Orica Kurri ANE Appendix-4 Risk-Tables

APPENDIX 4
Risk Tables
Preliminary Risk Assessment
Qualitative Risk Assessment Criteria
The qualitative risk assessment criteria have been developed to identify key risks to the
environment, society, heritage and business reputation. The criteria are based on a risk
assessment matrix consistent with Australian Standard AS4360 on Risk Management (AS4360).
The qualitative assessments of risk severity and likelihood (refer to Tables 1.1 to 1.3) were used to
help provide a general assessment of the risks to the environment and community. The overall
risk level was determined by using the matrix in Table 1.3.
Table 1.1 - Qualitative Measures of Environmental Consequence
Severity Natural Legal/Government Heritage Community /

Level Environment Reputation/Media
(1) Limited damage Low-level legal issue. Low-level repairable Low level social
Insignificant to minimal area of On the spot fine. damage to impacts. Public
low significance. Technical non- commonplace concern restricted to
compliance structures. local complaints.
prosecution unlikely. Could not cause
Ongoing injury or disease to
scrutiny/attention people.
from regulator.
(2) Minor effects on Minor legal issues, Minor damage to Minor medium-term
Minor biological or non-compliances and items of low cultural social impacts on
physical breaches of or heritage local population.
environment. regulation. Minor significance. Mostly Could cause first aid
Minor short- prosecution or repairable. Minor injury to people.
medium term litigation possible. infringement of Minor, adverse local
damage to small Significant hardship cultural heritage public or media
area of limited from regulator. values. attention and
significance. complaints.
(3) Moderate effects Serious breach of Substantial damage Ongoing social
Moderate on biological or regulation with to items of moderate issues. Could cause
physical investigation or cultural or heritage injury to people,
environment (air, report to authority significance. which requires
water) but not with prosecution or Infringement of medical treatment.
affecting moderate fine cultural heritage/ Attention from
ecosystem possible. Significant scared locations. regional media and/or
function. difficulties in gaining heightened concern
Moderate short- future approvals. by local community.
medium term Criticism by Non-
widespread Government
impacts (e.g. Organisations (NGO).
significant spills). Environmental
credentials
moderately affected.
2586/R02/A4 1
Table 1.1 - Qualitative Measures of Environmental Consequence (cont)
Severity Natural Legal/Government Heritage Community /

Level Environment Reputation/Media
(4) Serious Major breach of Major permanent On-going serious
Major environmental regulation with damage to items of social issues. Could
effects with some potential major fine high cultural or cause serious injury
impairment of and/or investigation heritage significance. or disease to people.
ecosystem and prosecution by Significant Significant adverse
function. authority. Major infringement and national media/public
Relatively litigation. Future disregard of cultural or NGO attention.
widespread project approval heritage values. Environment/manage
medium-long term seriously affected. ment credentials
impacts. significantly tarnished.
(5) Very serious Investigation by Total destruction of Very serious
Catastrophic environmental authority with items of high cultural widespread social
effects with significant or heritage impacts with potential
impairment of prosecution and significance. Highly to significantly affect
ecosystem fines. Very serious offensive the well being of the
function. Long litigation, including infringements of local community.
term, widespread class actions. cultural heritage. Could kill or
effects on Licence to operate permanently disable
significant threatened. people. Serious
environment (e.g. public or media outcry
national park). (international
coverage). Damaging
NGO campaign.
Reputation severely
tarnished. Share
price may be affected.
Table 1.2 - Qualitative Measure of Likelihood
Level Descriptor Description Guideline

A Almost Certain Consequence is expected to occur Occurs more than once per month.
in most circumstances.
B Likely Consequence will probably occur in Occurs once every 1 month – 1 year.
most circumstances.
C Occasionally Consequence should occur at some Occurs once every 1 year - 10 years.
time.
D Unlikely Consequence could occur at some Occurs once every 10 years – 100
time. years.
E Rare Consequence may only occur in Occurs less than once every 100 years.
exceptional circumstances.
Source: AS/NZS 4360:2004 Risk Management
2586/R02/A4 2
Table 1.3 - Qualitative Risk Matrix
Maximum Reasonable Consequence

Likelihood
of the
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Consequence
Insignificant Minor Moderate Major Catastrophic
(A) Almost certain 11 High 16 High 20 Extreme 23 Extreme 25 Extreme
(B) Likely 7 Moderate 12 High 17 High 21 Extreme 24 Extreme
(C) Occasionally 4 Low 8 Moderate 13 High 18 Extreme 22 Extreme
(D) Unlikely 2 Low 5 Low 9 Moderate 14 High 19 Extreme
(E) Rare 1 Low 3 Low 6 Moderate 10 High 15 High

Source: AS/NZS 4360:2004 Risk Management
2586/R02/A4 3
Orica Ammonium Nitrate Emulsion Production Facility Qualitative Preliminary Environmental Risk Analysis
Activity Aspect Potential Status and Proposed Control Preliminary Risk Rating Further Assessment Further
Impact Requirements Assessment
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
CONSTRUCTION PHASE
Clearing and Clearing of Significant loss Clearing of vegetation will be 2 D L A full assessment of the Yes
topsoil Vegetation. of Flora and required within the proposed ANE potential impacts of the
removal. Fauna. production facility disturbance area. proposed ANE production
An ecological assessment is facility on ecological values
currently being completed for the has been undertaken and
proposed ANE production facility. will be included in the EA.
The field survey identified 2
threatened fauna species and 1
threatened flora species as well as
the threatened ecological
community (TEC) - Lower Hunter
Spotted Gum – Ironbark Forest.
The assessment has concluded that
the proposed ANE production
facility will not result in a significant
impact on threatened species or the
TEC should the relevant
management controls be
implemented during the clearing of
vegetation.
2586/R02/A4 4
Orica Ammonium Nitrate Emulsion Production Facility Qualitative Preliminary Environmental Risk Analysis (cont)
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Construction Clearing of Disturbance of The removal of topsoil has the 2 D L An Aboriginal Cultural Yes
of proposed Vegetation Aboriginal potential to impact on Aboriginal Heritage Assessment of
ANE places or places or objects. potential impacts of the
production objects without A full Aboriginal Archaeology proposed ANE production
facility permission. Assessment is currently being facility on Aboriginal
undertaken for the proposed ANE archaeology is currently in
production facility. The field survey preparation and will be
did not identify any Aboriginal included in the EA.
objects or places within the The assessment will be
proposed ANE production facility. completed in consultation
with the local Aboriginal
community.
Disturbance to There are no state or locally listed 2 E L No further assessment will No
sites of heritage items located within the be required.
European Technology Park. The Project will
Heritage not impact on European heritage.
Significance.
Soil erosion Appropriate erosion and sediment 1 D L Due to effective mitigation No
and controls will be designed for all of this potential impact
sedimentation. construction areas in accordance further assessment is not
with Soils & Construction required.
(Landcom, 2004).
Water Relevant surface water controls will 1 D L Due to effective mitigation No
Pollution. be included as part of the of this potential impact
construction design to divert clean further assessment is not
waters away from surface facility required.
areas during construction. Dirty
water will be separated from clean
water and the drains will be
designed and constructed in
accordance with Soils and
Construction (Landcom, 2004).
2586/R02/A4 5
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Construction Clearing of Noise Construction of the proposed ANE 2 C M Construction noise impacts Yes
of proposed Vegetation pollution from production facility may be will be included in the Noise
ANE machinery. undertaken 24 hours a day, 7 days a Impact Assessment
production week. Clearing of vegetation would currently being undertaken
facility be scheduled during the daytime for the EA.
hours.
The nearest sensitive receptor is
located approximately 1.8 kilometres
from the proposed ANE production
facility.
Based on the distance to the nearest
sensitive receptor it is unlikely that
the Project will result a significant
impact, however, a detailed noise
impact assessment is required.
Air Pollution The construction of the proposed 1 D L A qualitative assessment of Yes
from dust ANE production facility will not potential impact on air
generation. involve significant ground quality will be undertaken
disturbance The nearest sensitive for the EA.
receptor is located approximately 1.8
kilometres from the proposed ANE
production facility.
Given the level of impact and the
distance to receivers, potential
impact from construction of the
proposed ANE production facility is
expected to be minimal.
2586/R02/A4 6
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Construction Cut and Fill Water Erosion and sediment controls will 2 D L Due to effective mitigation No
of proposed for Pollution from be implemented in accordance with of this potential impact,
ANE construction. uncontrolled Soils & Construction (Landcom, further assessment is not
production surface run- 2004). required.
facility. off.
Land The 1991 EIS identified the 1 E L No further assessment will No
degradation Technology Park as being of low be required.
agricultural fertility. The use of the
site for the purposes of the Project,
will not result in land degradation as
the land is not suitable for
agricultural purposes.
Noise Construction of the proposed ANE 2 C M Construction noise impacts Yes
Pollution from production facility may be will be included in the Noise
machinery. undertaken 24 hours a day, 7 days a Impact Assessment
week. Noisy construction activities currently being undertaken
would be scheduled during the for the EA.
daytime hours.
The nearest sensitive receptor is
located approximately 1.8 kilometres
from the proposed ANE production
facility.
Based on the distance to the nearest
sensitive receptor it is unlikely that
the construction of the proposed
ANE production facility will result a
significant impact, however, a
detailed noise impact assessment is
required.
2586/R02/A4 7
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Construction Traffic Supply of Construction activities of the 2 B H An assessment of traffic Yes
of proposed materials for proposed ANE production facility will generation due to the
ANE construction result in increased traffic movements proposal and the likely
production project during the construction phase of the impacts of this traffic on the
facility resulting in Project. This has the potential to existing traffic network will
increased impact upon traffic on surrounding be undertaken.
traffic. roads during peak traffic periods.
Degradation The construction traffic from the 2 B H Construction traffic will be Yes
of Noise proposed ANE production facility has assessed in the noise
Amenity. the potential to impact on noise impact assessment
amenity. A number of residential currently being undertaken
properties are located along George for the EA.
Booth Drive, the transport route for
materials. George Booth Drive is an
approved heavy vehicle route and as
a result residences are already
exposed to heavy vehicle noise.
Primary vehicle movements will
occur during daytime hours.
The noise impact assessment will
include an assessment of the
potential impact of traffic noise
related to the Project as well as
potential cumulative impacts.
Waste Pollution All wastes generated as part of the 2 D L No further assessment will No
Disposal and/or construction process will be be required.
(including contamination managed in accordance with a
sewage). due to Waste Management Plan to be
incorrect developed for the proposed ANE
disposal. production facility.
Inefficient use
of resources.
2586/R02/A4 8
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
OPERATION
Ongoing European Disturbance There are no state or locally listed 1 E L No further assessment will No
operation of Heritage of sites of heritage items located within the be required.
existing European Technology Park. The Project will
operations heritage not impact on European heritage.
and the significance.
proposed
ANE
production
facility
Ecology Loss of native There will be no loss of flora and 1 E L An ecological impact Yes
flora and fauna associated with the ongoing assessment will be included
fauna. operation of the proposed ANE in the EA.
production facility
Cultural Disturbance No Aboriginal objects or places 1 E L Proposed controls for the Yes
Heritage of Aboriginal were identified during the survey management of any newly
places or conducted for the Aboriginal identified Aboriginal
objects. archaeology assessment currently heritage sites will be
being completed for the Project. included in the EA.
The ongoing operation of the
proposed ANE production facility
should not result in any impact on
Aboriginal Heritage. Should any
Aboriginal sites be identified during
operations recommended
management controls will be
implemented.
2586/R02/A4 9
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Ongoing Noise Degradation The existing operations and 2 C M A detailed assessment of Yes
operation of Generation of noise proposed operation of the proposed noise impacts associated
the proposed amenity ANE production facility has the with the Project will be
ANE (cumulative). potential to impact on noise amenity. undertaken.
production The nearest sensitive receptor is
facility located approximately 1.8 kilometres
to the west of the proposed ANE
production facility. Based on the
distance to the nearest sensitive
receptors, the Project is unlikely to
have a significant impact on noise
amenity. A detailed noise impact will
be undertaken as part of the EA.
Dust Degradation The Project is not likely to result in 1 E L A qualitative assessment No
Generation of air quality impacts on air quality during will be undertaken.
environment operation. A qualitative assessment
(cumulative). of potential air quality impacts will be
undertaken as part of the EA.
Fuel and Greenhouse The operation of the proposed ANE 1 B M An assessment of energy Yes
Electricity Gas production facility and existing use and greenhouse gas
Usage. emissions operations will require the use of emissions will be
from diesel diesel and electricity. The undertaken.
and electricity greenhouse gas emissions resulting
use. from this energy consumption will be
assessed.
2586/R02/A4 10
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Ongoing Fugitive Greenhouse The operation of the proposed ANE 2 D L The greenhouse gas and Yes
operation of Emissions Gas production facility and existing energy assessment will
the proposed from emissions operations have the potential to consider the potential for
ANE Production. from the generate fugitive greenhouse gas fugitive emissions.
production manufacturing emissions. The greenhouse gas and
facility process. energy assessment will consider the
potential for fugitive emissions.
Use of Risk to people The existing operations and the 3 D M A preliminary hazard and Yes
hazardous and property. proposed ANE production facility will risk assessment will be
materials, involve continuous use of hazardous required.
spillage or substances.
release into The design of the proposed ANE
the production facility and the existing
environment operations has been completed in
or accordance with Orica’s risk
atmosphere. management standards which
determine the appropriate spacing
between substance storage areas
and operations with the aim of
minimising risk. Relevant controls
for the management of hazardous
substances will be outlined in the
EA.
Clean water Contamin- Diversion drains will be constructed 2 D L Due to effective mitigation No
management. ation of clean to divert clean waters away from of this potential impact
water. surface facility areas. further assessment is not
Clean water captured on roofs will required.
be stored in rainwater tanks for
reuse onsite.
Dirty water will be captured and
treated appropriately for re-use or
disposal.
2586/R02/A4 11
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Ongoing Erosion and Sedimentation Appropriate erosion and sediment 2 D L Due to effective mitigation No
operation of sediment of local controls will be designed and of this potential impact
the proposed runoff. waterways constructed for all surface facility further assessment is not
ANE areas in accordance with the required.
production relevant Australian Standards.
facility
Process Water Dirty water will be separated from 2 D L Due to effective mitigation No
water and Pollution clean water by diversion or bunding. of this potential impact
wash down Drains will be designed and further assessment is not
water, constructed in accordance with the required.
pipeline or relevant Australian Standards.
storage Regular maintenance will be carried
failures. out.
Land Dirty water will be separated from 1 D L Due to effective mitigation No
Contamin- clean water and the drains will be of this potential impact
ation designed and constructed in further assessment is not
accordance with the relevant required.
Australian Standards.
Regular maintenance will be carried
out on pipelines and storage
structures.
Water Usage Inefficient The Project will require water for 1 D L The EA will provide an No
water usage. use in the manufacturing process at outline of the expected
the proposed ANE production water use of the proposed
facility and potable water use such ANE production facility and
as drinking water. Where possible, will detail how these needs
captured rainwater will be recycled will be met.
for use in the manufacturing
process. The EA will provide an
outline of the water sources to be
utilised and will provide a water
balance for the project.
2586/R02/A4 12
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Ongoing Hazardous Explosion All hazardous goods will be handled 3 D M A Preliminary Hazard Yes
operation of goods supply hazard. using systems designed and Analysis will be undertaken
the proposed and storage. Soil and/or operated in accordance with for the Project.
ANE water relevant legislation and Australian
production contamination standards.
facility from spills or The position of the proposed ANE
leaks. production facility and existing
operations has been determined
based on Orica’s risk management
standards. It is expected that the
preliminary hazard analysis will
determine that the safety zones for
hazardous substances will fall
inside the boundary of the
Technology Park.
Hazardous Risk of The transport of hazardous goods 3 D M Transport of hazardous Yes
goods contamination from Sydney and Kooragang Island goods will be considered in
transport. from a spill has the potential to impact on the preliminary hazard and
during people and the environment should risk assessment to be
transportation. a vehicle accident occur. Relevant undertaken for the project.
controls will be implemented for the
management of hazardous goods
during transport. The preliminary
hazard analysis will include an
assessment of the potential
transport risk and will provide
appropriate recommendations.
Oil, fuel and Soil and/or All fuels, oils, grease etc will be 2 D L Due to effective mitigation No
grease water handled using systems designed of this potential impact, no
supply and contamination and operated in accordance with further assessment is
storage. from spills or relevant legislation and Australian required.
leaks. Standards.
2586/R02/A4 13
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Ongoing Bushfire Loss of life or Orica has existing fire management 3 D M Further assessment of Yes
operation of injury to systems as part of the existing bushfire risk is required.
the proposed personnel or operations to reduce the threat of
ANE community. fire. The design of the proposed
production ANE production facility will
facility incorporate relevant fire
management controls in order to
minimise the risk to personnel and
the community in the event of a
bushfire.
Damage to Orica has existing fire management 3 D M Further assessment of Yes
infrastructure / systems to reduce the threat of bushfire risk is required.
property. bushfire to the existing operations,
The design of the proposed ANE
production facility will include
relevant fire management controls in
order minimise the risk to
infrastructure and property. Controls
will include buffer zones, fire fighting
access and fire fighting equipment.
Loss of Orica has existing fire management 3 D M Further assessment of Yes
threatened systems to reduce the threat of fire bushfire risk is required.
native flora as part of the existing operations.
and fauna. The proposed ANE production
facility will include relevant fire
management controls in order to
minimise the risk to threatened flora
and fauna.
2586/R02/A4 14
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Ongoing Air Pollution Orica has existing fire management 2 D L Further assessment of Yes
operation of systems to reduce the threat of fire bushfire risk is required.
the proposed as part of the existing operations.
ANE The proposed ANE production
production facility will include relevant fire
facility management controls in order to
minimise the risk of air pollution in
the instance of a fire.
Waste: scrap Inefficient use Waste materials will be recycled and 1 D L Due to effective mitigation No
metal and of resources. reuse where possible. If a material of this potential impact
parts, office is not suitable for reuse or recycling further assessment is not
waste, it will be disposed of by a contractor required.
putrescible. at a licensed facility.
Waste oil and Soil and/or All fuels, oils, grease etc will be 2 D L Due to effective mitigation No
grease water collected and handled using systems of this potential impact
storage contamination designed and operated in further assessment is not
from spills or accordance with relevant legislation required.
leaks. and Australian Standards.
Transport Increase in The Project will result in an increase 2 B H An assessment of traffic Yes
and access traffic of 10 light vehicles and up to 58 impacts will be undertaken.
of vehicles. heavy vehicles accessing the site
each day.
An assessment of the potential traffic
impact of the Project will be
undertaken.
Increased Impact on The additional 10 employees will not 1 E L Increase in employee No
local services/local result in any impact on services or numbers is minimal, no
population. infrastructure. local infrastructure. additional assessment is
required.
2586/R02/A4 15
in EA?
Conse- Likeli- Risk
quence hood
Ongoing Unauthorised Vandalism The Technology Park facilities will be 1 E L No further assessment will No
operation of access to the appropriately fenced and boundary be required.
the proposed site from the inspections conducted. The
ANE general Technology Park does not have a
production public. history of problems with vandalism.
facility
Illegal The Technology Park boundary is 2 E L No further assessment will No
disposal of not completely fenced as this would be required.
waste. restrict access to easements and
bushfire response. The Technology
Park does not have a history of
problems with the illegal disposal of
waste.
2586/R02/A4 16

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APPENDIX 4

Table 1.1 - Qualitative Measures of Environmental Consequence

Severity Natural Legal/Government Heritage Community /

Severity Natural Legal/Government Heritage Community /

Table 1.2 - Qualitative Measure of Likelihood

Level Descriptor Description Guideline

Maximum Reasonable Consequence

(A) Almost certain 11 High 16 High 20 Extreme 23 Extreme 25 Extreme

(B) Likely 7 Moderate 12 High 17 High 21 Extreme 24 Extreme

(C) Occasionally 4 Low 8 Moderate 13 High 18 Extreme 22 Extreme

(D) Unlikely 2 Low 5 Low 9 Moderate 14 High 19 Extreme

(E) Rare 1 Low 3 Low 6 Moderate 10 High 15 High

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