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Behavioral Economics
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Loss Aversion
Loss Aversion
Loss Aversion
Let’s say you went on a first date and it was nothing short of
awesome. You really want to see your date again, so you won’t
make any vague promises of “we’ll-be-in-touch”. And because
you’re smart and you know a lot about the magic of commitment
and consistency (it's actually a part of our next course), you know
it's better to make a plan than leave it up to chance.
So it’s settled for Wednesday at 7 PM. Content with the result, you
give yourself a virtual pat on the back. With no rainy skies in sight,
you start imagining what it's gonna be like. By Monday, you had
maybe already picked your outfit, thought of where to go for
dinner after the show, and even came up with a backup plan if it’s
too cloudy for stargazing.
You pause to let it all sink in; you feel terrible. You were happy
when they said yes, no doubt, but this feels at least twice as bad.
Now that you think about it, it’s hard to believe you actually put so
much effort into planning the whole thing. To think that you even
went to the length of finding what time the special monthly Belt
of Venus show starts and had booked good seats! How could
someone treat you like this? What a moron!
First, not only you lose the person, but also the idea of the date
you have envisioned in your head.
Would you feel better, if we told you it is just loss aversion, the
endowment effect and the IKEA effect acting up?
Table of contents
Definition 6
Creating urgency 7
Reference point 10
Case studies 11
Case studies 29
Key takeaways 31
Ideation prompts 33
Additional readings 34
References 35
MINDWORX
ACADEMY
Loss Aversion
Definition
Well, you’ve been heartbroken already, and now you’re about to
lose some money.
Imagine your friend asks you to flip a coin. If you lose, you pay
them 50 bucks.
Why isn't the chance of losing and gaining the same amount
equally appealing?
Their research shows that we’re roughly 2.5 times more sensitive
to loss than we are to gain, which is your answer to why you felt
so poorly after your date bailed on you).⁷
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Loss Aversion
Creating urgency
Closely related to loss aversion is scarcity and the urgency it
creates. Scarcity tells us that the value of something is higher,
just because it’s scarce. If we don't act now, we might lose big
time.
Angel is exasperated with her life, and you would be too having to
take care of someone with an omnipresent concussion. She’s
constantly at the verge of a nervous breakdown. She also
repeatedly threatens to take the kids to her sister’s unless
Tommy, with whom life isn't what it was cracked up to be initially,
does or does not do what she says.
Fun fact:
You know the story of car repairing and uncertainty (if not go back to
Uncertainty). What you don't know is how the car was obtained.
Our colleague had a test drive at a dealership, but was forced to go to another
one to see it in a different color, she was also considering, which was at the
time out of stock at the first dealership. Yet after seeing it, she decided on the
original color.
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Loss Aversion
She was being talked into sitting down to consider possible payments. It
progressed quickly. She said she wanted to think it through and close the deal
at the first dealership who gave her a test drive.
The employee called up his supervisor and presented her with a special “take-
it-or-leave-it” offer of a free set of winter tires, valued at around $400. Of course,
the offer was only valid if she decided to close the deal before the day was out.
Such blatant manipulation made our colleague cringe.
Now what do you think happened? Never mind the reciprocity, never mind
commitment, loss aversion had the upper hand.
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Loss Aversion
Example: 1-800-Flowers
Well we all know that honey catches more flies than vinegar, but
did you know that honey also reduces shopping cart
abandonment?
By targeting app users who were close to making, but had not yet
made a purchase with trigger-based push notifications with
promo codes. These compelled them to take action now. Via this
clever reward- pressing system the company was able to increase
abandoned shopping cart conversions by 350%.⁹
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Loss Aversion
Reference point
Imagine you owned a yoga studio and wanted to motivate more
people to pay in cash. As an incentive, you would charge a
different price per class depending on whether a customer paid
with cash or by credit card. But what’s even more crucial is to
decide what is framed as the original price, what is a discount
and what might even be considered a surcharge.
So there you have it. Now you know the latter catches more flies
and brings more cash (be careful though about Fairness).¹⁰
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Loss Aversion
Case studies
Home energy use
Psychologists like digging, and we know a thing or two about
that, as the majority of our team consists of them, so no wonder
psychologists went to investigate whether framing something as
a loss would pack a more persuasive punch when it comes to
changing behavior. More specifically to the kind of behavior
which leads to energy reduction.
“If you will insulate your home fully, you’ll be able to save 50 cents
a day, every day.”
The other half were told: “If you fail to insulate your home fully,
you’ll lose 50 cents a day.”
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Loss Aversion
Useful tip:
“You could get hundreds of new clients by learning how to use some of the
most powerful behavioral principles.”
“Right now you might be losing hundreds of clients because you don’t take
into consideration what’s going on in their minds.”
Which one works better? Answer truthfully not just because this is a chapter
on loss aversion. Well, is it the second one? Why, though?
“Well meh”, you say and you aren’t alone. It simply lacks urgency. It surely
mentions an opportunity but doesn't tell you anything about the cost of your
inactivity.
”Use loss aversion”, he said. And we sure did just as in our next
example.
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Loss Aversion
This framing evokes the sense of loss the target audience would
incur if he or she didn’t take the opportunity to drive and earn.
And the word “easily” helps so that the choice feels like no
brainer.
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Loss Aversion
We put our ads to the test against the original ads. The results?
Conversions rose by 54%.
Note that the copy referring to loss is subtle and implicit. “Don't
miss out on great opportunity” is so overused and instantly falls
into a category of an unwanted ad, which is what the customer
subconsciously and instantaneously turns away from.
Useful tip:
While loss aversion is one of the most powerful motivators of action, it can be
detrimental when trying to induce a long-term behavior change.
Think of loss aversion as a one-time lucky charm, which turns the odds in your
favor. Asking someone on a date or convincing someone to sign up for a
product by reminding them of what they might lose if they say no might work.
That one time.
To make them fall in love, with you or your product, however, is a completely
different animal. When used as the primary tactic to motivate an action that’s
repeated frequently over time, it will backfire.
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Loss Aversion
Your date, and your customer, will get used to the threat and become immune
to the risk of loss. Might we add they might consider you a fool too. If you want
to accomplish long-term behavioral changes, there are better guns to stick to.
Trump’s campaign targeted those who felt that what they had to
offer was no longer valued by America. And not only that,
emphasizing that the little they had claimed ownership of was
currently being threatened by cheap labor force and immigrants.
Would you not listen to the appeal of the only chance you had to
recover your social and financial status? Most people did. In fact,
they turned out in such record numbers in the swing states that
the opposition was overwhelmed.³
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“ Think of ways to reframe your message so that it
highlights what your customers stand to lose if they
don’t do what you want them to do.
Loss aversion has two ramifications - the IKEA effect and the
Endowment effect. Let's start with the former.
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Loss Aversion
Let's say you paid €99 for it. Imagine your friend comes along and
asks to buy it from you for this exact amount of money. Would
you agree?
You wouldn't, not unless he gave you more money than what you
spent on it. Maybe a 150 would do, perhaps even more. It’s no
longer just an ordinary table to you because the effort you put
into to it means something to you.
Fun fact:
If you’re a (copy)writer, you surely know how hard it sometimes is to erase your
own alternative or preliminary ideas and first drafts, even though you’ve
already fine-tuned and transformed them into something you like better. Yet
it’s uncomfortable to do because the words you’ll be erasing are not just some
words, they’re YOURS and your effort too, and that counts for something, even
if only to you.
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Loss Aversion
In one study, people were placed into two groups. All of them
were given lottery tickets for free. Subjects in the first group were
free to choose their own lucky numbers, while the unlucky
gamblers in the second group had no say in the matter and were
assigned their lottery tickets.
Useful tip:
Let people choose something instead of assigning it to them and they will
value it more.¹
The ones who were able to choose their tickets valued them
roughly four times more than those who were assigned theirs.
When asked to sell their tickets, those who picked their lucky
numbers asked on average for $8.67 compared to the ones
robbed of the opportunity to choose who only asked for $1.96 on
average.⁵
Fun fact:
Lotteries are a great way to test how regret avoidance impacts our decision
making. When trying to purchase lottery tickets from people for twice the
amount they had paid, most people refused.
The rational choice would always be to sell the ticket and buy more tickets and
cash in on it.
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Loss Aversion
Another way for the IKEA effect to kick in is make your customers
put effort into the final product, such as customizing it. It turns
out that customization only adds value to products which are
perceived as an extension of our identity, so customizing kleenex
doesn't do much, while doing so to a pair of sneakers does.
Fun fact:
In 2018, Netflix used the IKEA Effect in a clever way in their Black Mirror movie
Bandersnatch, where they let their audience at certains crossroads in the story
choose from two options for the character, ranging from mundane and
insignificant like what cereal to have for breakfast, to (spoiler alert) something
grandiose and somewhat uncomfortable like whether to kill his father or not.
The audience as well as us, certainly valued such a unique story way more, and
if they wound up not liking it, they could easily blame it on their ‘bad’ decisions.
This clever design also enabled Netflix to extract important data on what the
majority of audience wants to see. Certainly a twofer for them.
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Loss Aversion
Useful tip:
It doesn’t have to be anything major, but they need to feel like they’re involved.
So think of ways of showing your customers that there’s a part of their own
ideas in your final solution or product, whatever they may be.
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Why is it so? Well, the IKEA effect plays a great role. More
progress means more effort and more effort means a higher
assigned value, which we don’t want to lose.
Useful tip:
If you are managing a team, bear in mind that when your people put effort into
something, they value it more than is its objective value, and so you should
appreciate it accordingly.
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Loss Aversion
Prior to reading this, you might have been clueless as to why you
feel this way about your old pyjama bottoms, but now you can at
least blame it on the endowment effect in the hope your partner
will appreciate the science behind it.
Your customers won’t care about the second bird unless you
point out to them how close they are to getting it. Your job is to
convince them the second bird is not to be missed out on.
Perhaps it’s almost theirs already. The endowment effect might
nudge them to go explore the bush.
That's why car salesmen offer you free test drives before moving
on to the purchase process. They know the best line to use is to
get you hooked.
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Loss Aversion
Precisely how far away they are was evaluated by Dan Ariely and
Ziv Carmon. Duke University basketball games provided a perfect
opportunity to examine it under real-life conditions. Because
there isn’t enough space for everyone before important games
there’s a lottery between fans. The prize is a ticket to the game.
After one of the lotteries, the winners (now ticket owners), were
asked by researchers how much they would be willing to sell their
ticket for.
On the opposite end of the spectrum were the losers who were
asked how much they would be willing to buy the ticket for.
Better hold your jaw or you might drop it; the selling price point
was almost 14 times higher than the buying one!
The winners wanted $2,400 on average for their tickets, while the
losers were willing to buy them for only $175.
Once the winners got the tickets, they valued them to a higher
degree and giving them up became much harder. On the other
hand, those who lost in the lottery did not value them as much.
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Loss Aversion
If someone asked $2400 for a ticket you would probably ask why.
The researchers did, and most of the winners argued about how
important this specific game was for them and how much they
didn’t want to miss it. On the other hand, the lottery losers
mentioned only the money.
You can order up to five frames, try them on, return those you
don’t like and only pay for the ones you like and intend to keep.
But as you might discover, choosing the ones to send back might
prove to be difficult.
The feeling like they’re yours already kicks in. You start to value
them more, thus making a decision on which of your glasses to
dispose of becomes harder. Besides, you could always use an
extra pair that’s simply fantastic with your angora sweater.
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Loss Aversion
Fun fact:
One of our colleagues tried to get to the bottom of her proclivity for ZARA
clothes (they have a great app you read about in Uncertainty), they also have a
great return policy- no questions asked.
It’s a relief to get cash back instead of a coupon for the next purchase (how
short-sighted of you, H&M).
As a result, she doesn't buy an H&M item unless she absolutely loves it, whereas
in ZARA, where the anticipated future regret is eliminated with a risk free
decision, she buys something even if she’s not that sure of. She can postpone
the weight of the decision because she can always take it back. Which she, as
you might suspect, rarely does.
Free trials
Picture signing up for a free trial of Netflix. It’s 3 AM, and you’re
finishing up the fourth season of a show you’ve been binging.
You’re sleep deprived, but quite content. Maybe you feel like you
might have outsmarted them.
So stupid of them to give you all that access for free. What you
don't realise is that it was you who have drawn the short straw.
“How so?”, you might ask.
FYI, Netflix doesn't offer a free version beyond the one month
trial, but there’s one business which uses the power of free, a
decoy and loss aversion all in one.
It‘s Spotify.
Along with Spotify free, which offers you music for free, but is
frequently interrupted by ads and doesn't allow you to play songs
in any order but shuffle.
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Loss Aversion
Useful tip:
What if we told you that sometimes it doesn't even take a free trial to achieve
the same effect. With right messaging, you can make people imagine they
own it without actually trying it on.
If you aim to sell any product, ask questions which result in the endowment
effect.
Let's say you want to sell a TV. What is the most common question you would
probably ask a customer? Perhaps something similar to “How can I help you?”
“Thanks, I’m just looking around” (uh-oh, not exactly what you wanna hear).
“I see you’re interested in this TV. What are you going to watch most often?”
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Loss Aversion
Visitors are allowed to play with products and explore all of their
bells and whistles for an unlimited amount of time. Employees
are instructed not to urge any visitor to leave, as creating the
experience of ownership is of the utmost importance.
Have you ever felt like you just walked into someone’s house
when cruising around the showroom at an IKEA store? You’d
hardly get the same experience at The Home Depot.
The interior designer comes up not only with the final design of
the room, but also with a story.
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“ Make your customers imagine what it would be like to
own your product or service.
Fun fact:
For those of you who don't easily lend their office mug to anyone;
here is a study to cheer you up.
Imagine you were given a mug and asked how much you would
sell it for? Got it?
Now imagine you were asked for how much you would buy the
same mug from you colleague for?
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Loss Aversion
Case studies
Taxify
You’ve heard the long and the short of what we’ve already done.
Apart from the banners which used loss aversion and social proof,
we also used some featuring the endowment effect.
As people read the ad, they started imagining what would they
use the money for and suddenly it was harder to give the money
up even though they hadn't earned it yet.
Telco operator #1
Another one of our projects was a campaign for a telco company
which aimed to get more of its customers to activate a package
of free mobile data.
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Loss Aversion
The only channel to target them was via a text message. The only
thing we asked of them was simply to say yes to our request by
responding to the message.
“Answer YES and we’ll activate the package for you”, was
replaced with the endowment- inducing CTA:
“We’ve given you a mobile data package for free, it’s ready to be
used. Just answer YES to activate it.”
Telco operator #2
When we’re “given” something by default, which is what you get
if you don’t actively make a choice, it becomes more valued and
you loath to part with it.
The script was then changed to, “We’ve already credited your
account with 100 calls. How could you use them?”
Many customers did not want to give up the free talk time they
felt they already owned, so they stayed.¹³
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Loss Aversion
Key takeaways
The long and short of it.
The Endowment effect, in case you want to get real fancy, is also
known as the mere ownership effect in Social psychology, which
tells us when we own something, or imagine owning it, we
ascribe more value to it merely because we own it.
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Loss Aversion
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Loss Aversion
Ideation prompts
Our guiding questions which will help you to think about how
to use loss aversion:
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Loss Aversion
Additional readings
• A must read if you own a photo studio or are considering
having your pictures taken. For everyone else, a fun read about
a clever use of loss aversion, the endowment effect and
anchoring.
https://www.uxmatters.com/mt/archives/2011/09/decision-
architecture-in-the-wild-a-real-life-example.php
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Loss Aversion
References
1. ARIELY, D.; HREHA, J.; BERMAN, K, 2014. Hacking Human Nature for Good: A
Practical Guide to Changing Human Behavior.
2. CARMON, Ziv; ARIELY, Dan, 2000. Focusing on the forgone: How value can
appear so different to buyers and sellers. Journal of consumer research, 27.3:
360-370.
3. GOHMANN, Tim, 2016. How Donald Trump Won the Election: A Behavioral
Economics Explanation. behavioraleconomics.com [online]. [Accessed 18
January 2019]. Available from: https://www.behavioraleconomics.com/how-
donald-trump-won-the-election-a-b
4. HANDAL, Matt, 2013. The One Question That Can Dramatically Increase Your
Proposal Wins. Help Everybody [online]. [Accessed 17 January 2019].
Available from: https://tinyurl.com/yctgja92
9. PURI, Ritika, 2016. Loss Aversion Marketing Tactics And Strategies That (Still)
Work6. The Braze [online]. [Accessed 13 January 2019]. Available from:
https://tinyurl.com/y7lkfqau
10. ROLLER, Colleen, 2011. How Anchoring, Ordering, Framing, and Loss
Aversion Affect Decision Making. UXmatters.com [online]. [Accessed 25
January 2019]. Available from: https://tinyurl.com/y8cstb63
11. SILVERSTEIN, Sara and OCBAZGHI , Emmanuel, 2018. Why most people
refuse to sell their lottery tickets for twice what they paid.
businessinsicer.com [online]. [Accessed 20 January 2019]. Available from:
https://tinyurl.com/yczbdme7
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MINDWORX
ACADEMY