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MANAGEMENT
EQUITY VALUATION
PROBLEM - 1
The following data has been extracted from a popular stock index.
The 100 day simple moving average as on 29/2/2000 is 4000. You are required
to calculate the 100 day exponential moving average starting from 1/3/2000.
(The value of exponent for 100 days may be taken as 0.02.)
Solution :
Col (D)
EMA for the day
Day At Ft-1 et Multiplied by
(F)
(A) (B) (C) (D) Exponent (E)
Ft=C + D
et
1 4100 4000.00 100.00 2.00 4002.50
2 4200 4002.00 198.00 3.96 4005.96
3 4350 4005.96 344.04 6.88 4012.84
4 4100 4012.84 87.16 1.74 4014.58
5 3850 4014.58 -164.58 -3.29 4011.29
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 2
Given below is the daily price information of Larsen & Toubro for the last 6
trading session in March, 1999.
i. Calculate the 50-day. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for Larsen &
Toubro. You can assume that the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA)
for the first day is Rs. 532.25.
Solution :
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
PROBLEM - 3
EC Limited, a manufacturer of electronic cards, is a listed company. The
current stock price of the company’s stock is Rs.160 per share. The earnings
and dividend growth prospects of the company are disputed by different
analysts. Mr. R. Ramamurthy is forecasting a growth of 7.50% for ever.
However, Mr. S. Prabhu is predicting a 25% growth in dividends for the next
three years after which the growth is to decline to a level of 5% p.a. forever.
The current dividend per share is Rs.11 and stocks of company’s of similar
risk are currently priced to provide 14% expected return.
ii. The intrinsic value of EC Limited’s share based on the projections of Mr. S.
Prabhu.
iii. The implied perpetual growth rate assuming that the stock is correctly
priced.
Solution :
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
D3 1 g 21.48 1.05
Price at the end of year 3, P3 250.60
0.14 0.05 0.09
iii. If we assume that the stock is currently correctly priced, the implied
perpetual growth rate is calculated as follows:
11 1 g
160
0.14 g
= 160 (0.14 - g) = 11 + 11g
= 22.4 - 160g = 11 + 11g
or, + 171g = +11.4
11.4
or, g 6.67%
171
PROBLEM - 4
Aksh Optima, is a company operating in a mature industry. Presently, its EPS
is Rs. 6.75. Aksh's dividend pay-out ratio is 60% and ROE is 10% and both of
these are expected to be the same in the near future. The beta of the company
is 0.86. The treasury bill rate is 9.86% and the average return from the market
is 15.26%.
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
ii. Calculate the intrinsic value of Aksh Optima shares using DDM while
considering that the company acquires another company and as a result
dividends grow at 20% for the next three years and return to the constant
historical growth rate from 4th year.
Solution :
ii. D0 = 4.05
5
SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 5
The Beta Coefficient of Target Ltd. is 1.4. The company has been maintaining
8% rate of growth in dividends and earnings. The last dividend paid was `4
per share. Return on government securities is 10%. Return on market portfolio
is 15%. The current market price of one share of Target Ltd. is `36.
Solution :
E(R P ) R f i [E(R m ) R f ]
= 10 + 1.4(15% - 10%) = 17%
4(1.08)
0.17 0.08
P0
4(1.08)
0.09
P0
4(1.08)
P0 `48
0.9
ii. The target Ltd’s equity share is valued at an equilibrium price of `48 and its
present market value is at `36. Hence it is recommended to purchase at
market price.
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
PROBLEM - 6
Consider a firm which is present in 3 industries –X, Y and Z. The firm has
20 crores shares outstanding. The following details are given :
Particulars X Y Z
Industry sales projected 5000 cr 15000 cr 20000 cr
Market share of the firm 20% 10% 15%
Net profit margin of the firm 18% 15% 25%
Use Re = 16.24%
i. Calculate the intrinsic value of the share if the firm has a 100% payout ratio.
ii. The firm follows a constant payout ratio of 70%. Its return on equity (ROE)
is expected to be Case I - 20%, Case II - 16.24%, Case III - 12%.Find the
intrinsic value of the share and comment.
Solution :
i. PAT1 = 18% × 20% × 5000 + 15% × 10% × 15000 + 25% × 15% × 20000
= 180 + 225 + 750
= 1155 cr.
1155
E1 57.75
20
There is 100% payout ratio D1 = E1 = 57.57 a perpetuity
A 57.75
N0 355.60
i .
01624
ii.
Particulars V = 20% V = 16.24% V = 12%
E1 57.75 57.75 57.75
D1 (70% × E1) 40.425 40.425 40.425
g 6% 4.872% 3.6%
Re 16.24% 16.24% 16.24%
PV0 D1 D1 D1
Re g Re g Re g
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 7
Megatron Ltd paid a dividend of `2.60 during the last year and the growth
rate in the dividends are expected to be 8%. The current market price of the
stock is `30.00. The beta of the stock is 1.60 and the return on the market index
is 13%. If the risk free rate of return is 8%, by how much should the price of
the stock be raised in percentage terms so that it is at equilibrium?
Solution :
Using CAPM, Re = Rf + (Rm - Rf)Beta
or, Re = 8 + (13 - 8) 1.6 = 16%
IVo = D1/(Re-g)
= 2.6(1.08)/(.16-.08) = 35.1
Po = 30
To reach at equilibrium level, Po = IVo.
so the stock should go from `30 to `35.1
i.e. (35.1 - 30)/30 100 = 17%
PROBLEM - 8
Yield on Govt. Securities = 7%
Market Risk Premium = 6%
It has been found that when the market return charges by 7.5%, the return in
stock changes by 15%
Calculate required rate of return on the stock?
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
Solution :
When the market changes by 7.5%, the stock return changes by 15%,
so the beta of the stock = 15/7.5 = 2.
As per CAPM, Re = Rf+(Rm-Rf)beta
= 7+6 2 = 19%.
PROBLEM - 9
Consider a no growth firm with 100% payout ratio. It is trading in the market
at a PE multiple of 12. If systematic risk fall by 25%. Calculate revised P/E
Ratio. Use Rf = 4%, and market risk premium = 6%.
Solution :
1
For a no growth firm Re
P E ratio
1
8.33%
12
CAPM : Re = Rf + (Rm - Rf)
8.33 = 4 + 6
= 0.72
New = 0.72 - 0.72 × 25% = 0.54
New Re = 4 + 6 ×
= 4 + 6 × 0.54
= 7.24%
Revised P/E ratio
1
13.81 times
0.724
9
SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 10
Mr. Jain, an analyst is evaluating Tedat Industries Ltd. (TIL). The company has
maintained high growth rates in the face of strong competition in the last few
years; it has done so while maintaining high returns on capital. The
fundamentals suggest that growth will continue to be high and given the size
of the market and potential growth (as well as the strong brand name
identification), growth seems sustainable for a longer period.
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
Solution :
i.
Yrs Growth EPS Payout DPS Re PV
Rate of EPS Ratio
1 25% 40 20% 8 1.4 25.4% 6.38
2 25% 50 20% 10 1.4 25.4% 6.36
3 25% 62.5 20% 12.5 1.4 25.4% 6.34
4 25% 78.13 20% 15.63 1.4 25.4% 6.32
5 25% 97.66 20% 19.53 1.4 25.4% 6.30
6 22% 119.14 28% 33.36 1.32 17.88 9.13
7 19% 141.78 36% 51.04 1.24 17.16 11.92
8 16% 164.46 44% 72.36 1.16 16.44% 14.52
9 13% 185.84 52% 96.64 1.08 15.72% 16.76
10 10% 204.43 60% 122.66 1 15% 18.49
102.5
Stage 3
Horizon Period (Beyond 10 yrs)
D11 = 122.66 × 1.1 = 134.93
D11 134.93
P10 2698.6
Re g 015
. 010
.
18.49
PV of P10 P10
122.66
18.49
2698.6 = 406.79
122.66
Share price today = 406.79 +102.5
= 509.29
Pr ice 509.29
ii. P/E ratio of TIL 15.92 .
EPS 32
This is significantly less than P/E ratio of top 5 firms in the industry.
So, TIL is relatively underpriced - Mr. Jain is advised to buy the stock.
11
SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 11
Solution :
Step 1 : NOPAT for the next yr.
Revenue 7500
(-) Operating Expenses Including dep 4500
EBIT 3000
NOPAT @ 70% (3000 × 70%) = 2100
Growth 12%
NOPAT1 2100 × 1.12 = 2352
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
FCFF1
Value of the firm
Re g
1536
51, 200 cr
0.15 0.12
Less : Value of debt = (7000 cr)
Value of Equity = 44200 cr
No. of Shares = 250 cr
44200
PV0 176.8
250
PROBLEM - 12
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
Solution :
i. Rf + (Rm - Rf)
= 6.25 + 5.5 × 1.05
= 12.025%
D0 = 1.7; g = 7% D1 = 1.7 × 107% = 1.819
D1 1.819
PV0 36.20
Re g 012025
. 0.07
FCFE1 2.5294
PV0 50.34
Re g 012025
. 0.07
iii.The value estimates as per DDM & FCFE ave different because of difference
in the estimate of D & FCFE - D is 1.819 & where as FCFE, is 2.5294
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
PROBLEM - 13
Zanskar Advisors (ZA) announced that the current financial year's income
statement reports its net income to be ` 15,00,000. Zanskar marginal tax rate is
30 percent, and its interest expense for the year was ` 10,00,000. The company
has ` 60,00,000 of invested capital, of which 60 percent is debt. In addition,
AAA tries to maintain a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) near 10
percent.
Solution :
i. PAT = 15,00,000
tax rate = 30%
PBT = 21,42,857
Add : interest expense = 10,00,000
31,42,857 EBIT
ii. NOPAT = EBIT (1 - t) = 22,00,000
(- ) Capital Charge = 6000000 × 10% = 600000
EVA = Nopat - Capital Charge
= 22,00,000 - 6,00,000 = 16,00,000
iii.Maximum DPS = EVA/share
= 16,00,000/4,00,000 = ` 4
In fact, if big basket does not pay dividend, retained earnings will be higher
resulting in higher capital employee i.e higher EVA & therefore higher value
of the firm.
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 14
Splash is a small but profitable produced of beauty cosmetics using the plant
Aloe Vera. This is not a high-tech business, but Splash earnings have average
around `16 lakh after tax, largely on the strength of its patented beauty cream
for removing the pimples.
The patent has eight years to run, and Herbal has been offered ` 60 lakhs for
the patent rights. Splash assets include ` 25 lakhs of working capital and
` 90 lakhs of property, plant, and equipment. The pat-ent is not shown on
Splash books. Suppose Splash cost of capital is 12 percent. What is its
Economic Value Added (EVA)?
Solution :
In the absence of interest information, NOPAT = PAT = 16
Capital employed including patent = 60 + 25 + 90 = 175
Capital Charge = 12% × 175 = 21
EVA = 16 - 21 = (5) lakhs.
PROBLEM - 15
Using the SOPV approach(or Break-up value approach), assign a value for ITC
Ltd. Whose stock is currently trading at a total market price of `8 million. For
ITC, the accounting data set forth three business segments : Cigarettes, FMCG,
and paper. Data for the firm's three segments are as follows:
` in lakhs
Business segment Segment sales Segment assets Segment income
Cigarettes 30 15 2
FMCG 16 14 3
Paper 40 60 12
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
Industry data for 'pure play' firms have been compiled and summarized as
follows:
Solution :
I. Valuation of Cig Division
Using sales = P/S × Sales
= 1.5 ×30 = 45
Using Assets = 15 × 1.2 = 18
Using Sales = 40 × 2 = 80
Using Assets = 60 × 1.2 = 72
Using Operating Income = 12 × 12 = 144
Average = 98.67
As per the Sum of Parts Approach , value of ITC = 34.13 + 34.33 + 98.67
= 167.13 Lacs
Given the current market value of ITC i.e. 80 Lacs it seems to be trading cheap
& a long position is advisable.
17
SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 16
The market price of Axis Ltd. Is Rs. 80. The current EPS is Rs. 7 and is
expected to grow at the rate of 3% per year. The present dividend retention
ratio is 40% and is expected to stay at this level in the future. If the investor
decides to buy and hold it for four years, what should be the ending P/E ratio,
if the investor's required return is 13% during the holding period?
Solution :
Given,
Current market price = Rs. 80
Current EPS = Rs. 7
Growth rate in earnings = 3%
Retention ratio = 40%
Holding period = 4 years
Required rate of return = 13%
The price of the share, P0 is equal to the PV of the dividend stream for four
years and the PV of the market price at the end of the fourth year. The market
price at the end of the fourth year
EPS 4 P / E E 0 1 g P / E 4
4
E0 1 g Payout ratio E0 1 g P /E 4
t 4
4
P0
1 k 1 k
t 4
t 1
80
1 0.13 1 0.13
2
1 0.13
3
1 0.13
4
1 0.13
4
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
PROBLEM - 17
Calculate the value of share of Avenger Ltd. from the following information:
Solution :
` 1200 crore
No. of Shares 30 Crores
` 40
PAT
EPS
No. of shares
` 300 crore
EPS ` 10.00
30 crore
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
EQUITY-Additional Practice Questions
PROBLEM - 18
XN Ltd. reported a profit of ` 100.32 lakhs after 34% tax for the
financial Year 2015- 2016. An analysis of the accounts reveals that the income
included extraordinary items of ` 14 lakhs and an extraordinary loss of
` 5 lakhs. The existing operations, except for the extraordinary items, are
expected to continue in future. Further, a new product is launched and
the expectations are as under:
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SANJAY SARAF SIR
Strategic Financial Management
Solution :
i. Computation of Business Value
(` Lakhs)
100.32 152
Profit before tax
1 0.34
Less: Extraordinary income (14)
Add: Extraordinary losses 5
Profit from new product 143
(` Lakhs)
Sales 70
Less: Material costs 20
Labour costs 16
Fixed costs 10
(46) 24
167.00
Less: Taxes @34% 56.78
Future Maintainable Profit after taxes 110.22
Relevant Capitalisation Factor 0.12
Value of Business (`110.22/0.12) 918.50
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SANJAY SARAF SIR