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THE FUTURE OF
LOGISTICS AND
SUPPLY CHAIN
MANAGEMENT
1. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
Inspiration sessions from
trendwatcher & futurist
RICHARD VAN
HOOIJDONK
2. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
CONTENTS
1.O 4.O
THE INTERNET 3D PRINTING
OF THINGS (IOT) PAGE 11
AND BIG DATA
PAGE 5
2.O 5.O
ROBOTS AND QUANTUM
AUTOMATION COMPUTING
PAGE 7 PAGE 12
3.O 6.O
DRONES AND BLOCKCHAIN
SELF-DRIVING PAGE 13
SYSTEMS
PAGE 9
3. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
INTRODUCTION
Logistics and supply chain management
have been defined by traditional
methods and the slow adoption of new
technology. But refining existing tech
has reached its practical limit, and
the demands of global businesses and
changing customer expectations are
pushing change. Customers are asking
for shorter lead times, lower prices, and
more frequent, smaller deliveries. And
the costs of mistakes, inefficiencies,
and missed deadlines is growing as
competition increases.
To meet these evolving expectations
and challenges, logistics will soon
adopt a slew of innovative, disruptive
technologies, transforming the industry
forever. The move to digital supply
chain management, leveraging the
power of the Internet of Things to
‘smarten’ logistics, will redefine what it
means to keep an eye on a delivery. Big
data will allow a level of optimisation
unheralded by the past, and the new,
smart automation of warehouses will
vastly improve efficiency while lowering
overheads. By investing in drones, self-
driving systems, and 3D printing, the
“We are at a turning point way products are delivered will undergo
in the industry where transformative change. And quantum
disruptive innovation is processing and Blockchain offer new,
required to meet the expo- exciting opportunities for supply chain
nentially growing customer management.
expectations.” In short, the future of logistics is high-
tech, defined by a new array of smart
- D a n n y H a lim , vi c e p re s i d e n t o f advances that offer a profound break
dis trib u tio n a n d 3 P L s t r a t e g i e s a t
JDA S o f tw a re
with the past.
4. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
1.0
1.O
The Internet of Things (IoT) is the connectivity that allows sensors, and enabling these sensing devices to communi-
smart devices to talk to one another, and it’s at the foun- cate, the logistics services of the future can guarantee the
dation of the supply chain management of the future. By kind of visibility that will allow them to stand out.
gathering and sharing information from and between
connected devices, the IoT is the beating heart of big data But when we speak of sensors, we mean far more than RFID
and the nervous system at the centre of the supply chain. badges or GPS tracking for cargo containers. The future of
Without it, supply chain management is essentially blind. sensors is sophistication and complex information gather-
ing. For instance, sensors embedded on pallets of perish-
“These are industries which, despite able goods can alert you to temperature fluctuations that
might damage items in transit, letting you know about an
the constant chatter about optimi- emerging problem before cargo is spoiled. Smart sensors
sation, streamlining and technology, in your trucks can tell you when they’ll need maintenance
remain bloated and inefficient.” before they break down in transit. And cargo containers
that know when they’re open, delivery trucks that signal
- F inb a rr Be rm in g h a m, G l o b a l Tr a d e R ev i e w when they’ve been idling for unusual periods, and wearable
smart badges that track the location of your delivery men
For instance, end-to-end visibility is critical for ensuring in the field, can help you lower costs by ensuring that your
delivery, increasing efficiency, and avoiding loss, spoilage, deliveries arrive as promised.
and unnecessary duplication. By harnessing the power of
5. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
Think of this as a process that begins with the IoT, moves Indeed, the savings of IoT optimisation can be enormous.
through data collection to analysis, resulting in improved As Finnbarr Bermingham reports for Global Trade Review:
customer service. The IoT is the glue binding a process of
refinement and analysis that improves the quality of your
service. Smart sensors are a company’s eyes in the field, Lasse Eriksson, vice-president of digitisation at
generating data about the strength of its logistics chain. Finnish company Cargotec, said that in the cargo
This data isn’t just information about where shipments trade, using smart devices to monitor and control
are - that’s the old way. Instead, think of the wealth of new vessel fuel consumption, to conduct requisite mainte-
information they provide: average idling times for delivery nance and repairs and to manage and co-ordinate the
trucks, temperature averages and extremes in transit, and fleet correctly could save US$350,000 per vessel per
the frequencies of various problems. By analysing this data, year. With more than 90,000 ships currently sailing
the companies of the future will refine their service and the world, that is a colossal US$32bn industry saving
enhance customer satisfaction. each year.
6. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
2.O
Robotics is revolutionising warehouses, and the future of warehouse logistics is a smart mix of humans and machines.
This was a disruption that was slow in the making, as the last generation of robotics was simply to clumsy, strong, and
stupid to improve warehousing. Moreover, until recently, the cost of machines exceeded the price of human labour.
116
ROBOT
50
39
20 19
OPERATOR 15 17
9 18
10
Source: www.consultancy.uk/news/12161/logistics-robots-to-make-40-of-sectors-low-skilled-workers-obsolete
7. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
But both concerns are falling to the new automation.
“With Sawyer able to undertake a
Amazon, perhaps the most forward thinking company
when it comes to warehouse robotics, went all-in in 2012, range of repetitive tasks on a variety
purchasing the robotics company, Kiva, to supply its grow- of products, its up-and-down-scalable
ing need for logistical automation. Over the last three years,
nature helps us fulfil e-commerce
it’s added no less than 15,000 robots a year, quickling build-
ing to a present total of 45,000. orders more efficiently.”
- M
ar k Par so n s, C h ie f C u st o m e r Of f ice r,
These tiny robots, just 40
D H L Su p p ly C h ain
centimetres tall, move in
collaborative order, lift- Traditionally, automation meant powerful, dangerous
ing entire shelves of stock equipment, demanding its own workspace, carefully sepa-
and bringing them to their rated from human beings. But a new generation of robotic
human coworkers for pro- coworkers - designed with collaboration in mind - are alter-
Click for video cessing. The people stay put, ing how warehousing works. Such ‘cobots’ are equipped
working at centralised fulfillment stations; the robots do the with sophisticated sensors that alert them to the presence
moving, and their precision, speed, and organisation means of their human partners, and they have a range of safety
that more items can move through a warehouse than ever features that allow them to work alongside people without
before. risking injury.
8. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
3.O
DRONES AND
SELF-DRIVING SYSTEMS
“Right now, we’re at a point where conventional technology is already at such
a high standard, there’s not much more room for improvement. As a result,
companies are looking for new technologies they can use.”
- A rne Vie h m e iste r-Ke r n e r, MU LT IR OTO R
Drones are small, unmanned aerial vehicles. They typically Unsurprisingly, Amazon is leading the way here, too. Given
use four propellers to provide lift, thrust, and control for a its tremendous investment in automation, this was the next
centralised, lightweight chassis. They’re fast, nimble, and logical step for the online retail giant. In March, it unveiled
strong, and depending on their size, they can carry signif- its first automated delivery, four pounds of sunscreen
icant payloads. Industry insiders like Aren Viehmeister- ferried by drone to a crowd at an outdoor conference.
Kerner think that the explosion in drone tech is driven
by the exhaustion of capacity in logistics. With consist- But the reality is still a few years from deployment. The US
ent double-digit growth in online shopping, for instance, Federal Aviation Authority needs to set guidelines for drone
logistic chains are reaching the limits of traditional tech. delivery, and that won’t happen overnight. But we have a
And improvements in materials, design, flight control, and good sense of what the service will look like when it’s oper-
battery life have led to these tiny workhorses to make the ational. Amazon doesn’t intend to use the drones for reg-
transition from expensive toys to cheap helpmates for ular delivery; they’re an emergency option for super-fast,
industry. one hour delivery. They’ll cruise at about 90 metres at a
9. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
© Otto/Uber
touch more than 95 kilometres per hour, dodging birds and If you think this is far-
obstacles with automated sensors. You’ll need an Amazon fetched, consider that
landing pad for the drones to recognise from the air, and Anheuser-Busch has already
when they see it, they’ll hover, slowly descending to deliver put autonomous delivery
your package before returning to base for a recharging. into action. It unveiled its
Realistically, you’ll need to live close to a distribution cen- own self-driving platform
tre - the drones won’t be crossing Texas to make deliveries. Click for video powered by Otto, a subsidi-
ary of Uber. It completed a 193-kilometre autonomous deliv-
We think drones will revolutionise the last mile problem for ery run in Colorado, paving the way for self-driving systems
hard to reach customers and urgent deliveries, and as the to assist or replace professional drivers for the 450 billion
tech improves even more, drone-ferried packages may end kilometres per year they log in the US alone.
up being more cost effective than current methods.
But even bigger disruptions are coming.
Self-driving systems, however, are poised to transform
logistics. They use sophisticated sensors, radar, and LIDAR Europe’s Maritime Unmanned Navigation through Intelli
to detect obstacles, see their position relative other objects, gence in Networks (MUNIN) project seeks to automate
and steer clear of hazards. And they’ve already proven ship traffic, the medium of 90 percent of the world’s goods.
themselves more than roadworthy. Fully automated ships would radically alter the calculus
of maritime logistics. Ørnulf Jan Rødseth, a scientist with
Freightliner developed the Highway Pilot program, leading the MUNIN project, insists that this is “an idea that opens
to the licensing (in Nevada) of its first autonomous truck. up entirely new possibilities in terms of new business
Its advanced sensors and smart driving algorithms allow models.You cannot underestimate how important it is.”
it to navigate roads better than a human driver can. As
Antuan Goodwin reports for CNET, “The truck can steer to
stay between lane markers and adjust its speed and braking
to maintain a safe following distance behind other cars on
the road, all while the driver is free to do other things.” The
human driver, however, is still an integral part of this deliv-
ery system. He’s needed to negotiate inclement weather,
interchanges and exits, and to drive surface roads and back
the trailer in for deliveries. For its part, the self-driving sys-
tem handles the long-haul cruising.
10. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
4.O
3D PRINTING
Major delivery players like UPS are exploring the power of 3D printing to
replace delivery for a variety of goods. 3D printing is a form of additive
manufacturing in which a high precision nozzle extrudes material in
layers, quickly building the desired shape. These printers are small, often
only slightly larger than a water cooler, and they can be installed anywhere.
As the cost of this technology has continued to drop, we anticipate a shift in
logistics from centralised hubs to decentralised printing stations, changing
the way products are delivered to customers.
The idea, says Tim Gohoc, managing director of UPS This instant delivery is a big sell with customers who need
Philippines, is to move to ‘zero inventory’ warehousing. The spare parts to continue production, for instance. With virtu-
ultimate idea is to deliver goods to a consumer instantly, ally no lead time, companies that leverage the power of 3D
and have them print the item in their homes or factories.“ printing as part of their logistical chain can quickly corner
On-demand manufacturing allows certain goods to be the market on this emerging tech.
transported digitally to their location before taking shape
as a physical product,” he explains.
11. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
5.O
QUANTUM COMPUTING
Logisticians nearly always have to consider the optimal route between
varying points. This sounds like a simple problem, but the number of varia-
bles induce calculations beyond the capacity of even the fastest computers.
To get around this problem, software engineers are forced to take shortcuts
and divide these mammoth calculations into smaller problems.
But the advent of quantum computing will end this, allow- fastest supercomputers decades to do. And while quantum
ing computers ‘to swallow complexity whole.’ Quantum processing is not better at every task than conventional
computing takes advantage of the strange properties of processing, for logistical calculations it will unlock answers
tiny particles. In some ways, they bend the laws of phys- that will transform supply chain management. They’ll be
ics, allowing some very interesting advances in computing. able to plan routes, order supply chains, and streamline
Normal computers depend on upon standard binary - a bit logistics to a level that has been simply unattainable with
can be encoded with either a 1 or a 0. But one of the strange existing tech.
properties at the quantum level is that quantum bits, or
qubits, can be more than one thing - representing both a 1 Until recently, however, the promise of quantum comput-
and a 0 at the same time. This property is called quantum ing was thought to be decades from commercial applica-
superposition. Moreover, and perhaps even stranger, quan- tion. But a first step was recently taken by D-Wave Systems,
tum particles are linked to each other in sometimes mys- who sell a ‘quantum chip’ that’s very good at optimisation
terious ways, entangled in such a way that more than one problems. Scientists don’t think that the D-Wave’s chip is
qubit immediately shares information, across space. This truly quantum - it relies on quantum annealing - rather than
allows the state of one qubit to depend on another, instantly. the real thing, but it’s already available and solving complex
This is called quantum entanglement. problems.
The combination of these two quantum properties means But the real thing is almost here. IBM is developing a true
that quantum processing is to conventional computing as quantum computer with 50 qubits of processing power, a
counting on your fingers is to your iPhone 7. A quantum large, expensive, unwieldy device the size of a refrigerator.
processor can handle enormously complicated calcula- They plan to sell this behemoth in the next few years, and it
tions, finishing a process in hours that would take even the promises to truly revolutionise… well, everything.
12. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
6.O
BLOCKCHAIN
“...This is a world premiere and a huge achievement considering the transac-
tion involved actual physical goods being traded across borders.”
- Auré lie n M e n a n t, t h e f o u n d e r a n d C E O o f G at e co in
You’re probably familiar with Blockchain as the software Similarly, Blockchain can do wonders for supply chain
undergirding Bitcoin. Blockchain can do this well because management.
it provides a secure, diffuse, transparent system to record
transactions. Here’s how it works. Information is embedded By joining Blockchain to the IoT and smart contracts, it’s
in a time-stamped block. This block is then placed between possible to make shipments and payments automatic and
two others, forming a chain. The chain is stored on every transparent, providing immediate payment when the con-
computer running Blockchain, ensuring that there’s never ditions of a contract are filled. The Commonwealth Bank
an outage. Moreover, these chains are publicly accessible of Australia (CBA), Wells Fargo and Brighann Cotton are
- guaranteeing transparency - and virtually unhackable. experimenting with an international shipment of 88 bales
To alter one block, you need to hack them all. of cotton from the supplier in Texas to the customer in
China. Using a digital smart contract and a distributed
But the power of Blockchain is useful for more than crypto ledger system like Blockchain, they’re doing away with the
currency. Because it can record any transactional informa- paperwork and uncertainty.
tion, it’s being considered for storing medical records, as it
would allow physicians to see a patient’s medical history We think this is the future of supply chain management.
over time. This is promising a new era in patient informa- Forget paperwork, signatures, and labour intensive manual
tion record keeping. processing. Distributed ledger systems, smart contracts,
and the IoT will enable a new era of autonomous logistical
management.
CONCLUSION
We promised that the future of logistics and supply chain management would constitute a radical break from the past, and
it’s clear we believe that to be true. From the data supplied by the IoT to self-driving systems, from advanced automation
to Blockchain, the next decades of logistics and supply chain management will enable faster, more efficient, more precise
delivery, allowing tomorrow’s companies to meet the growing needs of their customers.
13. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
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14. T H E F U T U R E O F L O G I S T I C S A N D S U P P LY C H A I N M A N A G E M E N T
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