PREGUNTA 10

Genere una serie sintetica de 100 años caudales mensuales tomando como serie semilla
la serie de estación YONAN obtenidas en el ITEM 4, aplique el modelo de TOMAS y
FIERING. Presentar tablas y figuras respectivas y comentar los resultados obtenidos.

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

2018 15.09 63.36 61.38 116.24 28.23 16.98 6.71 3.25 3.59 15.79 23.59 18.18
2019 30.26 112.15 126.30 127.77 35.72 19.69 4.42 3.38 3.75 10.90 24.96 8.90
2020 21.06 53.03 87.57 40.68 35.84 16.32 1.42 0.33 0.17 5.50 20.04 30.24
2021 30.65 34.46 98.36 17.09 28.05 16.66 7.48 3.51 4.74 10.37 15.88 19.65
2022 68.55 147.55 152.85 115.51 29.76 9.17 9.32 3.15 2.91 12.38 12.61 19.39
2023 44.09 32.91 107.67 81.25 27.53 9.60 7.59 3.62 4.36 4.13 14.84 7.79
2024 30.65 27.41 76.13 90.67 12.69 11.23 6.06 1.03 1.04 18.55 9.38 0.95
2025 25.44 35.14 66.18 57.11 3.00 14.22 3.42 3.18 5.95 16.76 17.85 33.90
2026 18.19 88.23 122.23 121.55 17.95 14.22 9.97 6.28 4.09 10.69 13.36 7.49
2027 38.72 65.54 19.11 35.99 28.44 14.22 6.06 3.33 2.13 0.05 3.80 19.39
2028 30.65 61.64 92.99 158.10 47.68 25.58 7.34 4.21 2.26 19.83 17.09 28.49
2029 30.65 63.36 2.29 90.67 12.60 12.42 10.42 5.50 3.06 6.39 11.51 23.29
2030 36.54 104.96 91.21 80.11 31.28 8.18 1.98 2.97 1.00 9.10 4.22 19.39
2031 44.10 63.36 139.76 119.18 39.99 13.85 3.54 2.01 0.70 7.91 9.40 32.68
2032 9.09 38.06 139.50 80.14 38.26 23.33 8.59 5.93 8.28 10.08 29.17 32.83
2033 47.16 3.99 26.04 90.67 21.54 4.35 3.31 2.01 2.12 19.54 18.51 33.13
2034 2.06 63.36 90.02 90.67 36.21 5.35 2.32 2.42 2.96 11.83 14.35 13.37
2035 28.81 82.01 120.83 118.70 37.06 20.58 9.10 3.79 5.41 0.35 6.53 0.01
Q promedio 30.65 63.36 90.02 90.67 28.44 14.22 6.06 3.33 3.25 10.56 14.84 19.39
max 68.55 147.55 152.85 158.10 47.68 25.58 10.42 6.28 8.28 19.83 29.17 33.90
min 2.06 3.99 2.29 17.09 3.00 4.35 1.42 0.33 0.17 0.05 3.80 0.01

ESTACION 1
Comparación de Precipitación Promedio de Series Históricos y
Sinteticos
120
Precipitación Media (mm)

100
80
60
40
20
0
E F M A M J J A S O N D
Meses
PP Historico PP Sintetico
 ESTACION 1
Comparación de Maximo Promedio de Series Históricos y
Precipitación Media (mm) Sinteticos
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
E F M A M J J A S O N D
Meses
MAX Historico MAX Sintetico
PREGUNTA 16

Determinar el caudal ecológico de referencia a nivel mensual (QEG) en el embalse Gallito Ciego.

Considerar la serie sintética determinada en el ítem (15). Presentar Tablas y Figuras respectivas y
comentar los resultados obtenidos

CAUDAL ECOLÓGICO REFERENCIAL - METODOLOGÍA DEL ANA (m 3/s)

CUENCA: JEQUETEPEQUE
FUENTE: ESTACIÓN HIDROMÉTRICA YONAN

n p(%) Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Setiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre

1 1.00 115.33 220.23 321.45 573.6 96.23 79.74 14.56 7.09 13.5 23.3 35.5 72.66
2 2.00 88.94 213.28 279.89 247.13 66.32 27.18 13.77 5.9 11.04 23.3 30.21 54.04
3 3.00 84.42 195.02 274.79 231.33 65.41 25.69 13.4 5.77 7.99 21.8 29.9 51.71
4 4.00 82.4 166.21 237.64 213.67 65.07 24.54 13.1 5.7 7.99 20.95 27.86 43.76
5 5.00 70.58 164.75 220.40 200.5 63.39 23.85 13.1 5.66 7.33 19.41 26.12 33.67
6 6.00 69.9 155.47 201.93 166.78 55.11 23.76 12.87 5.3 6.8 18.11 25.87 33.29
7 7.00 63.03 155.00 187.2 165.99 51.89 23.34 10.72 5.28 6.79 18 25.09 32.29
8 8.00 58.7 139.53 186.14 143.30 49.78 23.18 10.25 5.11 6.6 17.26 23.74 32.11
9 9.00 52.31 124.98 173.01 137.59 49.4 21.91 10.12 5.04 6.50 16.7 23.3 31.94
10 10.00 51.41 124.04 168.91 134.23 47.04 21.85 10.02 5.02 6.2 16.46 22.42 30.09
11 11.00 51.29 119.21 166.7 133.91 46.89 21.73 9.97 5.01 6.02 16.32 22.3 29.79
12 12.00 50.00 117.22 163.35 130.21 46.41 20.82 9.75 5 6.02 15.61 21.91 29.79
13 13.00 49.1 116.63 156.51 130.02 42.9 19.48 9.64 4.98 5.99 14.5 21.20 29.71
14 14.00 48.73 116.10 154.26 128.85 41.43 18.47 9.11 4.89 5.48 14.35 21.13 28.1
15 15.00 47.19 115.14 153.36 126.22 41.07 18.29 8.81 4.79 5.29 12.69 20.6 28.03
16 16.00 46.18 106.82 152.2 120.22 40.16 18.09 8.60 4.74 5.24 12.42 20.6 27.57
17 17.00 44.5 99.94 151.43 118.46 39.48 18.07 8.34 4.62 5.21 12.1 19.94 27.08
18 18.00 43.38 91.23 148.11 118.29 39.31 17.59 8.29 4.59 5.16 11.8 18.48 26.51
19 19.00 40.7 83.9 146.44 115.85 37.9 17.21 8.04 4.59 5.09 11.61 18.38 26.51
20 20.00 40.08 83.79 136.98 115.07 37.9 17.2 7.8 4.52 5.02 11.31 17.59 26.43
21 21.00 39.98 82.72 135.42 113 37.7 16.72 7.62 4.41 4.93 11.20 16.84 24.24
22 22.00 39.69 81.18 134.05 105.02 37.58 16.24 7.5 4.41 4.88 10.19 16.43 23.66
23 23.00 38.08 81.1 131.38 102.89 36.88 16.08 7.22 4.27 4.78 10.12 16.4 23.3
24 24.00 37.69 80.85 130.83 100.62 36.86 15.96 7.02 4.14 4.75 9.64 16.33 22.72
25 25.00 36.66 80.85 130.3 100.10 36.35 15.72 6.98 4.11 4.59 8.81 16.28 21.84
26 26.00 35.32 79.18 129.29 99.72 35.99 15.7 6.88 3.88 4.4 8.71 16.26 21.8
27 27.00 35.16 77.09 126.01 98.59 35.71 15.34 6.72 3.88 4.38 8.69 16.04 20.98
28 28.00 34.79 74.77 125.30 95.27 34.54 15.08 6.60 3.88 4.36 8.51 15.7 20.94
29 29.00 34.42 72.98 124.66 94.95 33.7 14.7 6.41 3.88 4.28 8.27 15.51 20.73
30 30.00 34.31 71.02 123.92 92.97 33.7 14.58 6.38 3.86 4.03 8.2 15.51 20.5
31 31.00 33.79 69.42 111.3 90.37 32.89 13.89 6.31 3.84 3.98 8.20 14.7 20.38
32 32.00 33.71 68.96 110.96 88.94 32.59 13.81 6.31 3.81 3.9 7.99 14.2 19.97
33 33.00 32.18 67.92 110.4 87.5 32.41 13.62 6.31 3.76 3.78 7.75 14.18 19.71
34 34.00 31.4 66.74 109.54 87.37 30.91 13.31 6.25 3.61 3.61 7.72 13.5 19.53
35 35.00 30.37 65.1 108.31 86.5 30.02 13.26 6.2 3.59 3.59 7.59 12.97 19
36 36.00 29.68 64.11 107.79 85.49 29.88 12.93 6.04 3.58 3.55 7.4 12.54 18.55
37 37.00 29.61 63.34 106.01 83.36 29.79 12.4 6.01 3.52 3.51 7.33 11.75 18.41
38 38.00 29.57 61.1 103.72 80.87 29.68 12.38 5.81 3.51 3.4 7.32 11.3 18
39 39.00 29.57 61.09 98.55 77.89 29.31 12.38 5.79 3.51 3.32 7.21 10.95 17.92
40 40.00 28.9 60.63 97.89 77.31 29.21 12.19 5.6 3.41 3.23 7.16 10.11 17.12
41 41.00 28.6 60.45 97.41 77.09 28.81 12.1 5.55 3.4 3.22 6.70 10.02 16.61
42 42.00 28.23 59.48 95.25 76.61 28.19 12.09 5.49 3.39 3.2 6.70 9.67 16.02
43 43.00 28.19 55.22 93.9 75.81 28.11 11.9 5.3 3.21 3.09 6.5 9.58 15.11
44 44.00 27.65 54.6 93.28 74.61 28.07 11.5 5.19 3.21 3.09 6.4 9.57 15.01
45 45.00 27.06 54.16 90.59 72.49 27.59 11.5 5.17 3.21 3.09 6.16 9.49 13.75
46 46.00 24.47 52.91 90.26 71.49 27.11 11.48 5.11 3.02 3.04 5.98 9.18 12.58
47 47.00 24.03 52.41 89.75 69.96 26.79 11.42 5.1 2.92 3.01 5.71 9.1 12.54
48 48.00 22.68 47.93 89.05 69.10 26.09 11.3 5 2.91 2.91 5.63 8.90 12.52
49 49.00 21.73 47.4 88.41 68.52 25.89 11.27 4.96 2.91 2.89 5.5 8.8 12.51
50 50.00 21.48 47 86.1 67.79 24.72 10.97 4.89 2.91 2.89 5.49 8.71 12.4
51 51.00 21.33 45.53 85.69 66.04 24.31 10.93 4.89 2.91 2.89 5.48 8.70 11.45
52 52.00 21.24 45.53 81.21 65.9 23.93 10.92 4.89 2.8 2.85 5.39 8.63 11.4
53 53.00 21.21 44.85 79.19 65.54 23.89 10.53 4.82 2.8 2.82 5.3 8.41 11.39
54 54.00 20.81 44.64 76.59 64.7 23.41 10.3 4.79 2.8 2.7 5.19 8.28 11
55 55.00 20.2 43.82 75.08 63.55 23 9.99 4.67 2.8 2.7 5.12 8.1 10.11
56 56.00 20.01 42.99 75.08 63.07 22.81 9.8 4.62 2.73 2.7 5.11 7.91 9.6
57 57.00 19.12 42.81 73.59 61.94 22.75 9.37 4.6 2.68 2.58 4.8 7.79 9.53
58 58.00 18.41 42.37 73.1 59.18 22.1 9.3 4.52 2.65 2.58 4.7 7.79 9.33
59 59.00 17.61 41.6 72.51 58.91 21.82 9.1 4.47 2.51 2.58 4.4 7.79 9
60 60.00 16.8 41.41 71.43 56.48 21.51 9.1 4.41 2.45 2.51 4.33 7.72 8.99
61 61.00 16.77 40.64 65.64 52.89 21.43 9.1 4.41 2.44 2.48 4.27 7.72 8.89
62 62.00 16.6 39.5 65.19 52.39 21.39 9.07 4.41 2.3 2.47 4.2 7.59 8.88
63 63.00 16.54 38.32 64.36 51.58 21.16 8.99 4.31 2.24 2.31 4.07 7.43 8.81
64 64.00 15.79 36.48 62.52 51.13 21.16 8.99 4.29 2.2 2.08 3.99 7.33 8.81
65 65.00 15.79 35.84 62.31 49.81 21.09 8.72 4.25 2.17 2.08 3.93 7.29 8.8
66 66.00 15.36 35.44 60.78 48.25 20.98 8.57 4.23 2.11 2.01 3.92 7.1 8.7
67 67.00 15.09 34.84 60.48 47.61 19.72 7.91 4.10 2.09 2.01 3.65 6.91 8.67
68 68.00 14.63 33.95 59.87 47.18 19.71 7.6 4.05 2.09 1.95 3.58 6.7 8.07
69 69.00 14.38 33.11 56.51 43.02 19.47 7.48 3.92 2.08 1.9 3.56 6.4 7.99
70 70.00 13.22 31.14 55.19 42.3 19.32 7.38 3.88 2.02 1.81 3.51 6.28 7.92
71 71.00 13.22 31 53.8 42 18.82 7.21 3.81 2.02 1.72 3.48 6.21 7.77
72 72.00 11.31 30.92 53.71 41.5 18.82 7.21 3.65 2.01 1.63 3.4 6.21 7.6
73 73.00 11.31 30.56 53.2 40.08 18.18 7.21 3.51 2.01 1.61 3.39 6.1 7.21
74 74.00 11.31 30.51 50.52 39.12 18.11 7.1 3.43 1.79 1.58 3.12 6.1 7.21
75 75.00 11.2 30.38 50.1 35.8 18.11 6.91 3.42 1.79 1.58 3.1 6.09 6.98
76 76.00 11.09 30.38 48.5 34.8 18.11 6.71 3.29 1.79 1.5 2.99 5.58 6.71
77 77.00 11.01 30.01 48.31 33.22 17.88 6.71 3.21 1.62 1.39 2.91 4.9 6.41
78 78.00 10.9 29.93 43.79 32.16 17.51 6.46 3.21 1.53 1.39 2.74 4.58 6.31
79 79.00 10.6 29.43 43.7 31.97 16.91 6.21 3.2 1.5 1.31 2.69 4.51 6.09
80 80.00 9.99 28.48 43.22 31.91 16.44 6.02 3.13 1.49 1.31 2.69 4.30 5.9
81 81.00 9.48 27.25 39.31 29.71 16.09 5.9 3.1 1.49 1.31 2.69 3.59 5.04
82 82.00 9.3 26.41 37.19 29.69 15.89 5.88 3.1 1.38 1.31 2.61 3.4 4.93
83 83.00 9.11 25.98 36.86 29.4 15.49 5.8 3.00 1.38 1.3 2.5 3.4 4.89
84 84.00 9.1 23.79 35.92 29.4 14.41 5.56 2.8 1.35 1.28 2.31 3.32 4.52
85 85.00 7.8 23.6 33.56 28.51 14.4 5.49 2.8 1.31 1.26 2.27 3.27 4.18
86 86.00 6.5 22.2 29.68 27.31 13.22 5.29 2.6 1.19 1.2 2.2 2.62 4.14
87 87.00 5.97 21.49 29.61 27.11 12.6 4.9 2.43 1.19 1.19 2.2 2.39 4.09
88 88.00 5.9 20.5 29.08 26.5 12.45 4.71 2.39 1.19 1.15 2.09 2.2 3.99
89 89.00 5.9 19.83 28.57 26.31 12.29 4.59 2.39 1.04 1.12 2.09 2.04 3.9
90 90.00 5.71 18.35 26.58 26.2 12.19 4.46 2.28 0.85 1.09 1.94 2.01 3.81
91 91.00 5.6 17.36 23.71 21.8 12.1 4.24 2.2 0.78 1 1.89 1.89 2.8
92 92.00 4.41 13.05 23.6 20.29 12.09 3.6 2.2 0.74 0.93 1.87 1.61 2.6
93 93.00 3.83 11.49 20.5 19.91 11.61 2.7 2.07 0.67 0.84 1.61 1.5 2.39
94 94.00 3.42 11.29 19.41 15.49 11.55 2.08 1.99 0.55 0.81 1.38 1.5 2.31
95 95.00 2.91 8.31 19.29 15.01 11.18 2.00 1.79 0.51 0.78 1.38 1.39 1.9
96 96.00 2.43 7.82 17.81 14.35 10.45 1.89 1.6 0.41 0.69 1.31 1.39 1.79
97 97.00 2.39 7.65 15.53 12 8.51 1.82 1.56 0.4 0.45 1.31 1 1.38
98 98.00 1.9 7.2 10.42 11.89 8.51 1.58 1.49 0.37 0.36 1.1 0.69 1.36
99 99.00 1.31 5.08 10.42 10.92 4.7 1.54 1 0.37 0.24 1.08 0.4 0.78
100 100.00 1.01 3.93 8.59 3.05 3.29 1.01 0.41 0.04 0.12 1.08 0.28 0.49
PROMEDIO 26.940 60.892 94.111 79.223 28.070 12.097 5.576 2.952 3.284 7.127 10.990 15.602
DES.EST. 21.174 45.620 61.805 69.610 15.172 9.204 3.048 1.548 2.272 5.469 7.858 12.474
MÁXIMO 115.330 220.230 321.450 573.600 96.230 79.740 14.560 7.090 13.500 23.300 35.500 72.660
MÍNIMO 1.010 3.930 8.590 3.052 3.290 1.013 0.410 0.040 0.116 1.080 0.276 0.490
PREGUNTAR 17

Simulación para la operación del embalse Gallito Ciego con la serie determinada en el Item (15)
para la Etapa 1 de la demanda de Irrigacion del valle Jetepeque-Zaña