Sei sulla pagina 1di 49

Chapter 6

Investors in
the share market

Websites:
www.ato.gov.au
www.asx.com.au

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-1
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Learning objectives
• Consider the role of an investor in the share market
and appreciate the range of investment choices
available to the investor
• Understand the process of buying and selling shares,
the risks involved, and the importance of taxation when
investing
• Describe indicators of financial performance
• Demonstrate share pricing methods
• Consider the importance of share-market indices and
published share information

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-2
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Chapter organisation

6.1 Share-market investment


6.2 Buying and selling shares
6.3 Taxation
6.4 Financial performance indicators
6.5 Pricing of shares
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information
6.7 Summary

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-3
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment
• Investors buy shares to receive returns from dividends
and capital gains (losses)

• Other factors encouraging investment in securities


quoted on a stock exchange (SX)
– Depth of the market
▪ Overall capitalisation of corporations listed on an SX
– Liquidity of the market
▪ Volume of trading relative to the size of the market
– Efficient price discovery
▪ Speed and efficiency with which new information is reflected in
the current share price

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-4
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment (cont.)

• The SX offers a wide range of security types to the


investor

• Securities listed on the SX are categorised into industry


groups, allowing investors a choice from a range of
economic sectors

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-5
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment (cont.)

• Two types of risk impact on security returns

1. Systematic risk
▪ Factors that generally impact on share prices in the market;
e.g. economic growth, and changes in interest rates and
exchange rates

2. Unsystematic risk
▪ Factors that impact specifically on the share price of a
corporation; e.g. resignation of the CEO, technology failure,
board problems

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-6
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment (cont.)
• Diversified investment portfolio

– A portfolio containing a wide range of securities

– Diversifies most of the unsystematic risk of the individual


securities
▪ Investors will not receive higher returns for unnecessarily
bearing unsystematic risk

– The remaining risk is systematic risk, which is measured by


beta
▪ Beta is a measure of the sensitivity of the price of an asset
relative to the market

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-7
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment (cont.)

• Diversified investment portfolio (cont.)

– Expected portfolio return is the weighted average of


expected returns of each share

– Portfolio variance (risk) is the correlation of pairs of


securities within the portfolio

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-8
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment (cont.)
• Investors may take one of two approaches
– 1. Active investment approach
▪ Portfolio structure is based on share analysis, new information
and risk-return preferences
– 2. Passive investment approach
▪ Portfolio structure is based on the replication of a specific
share-market index, e.g. industrial or telecommunications
sector index

• Some managed funds are index funds


– Portfolios are structured to fully or partially replicate a
specific share-market index

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-9
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment (cont.)
• Investors need to consider asset allocation within a
share portfolio
▪ Risk versus return
▪ Investment time horizon
▪ Income versus capital growth
▪ Domestic and international shares

• Asset allocation may be:


▪ strategic
▪ tactical

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-10
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.1 Share-market investment (cont.)
• The recent global financial crisis has caused much
concern, particularly among those in or approaching
retirement
• A large amount of retirement savings is invested in the
share market
• For those nearing retirement the investment horizon is
shorter, particularly if money will be withdrawn from the
share market upon retirement
• When market prices fall sharply, these individuals are
adversely affected. Importantly, they have the least
time to recover their losses (before retirement)

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-11
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Chapter organisation

6.1 Share-market investment


6.2 Buying and selling shares
6.3 Taxation
6.4 Financial performance indicators
6.5 Pricing of shares
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information
6.7 Summary

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-12
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.2 Buying and selling shares
• Direct investment in shares
– Investor buys and sells shares through a stockbroker
▪ Discount broker, i.e. phone and Internet
▪ Full-service advisory broker

– Consideration of liquidity, risk, return, charges, taxation,


social security, etc.

• Indirect investment in shares


– Investor purchases units in a unit trust or managed fund,
e.g. equity trusts

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-13
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Chapter organisation

6.1 Share-market investment


6.2 Buying and selling shares
6.3 Taxation
6.4 Financial performance indicators
6.5 Pricing of shares
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information
6.7 Summary

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-14
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.3 Taxation
• Pre-dividend imputation (prior to 1987)
– Dividends were taxed twice—first at company level (as
profits) and then at the investor’s marginal rate

• Dividend imputation (since 1987)


– Removed the double taxation of dividends
– Investors receive franking credit for the tax a company pays
on a franked dividend (cổ tức đã hoàn thành nghĩa vụ
thuế)

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-15
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.3 Taxation (cont.)

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-16
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.3 Taxation (cont.)
• Capital gains tax on shares purchased

– Prior to 19/9/1985 tax free

– 19/9/1985–21/9/1999
▪ Taxpayer’s marginal tax rate applied if held less than 12
months
▪ Taxpayer’s marginal tax rate applied to indexed capital gain if
held over 12 months

– Since 21/9/1999
▪ 50% discounted gain if held at least 12 months; or
▪ indexed capital gain or 50% discounted gain if purchased
19/9/1985–21/9/1999

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-17
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Chapter organisation

6.1 Share-market investment


6.2 Buying and selling shares
6.3 Taxation
6.4 Financial performance indicators
6.5 Pricing of shares
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information
6.7 Summary

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-18
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators
• Potential investors are concerned with the future level
of a company’s performance

• Company’s performance affects both the profitability of


the company and the variability of the cash flows

• Indicators of company performance


– Capital structure
– Liquidity
– Debt servicing
– Profitability
– Share price
– Risk (cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-19
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Capital structure

• Proportion of company assets (funding) obtained


through debt and equity

– Usually measured by debt to equity ratio (D/E)


▪ Higher debt levels increase financial risk; i.e. firm may not be
able to meet interest payments

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-20
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Capital structure (cont.)

• Proportion of company assets (funding) obtained


through debt and equity (cont.)

– Also measured by proprietorship ratio, which is the ratio of


shareholders’ funds to total assets
▪ Indicates firm’s longer term financial viability/stability; a higher
ratio indicates less reliance on external funding

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-21
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Liquidity
• The ability of a company to meet its short-term financial
obligations

• Measured by current ratio


– Fails to consider the not very liquid nature of certain current
assets, such as inventory

Current ratio  current assets (maturing within one year)


current liabilities (due within one year)

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-22
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Liquidity (cont.)
• Measured by liquid ratio
• The higher the current and liquid ratios, the better the
liquidity position of a firm

Liquid ratio  current assets - inventory (stock on hand)


current liabilities - bank overdraft

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-23
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Debt servicing

• Ability to meet debt-related obligations, i.e. interest and


repayment of debt

• Measured by debt to gross cash flow ratio


– Indicates number of years of cash flow required to repay
total firm debt

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-24
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Debt servicing (cont.)

• Measured by interest coverage ratio

Interest cover  earnings before finance lease charges, interest and tax
finance lease charges and interest

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-25
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Profitability

• Wide variation in the measurement of profitability


– Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to total funds ratio
– Earnings per share (EPS)

EBIT to total funds ratio

 EBIT
total funds employed (shareholders' funds and borrowings )

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-26
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Profitability (cont.)

• Wide variation in the measurement of profitability


(cont.)
– EBIT to long-term funds ratio

EBIT to long - term funds ratio 

EBIT
long - term funds (i.e. total funds less short - term debt)

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-27
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Profitability (cont.)

• Wide variation in the measurement of profitability


(cont.)
– Return on equity (net income/equity)
– Higher ratios indicate greater profitability

Return on equity  net income


equity (shareholders' funds)

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-28
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Share price
• Represents investors’ view of the present value of
future net cash flows of a firm

• Share price performance indicators

– Price to earnings ratio (P/E)


▪ Share price divided by earnings per share
▪ A higher P/E indicates more growth in future net cash flows

– Share price to net tangible assets ratio (P/NTA)


▪ Measures the theoretical premium or discount at which a firm’s
share price is trading relative to its NTA
(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-29
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.4 Financial performance indicators (cont.)
Risk
• Variability (uncertainty) of the share price
• Two components

1. Systematic risk (often referred to as beta)


▪ Arises from factors affecting the whole market, e.g. state of the
domestic economy and world economy

2. Non-systematic risk
▪ Arises from firm-specific factors, e.g. management
competence, labour productivity, financial and operational risks
▪ Can be eliminated in a well-diversified portfolio

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-30
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Chapter organisation

6.1 Share-market Investment


6.2 Buying and Selling Shares
6.3 Taxation
6.4 Financial Performance Indicators
6.5 Pricing of Shares
6.6 Stock-market Indices and Published Share
Information
6.7 Summary

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-31
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares
• Share price is mainly a function of supply and demand
for a share

– Supply and demand are influenced mainly by information

– Share price is considered to be the present value of future


dividend payments to shareholders

– New information that changes investors’ expectations about


future dividends will result in a change in the share price

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-32
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Estimating the price of a share

– General dividend valuation model


D t

t1
P
1rs t
0

Where: P  current share price


0

D  expected dividend per share in period t


t

r  required rate of return


s

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-33
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Estimating the price of a share (cont.)

– Valuing a share with a constant dividend (D0)

D
P
0
0

rs

– Valuing a share with constant dividend growth (g)


1g
 
 
 
 

P D
 
 
0 0



r g s



(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-34
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Cum-dividend and ex-dividend

– Dividends are payments made to shareholders, expressed


as cents per share

– Dividends are declared at one date and paid at a later,


specified date

– During the period between the two dates, the shares have
the future dividend entitlement attached, i.e. cum-dividend

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-35
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Cum-dividend and ex-dividend (cont.)

– Once the dividend is paid the shares are traded ex-dividend

– Theoretically, the share price will fall on the ex-dividend date


by the size of the dividend

▪ Example:
Share price cum-dividend $1.00
Dividend paid 0.07
Theoretical ex-dividend price 0.93

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-36
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Bonus share issues

– Where a company has accumulated reserves, it may


distribute these to existing shareholders by making a bonus
issue of additional shares

– As with dividends, there will be a downward adjustment in


share price when shares go ex-bonus

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-37
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Bonus share issues (cont.)

– As no new capital is raised, there is no change in the assets


or expected earnings of the company

▪ Example—If a bonus 1:4 issue is made:


Cum-bonus price $5.00
Market value of 4 cum-bonus shares $20.00
Theoretical value of 5 ex-bonus shares $20.00
Theoretical value of 1 ex-bonus share $4.00

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-38
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Share splits

– Involves division of the number of shares on issue

– Involves no fundamental change in the structure or asset


value of the company

– Theoretically, the share price will fall in the proportion of the


split
▪ Example—5 for 1 split:
Pre-split share price $50.00
Theoretical ex-split share price $10.00

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-39
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)
• Pro-rata rights issue

– Involves an increase in the company’s issued capital

– Typically issued at a discount to market price

– Theoretically, the market price will fall by an amount


dependent on the:
▪ number of shares issued
▪ size of the discount

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-40
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)

• Pro-rata rights issue (cont.)

– Example—market price cum-rights $1.00, with 1:5 rights


issue priced at $0.88:

Cum-rights share price $1.00


Market value of 5 cum-rights shares 5.00
Plus new funds from 1:5 issue 0.88
Market value of 6 ex-rights shares 5.88
Theoretical ex-rights share price (5.88/6) 0.98

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-41
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.5 Pricing of shares (cont.)

• Pro-rata rights issue (cont.)

– A renounceable right is a right that can be sold before it is


exercised
▪ The value of the right is determined by Equation 6.12

Value of right  N (cum rights price - subscription price)


N 1
Where N is the number of shares required
to obtain the rights issue share, and the subscription
price is the discounted price of the additional share.

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-42
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Chapter organisation

6.1 Share-market investment


6.2 Buying and selling shares
6.3 Taxation
6.4 Financial performance indicators
6.5 Pricing of shares
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information
6.7 Summary

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-43
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information
• Stock-market indices

– Measure of the price performance of a share market or


industry sector; e.g.:
▪ Performance benchmark index
• Measures overall share-market performance based on
capitalisation and liquidity
▪ Tradeable benchmark index
• A narrow index used as the basis for pricing certain derivative
products
▪ Market indicator index
• Measure of overall share-market performance

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-44
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information (cont.)
• Market indicator indices
– Price-weighted, e.g. Dow Jones
▪ Weighting of a company proportional to its share price

– Capitalisation-weighted, e.g. S&P/ASX All Ords


▪ Weighting of a company proportional to market capitalisation

– Share-price index measures capital gains/losses from


investing in an index-related portfolio

– Accumulation index includes share price changes and


reinvestment of dividends

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-45
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information (cont.)

• Market indicator indices (cont.)

– Global industry classification standard (GICS) comprises 10


standard international industry sector indices; e.g. energy,
materials, industrials

• Published share information

– Newspapers and financial journals provide share-market


information to varying degrees of detail; e.g. Australian
Financial Review

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-46
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
Chapter organisation

6.1 Share-market investment


6.2 Buying and selling shares
6.3 Taxation
6.4 Financial performance indicators
6.5 Pricing of shares
6.6 Stock-market indices and published share
information
6.7 Summary

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-47
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.7 Summary

• Factors a share investor should consider


– Diversification, portfolio return and risk
– Active or passive investment
– Direct or indirect investment
– Taxation
– Company financial performance indicators
▪ Capital structure, liquidity, debt servicing, profitability, share
price, risk

(cont.)
Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-48
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips
6.7 Summary (cont.)

• Factors that influence a company’s share price


– Expected future dividends
– Bonus shares issues
– Share splits
– Pro-rata rights issues

• Various share-market indices exist that provide a


measure of the price performance of a sector or of the
market overall

Copyright  2012 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd


PPTs to accompany Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets 7e by Viney and Phillips 6-49
Slides prepared by Peter Phillips

Potrebbero piacerti anche