PM299.

Quantitative Methods for Public Administration and Management

Exercise 3
Due: 8 November 2019

Fill-in the Blanks

1. For 10 cities, data have been gathered on total crime rate (per 100,000 population) and the percentage
of people who are new migrants (persons arriving within the past five years). This is hypothetical data
set. (5 points). (No need to compute, just formulate the hypotheses)

Country Total crime Percent

rate Migrants
1 1500 10
2 1200 18
3 2000 9
4 1700 11
5 1800 15
6 1000 20
7 1700 9
8 1300 22
9 900 10
10 700 15

a. Define the null and alternative hypotheses

Null Hypothesis: Total crime rate is unrelated to the percentage of people who are new migrants

Alternative Hypothesis: Total crime rate is related to the percentage of people who are new
migrants

RIGHT MINUS WRONG FROM QUESTIONS 3 TO 8 (5 points each from Question Number
3 to Question Number 9)

3. When the data are in interval form, which correlation coefficient should be used? THE PAIRED T AND
THE WITHIN-SUBJECTS F

True or False:

4. Negative correlations, even when significant, never predict better than chance. FALSE

5. The higher the Pearson r, the higher is the coefficient of determination. TRUE

6. Correlation measures association and association show causation. FALSE

Choose the correct answer:

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7. A significant relationship was found between age and scores on the depression scale: those who
are older gained higher scores on the depression scale'. What kind of relationship is described
here?

____ a. Cannot be determined

_✔ b. A positive correlation

_____C. A negative correlation

8. Correlation is a __________ type of statistical analysis.

_____ a. univariate

_____ b. multivariate

_✔ c. bivariate

9. What would you expect the correlation between daily calorie consumption and body weight to be:

_____ a. moderate to large positive

_____ b. zero or near zero

_____ c. small negative

_✔_ d. moderate to large negative

10. Using the data below, perform the following: (30 points)

A sample of 22 grade 5 pupils has a Grade Point Average (GPA) of 5.0 in mathematics with a
standard deviation of 0.452. The GPA of all fifth-grade pupils is 4.7. Is the GPA of 22 pupils
different from the population’s GPA?

10a. Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses

Null Hypothesis: There is NO correlation between the sample GPA and population
GPA.
Alternative Hypothesis: There IS a correlation between the sample GPA and
population GPA.

10b. Choose the appropriate statistical test to determine whether the GPA of 22 sample pupils
is different from the population of grade 5 pupils.

Standard deviation of the population:

Standard deviation of the mean:

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 T-value:

10c. Using an α = 0.05, was there a difference in the sample GPA and population GPA?

Answer: The obtained t-value is greater than the critical t-value. The grade point
average of the 22 pupils is different from the populations’ GPA.

Pupil Grade Point

1 5.0
2 5.5
3 4.5
4 5.0
5 5.0
6 6.0
7 5.0
8 5.0
9 4.5
10 5.0
11 5.0
12 4.5
13 4.5
14 5.5
15 4.0
16 5.0
17 5.0
18 5.5
19 4.5
20 5.5
21 5.0
22 5.5

MEAN: 5.0
VARIANCE: 0.2045

11. A researcher wants to know whether a person’s height is related to how well they perform in a long
jump. Was there an association between height and performance in long jump using the data
below: (30 points)

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What statistical test can be used to determine the association between the height and performance in
long jump. Using an α = 0.05, what will be your decision?

Respondent Height Distance Jumped

1 1.63 2.34
2 1.80 2.48
3 1.75 2.28
4 1.86 2.62
5 1.73 2.64
6 1.71 2.30
7 1.75 2.44
8 1.96 2.67
9 1.60 2.39
10 1.68 2.47
11 1.80 2.60
12 1.87 2.75
13 1.74 2.40
14 1.67 2.46

Null Hypothesis: There is no association between height and performance in long jump.

Alternative Hypothesis: There is association between height and performance in long jump.

Standard deviation:

t-test

Answer: There is association between the height and performance in long jump.

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