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ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTION

Efficacy of Aspirin Plus Extended-Release


Dipyridamole in Preventing Recurrent Stroke
in High-Risk Populations
Ralph L. Sacco, MS, MD; Juhani Sivenius, MD, PhD; Hans-Christoph Diener, MD, PhD

Objective: To assess the efficacy of aspirin plus extended- nounced efficacy in reducing the risk for stroke and vas-
release dipyridamole compared with aspirin alone for the cular events among patients younger than 70 years; those
prevention of recurrent stroke among high-risk groups. with hypertension, prior stroke, or transient ischemic at-
tack; current smokers; and those with any prior cardio-
Design: A post hoc analysis was conducted using data vascular disease. Relative hazard reductions favored the
from the European Stroke Prevention Study 2. Rates of combination of aspirin plus extended-release dipyridam-
annual strokes and vascular events were determined for ole, and were greatest for the high-risk Framingham Study
the aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole group group and the moderate-risk Stroke Prognostic Instru-
(n=1650) and the aspirin-only group (n=1649), and were ment II subgroup.
stratified by risk subgroup and univariate risk factors.
Stroke models from the Framingham Study and the Stroke Conclusion: Aspirin plus extended-release dipyridam-
Prognostic Instrument II were applied to subjects in the ole is more effective than aspirin alone at preventing
European Stroke Prevention Study 2 to categorize pa- stroke, and the difference in efficacy increases in higher-
tients into risk groups. risk patients.
Results: Compared with aspirin alone, aspirin plus ex-
tended-release dipyridamole demonstrated a more pro- Arch Neurol. 2005;62:403-408

S
TROKE IS THE THIRD LEADING dyslipidemias, can be controlled to help re-
cause of death in most devel- duce the risk for recurrent stroke. Four
oped countries and a lead- antiplatelet agents have demonstrated
Author Affiliations: ing cause of serious long- efficacy for preventing recurrent stroke,
Departments of Neurology and term disability.1 In the United including aspirin, ticlopidine hydrochlo-
Epidemiology, College of States, 750 000 persons have a stroke an- ride, clopidogrel bisulfate, and aspirin plus
Physicians and Surgeons and nually, of whom about 200000 have re- extended-release dipyridamole.6 The stud-
the Mailman School of Public current stroke.1 Among patients with a first ies that produced these findings have re-
Health, Columbia University, stroke, 80% to 85% survive.2,3 These pa- sulted in updates to the guidelines for
Neurological Institute, New tients face a 5% to 15% risk for recurrent secondary stroke prevention from the
York, NY (Dr Sacco); stroke in the first year following the acute American Heart Association and the Ameri-
Department of Neuroscience
stroke, during which the highest risk ex- can College of Chest Physicians.5,7
and Neurology, Kuopio
University Hospital, Brain ists in the weeks immediately following the
Research and Rehabilitation initial event.2 Because age is an impor- CME course available at
Center Neuron, Kuopio, tant nonmodifiable risk factor for stroke,
Finland (Dr Sivenius); and the decline in stroke-related mortality com- www.archneurol.com
Department of Neurology, bined with the increase in life expec-
University Hospital Essen, tancy for the US population will certainly Despite the revised recommendations,
Essen, Germany (Dr Diener). increase the number of persons at risk for expert opinion varies considerably regard-
Financial Disclosure: Drs Sacco recurrent stroke and stroke’s related dis- ing the relative efficacy of antiplatelet agents
and Diener have received ability and medical care costs.4 for prevention of recurrent stroke.8 This un-
honoraria as consultants and
Fortunately, observational epidemio- certainty is largely a result of the absence
speakers from Boehringer
Ingelheim, Sanofi-Synthelabo, logical studies and controlled clinical trials of direct comparisons of combination an-
and Bristol-Myers Squibb. have provided substantial evidence that the tiplatelet therapy and the marked variabil-
Dr Sivenius has received risk of recurrent ischemic stroke can be re- ity in the choice of primary end points for
honoraria from Boehringer duced.5 Various modifiable risk factors, individual trials.8 Moreover, certain agents
Ingelheim. such as hypertension, cardiac disease, and or combinations of agents may be pre-

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METHODS
Table 1. Definitions of Vascular Risk Variables
in the European Stroke Prevention Study 2 Trial
The ESPS-2 was a multicenter, randomized, placebo-
Variable Definition controlled, double-blind, 2-by-2 factorial trial designed to as-
Prior cerebrovascular Prior stroke or TIA sess the safety and efficacy of low-dose aspirin, extended-
event release dipyridamole, and the 2 agents combined for the
IHD A history of ischemic heart disease or MI or secondary prevention of ischemic stroke. The full details of the
electrocardiographic evidence of coronary study design are described by Diener and colleagues9; in brief,
ischemic signs or residual signs of the study population comprised 6602 patients older than 18
previous infarction years (mean age, 66.7 years) who had experienced a transient
PVD A history of PVD, the absence of 1 or more ischemic attack (TIA) (24%) or an ischemic stroke (76%) within
peripheral pulse (carotid, radial, femoral,
the preceding 3 months. Patients were randomly assigned to
or popliteal artery), or the presence of
1 or more vascular murmurs (carotid or
receive aspirin alone (50 mg/d), extended-release dipyridam-
femoral artery) ole alone (400 mg/d), the 2 agents in a combined formulation,
Hypertension A history of hypertension, baseline systolic or placebo, and were followed up every 3 months for 2 years.
blood pressure ⬎160 mm Hg, baseline Primary end points were stroke (fatal and nonfatal) and death
diastolic blood pressure ⬎95 mm Hg, or from all causes.
current antihypertensive treatment at At baseline, various data were collected regarding demo-
baseline (centrally acting antihypertensive graphics and vascular risk factors, such as history of hyperten-
agents, angiotensin-converting enzyme sion, diabetes mellitus, myocardial infarction (MI), cigarette
inhibitors, diuretics in the absence of smoking, stroke, or TIA. These variables were defined by his-
cardiac failure, ␤-blockers in the absence
tory through subject interview and baseline medical record re-
of IHD, or calcium channel blockers in the
absence of IHD) view. Any cardiovascular disease was defined as persons hav-
Hypercholesterolemia A history of hypercholesterolemia, a ing experienced cardiac failure or having hypertension, ischemic
baseline cholesterol level ⬎290 mg/dL heart disease, or peripheral vascular disease. Definitions of vas-
(⬎7.5 mmol/L), or current treatment with cular risk factors from ESPS-2 are listed in Table 1.
hypolipidemic agents at baseline We conducted our post hoc analysis with external stroke
Cardiovascular disease IHD, PVD, cardiac failure, or hypertension models from the Framingham Study10 and the Stroke Prognos-
TIA A focal disturbance of the cerebral tic Instrument II11 (SPI-2) to compute estimated risk catego-
circulation that resulted in a clinical ries based on the ESPS-2 baseline variables. We converted the
neurological deficit recovering within 24 h risk variables to risk scores using the method in the Framing-
without functional impairment at standard
ham Study.10 The Framingham stroke risk score was devel-
clinical neurological examination
oped from the Framingham cohort to calculate an estimated
Stroke A focal disturbance of the cerebral
circulation that resulted in a functional probability of stroke (primarily first stroke) in men and women.
neurological deficit lasting ⬎24 h For the Framingham Study model, the 10-year stroke prob-
Sudden death Death occurring within approximately 24 h ability was classified as low (ⱕ0.15) or high (⬎0.15) using the
after the appearance of symptoms; other following variables: age, systolic blood pressure, antihyperten-
cardiovascular deaths included deaths sive therapy, diabetes mellitus, cigarette smoker, cardiovascu-
attributable to cardiac arrhythmia, lar disease, atrial fibrillation, and left ventricular hypertrophy.
hemorrhage, and peripheral vasculopathy; The SPI I was developed specifically to predict stroke or death
and other nonvascular deaths included among stroke or TIA survivors.12 The SPI-2 model, which uses
those attributable to miscellaneous
new predictive variables and recalculated point scores for all
causes, such as diabetes mellitus and
renal failure
component variables, was developed from the Women’s Estro-
Vascular event First of nonfatal stroke, nonfatal MI, or gen for Stroke Trial cohort, and its enhanced performance has
vascular death, where vascular death been demonstrated and validated in other external cohorts.11
includes fatal stroke, fatal MI, death due The SPI-2 score was classified as low (0-3), middle (4-7), or
to other vascular events or cardiac failure high (8-15) using the following variables: congestive heart fail-
usually within 30 d of the event, sudden ure, diabetes mellitus, prior stroke, older than 70 years, stroke
death, hemorrhagic death (noncerebral for enrollment event, severe hypertension, and coronary ar-
fatal bleeding), or death of uncertain or tery disease. Stroke risk scores were calculated according to these
unknown cause occurring within 24 h models for each subject in ESPS-2, and subjects were catego-
after the onset of symptoms
rized into risk strata based on these scores.
The new analyses examined the annual stroke and vascu-
Abbreviations: IHD, ischemic heart disease; MI, myocardial infarction;
PVD, peripheral vascular disease; TIA, transient ischemic attack.
lar event rates for the aspirin-alone group (n=1649) and the
aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole group (n=1650),
stratified by the patient’s risk subgroup and univariate risk fac-
ferred in patients with varying degrees of risk for recur- tors. Subjects with missing baseline data (n=103) for risk model
rent stroke and cardiovascular outcomes. stratification (Framingham Study or SPI-2) were eliminated from
To assess the efficacy of aspirin plus extended- this analysis. Annual event rates were defined as the number
release dipyridamole compared with aspirin alone to pre- of first events divided by the total number of patient-years in
the study. The primary focus of the study was stroke out-
vent recurrent stroke, we performed post hoc analyses comes (fatal or nonfatal). Stroke or vascular events were de-
of the European Stroke Prevention Study 2 (ESPS-2) trial. fined as the first occurrence of nonfatal stroke, nonfatal MI, or
Our aim was to evaluate the reduction in risk for recur- vascular death. Vascular death was defined as fatal stroke, fa-
rent stroke in various risk factor subgroups and in sub- tal MI, death due to other vascular events or cardiac failure usu-
groups at high risk for recurrent stroke estimated from ally within 30 days of the event, sudden death, hemorrhagic
externally validated measurement scores. death (noncerebral fatal bleeding), or death of uncertain or un-

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Table 2. Annual Stroke Rates and RHRs in the European Stroke Prevention Study 2 Trial,
Stratified by Baseline Univariate Risk Factors

Aspirin Plus
Risk Factor No. of Subjects Extended-Release Dipyridamole* Aspirin Alone* RHR (Lower, Upper CL), % P Value
Age ⬎70 y
No 1911 3.3 5.2 33.8 (8.5, 52.1) .01
Yes 1285 8.3 10.2 18.8 (−7.5, 38.7) .15
Sex
Male 1853 5.4 7.2 24.3 (0.4, 42.5) .05
Female 1343 5.0 6.9 27.8 (−0.6, 48.2) .05
Hypertension
No 1277 4.6 5.7 19.5 (−15.9, 44.1) .24
Yes 1919 5.7 8.0 28.8 (7.6, 45.1) .01
Diabetes mellitus
No 2723 5.0 6.7 25.4 (5.6, 41.1) .01
Yes 473 6.9 9.7 28.5 (−15.9, 55.9) .17
Previous MI
No 2915 5.1 6.8 24.9 (5.9, 40.0) .01
Yes 281 6.6 10.6 36.8 (−19.8, 66.7) .16
Atrial fibrillation
No 3000 4.9 6.8 27.1 (8.7, 41.7) .006
Yes 196 11.3 13.6 18.4 (−57.0, 57.6) .54
Any cardiovascular disease
No 730 3.6 4.4 18.2 (−39.9, 52.2) .46
Yes 2466 5.8 7.9 27.3 (8.4, 42.2) .007
Current smoker
No 2411 5.3 6.7 19.7 (−2.6, 37.2) .08
Yes 785 5.0 8.5 40.9 (10.2, 61.1) .01
Prior stroke or TIA
No 2311 5.0 5.7 12.2 (−14.4, 32.7) .33
Yes 885 6.1 11.0 44.6 (20.6, 61.3) .001
Qualifying event
TIA 776 3.6 4.1 11.2 (−49.9, 47.5) .66
Stroke 2420 5.8 8.1 27.8 (8.9, 42.7) .006

Abbreviations: CL, confidence limit; MI, myocardial infarction; RHR, relative hazard reduction; TIA, transient ischemic attack.
*Data are given as annual percentage of subjects in each group who experienced a stroke.

known cause occurring within 24 hours after the onset of symp- ease; and current smokers. The greatest relative hazard re-
toms. Relative hazard reductions were calculated using Cox pro- duction (44.6%) was found among patients with a stroke
portional hazards models. or TIA before the qualifying event. Patients with a history
of MI who were treated with aspirin plus extended-
RESULTS release dipyridamole had a 36.8% relative hazard reduc-
tion of stroke compared with those taking aspirin alone.
Overall, the ESPS-2 results demonstrated that the combi- Patients with any prior cardiovascular disease had a 27.3%
nation of aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole com- lower stroke hazard while taking aspirin plus extended-
pared with aspirin alone among TIA or stroke patients was release dipyridamole compared with aspirin alone. The rela-
superior in reducing the risk of stroke (relative risk re- tive hazard reduction for stroke was 11.2% for those with
duction, 23%; 95% confidence interval, 9%-37%; P=.006) TIA as a qualifying event and 27.8% for those random-
and stroke or vascular events (relative risk reduction, 22%; ized after stroke.
95% confidence interval, 7%-36%; P=.003). The efficacy The combined outcome of stroke or vascular events is
of aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole compared shown in Table 3. The results show that patients using as-
with aspirin alone for various baseline subgroups is shown pirin plus extended-release dipyridamole experience sub-
for the outcome of stroke in Table 2 and for the out- stantial relative hazard reductions for the end points of
come of stroke or vascular events (including vascular death) stroke or vascular events. Greater relative hazard reduc-
in Table 3. Compared with aspirin alone, treatment with tions were found among those with prior stroke or TIA,
aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole resulted in sub- previous MI, and among current smokers. The relative haz-
stantial relative hazard reductions for stroke within some ard reduction was 24.8% for those with TIA as a qualify-
of the specific risk factor subgroups. Relative hazard rates ing event and 18.6% for those randomized after stroke. Some
favored the combination therapy in each of these sub- subgroups, such as those with atrial fibrillation, were small,
groups, with a more pronounced efficacy observed among which resulted in wide confidence intervals.
those younger than 70 years; those with hypertension, prior The baseline ESPS-2 cohort stratified into low- and
MI, prior stroke or TIA, and any prior cardiovascular dis- high-risk groups according to the Framingham stroke risk

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Table 3. Annual Combined Stroke or Vascular Event Rates and RHRs in the European Stroke Prevention Study 2 Trial,
Stratified by Baseline Univariate Risk Factors

Aspirin Plus
Risk Factor No. of Subjects Extended-Release Dipyridamole* Aspirin Alone* RHR (Lower, Upper CL), % P Value
Age ⬎70 y
No 1911 4.6 6.7 31.2 (8.7, 48.2) .01
Yes 1285 13.4 15.1 11.7 (−10.7, 29.6) .28
Sex
Male 1853 7.9 10.2 21.9 (1.7, 38.0) .04
Female 1343 7.8 9.5 17.8 (−8.2, 37.5) .16
Hypertension
No 1277 6.4 7.8 18.7 (−10.9, 40.4) .19
Yes 1919 8.9 11.3 21.0 (2.1, 36.2) .03
Diabetes mellitus
No 2723 7.3 9.2 20.5 (3.2, 34.7) .02
Yes 473 10.9 13.8 20.5 (−17.8, 46.4) .25
Previous MI
No 2915 7.3 9.0 19.4 (2.3, 33.4) .03
Yes 281 13.9 21.3 33.9 (−3.8, 57.9) .07
Atrial fibrillation
No 3000 7.2 9.2 21.7 (5.4, 35.2) .01
Yes 196 20.1 23.2 13.6 (−42.2, 47.5) .57
Any cardiovascular disease
No 730 3.9 5.2 24.3 (−25.8, 54.4) .28
Yes 2466 9.1 11.4 19.9 (3.3, 33.6) .02
Current smoker
No 2411 8.1 9.8 17.1 (−1.4, 32.3) .07
Yes 785 7.3 10.3 29.1 (−1.9, 50.6) .06
Prior stroke or TIA
No 2311 7.5 8.3 9.1 (−13.0, 26.9) .39
Yes 885 8.9 14.2 37.7 (15.5, 54.1) .002
Qualifying event
TIA 776 4.7 6.3 24.8 (−17.3, 51.7) .21
Stroke 2420 9.0 11.1 18.6 (1.4, 32.9) .04

Abbreviations: See Table 2.


*Data are given as annual percentage of subjects in each group who experienced a stroke or vascular event.

Table 4. Annual Stroke Rates and RHRs by Risk Group in Subjects in the European Stroke Prevention Study 2 Trial
Treated With Aspirin Alone or Aspirin Plus Extended-Release Dipyridamole

Aspirin Plus
Risk Group No. of Subjects Extended-Release Dipyridamole* Aspirin Alone* RHR (Lower, Upper CL), % P Value
Framingham stroke risk score
Low 1453 3.4 3.8 12.3 (−30.4, 41.0) .52
High 1743 7.0 10.1 30.2 (10.3, 45.7) .005
SPI-2 risk score
Low 1426 3.2 3.7 11.8 (−32.9, 41.4) .55
Moderate 1471 6.3 9.6 34.3 (12.8, 50.5) .004
High 299 10.9 13.2 17.2 (−39.3, 50.8) .48

Abbreviations: CL, confidence limit; RHR, relative hazard reduction; SPI-2, Stroke Prognostic Instrument II.
*Data are given as annual percentage of subjects in each group who experienced a stroke.

score or the SPI-2 score is shown in Table 4. The an- group, however, were small. Results were similar for the
nual risk for recurrent stroke among those treated with stroke or vascular events outcome, as shown in Table 5.
aspirin increased from 3.8% in the low-risk group to 10.1%
in the high-risk group for the Framingham score, and from COMMENT
3.7% to 13.2% for the SPI-2 score. Relative hazard re-
ductions favored the combination of aspirin plus ex- Guidelines from the American Heart Association, the
tended-release dipyridamole in all the subgroups, and were American College of Chest Physicians, and the Euro-
greatest for the high-risk Framingham group and the mod- pean Stroke Initiative state that aspirin alone, aspirin plus
erate-risk SPI-2 subgroup. Numbers in the highest-risk extended-release dipyridamole, or clopidogrel is an ac-

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Table 5. Annual Combined Stroke or Vascular Event Rates and RHRs by Risk Group in Subjects in the European Stroke Prevention
Study 2 Trial Treated With Aspirin Alone or Aspirin Plus Extended-Release Dipyridamole

Aspirin Plus
Risk Group No. of Subjects Extended-Release Dipyridamole* Aspirin Alone* RHR (Lower, Upper CL), % P Value
Framingham stroke risk score
Low 1453 4.1 5.0 17.4 (−17.8, 42.1) .29
High 1743 11.4 14.3 20.6 (2.7, 35.2) .03
SPI-2 risk score
Low 1426 4.2 4.9 13.8 (−23.3, 39.7) .42
Moderate 1471 9.5 13.1 27.5 (8.1, 42.7) .008
High 299 19.8 21.5 7.6 (−37.9, 38.1) .70

Abbreviations: See Table 4.


*Data are given as annual percentage of subjects in each group who experienced a stroke or vascular event.

ceptable option for first-line therapy to prevent recur- ment must focus on preventing subsequent ischemic
rent stroke.5,7,13 Few data are available regarding how these strokes. Consequently, the antiplatelet agent that is most
recommendations translate into clinical practice and effective for preventing stroke will likely result in the great-
which factors affect the choice of antiplatelet drugs in pa- est benefit for patients with a history of stroke or TIA.
tients with a recent ischemic cerebrovascular event. In a Stroke patients often have other vascular conditions,
recent study from the Vienna Stroke Register,14 investi- such as MI or prior stroke, and multiple risk factors, such
gators determined that the most important factor pro- as hypertension and diabetes mellitus. When choosing
moting the use of clopidogrel was therapy with aspirin alternative antiplatelet therapy, the severity of vascular
before the index event. High interhospital variability was risk factors can influence the clinician to consider more
found regarding the use of aspirin plus extended- aggressive medications. Our post hoc analysis of the
release dipyridamole. The relationship between aspirin ESPS-2 data shows that the combination of aspirin plus
and clopidogrel also varied significantly between depart- extended-release dipyridamole is significantly more ef-
ments within a hospital. Thus, the most prominent fac- fective than aspirin alone in the prevention of recurrent
tor influencing the use of clopidogrel or aspirin plus ex- stroke and stroke or vascular events for various baseline
tended-release dipyridamole was the practitioners’ risk factors. Patients with prior stroke or TIA, those who
divergent interpretation of the existing evidence. Other experienced a previous MI, and current smokers who used
main factors were higher costs (clopidogrel), individual aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole had greater
experiences, and adverse effects (aspirin plus extended- hazard reductions for stroke and stroke or vascular events
release dipyridamole). than those who took aspirin alone. The reductions ob-
For the secondary prevention of stroke, alternatives ex- served among patients with prior cardiovascular disease
ist for aspirin. Clopidogrel and aspirin plus extended- are noteworthy because some have claimed that aspirin
release dipyridamole are more effective than aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole is less effective among
alone.9,15,16 Adding dipyridamole to aspirin or substitut- patients with other cardiovascular conditions.
ing aspirin with clopidogrel is more expensive than aspi- In addition, aspirin plus extended-release dipyridam-
rin alone in preventing stroke, but these changes in therapy ole seems to provide greater protection for those patients
could be more cost-effective in high-risk patients, if these with a higher risk for stroke based on predicted stroke prob-
patients can be identified.17 It seems that in the long term, abilities from external stroke models. For diabetes melli-
aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole is more effec- tus and atrial fibrillation, we did not observe a significant
tive and less costly compared with aspirin alone.18 Thus, benefit for aspirin plus extended-release dipyridamole com-
the type of outcome to be prevented, such as recurrent pared with aspirin alone. It is difficult to make any con-
stroke, MI, or other vascular events, and the relative im- clusions about the atrial fibrillation subgroup because the
pact of other concomitant risk factors also enter into the numbers of patients randomized were small. Moreover,
physician’s decision-making process. the results of the European Atrial Fibrillation Trial that
Clinicians should assess the stroke patient’s greatest demonstrated the efficacy of oral anticoagulants led to a
risk before determining long-term treatment to prevent protocol modification and change in practice in many of
vascular events. The most common vascular event dur- the participating ESPS-2 sites during the conduct of the
ing the first few years following a stroke or TIA is a re- trial. Analysis of the ESPS-2 data set has shown that the
current nonfatal stroke, which often results in signifi- 2-year risk of first stroke for baseline atrial fibrillation sub-
cant disability and reduction in quality of life.8 Recent jects was greatest among those treated with placebo (23.4%)
antiplatelet studies, such as the Canadian American Ticlo- compared with aspirin alone (19.2%) and extended-
pidine Study, the Ticlopidine Aspirin Stroke Study, the release dipyridamole plus aspirin (17.3%).
Clopidogrel vs Aspirin in Patients at Risk of Ischemic Limitations of our post hoc analysis exist. The defi-
Events trial, and ESPS-2, have clearly demonstrated the nitions of the baseline vascular risk factors were based
high risk for recurrent stroke, compared with the lower on data available at randomization into ESPS-2 and may
risk for MI.8 Therefore, from a clinical perspective, treat- be skewed because of older classification schemes. The

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sis and interpretation of data: Sacco and Diener. Drafting
stroke and other serious vascular events in patients at high risk of vascular events:
of the manuscript: Sacco and Diener. Critical revision of a systematic review of the evidence from randomized trials. Stroke. 2000;31:
the manuscript for important intellectual content: Sacco, Sive- 1779-1784.
nius, and Diener. Statistical analysis: Sacco. Obtained 17. Hankey GJ, Warlow CP. Treatment and secondary prevention of stroke: evi-
funding: Sacco. Administrative, technical, and material sup- dence, costs, and effects on individuals and populations. Lancet. 1999;354:
1457-1463.
port: Sacco and Diener. Study supervision: Sacco. 18. Sarasin FP, Gaspoz J-M, Bounameux H. Cost-effectiveness of new antiplatelet
Funding/Support: This study was supported by Boeh- regimens used as secondary prevention of stroke or transient ischemic attack.
ringer Ingelheim, Ridgefield, Conn. Arch Intern Med. 2000;160:2773-2778.

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