Mencari nilai R komponen dan sistem

1.Pompa External leakage

Failure Rate 1000000 hours
Mean 2.25 2.206087E-06
λ 0.00000225 0.999997794
e 2.71828183
t (hours) cdf R
100 0.000224975 0.99977503
1000 0.002247471 0.99775253
5000 0.011186955 0.98881304
8670 0.01931846 0.98068154
50000 0.106402653 0.89359735
80000 0.164729789 0.83527021
100000 0.201483781 0.79851622
175000 0.325477334 0.67452267
500000 0.675347533 0.32465247
800000 0.834701112 0.16529889
1000000 0.894600776 0.10539922

2.Valve External leakage

Failure Rate 1000000
Mean 0.14
λ 0.00000014
e 2.71828183
t (hours) cdf R
100 1.39999E-05 0.999986
1000 0.00013999 0.99986001
5000 0.000699755 0.99930024
8760 0.001225648 0.99877435
50000 0.006975557 0.99302444
80000 0.011137514 0.98886249
100000 0.013902456 0.98609754
175000 0.024202311 0.97579769
 500000 0.06760618 0.93239382
800000 0.105955743 0.89404426
1000000 0.130641765 0.86935824

3.Valve Box External leakage

Failure Rate 1000000
Mean 0.24
λ 0.00000024
e 2.71828183
t (hours) cdf R
100 1.39999E-05 0.999986
1000 0.00013999 0.99986001
5000 0.000699755 0.99930024
8760 0.001225648 0.99877435
50000 0.006975557 0.99302444
80000 0.011137514 0.98886249
100000 0.013902456 0.98609754
175000 0.024202311 0.97579769
500000 0.06760618 0.93239382
800000 0.105955743 0.89404426
1000000 0.130641765 0.86935824

4.Valve Box
 Given: Reliability Values For Each Block
Find: System Reliability In Cell N29
Method: Monte Carlo Simulation

R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6

Assume R-values Are--> 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998

Random number this iteration--> 0.1020 0.3949 0.8114 0.4497 0.6748 0.7159
Success: (Random #) < (R-value) --!!
Success = (1) this iteration--> 1 1 1 1 1 1
Failure = (0) this iteration--> 0 0 0 0 0 0

Cumulative successes--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Cumulative failure--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Total Iterations--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Simulated Reliability--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Theoretical Reliability--> 0.9980 0.9980 0.9980 0.9980 0.9980 0.9980

% Error--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

 BOOLIAN TRUTH TABLE

RUN R1 R2 R3
1 1 1 1
2 0 0 0
3 1 1 0
4 1 1 1
5

R7 R8 R9 R10 System

0.98 0.98 0.6957 0.998 0.6588527

0.9660 0.0628 0.4832 0.4260

1 1 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 1

Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

0.9800 0.9800 0.6957 0.9980 0.6589

Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 S/F Probability of Succes
1 1 1 1 1 1 1S 0.658852114
0 0 0 0 0 0 0S 1.558016E-23
0 0 1 1 1 1 1S 5.3025687359728E-09
1 1 0 0 0 1 1S 5.4991458468387E-07
0.6588526692
literation
Succes=1 fail= 0 R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8
0 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.98 0.98
0 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.02 0.02
0 0.998 0.998 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.998 0.98 0.98
0 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.998 0.002 0.02 0.02
R9 R10
0.6957 0.998
0.3043 0.002
0.6957 0.998
0.6957 0.998
 Given: Reliability Values For Each Block
Find: System Reliability In Cell H18
Method: Monte Carlo Simulation

R1 R2

Assume R-values Are--> 0.4286 0.4286

Random number this iteration--> 0.0900 0.1121

Success: (Random #) < (R-value) --!!
Success = (1) this iteration--> 1 1
Failure = (0) this iteration--> 0 0

Cumulative successes--> Err:522 Err:522

Cumulative failure--> Err:522 Err:522
Total Iterations--> Err:522 Err:522

Simulated Reliability--> Err:522 Err:522

Theoretical Reliability--> 0.4286 0.4286

% Error--> Err:522 Err:522

System

? Find ?

1
1

Err:522
Err:522
Err:522

Err:522
0.1837

Err:522
 Given: Reliability Values For Each Block
Find: System Reliability In Cell H18
Method: Monte Carlo Simulation

R1 R2

Assume R-values Are--> 0.4286 0.4286

Random number this iteration--> 0.5573 0.7894

Success: (Random #) < (R-value) --!!
Success = (1) this iteration--> 0 0
Failure = (0) this iteration--> 0 0

Cumulative successes--> Err:522 Err:522

Cumulative failure--> 0 0
Total Iterations--> Err:522 Err:522

Simulated Reliability--> Err:522 Err:522

Theoretical Reliability--> 0.4286 0.4286

% Error--> Err:522 Err:522

R3 System

0.4721 ? Find ?

0.7062

0 0
0 1

Err:522 Err:522
0 46629
Err:522 Err:522

Err:522 Err:522
0.1837 0.0867

Err:522 Err:522
 Given: Reliability Values For Each Block
Find: System Reliability In Cell H18
Method: Monte Carlo Simulation

R1 R2

Assume R-values Are--> 0.4286 0.4286

Random number this iteration--> 0.7133 0.3008

Success: (Random #) < (R-value) --!!
Success = (1) this iteration--> 0 1
Failure = (0) this iteration--> 0 0

Cumulative successes--> Err:522 Err:522

Cumulative failure--> 1148 826
Total Iterations--> Err:522 Err:522

Simulated Reliability--> Err:522 Err:522

Theoretical Reliability--> 0.4286 0.4286

% Error--> Err:522 Err:522

R3 System

0.4721 ? Find ?

0.5940

0 0
0 1

Err:522 Err:522
Err:522 46629
Err:522 Err:522

Err:522 Err:522
0.4721 0.0867

Err:522 Err:522
 Given: Reliability Values For Each Block
Find: System Reliability In Cell H18
Method: Monte Carlo Simulation

R1 R2

Assume R-values Are--> 0.4286 0.4286

Random number this iteration--> 0.8633 0.2393

Success: (Random #) < (R-value) --!!
Success = (1) this iteration--> 0 1
Failure = (0) this iteration--> 1 0

Cumulative successes--> Err:522 Err:522

Cumulative failure--> Err:522 Err:522
Total Iterations--> Err:522 Err:522

Simulated Reliability--> Err:522 Err:522

Theoretical Reliability--> 0.4286 0.4286

% Error--> Err:522 Err:522

System

? Find ?

0
1

Err:522
Err:522
Err:522

Err:522
0.1837

Err:522
 Given: Reliability Values For Each Block
Find: System Reliability In Cell H20
Method: Monte Carlo Simulation

R1
Parallel Model
R2

Assume R-values Are--> 0.088 0.088 ? Find ?

Random number this iteration--> 0.5816 0.7768

Success: (Random #) < (R-value) --!!
Success = (1) this iteration--> 0 0 0
Failure = (0) this iteration--> 1 1 1

Cumulative successes--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Cumulative failure--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522
Total Iterations--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Simulated Reliability--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

Theoretical Reliability--> 0.0880 0.0880 0.1683

% Error--> Err:522 Err:522 Err:522

 Given: Reliability Values For Each Block
Find: System Reliability In Cell H18
Method: Monte Carlo Simulation

R1 R2

Assume R-values Are--> 0.183698 0.168256

Random number this iteration--> 0.3256 0.0233

Success: (Random #) < (R-value) --!!
Success = (1) this iteration--> 0 1
Failure = (0) this iteration--> 0 0

Cumulative successes--> Err:522 Err:522

Cumulative failure--> 1148 826
Total Iterations--> Err:522 Err:522

Simulated Reliability--> Err:522 Err:522

Theoretical Reliability--> 0.1837 0.1683

% Error--> Err:522 Err:522

 R3 System

0.18369796 ? Find ?

0.1361

1 0
0 1

Err:522 Err:522
Err:522 46629
Err:522 Err:522

Err:522 Err:522
0.1837 0.0057

Err:522 Err:522