability laws, the units are selected
on the basis of personal judgment of the surveyor
Probability Sampling Methods
 Random sampling
 A sample from the population is randomly selected, each unit of analysis in the
population has an equal and known chance of being selected.
 Each unit is assigned a number, then numbers are randomly selected using a table
of random numbers, a computer random number generator, or some other device.
 Representation from important subgroups may be missing
Probability Sampling Methods
 Systematic sampling
 After calculating the required sample size, every Nth unit is selected from the
listing of the population
 The advantage of this method is simplicity
 Commonly used in conducting HH surveys, i.e. every 10th household is selected
Probability Sampling Methods
 Stratified sampling
 When the population of interest has subgroups or strata that have a low
occurrence or that require separate analysis. Examples of strata are slum/non-
slum households, males/females, households living above/below the poverty line
 The relevant strata and their proportion in the population must be identified
 Within each stratum, the sample is drawn using random sampling
Purposive sampling
 Also known as judgment, selective or subjective sampling
 Researcher relies on his/her own judgment when choosing
sample from the population
 Mostly used in qualitative research
 Example – Stakeholder sampling for a planning project

 Vulnerability to errors in judgment by researcher


 Low level of reliability and high levels of bias.
 Inability to generalize research findings
Purposive sampling
Citizen Report Cards (CRCs)
 Citizen Report Cards (CRC) is an international best
practice tool for improving service delivery

 A survey by Public Affairs Centre (PAC), Bangalore


since 1993

 http://pacindia.org/
Methodology followed by PAC for CRCs

City Population
population
Zonal division
South East West

Area 1 Area 2 Area 3 Wards


grouped into
areas

Slum Non-slum HHs


stratification
Not Internal
Notified notified Main road road Slum/ area
stratification

Sample Sample Sample Sample HHs selected


HHs HHs HHs HHs based on
Probability
Proportionate
Size
Steps to draft a sampling design
1. Define the population
2. Select the unit of analysis
3. Identify subgroups in the population (or the
desired level of analysis)
4. Select the sample size
5. Determine the sampling frame
6. Select proper sampling method
Sampling distribution
 Each time we take a random sample from a
population, we are likely to get a different set of
individuals and calculate a different statistic. This is
called sampling variability
 If we take a lot of random samples of the same size
from a given population, the variation from sample
to sample—the sampling distribution
 Larger the number of samples better is the
approximation of the parameter (population
statistic for ex. mean)
Sampling distribution of the mean

For a sufficiently
large no of
samples, the mean
of the sampling
distribution will be
a very good
measure of the
population mean

Source: https://www.socialresearchmethods.net/kb/sampstat.php
 For any population with mean µ and standard
deviation σ:
 The mean, or center of the
sampling distribution of x,
is equal to the population
mean µ : µx = µ.
 Standard deviation of the
sampling distribution is
σ/√n, where n is the
sample size : σx = σ/√n
Standard/Sample Error
 This is the standard deviation of the sampling
distribution - i.e. how different samples are
distributed
 Sampling error gives us an idea of the precision of
our statistical estimate – how close is it to the
population parameter
 An estimate for this is the standard deviation of
the sample
Some useful links
 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zbw-YvELsaM
 https://www.socialresearchmethods.net

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