SIMULATION

HOMEWORK 7 CHAPTER 5
VERIFICATION AND VALIDATION OF SIMULATION MODELS

1. A simulation model of a job shop was developed to investigate different scheduling rules. To validate
the model, the scheduling rule currently used was incorporated into the model and the resulting output
was compared against observed system behavior. By searching the previous year’s database records, it
was estimated that the average number of jobs in the shop was 22.5 on a given day. Seven independent
replications of the model were run, each of 30 days’ duration, with the following results for average
number of jobs in the shop:

18.9 22.0 19.4 22.1 19.8 21.9 20.2

Develop and conduct a statistical test to evaluate whether model output is consistent with system
behavior. Use the level of significance α = 0.05.

Data
n=7
X = number of jobs at the station

Since the to is greater than the null hypothesis is rejected and therefore the data is not
consistencies with the model.

2. Use the confidence interval test to validate the exercise 1. ε = 2

It can be observed that the population average if it is within the range.

Therefore, additional replicas are needed.

3. A simulation model of a manufacturing process was developed to investigate its productivity in a
specific period of time. To validate the model, the production output was compared against observed
process behavior, which is, in average, 180 products in one day. Ten independent replications of the
model were run, each of 1-day duration, with the following results for products/day:

135 158 130 181 200 112 109 145 155 188

a) Develop and conduct a statistical test to evaluate whether model output is consistent with system
behavior. Use the level of significance α = 0.01.

Replication (n) Y
1 135
2 158
3 130
4 181
5 200
6 112
7 109
8 145
9 155
10 188
 2.91

Critical value

2.91 > 2.26

Since the statistic test is greater than critical value, the null hypothesis is rejected and therefore
the model is inadequate.

b) What sample size is needed to guarantee a Power of the Test greater than or equal to 0.9? (level of
significance = 0.01), ε = 31.

0.9

) ≤ 0.1