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Acknowledgement:
PETA GEMPA INDONESIA 201 DAN 2016 SERTA SNI TERKAIT
UNTUK PERANCANGAN INFRASTRUKTUR DAN GEDUNG TAHAN GEMPA
M. Irsyam*, D.H. Natawijaya, S. Widiyantoro, I. Meilano, W. Triyoso ,
A. Rudiyanto, S. Hidayati, M. Asrurifak, A. Sabaruddin, L. Faisal dkk.
*Chair - Team for Updating of Sesimic Hazard Maps of Indonesia 2010 and 2016
*President - Indonesian Society for Geotechnical Engineering
*Head - Research Center for Disaster Mitigation ITB
*Chair - Geotechnical Engineering Division ITB
*Member - Indonesian Academy of Sciences
Ministry of
Transportation
USGS
All shocks
Damage Due to Earthquake:
- Tsunami Washout
- Uplifting and Subsidence
- Building Damage
- Landslide
- Liquefaction
- Ground Cracking
Lok Nga
Lam Paseh
(9.8 m)
Building Damage
Building Damages
(Due to 30 S, 2009 West Sumatra Eq)
Structural Failures
Soft Stories
Gempa Pidie Aceh 2016
Landslide
Contoh Likuifaksi
Pidie Jaya
Ground Cracking
Strategy for
Content: Earthquake Mitigation Human has to be protected
• Updating Seismic Hazard in Maps 2016 Cannot be avoided Liquefaction Avoid/ Resist
1. Response Spectra Analysis: 2.Time History Analysis Response Spectra Analysis Time History Analysis
Newton’s 2nd Law:
a
H=mxa
H
H Perencanaan Struktur Atas
Motion at Building
Buiding characteristics
Peta Gempa
Motion at Bedrock
Earthquake source
6 4
5 2
3
4 1
6
3 5
3 6
4 5 2
4
5
6
3
PASIFIC PLATE
12 cm/year
Development of Maps of
PGA & Response Spectra
▪Expert
▪Expert
judgement
judgement 4.4.Seismic
Perhitungan hazard gempa
hazard Calculation
▪Seismic
1.1.Identification
Identifikasi sumberof Earthquake ▪Seismic
gempa Sources design
design criteria
criteria Menghitung
Menghitung hazard dengan dengan
hazard input
dari Tahap (1) + (2) + (3) dengan
input
▪Lokasi: koord. sumber
▪Lokasi : koord.
gempa sumber gempa dari Tahap (1)ketidakpastian
memperhitungkan + (2) + (3) dengan 6 cm/year
▪Geometri
▪Geometri
: arah strike, sudut strike,
: arah dip, sudut dip, memperhitungkan ketidakpastian
epistemic.
kedalaman maksimum epistemic.
kedalaman maksimum
▪Mekanisme : subduksi, patahan
▪Mekanisme : subduksi, patahan
normal, reverse INDO AUSTRALIA PLATE
Megarthrust S Sumatera
Mw=8.2 , a=5.76, b=1.05 Megarthrust North Banda Sea
Mw=7.9 , a=6.86 b=1.20
Seismic Sources:
Source Type III: Shallow and Deep Background
It is very suitable for unmapped faults, but have historical earthquake records
It is used o account for epicenters that do not belong to well identified active faults
Content:
• Background
• Strategy for Earthquake Mitigation
• Tectonic Setting and Seismic Sources
• Seismic Hazard Maps 2010 and Their Applications
• Updating Seismic Hazard in Maps 2016
• Local Site Effects
Didukung oleh:
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
(for 100 years Earthquake) (for 200 years Earthquake)
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
Probability of exceedence 10% in 50 years (500 years EQ) Probability of exceedence 10% in 100 years (1,000 years EQ)
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
Probability of exceedence 2% in 50 years (2500 years EQ) Probability of exceedence 0.5% in 50 years (10,000 years EQ)
Refered to Departement of
transportation, California, 1976
(Report 579)
?
• 1000 years return of period (7% in 75 years)
• PGA and spectral response at 0.2 and 1.0 sec.
ASCE 2010
Development in USA:
USA standard updated regularly to accommodate the reliability of the bridge, especially in term of seismic hazard analysis
It was decided in national consensus 2010 (government,
professional societies, private consultants, and universities)
SNI-03-1726-2002 Risk of Collapse 1% in 50 yrs
MCER(Risk-Adjusted Maximum Considered Eq.) :
▪Seismic Hazard:
▪Seismic Hazard: - Probabilistic: 2% PE in 50 yrs (2,500 yrs eq.) -
- Probablistic: 10% PE in 50 yrs - Deterministic Approach
1998 2005 2007 2010 2012-2013 (500 yrs eq.) ▪Fragility of Buildings
MRT Jakarta
National Electric Company
Perioda Ulang Gempa 1000 tahun
Concrete Dam for Electricity?
Concrete Dam in West Java, 2013
Recommendation from PRP (Project Review panel):
-The Operating Basis Earthquake (OBE): 145 yr
-The Maximum Credible Earthquake (MCE):
Probabilistic return period of 2475-yr +
Deterministic 84th percentile level
Railway track +
Ports and Bridges
harbours
Adapt JIS
Probabilitis: 500 yrs?
PLTU
PLTU
Kereta Cepat
Content:
• Background
• Strategy for Earthquake Mitigation
• Tectonic Setting and Seismic Sources
• Seismic Hazard Maps 2010 and Their Applications
• Updating Seismic Hazard in Maps 2016
• Local Site Effects
STEERING
Deliverable: COMMITTEE
- Maps of Earthquake Sources of Indonesia 2016
ADVISORY
- MapsBOARD
of Updated Seismic hazard of Indonesia 2016
TECHNICAL
- An international book containing
COMMITTEES
data and documentation
Prof. Masyhur Irsyam
• Enhancement is conducted by updating earthquake sources data including geology, seismology,
geodesy, and earthquake catalog.
GEOLOGY GEODESY SEISMILOGY GMPE CATALOG SEISMIC HAZARD
WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP WORKING GROUP • Updating data is based upon the latest studies such as recent active-fault studies utilizing trenching,
Ariska R., MSc Dr. Wahyu Triyoso carbon dating, epicenter relocation, strain analysis (GPS) as well as availability of basic data
Dr. D.H. Natawijaya Dr. Irwan Meilano Prof. S Widiyantoro Dr. Sri Hidayati
including the SRTM-30, IFSAR, LiDAr, and earthquake catalog up to 2016.
Dr. Benyamin Sapiie Dr. Endra Gunawan Dr. Andri Dian N. Sigit Pramono, M.Si Dr. Wayan Sengara Dr. M Asrurifak
Dr. Supartoyo Susilo, MT Dr. Wandono Dr. Jaya Murjaya Dr. M. Asrurifak Fahmi Aldiamar, MT
Dr. Mudrik Daryono Dr. Daryono Dr. Muzli Chiko B.M.W., MDM Fahmi Aldimar, MT Amalfi Omang, M. Phil • Improvement of tomography using 3D velocity model.
Subandriyo, M.Si Arkadia R., MT Dr. M. Ridwan Prof. Wijoyo Prakoso Pepen Supendi, MSi Artadi Pria Sakti, M.Si
Dr. Andri D Nugraha Desyanti, MT
Dr. A. Solihin
Dr. Gayatri I Marliyani
Dr. Rahma Hanifa
Dr. Dina Sarsito
Prof. N.T. Puspito
Dr. Nurliah Sadikin
Fajri Syukur R, MT
Fajar Budi Utomo, ST Rahayu Robiana, S.Si
• Adding several active faults that were not quantified before.
Astyka Mumpuni, M.Si Awaluddin, MT H. Ash Shidiqqi, M.Si Oriza Sativa, S.Si
Dr. Ma’ruf Mukti DR. A. Solihin Rexha Verdhora, MT Dr. Endra Gunawan • Considering the latest GMPE published after Tohoku earthquake and latest NGA.
Cecep S., M.Si Shindy Rosalia, ST Dr. Hendriyawan
Pandu A.M., ST Ridwan Kusnandar Dr. Windu Partono
Jajat Jatmika • Adding OpenQuake software for comparison and verification to USGS and EZFRisk software.
Nova Heryandoko
• EHB (1960-2008)
All Shocks (1907-2016): • USGS (1973-2016)
• ISC-GEM (1907-2004)
• Relocated BMKG data (2009-2015)
Investigation of Lembang Fault (near Bandung) Fault in East Java : Kendeng Fault Zone
Natawijaya et al. 2016
Geo electric survey
Slip rate : 0.5 cm/yr
(Ito et al, 2012)
Surabaya
Batee Tripa
Mmax 7 ; 6mm/yr Mmax 7.1 ; 8mm/yr
Batee Tripa
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.5mm/yr Mmax 6.6 ; 8mm/yr
Tripa Toru
Mmax 7.5 ; 8mm/yr Mmax 7.4 ; 14mm/yr
Barumun
Renun
Mmax 7.6 ; 4mm/yr
Mmax 6.7 ; 14mm/yr
Renun Sumpur
Mmax 6.7 ; 14mm/yr Mmax 6.9 ; 14mm/yr
Angkola
Mmax 7.7 ; 10mm/yr Sianok
Mmax 7.4 ; 14mm/yr
Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016 Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016
Active Faults in Sumatera Active Faults in Java
Ketaun Surabaya
Mentawai Mmax 7.4 ; 14mm/yr Mmax 6.8 ; 0.1mm/yr
Mmax 8.5 ; 5mm/yr
Musi
Mmax 7.3 ; 14mm/yr
Wonorejo
Rajamandala
Mmax 5.7 ; 0.3mm/yr
Manna Mmax 7 ; 0.1mm/yr
Mmax 7.4 ; 12mm/yr
Kumering Utara
Enggano Tampomas
Mmax 7.5 ; 11mm/yr
Mmax 7.7 ; 5mm/yr Mmax 5.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Unggaran
Mmax 6.; 0.1mm/yr
Kumering Selatan Cirebon
Mmax 7.2 ; 11mm/yr Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr
Ujung Kulon
Semangko Barat Mmax 7.7 ; 10mm/yr Ajibarang
Semangko Timur Demak
Mmax 7.4 ; 8mm/yr Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Probolinggo
Mmax 6.3 ; 3mm/yr Mmax 6.5 ; 0.5mm/yr
Opak Mmax 6.5 ; 0.2mm/yr
Ciremai
Mmax 7 ; 2.4mm/yr
Semangko Timur Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr Brebes
Mmax 6.9 ; 3mm/yr Semangko Graben Mmax 6.7 ; 0.5mm/yr Rawapening
Pasuruan
Mmax 7.1 ; 3mm/yr Mmax 6.6 ; 0.5mm/yr
Mmax 6.5 ; 0.2mm/yr
Ujung Kulon
Mmax 7.4 ; 10mm/yr Merapi-Merbabu Waru
Mmax 6.8 ; 1mm/yr Mmax 7.2 ; 0.5mm/yr
Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016 Map of Earthquake Sources for Indonesia 2016
Active Faults in Kalimantan-Sulawesi Active Faults in Central Sulawesi
Mangkalihat
Mmax 7 ; 0.5mm/yr Batui
Poso
Mmax 7.37 ; 5mm/yr
Mmax 7.38 ; 0.1mm/yr
Palukoro Makassar Saluki Loa
Mmax 7.5 ; 35mm/yr Mmax 6.97 ; 35mm/yr
Balantak Mmax 7.32 ; 0.1mm/yr
Mmax 7.6 ; 5mm/yr
Makassar Utara
Napu
Ambelang Weluki
Meratus Mmax 7.30 ; 0.1mm/yr
Mmax 7.04 ; 1mm/yr
Mmax 7 ; 0.2mm/yr Besoa
Mmax 5.48 ; 0.1mm/yr Matano
Mmax 6.86 ; 35mm/yr
Makassar Tengah Peleng
Mmax 6.98 ; 1mm/yr Soroako
Mmax 6.59 ; 0.1zmm/yr
Mamuju Lawanopo
Mmax 7.02 ; 5mm/yr Mmax 7; 0.1mm/yr Balawai
Mmax 6.72; 35mm/yr Tuare
Kuleana Soroako
Mmax 5.93 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 6.68 ; 0.1zmm/yr
Somba Mmax 6.64 ; 35mm/yr
Mmax 7.35 ; 5mm/yr Geressa
Buton Pamsoa Mmax 4.83; 35mm/yr
Mmax 6.25 ; 0.1mm/yr Kendari Mmax 6.98; 35mm/yr
Walanae Mmax 7; 0.1mm/yr Moa Pewusai
Mmax 7 ; 0.1mm/yr Mmax 7.17 ; 35mm/yr Mmax 6.64 ; 35mm/yr
Bulili
Selayar Buton Tolo
Mmax 7.14; 0.1mm/yr Maleei Soroako
Mmax 7; 3mm/yr Mmax 6.49 ; 0.1zmm/yr
Mawe
Mmax 7.5
Mega Omnowi
Mmax 6.6 Djanggur
Mmax 7.4
Cenderawasih
Mmax 7.5
Mangole
Kano Talibu Wapoga
Mmax 7.6 Waruta
Mmax 6.8 Mmax 7.1 Mmax 7.9 Mmax 7.3
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
(for 50 years Earthquake) (for 100 ears Earthquake)
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
(for 200 years Earthquake) (for 500 years Earthquake)
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
(for 1,000 years Earthquake) (for 2,500 years Earthquake)
Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) at Bedrock SB
(for 5,000 years Earthquake) (for 10,000 years Earthquake)
3.0 g
www.Scot.net
Content:
• Background
• Strategy for Earthquake Mitigation
• Tectonic Setting and Seismic Sources
Mj 6.5 1.6g
• Seismic Hazard Maps 2010 and Their Applications
• Updating Seismic Hazard in Maps 2016
• Local Site Effects
SMS = Fa SS
Spectral Acceleration
Effect of local soil condition
SM1 = Fv S1
SPGA
SPGA = Fpga PGA SMS = Fa SS SM1 = Fv S1
21x Ground Surface
C
T
R=380 KM 0.2 1.0
T0= 0.2 Ts
Mexico Earthquake 1985
Mexico
Fpga Fa Fv
City 4-5x SS (Tabel 3) (Tabel 4) (Tabel 5)
B
Spectral Acceleration
Middle
American
Trench
Spektra di Batuan Dasar SB
Soil Type
EQ, M =8.1 1-D wave Surfacial layer
propagation PGA
S1
PGA SS S1
6 cm/y
rS (Gambar 8) (Gambar 9) (Gambar 10)
ubd x T
uct
ion A 0.0 0.2 1.0 Bedrock SB
Zo Bedrock
M antle ne
Conclusions
Revision of seismic hazard maps for Indonesia for 2010 has been developed
based upon updated available seismotectonic data, new fault models, and
recent ground-motion prediction equations.
Seismic sources were divided into fault, subduction, and background zones.
SNI and hazard maps for building and highway have been updated.
For other infrastructures need to developed related SNI and hazard maps.