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CIKALDANA NEWSLETTER NO. 1 - 2014

GREETINGS FROM CIKALDANA


On this issue:

We proudly present you the first edition of our quarterly newsletter.


Economic Update Q4 2013
Cikaldana is a financial advisory that focuses its business in personal 2
financial advisory and financial planning services. Part of our
commitment is to provide a thoroughful research that is useful both, Planning For Cambridge,
for our internal needs and for giving insights to our clients through this UK
3
newsletter.
10 Select Mutual Funds
We will release articles in a variety of topics relevant to the economy, (Reksadana) for 2014
financial planning, research and data, as well as light readings. 4

Please do not hesitate to visit our website or contact us should you Jakarta Malls Evolution
need more information. 5
We hope this newsletter could be of use to you and enhance your
financial wisdom.

Regards,

Fitrah Avianti
Marketing Director

Do you know?
by 2025, the life expectancy
at birth of men in Indonesia
is 71.5 years and women is
76.1 years
(Survey Penduduk 2000)

www.cikaldana.com 1
Economy Corner

ECONOMIC UPDATE
Q4 2013
2013 - Challenging year for Indonesia’s macro economy

Indonesian economy has faced many ups and The BI rate was kept at 7.50% at end-December,
downs in 2013, with two major issues being noticed rose 25 bps from November. This policy was taken
during the period. On June, the government in respond to the large current account deficit amid
increased the price of subsidized fuel which gave global uncertainty.
negative impact to the people’s purchasing power
and to the domestic consumption. Rupiah against The Jakarta composite index (IHSG) was closed at
US$ has also experienced a rally of depreciations 4,274. The index is expected to increase in 2014
and stood at Rp 12,270 per US$ by end of 2013, following the positive sentiment of Indonesia's
compared to Rp 9,670 a year before. legislative and presidential elections event
scheduled on April 2014. The event is expected to
The 2013 rate of inflation was reported at 8.38%. trigger an increased domestic consumption and
The hike in inflation was seen as the impact of rising other economic activities.
consumer price index (CPI) around late June as the
government raised the price of subsidized fuels.
Looking ahead, the government has set the target of
inflation at a rate of 4.50%±1 in 2014.

End-Dec 2013 End-Sep 2013 QoQ Movement End-Dec 2012 YoY Movement

Exchange Rate US$ Rp 12,270 Rp 11,613


 Rp 9,670

Inflation 8.38% 8.40%
 4.30%

BI Rate 7.50% 7.25%
 5.75%

IHSG

Source: Bank Indonesia, IDX


4,274 4,316
 4,317

www.cikaldana.com 2
Financial Planning Corner

PLANNING FOR CAMBRIDGE, UK


Investing for your children education is better to start earlier

United Kingdom, UK is one of the favorite If your child is currently at his or her 8 years old, he
destination Indonesians sending their children for or she will start the college 11 years later. The
education overseas. Sending children for overseas estimated total cost needs to be prepared later will
education requires quite a significant amount of fund be Rp 4.3 billion, inflations considered. With this
to cover the tuition fees, college fees, living number, you can plan to achieve it by investing your
expenses and other costs like airfare tickets. To money in total sum of Rp 335 million into an equity
give you with some ideas of how much it would cost mutual fund, starting right now. Alternatively, an
to send your child to college in UK, this article installment of investment of Rp 5.6 million per-
describes planning a child’s undergraduate study to month into the same investment instrument, starting
the University of Cambridge. right now.

Let’s say your child is to take the Information and If you have a 2-years old baby, you can also plan
Computer Engineering course at the University of his or her education of 17 years later, right now. The
Cambridge, the study will take four years to number is Rp 5.7 billion as for the total cost. As for
complete. Assuming that you parents will visit your the investment, a Rp 115 million for the lump sum
child once a year, the estimated total cost needed investment or a Rp 1.6 million monthly investment,
right now will be GBP 155,000 or about Rp 3 billion into an equity mutual fund.
in current equivalent. Voila!
In the case that your child is currently starting high
Once you understand how much the cost you need school, you have 3 years until the college starts.
to prepare right now, next step you must know is the The number is Rp 3.0 billion for the total cost need
“when”. When will your children start the schooling? to be prepared at about right now. One possible
Time is of importance as you need to consider the investment advice is to put lump sum investment in
rising costs or inflations over the time, and as it total of Rp 1.8 billion or monthly investment of Rp 62
determines your strategy to investment. Yes, million, into a mixed instruments of: time deposit,
investment. Whether you have the money right now balanced mutual fund, and equity mutual fund.
moreover if you don’t, investing is needed.

Child's Age 2 years 8 years 16 years

Fund Required (IDR) 5.7 billion 4.3 billion 3.0 billion

Lumpsum Investment 115.0 million 335.0 million 1.8 billion

Monthly Investment 1.6 million 5.6 million 62.0 million

www.cikaldana.com 3
Research Corner

10 SELECT MUTUAL FUNDS


(REKSADANA) FOR 2014
Mutual funds continued their charms as investment alternatives

Indonesia’s mutual funds industry has been uplifting “Fund size”: The size of funds a product manages
within the past 10 years. The mutual funds are indicates both, the investors’ level of confidence
continuing their charms as alternative investments towards those funds and the fund manager’s
particularly amongst the country’s young population. performance in accumulating the funds. We select
This is because of better financial literacy, that they funds with a net asset value (NAV) above Rp 1.0
now look upon better investment options than trillion for an equity-mutual-funds and NAV above
conventional bank savings; and also that people Rp 100.0 billion for a balanced-mutual-fund.
can start investing to it with as low as Rp 100,000.
“Performance”: The performance refers to fund’s
Closing the year 2013, Cikaldana prepared a list of growth since its inception, in particular the average
select mutual funds for consideration on investing in annual growth of NAV per unit, as of December
year 2014. The list is intended for investors in 2013. We select 5 highest growth on both equity
general, thus in selecting the mutual funds we look and balanced mutual funds.
on the following criterias:
The list was made based on the data and past
“Experience”: We select the funds which have been performance of each mutual fund and it does not
in the market for more than five years. The reflect a projection for their future performance.
argument is that these funds have endured and Every investor should consider their investment
survived a crashed market. The investment objectives and their appetite on risks.
strategies applied by their fund managers have
proven their past survival and are likely to survive Below is the list of select mutual funds for year 2014
further in the future. investment by Cikaldana.

No. Product Name Inception Date NAV/Unit Average Annual Growth Net Asset Value
as of Dec 2013 as of Dec 2013 as of Nov 2013
NAV/Unit Average Annual Growth
Asset Under Management (AUM)
Equity-mutual-funds
1 Panin Dana Maxima April 7, 1997 Rp 58,283.44 27.62% Rp 6.12 trillion
2 Schroder Dana Prestasi Plus September 25, 2000 Rp 21,422.89 26.02% Rp 8.36 trillion
3 Manulife Dana Saham August 1, 2003 Rp 9,733.27 24.63% Rp 2.52 trillion
4 BNP Paribas Ekuitas February 28, 2001 Rp 14,429.03 23.12% Rp 5.16 trillion
5 Schroder Dana Prestasi May 29, 1997 Rp 25,595.10 21.59% Rp 2.94 trillion
NAV/Unit Average Annual Growth
Asset Under Management (AUM)
Balanced-mutual-funds
1 Maestro Berimbang December 16, 2006 Rp 3,937.87 21.63% Rp 120.28 billion
2 Panin Dana Unggulan June 13, 2005 Rp 5,275.90 21.61% Rp 320.07 billion
3 SAM Dana Berkembang November 5, 1997 Rp 11,925.86 16.66% Rp 119.57 billion
4 First State Multi Strategy Fund September 6, 2005 Rp 3,159.53 14.96% Rp 107.57 billion
5 Danareksa Syariah Berimbang December 1, 2000 Rp 4,985.24 13.15% Rp 115.72 billion

www.cikaldana.com 4
Lifestyle Corner

JAKARTA MALLS EVOLUTION


Changing lifestyle creates new trends in malls’ design

If you have grown up in Jakarta during the 90s, notion of mall as an alternative place for family
most likely you know the names like Sarinah, Ratu recreation. Malls of the second generation currently
Plaza, or Pasar Raya. They are the places for most make the majority list of malls in Jakarta. Other
of you went for shopping of hanging-out, during that examples are Plaza Senayan, Senayan City,
era. Which places – shopping centers or malls – do Pondok Indah Mall 1 and 2, and Gandaria City.
you go for shopping or hang-out now?
The mall of the third generation has started by the
You may have seen so many malls established in recently opened Lotte Shopping Avenue, in
Jakarta. You may also see how newer malls have Casablanca area in Jakarta. So what differentiate
developed and came up with newer faces and this third generation mall? First, this is the only mall
fresher visitor experiences to offer. You may agree that provide so many seats for visitors to sit and
that until now we have seen three generations of rest, unlike the malls of earlier generation. Not to
malls. mention much better public facilities like restrooms,
mothers’ room and many kids play area. Second,
The first generation of malls are the ones mentioned this is the only mall that appear to have a strong
earlier: Sarinah, Ratu Plaza, and Pasar Raya. appreciation to art. More than just being fully
These malls are characterized by the department featured with artworks in its interior, it contains a
store styled space, with rows of hanging poles to quite big art school there. The third generation mall
showcase clothes, and “narrow” visitors’ walk ways appears to be more humane and try to serve the
that you might feel you were walking cramped in a needs beyond basics like clothing and food.
maze of clothes.
Despite the moratorium of new mall development in
Plaza Indonesia then came as the first mall to Jakarta, I look forward to see more malls evolve to
milestone the malls of second generation. These be more humane.
second generation malls appeared with a row of
boutique-styled stores, a vast walking space for
visitors, and having a plaza at the center for holding
special events or exhibitions. Visitors can just walk
besides shopping. These malls have begun the

PT Cikaldana Korpora
Sovereign Plaza 21st Floor, Jl. TB Simatupang Kav.36, Jakarta 12430
P: +62 21 2939 8727, F: +62 21 2939 8898

www.cikaldana.com 5

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