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EV / EBITDA multiple
LBO Assumptions
Exit Date 2016
EBITDA 2,400.0
EBITDA Margin (%) 40.0%
Cash 100.0
Debt 600.0
Net Debt 500.0
Debt Schedule
Projected Annual Forecast
2013 2014 2015 2016
LBO Debt, Beginning of Period
- Required paydown (1,000.0) (1,000.0) (1,000.0) (1,000.0)
- Optional paydown (after min cash balance)
LBO Debt, End of Period
Questions:
1.What is the implied Enterprise Value in the exit year?
2.What is the implied Equity Value at the exit year?
3.What is the maximum amount financial sponsors can invest in this company?
Questions:
1.How much do sponsors have to acquire this company and pay off it's debt?
2.What is the highest purchase price the sponsors would be willing to pay for XYZ shares today?
d Annual Forecast
2017 2018 2019
d Annual Forecast
2017 2018 2019
LTM Debt * LBO Debt Capacity
(1,000.0) (1,000.0) (1,000.0) Assumed to be $1,000 per year
Excess cash on hand or generated throughout the year can be used to pay down debt
used to pay down debt
Leveraged Buyout Analysis for Company XYZ
Select Operating and Financial Data
Current Date 2012
LBO Assumptions
Exit Date 2016
Free cash flow after required debt paydown 480.0 528.0 580.8 638.9 702.8
FCF Margin (%) 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Debt Schedule
Projected Annual Forecast
2013 2014 2015 2016
LBO Debt, Beginning of Period 14,400.0 12,822.0 11,241.2 9,602.3
- Required paydown (1,000.0) (1,000.0) (1,000.0) (1,000.0)
- Optional paydown (after min cash balance) (578.0) (580.8) (638.9) (702.8)
LBO Debt, End of Period 12,822.0 11,241.2 9,602.3 7,899.6
Questions:
1.What is the implied Enterprise Value in the exit year?
2.What is the implied Equity Value at the exit year?
3.What is the maximum amount financial sponsors can invest in this company?
Questions:
1.How much do sponsors have to acquire this company and pay off it's debt?
2.What is the highest purchase price the sponsors would be willing to pay for XYZ shares today?
d Annual Forecast
2017 2018 2019
9,663.1 10,629.4 11,692.3
10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
3,865.2 4,251.7 4,676.9 Assumed to remain constant with revenues for simplicity
40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
773.0 850.3 935.4 Assumed to remain constant with revenues for simplicity
8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
50.0 50.0 50.0 Beginning cash balance plus change in cash over the period
6,126.5 4,276.2 2,340.8 From Debt Schedule below
6,076.5 4,226.2 2,290.8 Net Debt = Debt - Cash
d Annual Forecast
2017 2018 2019
7,899.6 6,126.5 4,276.2 LTM Debt * LBO Debt Capacity
(1,000.0) (1,000.0) (1,000.0) Assumed to be $1,000 per year
(773.0) (850.3) (935.4) Excess cash on hand or generated throughout the year can be used to pay down debt
6,126.5 4,276.2 2,340.8
22,693.6
14,844.0
6,080.1
20,480.1
$39.96
Yes; 33%
premium
used to pay down debt