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Adam Padgett
English 102
11/11/2019
In 2019, entrepreneur Andrew Yang launched his presidential campaign for the 2020
elections in the United States. As mentioned on his official campaign website, one of the main
issues he ran on was how to address the growing role that artificial intelligence will play in our
economy, and consequently in our lives. Yang’s focus on A.I. has forced other presidential
candidates to offer their insights on a topic that was hardly mentioned outside of academia
before. As the Overton window shifts on the acceptability of A.I. related discourse in society and
it becomes a more common theme of public discourse, it’s important for citizens to be
transformative. The changes it will bring about are comparable to those of the Industrial
Revolution of the 18th century and the information technology revolution of the late 20th.
Therefore, it’s important for people to be well-informed about what changes will happen and not
be alarmed. A fundamental question that many people ask is just how positive will the changes
that the advancement of artificial intelligence will bring on the global economy and world
societies be? This is an important question that more people should be asking in 2019, as we
stand on the cusp of these transformations. This research paper will attempt to address that
question. The vast pieces of evidence seem to indicate one thing: Overall, artificial intelligence
will enable humans to become more productive, expedite social development programs, and
improve the general quality of life, however American citizens must be adequately prepared in
order to properly take advantage of the technology, otherwise we will be left behind. Despite
wide-ranging concerns due to misinformation, it’s clear that artificial intelligence will provide
numerous productivity, social development, and economic benefits benefits in the future, if
One of the common arguments put forth against artificial intelligence is the loss of jobs it
may lead to. Indeed, on a global scale there is a consensus that the rise of artificial
Prize winning journalist Steve Lohr published an article titled “A.I. Will Transform the
Economy. But How Much, and How Soon” in the New York Times. He cited data from Dr.
Yoav Shoham, the president of the A.I. tracking index and professor emeritus at Stanford
University. In regards to the loss of jobs, Lohr stated “Its [Stanford’s A.I. Index] projection of
the number of Americans who will have to find new occupations by 2030 ranges from 16 million
to 54 million — depending on the pace of technology adoption” (Lohr). Although this article
gives a rather unspecific range, it’s worth mentioning that even the bare minimum figure
provided, 16 million, is 10% of the United States labor force. Furthermore, if the implications are
so bad in the United States, then they would be even worse on a global scale. Although Lohr’s
argument is correct in theory, there is one caveat he forgot to mention: the A.I. Index does not
track net economic impact, just job losses. Therefore his claim is limited to just employment, not
impact on overall productivity (GDP). This alarmist view is disproven doubted by a 2018 article
from the Wall Street Journal titled “The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the World
technology analyst at Citibank. It was meant to summarize and add to a report published by the
consultancy firm McKinsey in 2018. Wladawsky-Berger states that “AI will contribute an
estimated $22 trillion by 2030, which is 26% of the global economy. However, the jobs lost due
to AI automation will cost about $9 trillion to the world economy, which is still a net increase of
$13 trillion.” (Wladawsky-Berger). This article is critical to understanding why A.I. must be
embraced. It must be conceded that A.I. will cause job losses, but the net effect will be positive.
A GDP boost of $13 trillion over the next decade is a massive amount. To put that in perspective,
$13 trillion is the value of how much goods and services 1.4 billion Chinese citizens produce
each year (Americans produce $21 trillion). Also, such a dramatic increase in GDP will certainly
cause increased jobs across sectors. Although, GDP isn’t the only way to measure economic
well-being, historically GDP growth rates have had a similar progression to general well-being
and prosperity, a notable example being the decline in GDP during the 2008 financial crisis.
Therefore, the proper utilization of A.I. will be a shot in the arm for the global economy. This
paper is not saying that A.I. will be harmless. Yes, A.I. will cause job losses, but that has always
happened whenever humanity advances rapidly. The industrial revolution made many
occupations obsolete. The information technology revolution did the same. However, these
revolutions created far more jobs than they took away. Artificial intelligence will do the same.
Therefore, from an economic perspective, artificial intelligence will be positive for the world.
Although A.I. will be beneficial from the economic perspective, it must also be analyzed
from an equally importance viewpoint: its effects on social development. Social development
refers to the advancements of important public issues such as healthcare, disaster response, and
gender parity. Social development is most often an issue in poorer nations. The effects of A.I. on
these sectors are explored by Amir Banifatemi, an executive director at the IBM Watson AI
XPRIZE, IBM’s artificial intelligence research and development site. In his 2018 article titled
“Can We Use AI for Global Good?”, he states that “artificial intelligence (AI) to build an
specifically mentions that an IBM hosted conference agreed on the development of “predictive
projects surrounding vision loss and osteoarthritis, integration and analysis of medical data”
(Banifatemi). The projects will undoubtedly be of benefit to the world. Banifatemi’s reasoning is
that artificial intelligence can be used to analyze medical data from the past and then predict
certain illnesses. This will have huge implications for the social development of poorer nations,
as a healthier population will lead to increased productivity and well-being of citizens. In regards
to healthcare, artificial intelligence will also play a huge role in terms of assessing the general
Banifatemi’s position was also supported by the conclusion of a 2017 research paper
published by Pavel Hamet, professor of medicine at the University of Montreal and Research
Chair in Predictive Genomics. His article, titled “Artificial Intelligence in Medicine”, was
published in the Elsevier medicine journal. In the article, Hamet states that “Robots can be useful
area where AI may be helpfully employed is for monitoring the guided delivery of drugs to target
organs, tissues or tumors. For example, it is encouraging to learn of the recent development of
nanorobots designed to overcome delivery problems that arise when difficulty of diffusion of the
therapeutic agent into a site of interest is encountered” (Hamet). Dr. Hamet is saying that A.I.
nanorobots can be used to monitor the specific organs/bodily parts targeted during treatment
more effectively since they can go inside the body, something that external scans can not do.
This means that the doctors will get a better understanding of what’s going on during the
treatment process and adjust accordingly. The increasing use of A.I. in medicine will continue to
save lives and lead to healthier and more productive populations, as stated earlier. One common
counterclaim against artificial intelligence’s use, not just in terms of social development but
more broadly, is that artificial intelligence lacks the moral values that makes humans unique in
the world. In 2019, a peer-reviewed article titled “Autonomous Vehicles and Embedded
Artificial Intelligence: The Challenges of Framing Machine Driving Decisions.”. This article was
published by the University of Limerick in Ireland. Its authors were Martin Cunneen, a professor
of computer science at the University of Limerick, Ireland, Dr. Martin Mullins, head of the
department of finance and accounting at the University of Limerick, Ireland, and Finbarr
Murphy, a professor of digital finance and risk management at the University of Limerick,
Ireland. Although the article primarily focuses on the usage of artificial intelligence in driving
environments, the authors’ claims are applicable on a broader scale. The authors state that “This
is most evident in the inability to annotate and categorise the environment in terms of human
values and moral understanding” (Cunneen, Martin, et al). The authors feel that when human
lives are stake, as is the case with healthcare and driving, trust in A.I. may futile because it does
not possess human values and morals. Although this claim seems to be logical at first, there are a
couple of underlying problems with it. Who determines whether or not these human values and
morals are always good? Historically, we have seen that humans values and morals often get in
the way of making rational decisions, as emotion can overpower logic and facts. A.I., on the
other hand, will use logic and facts in order to come to the most rational decision in a way that
humans are not capable of doing. This is not a wild claim, as this is what logic suggests: our
emotions, fueled by human values and morality, can overcome our making rational choices.
Artificial intelligence will not have that problem, since they will not have our ideas of values and
morality. This is precisely why we must use it when it comes to important fields such as
healthcare, because human lives are stake. The gravity of the stakes add to the importance of
using artificial technology. Now, this is not to suggest that artificial technology based machines
should just be allowed to do whatever they want, no. That is not something I’m arguing. There
must be proper regulation of the systems, which scientists will determine through trial and error.
Therefore, artificial intelligence will be positive for our social development. Furthermore, its
lack of human values and morals can be used in a positive way, if it’s taken advantage of.
The counterclaim of artificial intelligence lacking human values and morals leads to
another counterclaim people enjoy making: artificial intelligence is used to spy on citizens. There
is a joke in the Washington D.C. community: prostitution is the world’s oldest profession,
espionage is second. The alarmists regarding A.I. warn of its potential misuse by governmental
organizations. In their defense, they appear to have good reason to have this view point. In 2017,
David Parnas, a professor of electrical engineering at Carnegie Mellon University and an early
pioneer of computing, published a peer-reviewed paper in the ACM journal at Carnegie Mellon
titled “The Real Risks of Artificial Intelligence: Incidents from the Early Days of AI Research
Are Instructive in the Current AI Environment.”. In that paper, he discussed potential misuse of
A.I. by governmental organizations. He states “As artificial intelligence becomes more powerful,
people need to make sure it’s not used by authoritarian regimes to centralize power and target
certain populations.”(Parnas). His paper specifies that this technology has been used by two
countries for the purpose of spying on citizens: China and the United Arab Emirates. These
countries use facial recognition technology produced by Israeli software firms in order to spy on
residents. Then they give each resident a secret score, indicating potential threats to the regime,
peaceful or otherwise. In other words, it tells the governments who the protesters will be before
they even get the idea to go out and protest. Although it may appear that we should be alarmed at
A.I. for this reason, one key fact must be stated. This article, and indeed many arguments
proposed by the A.I. alarmists on the topic of government surveillance, predominantly apply to
countries that are already authoritarian. In Western Democratic countries, we do not have to fear
our governments using this technology to spy on us because our political institutions are strong
enough to resist government pressure when it comes to spying on citizens. Yes, in the post 9/11
era that have been instances of government surveillance, but that was strictly for national
security, not to predict dissent, which is what that counterclaim discusses. Although Western
democracies are not immune from instances of mass surveillance, they have only been used for
counter-terrorism operations in the post-9/11 era and not to predict dissent by citizens, which is
evidently a gross misuse of technology that Western governments have not been willing to cross.
Therefore, the argument that the technology will be misused by authoritarian governments is
proven to be irrelevant. Regimes will always use whatever technology they have to crack down
on dissent, that does not mean that inherent benefits of the technology for the rest of the world
are negated. Some people may question the relevance of surveillance with the spread of A.I., but
the two are directly related as A.I. technology has enabled mass surveillance on a scale that was
not possible before. However, this article’s discussion on the misuse of A.I. by China does lead
to another important fact. Americans must be prepared for the proper utilization of this
In order for the United States, and the Western world, to be successful in our adoption of
A.I., we must look at how ready we are. Americans’ preparedness for artificial intelligence was
professor of robotics at Carnegie Mellon University. The study is titled “Teaching Artificial
Intelligence and Humanity” and was published in the ACM (Association for Computing
Machinery) journal at Carnegie Mellon, the same journal that Parnas’ earlier mentioned article
was published in. In the study, Nourbakhsh’s department gave tests to top freshmen in computer
science related majors and history majors. The tests asked questions on artificial intelligence,
ranging from simple concepts to more advanced ideas. The difference in scores between the two
groups of majors was within the margin of error and was therefore minimal. This led Dr.
Nourbakhsh to the conclusion that “In a time of accelerating technological disruption, the next
generation of leaders and innovators are ill-equipped to navigate this boundary chapter in
making this claim in the ACM journal, then it does carry quite a bit of weight. If the youth in the
United States are lagging behind, then it is worth mentioning how things are in China. China, in
contrast, is rapidly accelerating its attempt to dominate the sector in the future. In 2018, Kenneth
article on Chinese progress in A.I. in the Natural Language Engineering journal at the University
of Cambridge. Church described his findings on just how far ahead of its Western peers China
had advanced. Church states that “There is a bold government plan for AI with specific
milestones for parity with the West in 2020, major breakthroughs by 2025 and the envy of the
world by 2030.” (Church). Then he discussed the major advantage that Europe, the United
States, and Canada had enjoyed over China: our educational institutions. Contrary to popular
belief, the gap between our universities is narrowing. Church states “The top universities in
China have always been very good, but they are better today than they were 25 years ago, and
they are on a trajectory to become the biggest and the best in the world.” (Church). As China’s
totalitarian system led by Xi Jinping, who was just declared to be on the same level as Mao
Zedong in terms of China’s history, steams ahead on the path of technological parity with the
West, Western democracies continue to bigger as societies become more and more polarized.
Indeed, the West’s recent shunning of Chinese 5G telecom operator Huawei and the CFO’s
recent arrest in Vancouver, Canada indicates the anxiety felt in Washington, Ottawa, London,
Paris, and Berlin. Now, there is a solution that may help us in our preparedness for this future.
We need to dramatically reform our own education system at home by including computer
science courses in the curriculum in order to better prepare our students. This will make our
students competitive on the global stage, because we will need to edge out not just China, but
competition from India, Korea, Indonesia, and Japan. If we can have our youth be better
prepared to take advantage of A.I., then the technology will truly provide us with the economic
It will be as transformative to our societies as the industrial revolution was in the 18th century
and the information technology revolution was at the end of the 20th. To restate the main claim
of this paper, artificial intelligence will enable us to make great strides in terms of economic
production, social development, and the general well-being of citizens. However, in order to
properly reap the rewards of A.I., we must have a citizenry that is well-prepared and
yes, there will be job losses, however, A.I. will create many new industries and job opportunities.
Furthermore, the total economic output gained due to A.I. will be a staggering $22 trillion, far
more than the $9 trillion that will be lost (Wladawsky-Berger). Furthermore, A.I. will have huge
consequences for the advancement of healthcare and medicine, boosting social development. A.I.
treatable, illnesses, such as vision loss and osteoarthritis (Banifatemi). A.I. will also play a key
role in analyzes the effects of treatment on patients through the use of nanorobots, providing
doctors useful information (Pavet). Although some claim that A.I. has a limitation, which is its
lack of human values and morals, this is actually a positive thing. A.I. will be able to make the
rational, logic-based decisions that humans can’t. A.I. will not be subject to the same emotional
stress as humans, as they do not share our values. Another counterclaim is that A.I. will be used
in authoritarian regimes for spying on populations. However, this counterclaim does not apply to
Western Democracies. Authoritarian regimes will continue to crack down on dissent in their
countries, with or without A.I. In Western democracies, we have seen that our governments have
only spied on citizens for national security purposes, not to curb our constitutional freedoms.
Finally, the Chinese government’s obsession with technological superiority over the West means
that we must prepare our citizens in order to compete with them. A specific course of future
direction is for Western countries to dramatically reform our education systems, starting with
primary school. Computer courses, with an eventual focus on A.I., must become a basic part of
the curriculum, just like English, Math, Science, and History. If our youth are raised with a good
understanding of the basics of A.I., then we will be able to compete with China and other rising
Asian powers. Furthermore, as stated in the main claim, our population must be well-prepared
for A.I. in order to properly benefit from the economic and social benefits it will provide.
Otherwise, we will see the majority of those benefits be reaped by prepared countries like China.
Works Cited
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