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REVIEW OFLITERATURE
M. Joseph and N. Soundararajan, (2009),
The Indian Council for Research onInternational Economic Relations (ICRIER)
study has shown that hardly 1.7 per cent ofsmall shops have closed down due to
competition from organized retail. They havecompeted successfully against
organized retail through adoption of better
business practices and technology. FDI has positive spillover effects on the econom
y as itsownership advantages get disseminated to locally owned enterprises,
enhancing
their productivity. All these benefits of foreign direct investment have been well pr
oven inIndia in sectors such as automobiles, telecom and consumer electronics.
Mukherjee and Patel (2005),
found that foreign retailers are working with smallmanufacturers for in-house
labels and are providing them technologies like packagingtechnologies and bar
coding. Sourcing from India has increased with the advent offoreign retailers and
they also bring in an efficient supply-chain management system.Joint ventures with
foreign retailers are helping the Indian industry to get access tofinance and global
best practices. Besides, retailing being a non-tradable service there isno possibility
of improved efficiency through import competition and foreign investmentis the
way forward. The aspects of foreign direct investment i.e. political scenario
andtrends are analyzed by most of the studies and they are, Alvin and Wint(1992)
Reviewsthe liberalization of FDI regulation in ten developing countries and
concludes that therecan be a disconnect between formal liberalization and the
actual implementation of thescreening process.
Dornbusch and Park(1995)
observe that foreign investors pursue a positive feedbackstrategy, which makes
stocks to overreact to change in fundamentals.
Bor enszt i n et al ( 1998)
examine absorptive capacity of recipient country, which ismeasured by stock of
human capital required for technological progress; it takes place
through 'capital is deepening’ associated with new capital
goods brought into an economy by FDI.
Ta n a y K u m a r N a n d i a n d R i t a n k a r S a h e r ( 2 0 0 7 )
in their work made an attempt to studythe Foreign Direct Investment in India with
a special focus on Retail Trade, This paperstresses the need of FDI in India in retail
sector and uses the augment that FDI is allowedin multiple sectors and The study
also suggests that FDI in retail sector must be allowed.Jaya Gupta (2007) in a
paper made an attempt to review the change in sectoral trends inIndia due to FDI
inflows since liberalization. This paper also examines the changed policy
implications on sectoral growth and economic development of India as a whole.
J o h n A n d r e a s 3 2 ( 2 0 0 4 ) in his work “The Effects of FDI Inflows on
Host CountryEconomic Growth” discusses the potenti
al of FDI inflows to affect host countryeconomic growth. The paper argues that
FDI should have a positive effect on economicgrowth as a result of technology
spillovers and physical capital inflows. Economicgrowth increases the size of the
host country market and strengthens the incentives for
market seeking FDI. This could result in a situation where FDI and economic
growth aremutually supporting. However, for the ease of most of the developing
economies growthis unlikely to result in market
–
seeking FDI due to the low income levels. Therefore,causality is primarily
expected to run from FDI inflows to economic growth for theseeconomies.
OBJECTIVES OFTHE STUDY
1. To analyze the Impact of FDI on Retail Sector2. To know the trends of FDI
inflows in various Emerging Market Economies3. To discuss about the
Opportunities & Challenges faced by the Retail Sector4. To discuss about the
suggestions for the growth of Indian retail industry.
GROWTH OFINDIAN RETAIL
1. According to the 8th Annual Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) of
ATKearney, India retail industry is the most promising emerging market for
investment. In2007, the retail trade in India had a share of 8-10% in the GDP
(Gross Domestic Product)of the country. In 2009, it rose to 12%, 22% in 2010 and
is expected to reach 35% by2011-12.2. In 2011-12 over 1,000 hypermarkets and
3,000 supermarkets are projected to come up.India will need additional retail space
of 700,000,000 sq ft (65,000,000 m2) as comparedto today. Current projections on
construction point to a supply of just 200,000,000 sq ft(19,000,000 m2), leaving a
gap of 500,000,000 sq ft (46,000,000 m2) that needs to befilled, at a cost of US$15
–
18 billion3. According to the ICRIER report, the retail business in India is
estimated to grow at13% from $322 billion in 2006-07 to $590 billion in 2011-12.
The unorganized retailsector is expected to grow at about 10% per annum with
sales expected to rise from $ 309 billion in 2006-07 to $ 496 billion in 2011-12.
TRENDS OFFDI INFLOWS IN EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES
The liberalization of trade, capital markets, breaking of business barriers,
technologicaladvancements, and the growing internationalization of goods,
services, or ideas over
the past two decades makes the world economies the globalised one. Consequently,
withlarge domestic market, low labour costs, cheap and skilled labour, high returns
toinvestment, developing countries now have a significant impact on the global
economy, particularly in the economics of the industrialized states. Trends in Worl
d FDI flowsdepict that developing countries makes their presence felt by receiving
a considerablechunk of FDI inflows.
CURRENT PICTURE OFFDI IN RETAILSECTOR
According to the announcement, FDI up to 51 per cent in retail trade would be
subject tothe following conditions1. Products to be sold should be of a single brand
only2. Products should be sold under the same brand internationally3. Single brand
product retailing would cover only products which are branded
duringmanufacturing.4. FDI would be allowed only with prior approval of the
Government, conforming to prescribed norms and conditions5. Processing will be
done by the dept. Of industrial policy and promotion forgovernment Approval.The
guidelines would, however, ensure that the food and grocery segment of
Indianretailing would not face competition from capital because this sector in India
tended to bemulti-stock keeper units and multi-brands.
MAJOR CHALLENGES FOR RETAILDEVELOPMENT IN INDIA
Organized retail in India is little over a decade old. It is largely an urban
phenomenon andthe pace of growth is still slow. Some of the reasons for this slow
growth are: -The Existence of Traditional KIRANA stores - The first and foremost
challengefacing by the organized retail industry in India is competition from
theunorganized sector. Retailing is not new concept for India; it has been
establishedhere since centuries. It is a low cost structure, mostly owner operated,
hasnegligible real estate and labor costs and little or no taxes to pay. Consumer
familiarity that runs from generation to generation is one big advantage for
thetraditional retailing sector. On the other hand, organized sector have big
expensesto meet and yet have to keep prices low enough to compete with the
traditionalsector.Lack of Recognition as an Industry
–
Lack of recognition as an industry hampersthe availability of finance to the
existing and new players. This affects growth andexpansion plans.High Cost of
Real Estate
–
Real estate prices in some cities in India are amongstthe highest in the world.
Lease rent of the property is so high that it reduces the profitability of the
project.High Cost of Stamp Duties
–
Stamp duties on transfer of property are also veryhigh which varies from state to
state e.g, 12.5% in Gujarat and 8% in Delhi.
The problem is compounded by problems of clear titles to ownership, while at thes
ame time land use conversion is time consuming and complex as is the
legal process for settling of property disputes.Lack of Infrastructural Facilities-
Poor roads and transport facility hampers thedevelopment of food and grocery
retail in India. The existing supermarkets andfoods retailers have to invest a
substantial amount of money and time in buildinga cold chain network.Multiple
and Complex Taxation System
–
The sales tax rates vary from state tostate and organized retail players have to face
a multiple point octroi with theintroduction of value added tax (VAT) which causes
disruption in supply chainmanagement.Price War-There is price war between
different retail organizations. Each andevery one is saying to provide goods at low
cost and offers various promotional
schemes. In such a case it is difficult to keep one’s customers with onesel
f.
OPPORTUNITIES FOR RETAILDEVELOPMENT IN INDIA
Retail marketing gets various opportunities to grow up in the Indian market. Not
onlyretailing but Manufacturers as well as suppliers, and buyers have various
opportunities,some of which are mentioned below-
Provides visibility to Brands- Organized retail provides needed visibility to
brandsand a platform for customer interaction. It also helps in launching of new
productor product variant and in market penetration. It has wider product range and
morefrequent, speedier deliveries.Urbanization
–
As large percentage of population has now been shifted to urbanareas due to more
job opportunities and more facilities for their children andfamily, they know the
importance of brands and moreover they want everythingunder one roof, thus a
single retail can catch more customers. Nuclear Family- As the time passed away
joint families came in a new form i.e.nuclear family. Again the income level
of these nuclear families increases because both members
started earning. This results into increased power of purchase andlack of time.
Now they want everything under one roof. This brought the conceptof organized
retailing.Plastic Revolution
–
Increased use of credit cards is in favor of retail marketing. Itcreates requirement
even when it is not necessary.Indian Consumers
–
Organized retail stores put stress on proper infrastructure likewell maintained
building, air conditioning, trained employees, electronic machine, parking facilities
and proper display of goods category wise. The customers feelgood to see
everything displayed in front of them which make purchase easier forthem. They
need not to wait for anybody to show them the products. Self-selection saves time
and gives more opportunities and satisfaction. Fix costremoves the threat of
misleading. They avail various discounts and promotionalschemes presented by the
manufacturers. They also get product of differentvarieties and of proper
quality.High Availability of Jobs - There will be huge job opportunities in the
country (incrores) as there will be opening of malls and store houses. The entry of
modernretailers will expand the market creating large amount of additional jobs in
retail.Opportunities will vary from ordinary workers to specialized officers.
Theemployment opportunities will be in retail sales, retail floor manager, cold
chains,warehousing and logistics. The jobs will be for urban as well as rural youth.
There will be huge scope of MBA’s as they will cherish working with world class
Following are the facts that Govt is giving to support FDI in Retail.
FDI in retail will create 80 lakhs jobs.
It will bring growth and prosperity.
Prices of products will come down. This will tame inflationary pressure in the
economy.
PRODUCT WASTAGE
TOMATOES 35%
MANGOES 30%
POTATOES 25%
Another area which is also the cause of concern is movement of vegetable and
other perishable agri item from one place to another. Lack of proper transportation
forces the farmer to sell their produce in local market. This results in the lower
realization on the produce.
Of these above segment Food and beverage and clothing segment is expected to
grow exponentially.
GROWTH DRIVERS OF INDIAN RETAIL SECTOR:
Rising Income and increase in convergence of consumer taste and preferences.
Dual family Income.
Knowledge about different product through different medium like Internet,
Television etc. Also knowledge about the latest trend and fashion.
47% of the India’s population is under the age of 30. This category is driving the
consumption story.
Emergence of new retailing format.
Availability of Credit Facilities.
Real Estate: Especially mall developers. Retailers like Wal-Mart, Tesco operates
in large area of 50,000 – 60,000 sqft. They generally pay to the builders certain
percentage of the total revenue. Real Estate companies into retailing space to be
benefitted.
Unitech
DLF
Sobha Developers
FMCG Companies: Big retailers generally sources from the producers, FMCG
companies are going to be benefited.
HUL
GSK
Godrej Consumer
Dabur
Marico
he recent decision of the government to allow FDI in multi-brand retail trade has
attracted heated debate and emotive reactions. Though the main consideration for
allowing FDI in retail is not its benefit for farm sector, the debate has
predominantly focused on threats and benefits to the country's farmers and the
farm sector. Interestingly, the main stakeholders, i.e., farmers, have not reacted
much to the policy decision and response of various states has been purely on party
lines.
A few farmers' organisations have come openly in support of this move. The
majority view, as appearing in media, is that FDI in retail will have adverse effect
on farmers. Instances of exploitation of farmers by MNCs in some countries are
quoted to prove the point that entry of MNCs will be harmful for our farmers,
particularly small ones. It is argued that giants like Wal-Mart will use their
monopsonistic power to keep farm prices low and disrupt long and time-tested
channels of trade.
The main mechanism adopted by organised retail for sourcing supply of farm
goods is direct procurement of produce from farmers with or without contract
farming. Past experience in India, though confined to select pockets, shows that
this has helped some farmers in getting higher net income for their produce.
Studies by reputed researchers have found that (a) in some cases, private firms
favour large-sized farms rather than small farms, (b) in some cases, the firm leaves
the field after a few years, and (c) sometimes, terms and conditions are not
honoured by either party. None of these indicate harm done to farmers; in fact,
benefits denied to farmers are quoted as adverse effect.
It is apparent from the debate that both benefits and threats are being exaggerated
and the real context for assessing impact on farmers is missed. Farming and
farmers today are suffering much more from marketing imperfections and
inefficiencies than anything else. Marketing legislation, regulatory framework and
infrastructure have not kept pace with the changing requirements and environment.
Marketing of agricultural produce, being a state subject, is governed by APMC
Acts of respective states that has become very restrictive. The Act require that
"all agricultural produce brought into or processed within a market area shall pass
through the principal yard or sub-yard and shall not be bought or sold at any other
place in the market area or no such person shall carry on business and trade in
agriculture produce into market area except one who holds the licence issued by
the market committee".
These provisions do not allow direct marketing from producer to buyer (including
the consumer) and necessitates the produce pass through a chain of intermediaries.
There are further restrictions imposed by the Essential Commodities Act relating to
volume of business and pan-India movement of produce.
Even after a decade of model APMC Act developed by the central government for
bringing changes in the Act, no state has brought significant change in APMC Act
to permit alternative models of marketing due to strong opposition from trading
communities and middlemen in each state. This so-called 'unorganised' class is
quite organised to thwart any attempt to bring reforms to market.
No political party in any state takes the risk of annoying them. The net result of
this is that price spread in farm commodities is getting larger without any real
value addition and middlemen are cornering substantial share of increase in prices
paid by consumers.
A move like FDI in organised trade, superimposed from above, has the potential to
create a lot of pressure for market reforms by demonstrating benefit of vertical
integration of retail with farm and through direct purchase of farm produce from
the field. This indirect contribution of FDI in organised retail will be a great service
to India's farmers.
Some farmers will definitely benefit from FDI in retail and some are already
benefiting from organised trade. The experience of other developing countries,
where organised retail and FDI are present for long and have reached peak levels,
shows that their benefit reaches a maximum of 10-15% farmers. Therefore, it will
be wrong to expect FDI and organised retail as a panacea for overcoming
deficiencies of agricultural marketing.
The potential of FDI in retail to benefit some farmers should not deflect our
attention from various measures that are urgently needed to integrate supply chain,
remove disconnect between retail and farm prices, and impart benefit of scale to
agricultural marketing.
Given the vastness and diversity of Indian agriculture, the country needs multiple
approaches including APMC mechanism, new models and upscaling of successful
experiences such as cooperative milk marketing, along with organised retail, to
impart efficiency, competitiveness and modernisation to agricultural marketing.
Finally, it is concluded, that growth in organised retail with or without FDI will
directly benefit a small percentage of Indian farmers and the apprehension of harm
on farm sector is unfounded.
At worst, it could be benign for the sector. As the effect of FDI in organised retail
on farm sector is not a significant factor for deciding desirability of FDI in
organised retail, this decision should be guided by other factors such as effect on
consumers and the overall economy.