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1 Siam Cement
Siam Cement, the Bangkok-based cement manufacturer, suffered enormous losses with the coming of the
Asian crisis in 1997. The company had been pursuing a very aggressive growth strategy in the mid-1990s,
taking on massive quantities of foreign currency denominated debt (primarily U.S. dollars). When the
Thai baht (B) was devalued from its pegged rate of B25.0/$ in July 1997, Siam’s interest payments alone
were over $900 million on its outstanding dollar debt (with an average interest rate of 8.40% on its U.S.
dollar debt at that time). Assuming Siam Cement took out $50 million in debt in June 1997 at 8.40%
interest, and had to repay it in one year when the spot exchange rate had stabilized at B42.0/$, what was
the foreign exchange loss incurred on the transaction?
Assumptions Value
US dollar debt taken out in June 1997 $ 50,000,000
US dollar borrowing rate on debt 8.400%
Initial spot exchange rate, baht/dollar, June 1997 25.00
Average spot exchange rate, baht/dollar, June 1998 42.00
At the time the loan was acquired, the scheduled repayment of dollar
and baht amounts would have been as follows:
Scheduled Repayment:
Repayment of US dollar debt: Principal $ 50,000,000
Repayment of US dollar debt: Interest 4,200,000
Total repayment $ 54,200,000
Actual Repayment:
Repayment of US dollar debt: Principal $ 50,000,000
Repayment of US dollar debt: Interest 4,200,000
Total repayment $ 54,200,000
Unilever’s affiliate in India, Hindustan Lever, procures much of its toiletries product line from a Japanese company. Because of the shortage of
working capital in India, payment terms by Indian importers are typically 180 days or longer. Hindustan Lever wishes to hedge a 8.5 million
Japanese yen payable. Although options are not available on the Indian rupee (Rs), forward rates are available against the yen. Additionally, a
common practice in India is for companies like Hindustan Lever to work with a currency agent who will, in this case, lock in the current spot
exchange rate in exchange for a 4.85% fee. Using the following exchange rate and interest rate data, recommend a hedging strategy.
Assumptions Values
180-day account payable, Japanese yen (¥) 8,500,000
Spot rate (¥/$) 120.60
Spot rate, rupees/dollar (Rs/$) 47.75
Implied (calculated) spot rate (¥/Rs) 2.5257 (120.60 / 47.75)
180-day forward rate (¥/Rs) 2.4000
Expected spot rate in 180 days (¥/Rs) 2.6000
180-day Indian rupee investing rate 8.000%
180-day Japanese yen investing rate 1.500%
Currency agent's exchange rate fee 4.850%
Hindustan Lever's cost of capital 12.00%
Spot Risk
Hedging Alternatives Values Rate (Rp/$) Assessment
If spot rate in 180 days is same as current spot (Rs) 3,365,464.34 2.5257 Risky
If spot rate in 180 days is same as forward rate (Rs) 3,541,666.67 2.4000 Risky
If spot rate in 180 days is expected spot rate (Rs) 3,269,230.77 2.6000 Risky
Evaluation of Alternatives
The currency agent is the lowest total cost, in CERTAIN future rupee value, of all certain alternatives.
b. To hedge 120% of an exposure means that you are in effect hedging 100% of the exposure, and then taking an open speculative position on an
additional amount of 20% of the original exposure amount. The two positions need to be separated and evaluated independently. Hedging more than
100% of an exposure always means that a speculative position is being taken. For that reason, many firms have foreign exchange management
policies which prohibit hedging more than 100%.
c. The most conservative policy for a firm would be to limit all hedges to 100%, or even less. Many firms hedge slightly less than 100% in order to
allow themselves a small margin of error in case the actual exposure size was slightly over-estimated.
Problem 11.3 Seattle Scientific, Inc.
Josh Miller is chief financial officer of a medium-sized Seattle-based medical device manufacturer. The
company’s annual sales of $40 million have been growing rapidly, and working capital financing is a common
source of concern. He has recently been approached by one of his major Japanese customers, Yokasa, with a
new payment proposal. Yokasa typically orders ¥12,500,000 in product every other month and pays in Japanese
yen. The current payment terms extended by Seattle are 30 days, with no discounts given for early or cash
payment. Yokasa has suggested that it would be willing to pay in cash – in Japanese yen – if it was given a
4.5% discount on the purchase price. Josh Miller gathered the following quotes from his bank on current spot
and forward exchange rates, and estimated Yokasa’s cost of capital.
Assumptions Values
Seattle's 30-day account receivable, Japanese yen 12,500,000
Spot rate, ¥/$ 111.40
30-day forward rate, ¥/$ 111.00
90-day forward rate, ¥/$ 110.40
180-day forward rate, ¥/$ 109.20
Yokasa's WACC 8.850%
Seattle Scientific's WACC 9.200%
Desired discount on purchase price by Yokasa 4.500%
Josh Miller should compare two basic alternatives, both of which eliminate the currency risk.
2. Not offer any discounts for early payment and cover exposure with forwards
Josh Miller should politely decline Yokasa's offer to pay cash in exchange for the requested discount.
Problem 11.4 Warner Indonesia
Warner, the U.S.-based multinational pharmaceutical company, is evaluating an export sale of its cholesterol-
reduction drug with a prospective Indonesian distributor. The purchase would be for 1,650 million Indonesian rupiah
(Rp), which at the current spot exchange rate of Rp9,450/$, translates into nearly $175,000. Although not a big sale
by company standards, company policy dictates that sales must be settled for at least a minimum gross margin, in
this case, a cash settleemnt of $168,000. The current 90-day forward rate is Rp9,950/$. Although this rate appeared
unattractive, Warner had to contact several major banks before even finding a forward quote on the rupiah. The
consensus of currency forecasters at the moment, however, is that the rupiah will hold relatively steady, possibly
falling to Rp9,400/$ over the coming 90 to 120 days. Analyze the prospective sale and make a hedging
recommendation.
Risk
Alternatives Values Assessment
1. Remain Uncovered.
Analysis
The Indonesian rupiah has been highly volatile in recent years. This means that during the 90-day period,
any variety of economic or political or social events could lead to an upward bounce in the exchange rate,
reducing the dollar proceeds at settlement to an unacceptable level.
Unfortunately, the forward contract does not result in dollar proceeds which meet the minimum margin.
The cost of forward cover, 20.1%, is indicative of the "artificial interest rates" used by some financial
institutions while pricing derivatives in emerging, illiquid, and volatile markets.
In the end, Warner will have to decide whether making the sale into this specific market is worth breaking a
company policy on minimum proceeds (forward cover) or taking significant currency risk by not using
forward cover.
Problem 11.5 Embraer of Brazil
Embraer of Brazil is one of the two leading global manufacturers of regional jets (Bombardier of Canada is the other).
Regional jets are smaller than the traditional civilian airliners produced by Airbus and Boeing, seating between 50 and 100
people on average.
Embraer has concluded an agreement with a regional U.S. airline to produce and deliver four aircraft one year from now for
$80 million. Although Embraer will be paid in U.S. dollars, it also possesses a currency exposure of inputs – it must pay
foreign suppliers $20 million for inputs one year from now (but they will be delivering the sub-components throughout the
year). The current spot rate on the Brazilian real (R$) is R$1.8240/$, but it has been steadily appreciating against the U.S.
dollar over the past three years. Forward contracts are difficult to acquire and considered expensive. Citibank Brasil has not
explicitly provided Embraer a forward rate quote, but has stated that it will probably be pricing a forward off the current
4.00% U.S. dollar eurocurrency rate and the 10.50% Brazilian government deposit note.
Assumptions Values
Receivable due in one year, US dollars $80,000,000
Payable due in one year, US dollars $20,000,000
Spot rate, reais per dollar (R$/$) 1.8240
One-year US dollar eurocurrency interest rate 4.00%
One-year Brazilian govt deposit note 10.50% Spot rate, reais per dollar (R$/$) X ( 1 + One-year Brazilian govt deposit note)/(1+One-year Brazilian govt deposit note)
Implied one year forward rate = spot x ( 1 + iR$ ) / ( 1 + i$ ) 1.9380 D20*(1+D22)/(1+D21)
Risk
Analysis Values Assessment
This is a net long position, meaning, Embraer will be receiving US dollars on net. Given the history of the Brazilian reais, that
it has traditionally suffered from rapid depreciation and occasional devaluation, a net long position in dollars by most
Brazilian companies is considered a very good thing.
Brazilian reais in one year at one year forward rate R$ 116,280,000.00 Certain
In this case, however, because the reais is selling forward at a considerable discount, the net long position -- if sold forward --
yields considerably more reais than the current spot rate. It should also be noted, however, that if the reais were to fall
considerably over the coming year, by remaining unhedged Embraer would enjoy greater reais returns.
111
Caterpillar (U.S.) just purchased a Korean company that produces plastic nuts and bolts for heavy equipment. The purchase price was
Won7,030 million. Won1,000 million has already been paid, and the remaining Won6,030 million is due in six months. The current spot
rate is Won1200/$, and the 6-month forward rate is Won1260/$
Caterpillar can invest at the rates given above, or borrow at 2% per annum above those rates. Caterpillar's weighted average cost of
capital is 10%. Compare alternate ways that Cat might deal with its foreign exchange exposure. What do you recommend and why?
Assumptions Values
Purchase price of Korean manufacturer, in Korean won 7,030,000,000
Less initial payment, in Korean won (1,000,000,000)
Net settlement needed, in Korean won, in six months 6,030,000,000
Current spot rate (Won/$) 1,200
Six month forward rate (Won/$) 1,260
Plasti-Grip's cost of capital (WACC) 10.00%
3. Money market hedge. Exchange dollars for won now, invest for six months.
The forward contract provides the lowest CERTAIN cost hedging method for payment settlement. If, however, the firm believes the
ending spot rate will be a weaker Won, Won1,307/$ or higher, then the call option would be a lower cost alternative. This would require,
however, that the firm accept foreign exchange risk and be willing to suffer the higher cost of the call option in the event that the Won
did not fall to the needed level.
Problem 11.7 Mattel Toys
Mattel is a U.S.-based company whose sales are roughly two-thirds in dollars (Asia and the Americas) and one-third in euros
(Europe). In September Mattel delivers a large shipment of toys (primarily Barbies and Hot Wheels) to a major distributor in
Antwerp. The receivable, €30 million, is due in 90 days, standard terms for the toy industry in Europe. Mattel’s treasury team has
collected the following currency and market quotes. The company’s foreign exchange advisors believe the euro will be at about
$1.4200/€ in 90 days. Mattel’s management does not use currency options in currency risk management activities. Advise Mattel
on which hedging alternative is probably preferable.
Assumptions Values
90-day A/R (€) € 30,000,000.00
Current spot rate ($/€) $1.4158
Credit Suisse 90-day forward rate ($/€) $1.4172
Barclays 90-day forward rate ($/€) $1.4195
Expected spot rate in 90 days ($/€) $1.4200
90-day eurodollar interest rate 4.000%
90-day euro interest rate 3.885%
Implied 90-day forward rate (calculated, $/€) $1.4162
90-day eurodollar borrowing rate 5.000%
90-day euro borrowing rate 5.000%
Mattel Toys weighted average cost of capital ($) 9.600%
Risk
Hedging Alternatives Values Assessment
If spot rate in 90 days is same as Credit Suisse forward rate $42,516,000.00 Risky
Evaluation of Alternatives
The money market hedge guarantees Mattel the greatest dollar value for the A/R when using the cost of capital as the reinvestment
rate (carry-forward rate).
Problem 11.8 South Face
South Face, Ltd., a Canadian manufacturer of raincoats, does not selectively hedge its transaction exposure. Instead, if the date of
the transaction is known with certainty, all foreign currency-denominated cash flows must utilize the following mandatory forward
contract cover formula:
South Face's Manadatory Forward Cover 0-90 days 91-180 days > 180 days
Paying the points forward 75% 60% 50%
Receiving the points forward 100% 90% 50%
South Face expects to receive multiple payments in Danish kroner over the next year. DKr 3,000,000 is due in 90 days; DKr
2,000,000 is due in 180 days; and DKr 1,000,000 is due in one year. Using the following spot and forward exchange rates, what
would be the amount of forward cover required by company policy by period?
Forward
Assumptions Values Discount
Spot rate, DKr/C$ 4.70
3-month forward rate, DKr/C$ 4.71 -0.85%
6-month forward rate, DKr/C$ 4.72 -0.85%
12-month forward rate, DKr/C$ 4.74 -0.84%
South Face's Exposures 0-90 days 91-180 days > 180 days
A/R due in 3 months, DKr 3,000,000
A/R due in 6 months, DKr 2,000,000
A/R due in 12-months, DKr 1,000,000
Required Forward Cover for Northern: 0-90 days 91-180 days > 180 days
A/R due in 3 months, DKr 75%
A/R due in 6 months, DKr 60%
A/R due in 12-months, DKr 50%
Translucent/H2O is a U.S.-based company which manufactures, sells, and installs water purification equipment. On April 20th the
company sold a system to the city of Nagasaki, Japan, for installation in Nagasaki’s famous Glover Gardens (where Puccini’s
Madame Butterfly waited for the return of Lt. Pinkerton.) The sale was priced in yen at ¥20,000,000, with payment due in three
months.
Additional information: Translucent/H2O’s Japanese competitors are currently borrowing yen from Japanese banks at a spread of 2
percentage points above the Japanese money rate. Translucent/H2O's weighted average cost of capital is 16%, and the company
wishes to protect the dollar value of this receivable.
a) What are the costs and benefits of alternative hedges? Which would you recommend, and why?
b) What is the breakeven reinvestment rate when comparing forward and money market alternatives?
Assumptions Values
Amount of receivable, Japanese yen (¥) 20,000,000
Spot exchange rate at time of sale (¥/$) 118.255
Booked value of sale (amount/spot rate) $169,126.04
Days receivable due 90
Translucent/H2O's WACC 16.0%
Competitor borrowing premium, yen (¥) 2.0%
1. Remain uncovered.
Account receivable (yen) 20,000,000
Possible spot rate in 90 days (yen/$) 118.255
Cash settlement in 90 days (US$) $169,126.04 Uncertain.
The put option does not GUARANTEE the company of settling for the booked amount.
The money market and forward hedges do; the money market yielding the higher proceeds.
b) Breakeven rate between the money market and the forward hedge is determined by the reinvestment rate:
Money market, US$ up-front $168,245.38
Forward contract, US$, end of 90 days $171,188.91
(1 + x) 101.750% $168,245.38 (1+x) = $171,188.91
x 1.74954% For 90 days
Breakeven rate, % per annum $0.06998
Problem 11.10 Farah Jeans
Farah Jeans of San Antonio, Texas, is completing a new assembly plant near Guatemala City. A final construction payment of
Q8,400,000 is due in six months. (“Q” is the symbol for Guatemalan quetzals.) Farah uses 20% per annum as its weighted
average cost of capital. Today’s foreign exchange and interest rate quotations are:
Construction payment due in six-months (A/P, quetzals) 8,400,000 $ 1,200,000.00 This is what we expect to pay in USD
Present spot rate (quetzals/$) 7.0000
Six-month forward rate (quetzals/$) 7.1000
Guatemalan six-month interest rate (per annum) 14.000%
U.S. dollar six-month interest rate (per annum) 6.000%
Farah's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) 20.000%
Farah's treasury manager, concerned about the Guatemalan economy, wonders if Farah should be hedging its foreign exchange
risk. The manager’s own forecast is as follows:
What realistic alternatives are available to Farah for making payment? Which method would you select and why?
PanAmerican Travel, a Honolulu, Hawaii – based 100% privately owned travel company has signed an agreement to acquire a
50% ownership share of Taipei Travel, a Taiwan – based privately owned travel agency specializing in servicing inbound
customers from the United States and Canada. The acquisition price is 7 million Taiwan dollars (T$ 7,000,000) payable in
cash in 3 months.
Susan Takaga, PanAmerican’s owner, believes the Taiwan dollar will either remain stable or decline a little over the next 3
months. At the present spot rate of T$35/$, the amount of cash required is only $200,000 but even this relatively modest
amount will need to be borrowed personally by Susan Takaga. Taiwanese interest-bearing deposits by non-residents are
regulated by the government, and are currently set at 1.5% per year. She has a credit line with Bank of Hawaii for $200,000
with a current borrowing interest rate of 8% per year. She does not believe that she can calculate a credible weighted average
cost of capital since she has no stock outstanding and her competitors are all also privately-owned without disclosure of their
financial results. Since the acquisition would use up all her available credit, she wonders if she should hedge this transaction
exposure.
Assumptions Values
Acquisition price & 3-month A/P, NewTaiwan dollars (T$) 7,000,000
Spot rate (T$/$) 33.40
3-month forward rate (T$/$) 32.40
3-month Taiwan dollar deposit rate 1.500%
3-month dollar borrowing rate 8.000%
3-month call option on T$ not available
Susan Takaga's credit line with Bank of Hawaii $ 200,000
3. Money Market Hedge: Exchanging US$ for T$ now, depositing for 3-months until payment
The currency risk is eliminated, but since Susan Takaga would have to exchange the money up-front, it would require her to
borrow the money, increasing her debt outstanding for the entire 3 months.
Discussion.
This is a difficult decision. The forward contract appears to be the preferable choice, protecting her against an appreciating T$,
and creating a certain cash purchase payment. The problem, however, will be whether the Bank of Hawaii will allow her to
purchase a forward for the full $216,049.38, which is slightly above her credit line currently in-place. If her relatonship is
good with the bank, they most likely would increase her line sufficiently to allow the forward contract.
Problem 11.12 Chronos Time Pieces
Chronos Time Pieces of Boston exports wristwatches to many countries, selling in local currencies to watch stores and distributors.
Chronos prides itself on being financially conservative. At least 70% of each individual transaction exposure is hedged, mostly in the
forward market, but occasionally with options. Chronos's foreign exchange policy is such that the 70% hedge may be increased up to
a 120% hedge if devaluation or depreciation appears imminent.
Chronos has just shipped to its major North American distributor. It has issued a 90-day invoice to its buyer for €1,560,000. The
current spot rate is $1.2224/€, the 90-day forward rate is $1.2270/€. Chronos’s treasurer, Manny Hernandez, has a very good track
record in predicting exchange rate movements. He currently believes the euro will weaken against the dollar in the coming 90 to 120
days, possibly to around $1.16/€.
Assumptions Values
Account recievable in 90 days (€) € 1,560,000
Initial spot exchange rate ($/€) $1.2224
Forward rate, 90 days ($/€) $1.2270
Expected spot rate in 90 to 120 days ($/€): Case #1 $1.1600
Expected spot rate in 90 to 120 days ($/€): Case #2 $1.2600
Hedged Hedged
If Chronos Time Pieces …… the Minimum the Maximum
This is not a conservative hedging policy. Any time a firm may choose to leave any proportion uncovered, or purchase cover for more
than the exposure (therefore creating a net short position) the firm could experience nearly unlimited losses or gains.
Problem 11.13 Micca Metals, Inc.
Micca Metals, Inc. is a specialty materials and metals company located in Detroit, Michigan. The company specializes in
specific precious metals and materials which are used in a variety of pigment applications in many other industries including
cosmetics, appliances, and a variety of high tinsel metal fabricating equipment. Micca just purchased a shipment of phosphates
from Morocco for 6,000,000, dirhams, payable in six months. Micca’s cost of capital is 8.600%.
Six-month call options on 6,000,000 dirhams at an exercise price of 10.00 dirhams per dollar are available from Bank Al-
Maghrub at a premium of 2%. Six-month put options on 6,000,000 dirhams at an exercise price of 10.00 dirhams per dollar are
available at a premium of 3%. Compare and contrast alternative ways that Micca might hedge its foreign exchange transaction
exposure. What is your recommendation?
Assumptions Values
Shipment of phosphates from Morocco, Moroccan dirhams 6,000,000
Micca's cost of capital (WACC) 8.600%
Spot exchange rate, dirhams/$ 10.00
Six-month forward rate, dirhams/$ 10.40
3. Money market hedge. Exchange dollars for dirhams now, invest for six months.
Account payable (dirhams) 6,000,000.00
Discount factor at the dirham investing rate for 6 months 1.035
Dirhams needed now for investing (payable/discount factor) 5,797,101.45
Current spot rate (dirhams/$) 10.00
US dollars needed now $ 579,710.14
Carry forward rate for six months (WACC) 1.043
US dollar cost, in six months, of settlement $ 604,637.68 Certain.
The lowest cost certain alternative is the forward. If Micca were to expect the dirham to depreciate significantly over the next six
months, it may choose the call option.
Problem 11.14 Pixel's Financial Metrics
Leo Srivastava is the director of finance for Pixel Manufacturing, a U.S.-based manufacturer of hand-held computer systems for inventory
management. Pixel’s system combines a low-cost active barcode used on inventory (the barcode tags emit an extremely low grade radio
frequency) with custom-designed hardware and software which tracks the low grade emissions for inventory control. Pixel has completed the
sale of a barcode system to a British firm, Grand Metropolitan (UK), for a total payment of £1,000,000. The following exchange rates were
available to Pixel on the following dates corresponding to the events of this specific export sale. Assume each month is 30 days.
Analysis
a. The sale is booked at the exchange rate existing on June 1, when the product is shipped to Grand Met, and the shipment
is categorized as an account receivable. This sale is then compared to that value in effect on the date of cash settlement,
the difference being the foreign exchange gain (loss).
b. The value of the foreign exchange gain (loss) will depend upon when Leo actually purchases the forward contract. Because
many firms do not define an "exposure" as arising until the date that the product is shipped (loss of physical control over
the goods) and the sale is booked on the income statement, that is a common date for the purchase of the forward contract.
A more aggressive alternative is for Leo to purchase the forward contract on the date that the contract was signed, March 1, locking-in Pixel's
US dollar settlement amount a full 90 days earlier in the transaction exposure's life span.
Note that in this case if Leo had covered forward on March 1st rather than June 1st, the amount of the foreign exchange loss would have been
even greater, although "fully hedged." The difference is of course the result of the forward rate changing with spot rates and interest
differentials.
Problem 11.15 Maria Gonzalez and Trident (A)
Trident — the same U.S.-based company as discussed throughout this chapter, has concluded a second larger sale of
telecommunications equipment to Regency (U.K.). Total payment of £3,000,000 is due in 90 days. Maria Gonzalez has also learned
that Trident will only be able to borrow in the United Kingdom at 14% per annum (due to credit concerns of the British banks).
Given the following exchange rates and interest rates, what transaction exposure hedge is now in Trident’s best interest?
Analysis: Maria Gonzalez would receive the most certain US$ from the forward contract, $5,265,000; the money market hedge is
less attractive as result of the higher borrowing costs in the UK now. The two put options yield unattractive amounts if they had to be
exercised. As shown, the $1.75 strike price put option would be superior to the forward if the ending spot rate was $1.7825 or higher;
the $1.71 strike price would be superior to the forward if the ending spot rate were $1.7732 or higher.
Problem 11.16 Maria Gonzalez and Trident (B)
One year later Maria Gonzalez is still on the job at Trident. Trident’s business is booming, and sales have now expanded to include exports to Germany
and Japan, besides continuing sales to the United Kingdom. All export sales are invoiced in the local currency of the buyer. After creating a pro forma
income statement for Trident, answer the questions listed below.
a. If Maria Gonzalez leaves all positions uncovered, and the final spot rates at settlement are exactly what the FX advisor had forecast, what are the
foreign exchange gains (losses) for the period, and what is the final net income and earnings per share (EPS) figures?
b. If Maria Gonzalez covers all positions with full forward cover, and the final spot rates at settlement are exactly what the FX advisor forecast, what are
the foreign exchange gains (losses) for the period, and the final net income and earnings per share (EPS) figures?
c. If Maria Gonzalez uses a common industry practice of covering all positions 100% with forward cover if the forward rate earns her the points, while
only covering half the positions in which she is paying the forward points, what are the foreign exchange gains (losses) for the period and the final net
income and earnings per share (EPS) figures, assuming the following final settlement spot rates: $1.0480/€, $1.6000/£, ¥122.50/$?
a) b) c)
FX gains (losses) by sale: Settled at Forecast Settled at Forward Forwards on Points
Sales in European euros $23,400 ($72,540) ($45,630)
Sales in British pounds ($53,400) ($4,450) $6,675
Sales in Japanese yen ($28,928) $13,349 $13,349
($58,928) ($63,641) ($25,606)
Trident's EPS is highest in part c), where it determined its forward cover by whether it would receive or pay the forward points. In part c), for both the
euro and the pound, Trident is paying the points, and would therefore decide to cover 50% of the exposure with forwards (the yen is receiving the points,
and is 100% covered with forwards). The foreign exchange loss for the pound is smaller in part c) because the pound moved in the company's favor.
Although the euro moves against the firm, the loss is not as large as what would occur under the forward contract.
Problem 11.17 Solar Turbines
On March 1st, Solar Turbines, a wholly owned subsidiary of Caterpillar (US), sold a 12 megawatt compression turbine to Vollendam Dike
Company of the Netherlands for €4,000,000, payable €2,000,000 on June 1 and €2,000,000 on September 1. Redwall derived its price quote
of €4,000,000 on February 1 by dividing its normal U.S. dollar sales price of $4.320,000 by the then current spot rate of $1.0800/€.
By the time the order was received and booked on March 1, the euro had strengthened to $1.1000/€, so the sale was in fact worth
€4,000,000 x $1.1000/€ = $4,400,000. Solar had already gained an extra $80,000 from favorable exchange rate movements. Nevertheless
Solar's director of finance now wondered if the firm should hedge against a reversal of the recent trend of the euro. Four approaches were
possible:
1. Hedge in the forward market. The 3-month forward exchange quote was $1.1060/€ and the 6-month forward quote was $1.1130/€.
2. Hedge in the money market. Solar could borrow euros from the Frankfurt branch of its U.S. bank at 8.00% per annum.
3. Hedge with foreign currency options. June put options were available at strike price of $1.1000/€ for a premium of 2.0% per contract, and
September put options were available at $1.1000/€ for a premium of 1.2%. June call options at $1.1000/€ could be purchased for a premium
of 3.0%, and September call options at $1.1000/€ were available at a 2.6% premium.
4. Do nothing. Solar could wait until the sales proceeds were received in June and September, hope the recent strengthening of the euro
would continue, and sell the euros received for dollars in the spot market.
The money market hedge provides the highest certain outcome. If Solar Turbines believes the euro will strengthen versus the dollar over the
coming months, and it is willing to take the currency risk, the put option hedges could be considered.
Problem 11.18 Tek -- Italian Account Receivable
Tek wishes to hedge a €4,000,000 account receivable arising from a sale to Olivetti (Italy). Payment is due in 3 months. Tek’s
Italian unit does not have ready access to local currency borrowing, eliminating the money market hedge alternative. Citibank
has offered Tek the following quotes:
Assumptions Values
Account receivable due in 3 months, in euros (€) € 4,000,000.00
Spot rate ($/€) 1.2000
3-month forward rate ($/€) 1.2180
3-month euro interest rate 4.200%
3-month put option on euros:
Strike rate ($/€) 1.2000
Premium, percent per year 3.400%
Tek's weighted average cost of capital 9.800%
a) b)
What are the costs and risk of each alternative? Value Certainty?
If the spot rate at end of 3-months is less than strike rate Minimum is
the option is exercised yielding gross dollars of $4,800,000.00 guaranteed;
Less cost of option (premium) plus US$ interest on premium (167,198.40) could be
Net proceeds of A/R if option is exercised (this is Minimum) $4,632,801.60 greater.
d) If Tek wishes to take a reasonable risk (definining 'reasonable' is another issue), and has a directional view that the dollar is
going to depreciate versus the euro over the 3-month period, past $1.20/€, then Tek might consider purchasing the put option on
euros.
Problem 11.19 Tek -- Japanese Account Payable
Tek has imported components from its joint venture in Japan, Sony-Tek, with payment of ¥8,000,000 due in 6 months. Citibank has
offered Tek the following quotes
Assumptions Values
Account payable to Japan Sony-Tek, in Japanese yen (¥) ¥8,000,000.00
Spot rate (¥/$) ¥108.20
6-month forward rate (¥/$) ¥106.20
6-month yen deposit rate 1.250%
6-month dollar interest rate 4.000%
6-month call option on yen:
Strike rate (¥/$) ¥108.00
Premium, percent per year 2.500%
Tek's weighted average cost of capital 9.800%
What are the costs and risk of each alternative? a) Value b) Certainty
If the spot rate at end of 3-months is greater than strike rate Maximum cost
the option is exercised yielding gross dollars of $74,074.07 guaranteed;
Plus cost of option (premium) plus US$ interest on premium 1,939.00 could be
Total cost of exercising call option on yen $76,013.08 less.
c) If Tek wishes to take a reasonable risk (definining 'reasonable' is another issue), and has a directional view that the yen may be
depreciating (falling) versus the dollar over the coming 6-month period, somewhere below the option strike rate of ¥108/$, then Tek might
consider purchasing the call option. If Tek is a bit more risk adverse, the forward rate is relatively attractive compared to the money market
hedge.
Problem 11.20 Tek -- British Telecom Bidding
Tek has made a £1,500,000 bid to supply and install a network monitoring system for British Telecom in Manchester, U.K. The bid is
good for 30 days at which time the winner of the bidding process will be announced. Other bidders are expected to be Agilent, Siemens,
and at least two British firms. If Tek wins the bid it will have 60 days to build and install the system.
During this 90-day period the £1,500,000 will be accounted for as backlog. Upon delivery and testing of the system British Telecom will
make full payment 30 days later. During this month Tek will account for the £1,500,000 as backlog. Barclay’s Bank (UK) has offered
Tek the following quotes:
Assumptions Values
Account receivable of bid, supply & install (British pounds, £) £1,500,000
Spot rate ($/£) 1.8418
Tek's weighted average cost of capital 9.800%
1-month 4-month
Forward rate ($/£) 1.8368 1.8268
British pound investment rate 4.000% 4.125%
British pound borrowing rate 6.500% 6.500%
Put option on pound:
Strike rate ($/£) 1.85 1.85
Premium ($/£) $0.006 $0.012
If Tek wins the bid, it will be long foreign currency, having a 1.5 million pound position which is first backlog, then becoming an A/R.
If and when Tek is awarded the bid, it would have 4 months (120 days) until cash settlement of the 1 million pound position.
If the ending spot rate is the same as the 4-month forward rate $2,740,200.00 Risky
It could, however, be much lower.
The money market hedge provides the largest dollar value at the end of 4 months, but it assumes certainty of bid's award. The advantage
of the option is if Tek does not win the bid, the option can easily be sold.
Problem 11.21 Tek -- Swedish Price List
Tek offers oscilloscopes and other off-the-shelf products through foreign-currency-denominated price lists. The prices are valid for 3
months only. One example is a Swedish price list expressed in Swedish kronor (SKr). In effect, customers are given a cost-free call
option on products with a fixed dollar/krona exchange rate. During a typical 3-month period, Tek could expect to sell SKr 5,000,000 –
SKr 10,000,000 worth of products based on the price list. Since the SKr/$ exchange rate is likely to change during any 3-month
period, Tek would like to hedge this transaction exposure (Tek’s Swedish business unit does believe the krona will be strengthening
versus the dollar in the coming months). Nordea Bank (Sweden) has offered Tek the following quotes:
Assumptions Values
Expected sale over 90-day period, Swedish krona (SKr) 5,000,000.00 Could be more
Spot rate (SKr/$) 7.4793
90-day forward rate (SKr/$) 7.4937
3-month dollar interest rate 4.000%
3-month krona deposit interest rate 4.780%
3-month krona borrowing interest rate 6.500%
3-month put option on krona:
Strike rate (SKr/$) 7.50
Premium 2.500%
Tek's weighted average cost of capital 9.800%
Hedging Alternatives
This is an uncertain exposure. Although sales will most likely occur, it is not known what total quantity of
sales will occur, and therefore what Tek's actual long position in Swedish krona will be.
Value Certainty?
1. Do Nothing -- Remain Uncovered.
The ending spot rate at the time of settlement
could be nearly anything.
If the ending spot rate is the same as current spot rate (SKr/$) $668,511.76 Risky
If the ending spot rate is the same as forward (SKr/$) $667,227.14 Risky
The money market hedge provides the highest certain US dollar receipts. (This is again a result of the significant increase in relative
value arising from carrying-forward the dollars at Tek's WACC.)
If Tek sincerely believes in its directional view, and is willing to take some currency risk, the SKr would have to fall to about SKr7.24
(shown above) in order for the put option to yield roughly the same amount of US dollars as the money market hedge.
Problem 11.22 Tek -- Swiss Dividend Payable
Tek’s European subsidiaries are formally owned by a holding company, Tek-Switzerland. Thus, the subsidiaries pay dividends to the
Swiss holding company, which in turn pays dividends to Tek-Beaverton. Tek has declared a dividend of 5 million Swiss francs
payable in 3 months from Switzerland to Tek-Beaverton. If Tek-Beaverton wishes to hedge this transaction exposure it could utilize
the following quotes from Swiss Bank Corporation:
What are the costs of each alternative for hedging the dividend payable? What are the risks of each alternative? Which alternative
should Tek choose? Explain your assumption about Tek’s motivation in choosing your suggested alternative.
Assumptions Values
Dividend declared, Swiss francs (SFr) SFr. 5,000,000
Spot rate (SFr/$) 1.2462
90-day forward rate (SFr/$) 1.2429
3-month US dollar interest rate 4.000%
3-month Swiss franc interest rate 3.750%
3-month put option on Swiss francs:
Strike rate (SFr/$) 1.25
Premium ($/SFr) $0.015
Tek's weighted average cost of capital 9.80%
Tek's expected spot rate in 90 days (SFr/$) 1.22
If the ending spot rate is the same as current spot rate (SFr/$) $4,012,197.08 Risky
If the ending spot rate is the same as forward (SKr/$) $4,022,849.79 Risky
Realistically, the ending spot rate could vary between SFr1 and SFr2 per $.
Analysis. The Money market hedge yields the highest certain US dollar proceeds. If, however, Tek wishes to accept some degree of
currency risk, and believes in the direciton of a stronger SFr, it may choose the 3-month put option. Note that the official expectation
is SFr1.22/$. This is still not superior to the Money Market Hedge. (The ending spot rate would need to be SFr1.20/$ or stronger to
end up superior to the Money Market Hedge.)