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Prepared For:
Chairman of the Special Committee
of the Board of Directors
Hudson’s Bay Company
401 Bay Street, Suite 500
Toronto, Ontario M5H 2Y4
Prepared By:
Cushman & Wakefield ULC
Valuation & Advisory
250 – 6 Avenue SW, Suite 2400
Calgary, AB T2P 3H7
In fulfillment of our agreement as outlined in the Letter of Engagement, we are pleased to transmit our appraisal
of the above property in a self-contained report based on an effective date of July 15, 2019.
This appraisal report has been prepared in accordance with our interpretation of your institution’s guidelines and
FIRREA and the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP). This document has been
prepared in accordance with the Code of Ethics & Standards of Professional Practice, and the Canadian Uniform
Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (The Standards) promulgated by the Appraisal Institute of Canada
and L’Ordre des Évaluateurs Agrées du Québec.
Based on the agreed-to Scope of Work, and as outlined in the report, we developed the following opinions:
Value Conclusions
Real Property
Appraisal Premise Interest Date of Value Value Conclusion
Market Value As-If-Leased at Economically Viable Rate Leased Fee July 15, 2019 $0
As Dark Market Value As if Leased to an Alternative Single Tenant Leased Fee July 15, 2019 $8,000,000
As Dark Market Value As if Subdivided and Leased to Multiple Alternative Tenants Leased Fee July 15, 2019 $10,800,000
Market Value As If Dark Leased Fee July 15, 2019 $10,800,000
Compiled by Cushman & Wakefield
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD ULC
VALUATION & ADVISORY
250 – 6 AVENUE SW, SUITE 2400
CALGARY, AB T2P 3H7
1. Market Value as if Leased at Market: This premise is based on the assumption that the space will be
leased to Hudson’s Bay Company at a contract rental rate that is economically viable for Hudson’s Bay
Company, based on their forecast store sales, and as part of a new multi-property master lease.
2. Market Value as if Leased to an Alternative Single Tenant: This premise is based on the assumption
that the space is leased to an alternative (unknown) tenant a market rental rate. Rental rates have been
determined based on our analysis of comparable leases, with additional consideration given to
occupancy costs.
3. Market Value as if Subdivided and Leased to Multiple Alternative Tenants: This premise is based on
the assumption that the space is subdivided and leased to multiple alternative (unknown) tenants at
market rental rates. Rental rates have been determined based on our analysis of comparable leases.
4. Market Value as if Dark: This is based on the assumption that the space is not leased, and that a
prudent purchaser would recognize lease-up costs for the external space not currently occupied by third-
party tenants. This is consistent with a “Dark Value” methodology.
EXTRAORDINARY ASSUMPTIONS
For a definition of Extraordinary Assumptions please see the Glossary of Terms & Definitions. The use of
extraordinary assumptions, if any, might have affected the assignment results.
Our opinion of Market Value as if Subdivided and Leased to Multiple Alternative tenants is based on an estimated
reconfiguration of the building into multiple tenant spaces. We assumed the proposed division of the building is
possible and that the various tenant spaces would all have direct access. We have not inspected the property
and are not qualified to provide precise costs for dividing and renovating this space. Furthermore, the exact
configuration under a multi-tenant scenario is highly speculative and would likely be dependent upon specific
tenant demand. This valuation assumes the property will be reconfigured as summarized in our report and at a
cost consistent with the our estimate of landlord costs.
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD ULC
VALUATION & ADVISORY
250 – 6 AVENUE SW, SUITE 2400
CALGARY, AB T2P 3H7
HYPOTHETICAL CONDITIONS
For a definition of Hypothetical Conditions please see the Glossary of Terms & Definitions. The use of
hypothetical conditions, if any, might have affected the assignment results.
Our opinions of value related to an alternative tenant or tenants are based on the Hypothetical Condition that the
existing master lease has been terminated and the property is leased to an alternative tenant or tenants at market
terms and has achieved stabilized occupancy.
Our opinion of Market Value As If Vacant is based on the Hypothetical Condition that the existing master lease
has been terminated and the property is available for immediate occupancy by an alternative tenant or tenants.
Our opinion of Market Value as if Subdivided and Leased to Multiple Alternative tenants is based on an estimated
reconfiguration of the building into multiple tenant spaces. It is unknown whether this would be restricted under
any REA agreement or whether consent from the shopping center owner or other tenants would be required. We
have appraised the property under the hypothetical condition that any such consent is not required or has been
granted.
This letter is invalid as an opinion of value if detached from the report, which contains the text, exhibits, and
Addenda.
Respectfully submitted,
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD ULC
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
BASIC INFORMATION
Common Property Name: The Bay Downtown Store Report Type: Narrative
Address: 450 Portage Avenue Interest Appraised: Leased Fee Interest
City: Winnipeg Date of Value: Monday, July 15, 2019
Province: Manitoba Date of Inspection: Thursday July 18, 2019
CW File Reference: 19-614-900xxx Date of Report: Thursday, August 01, 2019
SALES HISTORY
Sale Date: No sale activity within the past Ownership: Hudson's Bay Company
3 years
SITE INFORMATION
Land Area Gross SF: 95,832 Site Utility: Good
Land Area Acres: 2.20 Site Topography: At street level
Is there additional Excess Land? No Site Shape: Rectangular
Excess Land Area SF: 0 Frontage: Good
Excess Land Area Acres: 0.00 Access: Good
Total Land Area SF: 95,832 Visibility: Good
Total Land Area Acres: 2.20 Location Rating: Good
Flood Zone: None Number of Parking Spaces: 0
Parking Ratio (per 1,000 sf): N/A Parking Type: Outdoor
BUILDING INFORMATION
Type of Property: Department store Actual Age: 93 Years
Type of Construction: Reinforced concrete and limestone Quality: Good
Number of Buildings: 1 Condition: Average
Net Rentable Area: 515,523 SF Year Built: 1926
Number of Levels: 6 Year Renovated: Ongoing
MUNICIPAL INFORMATION
Assessor's Parcel Identification: 12091532500 Subject's assessment is: Above market
Assessing Authority: Winnipeg Municipality Governing Zoning: Winnipeg
Current Tax Year: 2019 Current Zoning: M - Multiple Use
Current Tax Liability: $302,298 Current Use Compliance: Complying use
Taxes per square foot: $0.59 Zoning Change Applied For: No
Are taxes current? Taxes are current Zoning Variance Applied For: Not applicable
Is a grievance underway? Not to our knowledge
S WOT A NALYSIS
SWOT ANALYSIS
The SWOT or Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats, analysis provides general and specific insight
relative to a particular asset or entity; in this case, the subject property. The chart below outlines our
conclusions.
Strengths Weakness
The subject benefits from an excellent The property is an older department store built
retail location along Portage Avenue in in 1925 and 1926 and requires continual
downtown Winnipeg. maintenance and upkeep.
Extensive renovations to the building Only 3 floors are currently occupied. The
were made in 1986 and 1987. HBC remaining 3 are permanently closed.
invested $4 million to update the first,
second, and third floors, $200,000 on the
sixth floor, and a further $700,000 on the
basement and fourth floor.
Opportunities Threats
The subject has the opportunity for future Competition for retail shopping would come
redevelopment in the medium to long mostly from other retail stores mainly from
term given the particular location and downtown shopping centres such as Portage
redevelopment occurring in proximity to Place, Portage and Main and Cityplace.
the subject, particularly relating to multi- Winnipeg also has various shopping options
residential projects. within an 8 km radius such as Polo Park,
Kildonan Place and St Vital Centre
E XTRAORDINARY A SSUMPTIONS
This appraisal does not employ any extraordinary assumptions.
H YPOTHETICAL C ONDITION
None invoked.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB PROPERTY PHOTOGRAPHS IV
PROPERTY PHOTOGRAPHS
INT E R S ECT IO N O F P O RT AG E AV E AN D M EM O RI AL BL VD
VI EW AL O NG V AU G H AN , E AS T EL E V AT I O N O F T H E B AY
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB PROPERTY PHOTOGRAPHS V
ST O R E INT E RI O R – G RO U ND FLO O R
LE V EL 2
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB PROPERTY PHOTOGRAPHS VII
LE V EL 3
LE V EL 4
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB PROPERTY PHOTOGRAPHS VIII
LE V EL 5
5T H FL O O R
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB PROPERTY PHOTOGRAPHS IX
SITE PLAN
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1
REGIONAL MAP --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3
LOCAL AREA MAP ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4
LOCAL AREA ANALYSIS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
LOCATION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
ACCESS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
NEARBY AND ADJACENT USES ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
AERIAL MAP-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6
COMPETITION OVERVIEW ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7
ENCLOSED SHOPPING CENTRE COMPETITORS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8
PROPERTY ANALYSIS------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 27
SITE DESCRIPTION--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 27
IMPROVEMENTS DESCRIPTION --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 29
ASSESSMENT AND PROPERTY TAXES ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 31
ZONING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 32
VALUATION AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 35
HIGHEST AND BEST USE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 35
RENTAL ANALYSIS --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 37
DIRECT CAPITALIZATION METHOD ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 42
1. STABILIZED VALUE - ALTERNATIVE SINGLE TENANT ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 44
2. STABILIZED VALUE - ALTERNATIVE MULTI-TENANT ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 45
3. GO DARK VALUATION-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 46
ADDENDA CONTENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 48
ADDENDUM A: ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITING CONDITIONS -------------------------------------------------------------- 49
ADDENDUM B: CERTIFICATION OF APPRAISAL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 52
ADDENDUM C: GLOSSARY OF TERMS AND DEFINITIONS ----------------------------------------------------------------- 53
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB INTRODUCTION 1
INTRODUCTION
SCOPE OF WORK
This appraisal, presented in a Self-contained (Full narrative) report, is intended to comply with the reporting
requirements outlined under the USPAP for a self-contained appraisal report.
The scope of this appraisal required collecting primary and secondary data relevant to the subject property.
Improved sales and rental rates were researched in the subject’s market, rental data was analyzed, and the input
of buyers, sellers, brokers, property developers and public officials was considered. A physical inspection of the
property was made. In addition, the general regional economy as well as the specifics of the subject’s local area
was investigated.
This appraisal employs 1 variation of the Income Approach - the Direct Capitalization Method (primary approach)
Based on our analysis and knowledge of the subject property type and relevant investor profiles, it is our opinion
that this approach would be considered applicable and/or necessary for market participants. Typical purchasers
do not generally rely on the Cost Approach when purchasing a property such as the subject of this report.
Therefore, we have not utilized the Cost Approach to develop an opinion of market value.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB INTRODUCTION 2
T ERM S O F R EF E R EN CE
IDENTIFICATION OF PROPERTY
REGIONAL MAP
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB INTRODUCTION 4
Downtown Winnipeg has been a particular focus of redevelopment over the past few years with over $900 million
invested in or committed to 140 projects including the Bell MTS arena, Millennium Library and Manitoba Hydro’s
office tower. Many best in class multi residential condominium and rental projects, including Sterling Lofts and
Avenue on Portage, have been completed in proximity to the subject with 300 Main currently under development.
ACCESS
The subject property has frontage on Portage Avenue, Vaughan Street and Memorial Boulevard. The property is
accessible by traffic routes, pedestrian walkways/crossings, and local public transit. There are several Impark
parking lots available nearby and close to adjoining office and retail developments.
AERIAL MAP
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB LOCAL AREA ANALYSIS 7
COMPETITION OVERVIEW
MARKET ANALYSIS
CANADIAN ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
K EY I NDIC ATORS
The economy slowed to a crawl in 2018 Q4, weakening more than expected mainly due to sharply lower
investment. Looking ahead, reduced business investment combined with higher inventories in Q4 do not bode
well for growth. We think the economy will eke out a similarly modest gain in Q1 before gradually improving. On
an annual basis, GDP growth is forecast to slow from 1.8% in 2018 to 1.1% in 2019 and 1.2% in 2020. The
weak, below-potential outlook reflects waning demand in interest-sensitive housing and autos, oil production cuts
in Alberta, and sluggish business investment and trade. While we expect below-potential growth for the economy
over the next two years, we still do not foresee a recession.
On a more positive note, the Canadian economy added 290,000 jobs (1.6%) in the last half year – that’s almost
50,000 a month. Surprisingly strong job growth in recent months will provide a near-term boost to household
disposable income. However, we expect only modest gains in consumer spending as the unsustainable pace of
job creation slows, and past increases in lending rates increase debt servicing costs and curb spending on big-
ticket items.
A more broadly-based economic slowdown than expected led the Bank of Canada to keep its policy rate
unchanged at its March meeting. As noted by the Bank, many central banks recognize the global economy is
now facing increasing headwinds, and have eased monetary conditions as a result. We think the Bank of Canada
will remain on hold this year as it awaits a sustainable improvement in growth before raising rates again. Should
growth not pick up, however, we will see pressure build to cut rates.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 10
FORECAST OVERVIEW
Growing labor supply: although slowing, Canada’s working age population is expected to grow at a faster rate
than in most other advanced economies, supporting long-term potential growth.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 12
BACKGROUND
E CONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Canada is a market economy, where most decisions are taken by private individuals and firms. The economy is
diversified, though huge deposits of tar sands give Canada the second largest reserves of oil in the world, and
have increased the importance of the country’s energy sector in recent years (however, the price of oil has to
remain quite high to make such production economically viable). Although commodities and manufacturing
account for relatively small shares of total output and employment, they account for over half of Canada’s exports.
P OL ITIC S
Canada is a parliamentary democracy and constitutional monarchy. Parliament is comprised of three distinct
parts: the Queen, the Senate, and the House of Commons. The House of Commons, containing 338 sitting
members, is the main seat of power of Parliament, and is able to propose, debate, and vote on bills before they
become law. Importantly, only the House of Commons can propose changes to fiscal policy. Federal elections
are conducted every four years, with an election now on the horizon in October 2019.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 14
S UMMARY
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 15
Despite Alberta easing its oil production cap, transportation bottlenecks continue to weigh on output. As a result,
we expect its economic growth to stall this year, but then to average 2% annually from 2020-23 – still Canada’s
best-performing province in the longer term.
The key drivers that propelled the housing market during the past several years are unwinding. Our outlooks for
Vancouver and Toronto are weaker than for other Canadian metros, with house prices in these core cities
projected to grow by only 0.6% and 0.9% per year through 2023.
The good news for many peripheral regions is that they lack the housing malaise of Canada’s largest. However,
they face downside risks from weakened global commodity prices – notably potash in Saskatchewan, and
uranium in Manitoba. Atlantic Canada remains the country’s slowest-growing region in our five-year forecast.
Canada’s commodities sector remains under pressure – in particular from cutbacks in oil output, heightened US
production, and softer global demand (Oxford Economics forecasts the West Texas Intermediate oil price to
remain stuck in the high-$50/barrel range for the next few years.). But this outlook isn’t exclusive to crude oil:
industrial metals production in Saskatchewan and Manitoba is also facing waning global demand.
Weaker energy production, which is an extremely capital-intensive activity, will weigh on overall business
investment this year. At the same time, Canada must contend with weakened international demand for durable
exports, such as transport equipment and machinery. Private business investment is therefore projected to
decline by 1.7% in 2019, while export growth is decelerating. Furthermore, production cuts at General Motors
and Bombardier will cause ripple effects throughout their supply chains in Ontario and Quebec. With the
collection of downside risks mounting, our probability forecast of a major downturn in the Canadian economy
within the next 12 months has increased.
The volume of home sales is therefore trending down, and price appreciation has stalled. Canadian consumers
are deleveraging to reduce their debts, and mortgage growth is at its slowest pace since 2002. On the upside,
however, overall credit quality may be improving. The share of new high-ratio borrowers (with loan-to-value ratios
above 80%, or mortgages in excess of 450% of income) dropped to less than 10% of all new mortgages in 2018,
according to research from the Bank of Canada.
Consumer debt levels are unsustainable, and deleveraging will be healthy in the long-run, but it will take its toll on
Canadian metros in the near-term. According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, the debt-to-
personal disposable income ratio in Vancouver and Toronto was 242% and 208% respectively, compared to
178% for Canada overall as of 2018 Q2. The Bank of Canada’s recent Monetary Policy Report stated: “The
combined effect of tighter mortgage guidelines and higher interest rates has been larger than previously
estimated” – suggesting the effects of this deleveraging are indeed being felt.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 17
Our outlook in Vancouver and Toronto is weaker than in other Canadian cities, with their house prices forecast to
grow by average annual rates of 0.6% and 0.9% respectively through 2023. This represents a significant
deceleration from recent history. Indeed, a weaker outlook for the housing market – the primary source of wealth
for most households – will also weigh on discretionary spending. During 2019-21, annual consumer spending
growth in these two cities will slow more than Canada overall.
However, while Alberta is now easing its oil production cap, transportation bottlenecks will continue to weigh on
its output. We therefore forecast the province’s economic growth to stall this year, before averaging around 2%
annually from 2020-23.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 18
The upshot is that, while Alberta’s economic growth will be slow in the immediate future, the province should
avoid the dramatic cuts to employment and income suffered during its last supply glut. Over the longer term, we
continue to expect slower growth relative to previous cycles, when US$100/barrel oil made Canadian oil sands’
extraction much more profitable. Nonetheless, the Wild Rose province is still expected to outperform all other
regions over our forecast period.
Furthermore, Saskatchewan’s uranium industry faces weak global fundamentals, and its McArthur River Mine is
shuttering for the foreseeable future. Neighboring Manitoba faces similar pressures, with its iron ore and nickel
mines having paused production in recent quarters. But on the upside, both provinces have sizable agricultural
and food manufacturing sectors that could be supported by the soft Canadian dollar, and both also have less
exposure to mortgage credit than Ontario and British Columbia.
Atlantic Canada remains the country’s slowest-growing region over our latest forecast period. Some of its
provinces will experience a continued decline in population. Key industries such as fishing, lumber, and energy,
will continue to struggle. GDP growth for the entire region is unlikely to surpass an annual average of 1% per
through 2023. Halifax, Atlantic Canada’s largest city, should outperform the broader region, however, thanks to
its superior demographics. Its shipbuilding industry, presently driven by naval contracts, should support growth in
its manufacturing sector at an average annual rate of 1.7% over the next five years.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 19
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 20
Although the province is rich in natural resources and fertile farmland, its
manufacturing sector is the largest segment, and accounts for 11% of total GDP. Manitoba is home to Canada’s
largest manufacturing plants for furniture, doors, windows and cabinetry. It is also North America’s largest
producer of intercity and urban buses. The province is also home to many major service sector operations,
including the head offices of two of Canada’s major financial corporations – Great-West Lifeco and IGM Financial,
and one of the country’s largest media companies - CanWest
Global Communications Corp. Manitoba’s economy Manitoba Economic Indicators Change Q2 2019
continues to be recognized as one of the most diversified in 2018 2019 YOY
Indicator
Canada. Estimate Forecast Change
Real GDP 1.60% 1.30%
Canada’s only agricultural commodity exchange is located in
Winnipeg, making the city the centre of Canada’s grain trade. Unemployment 6.00% 5.50%
The province is also a major North American transportation
Employment Growth 0.60% 1.60%
hub. Manitoba’s competitive operating costs and taxes have
made Manitoba one of the least expensive provinces in Home Sales -5.90% 4.30%
Canada to do business. Among representative North
Housing Starts (000's) 7.4 5.7
American cities, both small and large manufacturers in
Brandon and Winnipeg rank at or near the best on start-up Source: TD Economics, June 2019
Manitoba’s economy grew at a slower pace in 2018 compared to the 2.9% GDP growth in 2017. The
unemployment rate increased slightly in 2018 to 6.0% and is forecasted to decrease by the end of 2019 to 5.5%.
The first half of 2018 however experienced decreased retail spending, weaker home building and strained rail
capacity. GDP growth is expected to slow down further into 2019, with an expected GDP growth of 1.3%.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 21
E MPLOYMENT
According to Statistics Canada, employment in Manitoba increased by 6,000 positions or 0.08% in May 2019 from
the previous month. This trend correlated on a year by year basis with employment seeing an increase of 1.12%
as compared to May 2018.
H OUSING STARTS
According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), housing starts were estimated at 1,336 units
as of Q1 2019, up from 1,228 units in the same timeframe in the previous year. However, completions have
decreased slightly from Q1 2018, with 2,418 unit completions vs. 2,073 unit completions in the same time frame
in 2019.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 22
According to national census conducted by the Statistics Canada, the City of Winnipeg’s’ population was
estimated at 705,244 people, up from 663,617 as per the census in 2011. The City of Winnipeg forecasts the
population to grow at 1.2% yearly growth through 2035.
Winnipeg’s economy is highly diverse, with key sectors including Advanced Manufacturing, Agri-Business,
Aerospace, Cultural Industries, Energy & Environment, Financial Services, ICT, Life Sciences, Tourism, and
Transportation & Distribution. The city has the most diversified manufacturing sector in Western Canada. As well,
Winnipeg has a strong financial sector which contributes approximately 7.7% of the metropolitan area’s gross
domestic product.
K EY E CONOMIC I NDICATORS
EMPLOYMENT VS. UNEMPLOYMENT
Employment totals saw a slight increase of 1.6% as of May 2019, year-over-year. The unemployment rate
experienced a 1.2% increase during the same time period.
BUILDING PERMITS
For April 2019, residential building permits saw an overall decrease while the non-residential sector witnessed an
overall increase. The year-to-date values saw an increase in the total value of building permits in both residential
and the non-residential sectors.
Sector April 2018 April 2019 Change (%) YTD April 2018 YTD April 2019 Change (%)
HOUSING STARTS
YTD May 2019 housing starts totaled 2,144 units, up 22.94% from the 1,744 starts seen in in the same time
frame in 2018. Year-to-date completions also experienced an increase year-over-year from 1,899 from January
2018-May 2018 to 1,952 from January 2019-May 2019.
CPI
From March 2019 to April 2019, prices paid by consumers for goods and services, as measured by the Consumer
Price Index (CPI) basket, increased marginally by 0.4% in Winnipeg, Manitoba increased by 0.9% and Canada’s
CPI increased by 0.3%.
W INNIPEG O FFIC E
Winnipeg’s overall office vacancy rate increased to 9.0% in the first quarter of 2019, up from 6.7% in Q4 2018.
Overall CBD vacancy in Q1 2019 increased to 10.3% from 10.0% in the previous quarter. This was primarily due
to leasing activity the Class B buildings of the CBD, which experienced vacancy rate increase of 1.2%.
In the suburban market, Winnipeg’s overall vacancy rate increased slightly to 9.0% in Q1 2019, up from 8.9% the
previous quarter.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB MARKET ANALYSIS 24
W INNIPEG I ND USTRIAL
Winnipeg exhibited strong growth levels as 2018 came to a close. The northwest and east submarkets in
Winnipeg experienced 110,000 square feet of new supply, mostly consisting of new generation warehousing. The
city was able to attract more out of town, new to Winnipeg clients through the new developments offering
modernized buildings.1
Market Snapshot
Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Trend
Net Absorption 101,355 (96,672) DOWN
Vacancy Rate 2.7% 3.0% UP
Average Asking Rent $7.01 $7.34 UP
Average Additional Rent $3.29 $3.39 UP
Source: Colliers Winnipeg Industrial Market Report Q4 2018
A summary of the current industrial market conditions for Winnipeg is provided in the table previously.
The biggest hindrance for new developments of industrial space is the lack of serviced land in the city. However,
the northwest quadrant has been bringing in serviced land in the CentrePort Canada area with a high amount of
land sales sold within the area in the latter part of 2018. Tenants and owners have actively been pursuing these
land parcels, however, it will still be sometime before Winnipeg’s industrial market feels the effects of the new
growth. 2
VACANCY RATES
Winnipeg industrial vacancy rates have remained Fully Serviced Industrial Parks - Winnipeg
Industrial Park Park Owner Acres
persistently low in recent years, with slight uptick in Privately owned (originally)
Q4 2018 with a 3.0% vacancy from the 2.7% Murray Industrial Park Developed by the City of Winnipeg 180
W INNIPEG R ETA IL
32
Headingley Business Park RM of Headingley Industrial lots
Source: Economic Development Winnipeg
According to Colliers International, Winnipeg
experienced a notable decrease of 1.63% in vacancy and finished 2018 at 6.56%. The market experienced a
decrease in vacancy in all property categories except Convenience Centres. With portions of the Sears vacancy
absorbed and the last remaining Target building being largely occupied, the Regional Mall category experienced
a decrease in vacancy of 5.37%, however Regional Mall vacancy still remains high at 13.43%. If the remaining
Sears vacancy of 421,000 square feet is removed from the index the Regional Mall category would have been
3.64% bringing the overall market vacancy down to a very respectable rate of 3.81 %. 3
According to the Retail Council of Canada, Manitoba reported total retail sales of $20.4 billion, with core-retail
sales of $12.5 billion across 4,712 stores. As of June 2019, there are approximately 65,960 jobs in the retail
sector.
PROPERTY ANALYSIS
SITE DESCRIPTION
IMPROVEMENTS DESCRIPTION
The following description of improvements is based on our physical inspection of the improvements and our
discussions with the subject property’s owner’s representative.
BUILDING OVERVIEW
The Bay building is a reinforced concrete structure with concrete roof and floor slabs. Over 2
million feet of lumber and 125,000 cubic feet of limestone also went into the original construction.
The retail building has two traction passenger elevators, four traction freight elevators and various
pairs of escalators.
BUILDING AREAS
According to the client, the building area measurements are as follows (in sq ft):
The Bay - Winnipeg
Per HBC Plans - March 2019
Floor Gross Area (sf) Net Area (sf) Non-Selling (sf)
Level 1 63,855 38,930 29,277
Level 2 66,792 49,002 17,177
Level 3 - - 80,136
Level 4 17,023 11,197 80,093
Level 5 1,716 - 80,102
Level 6 - - 80,128
Gross Area Per Information Provided by Client: 655,755 sf
DEVELOPMENT HISTORY
The Bay building was originally constructed in 1925 and 1926. Extensive renovations to the
building were made in 1986 and 1987.
PHYSICAL CONDITION
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
Any environmental issues were not considered within this valuation. It should be noted that the
appraiser is not qualified to detect, test for, investigate, or otherwise ascertain the existence of
such substances. The appraiser does not assume any responsibility for the existence of such
substances or any costs associated with their removal, correction, or treatment, in the event that
they are found to exist on the subject property, or on adjacent lands. Determination of such
information was not part of the appraiser's mandate and no funds were provided for such an
undertaking.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB PROPERTY ANALYSIS 30
SUMMARY
Condition: Average
Quality: Average
Property Rating: After considering all of the physical characteristics of the subject, we have concluded that this
property has an overall rating that is average, when measured against other properties in this
marketplace.
Roof & Mechanical Inspections: We did not inspect the roof nor did we make a detailed inspection of the mechanical systems. The
appraisers are not qualified to render an opinion regarding the adequacy or condition of these
components. The client is urged to retain an expert in this field if detailed information is needed.
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
Historical Costs According to HBC Heritage, Extensive renovations to the building were made in 1986 and 1987.
HBC invested $4 million to update the first, second, and third floors, $200,000 on the sixth floor,
and a further $700,000 on the basement and fourth floor.
In 2010, HBC converted the basement of the downtown Winnipeg building into a Zellers store,
which was closed in March 2013.
FUNCTIONAL OBSOLESCENCE
Description: Subject mechanical and vertical transportation as well as layout and flow is somewhat dated and
inefficient relative to new generation department stores.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB PROPERTY ANALYSIS 31
Realty Taxes
ZONING
G ENERAL I NFORMATION
The Zoning By-Law must conform to the Official Plan. It is a site-specific document, which governs and controls
the maximum density of development on any given site. The subject property is currently zoned as M - Multiple-
Use Sector, according to the City of Winnipeg’s By-Law No. 100/204, which provides for a wide range of
commercial, office and retail uses. The main zoning characteristics can be described as follows:
Z ONING D ESIGNATION
Multiple-Use Sector.
A UTHORIZ ED U SES
M – Multiple-Use Sector. This sector demonstrates a diversity of uses, including: office, retail, services,
restaurants, entertainment opportunities, public institutions, multiple-family residential, and mixed-use parking
facilities.
M AX IMUM H EIGHT
Not applicable.
Building heights in the Downtown Core may be limited by ‘Building Height Control Area: Legislative Core –
Winnipeg’ Public Works Act restrictions. The Subject is located outside of this restriction zone.
M AX IMUM S IT E C OVERAGE
100%.
M AX IMUM D ENSITY
The Subject property has a floor area ratio maximum of 15. In general, Downtown properties are allocated a floor
area ratio maximum of 12, excluding Portage Avenue and Main Street properties which are allocated a ratio of 15.
H ISTORICAL D ESIGNATION
The Subject property is not known to have a historical designation.
Z ONING C ONCLUSIONS
We analyzed the zoning requirements in relation to the subject property, and considered the compliance of the
existing or proposed use. We are not experts in the interpretation of complex zoning ordinances but based on our
review of public information, the subject property appears to be a complying use.
Detailed zoning studies are typically performed by a zoning or land use expert, including attorneys, land use
planners, or architects. The depth of our study correlates directly with the scope of this assignment, and it
considers all pertinent issues that have been discovered through our due diligence.
We note that this appraisal is not intended to be a detailed determination of compliance, as that determination is
beyond the scope of this real estate appraisal assignment.
Z ONING M AP
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB VALUATION AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 35
L EGALLY P ERMISSIBLE
The zoning regulations in effect at the time of the appraisal determine the legal permissibility of a potential use of
the subject site. As described in the Zoning section, the subject site is zoned for a wide range of commercial,
services and recreational uses. We are not aware of any further legal restrictions that limit the potential uses of
the subject. In addition, rezoning of the site is not likely due to the character of the area.
P HYSICALLY P O SSIBLE
The physical possibility of a use is dictated by the size, shape, topography, availability of utilities, and any other
physical aspects of the site. The subject site is at street level and has good frontage, good access, as well as
good visibility. The overall utility of the site is considered to be good. All public utilities are available to the site
including public water and sewer, gas, electric and telephone. Overall, the site is considered adequate to
accommodate most permitted development possibilities.
C ONCL USION
As Vacant: If the subject site was vacant, it would likely be developed with retail and other commercial uses such
as offices or multi-residential development.
As Improved: Based upon an analysis of the preceding information and giving primary consideration to the
existing subject improvement, it is our opinion that redevelopment including: office, retail, services, restaurants,
entertainment opportunities, public institutions, multiple-family residential, and mixed-use parking facilities would
be the highest and best use. In our opinion, the unused or excess density that may exist on the property (as per
IBI planning report) has no additional value due to the weak prevailing economic conditions in Winnipeg and
estimated high costs in order to realize this incremental increase in floor area.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB VALUATION AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 36
VALUATION
The market value of the subject property is contingent upon a number of factors such as location, replacement
cost, physical condition and utility of the improvements, the market climate and general economic conditions. In
the valuation process, these factors are incorporated into several approaches to value. Traditionally, the three
most common approaches to the valuation of real property are:
The Direct Comparison Approach involves comparing or contrasting recent sales, and current listings of
comparable properties to the subject and adjusting for any significant differences between them.
The Income Approach is one in which the value is estimated by capitalizing the net rental which the property
can reasonably be expected to produce over the remaining economic life of the improvements.
The Cost Approach involves estimating the replacement cost of the improvements located on the subject,
estimating and deducting the accrued depreciation from the cost estimate and then adding the land value.
The Cost Approach is not typically utilized by market participants for this type of property and has not been
included herein.
RENTAL ANALYSIS
I NTRODUCTION
The subject property is owner occupied. An imputed market rental analysis represents an important element in
the valuation of the asset. In order to determine reasonable market rental levels, we have undertaken the
following analysis:
i) Review the past and future sales performance of the subject property and determine the market rent
on this basis (sales affordability basis);
ii) Reviewed comparable rental rates taken from competing buildings;
During this step, the sales per square foot levels were taken from 2018 (actual) and 2019 (projected). Thereafter,
we reviewed the specific store characteristics to determine the sustainability of the retail sales performance.
Following the calculation of a sustainable sales level, the estimated applicable costs have been deducted. These
costs include the Costs of Goods Sold, as well as, Selling Costs, General and Other Administrative Expenses,
which would include occupancy related expenses. These costs have been derived from an analysis of numerous
Department Store companies found in the United States as well as Canada. Based on our market research, all of
these costs will typically run in the 80 to 100 percent spectrum, leaving a profit range of up to 20 percent.
Cost of Goods Sold: Specifically, costs of goods sold costs ranged from from our research. In the
case of a sample of HBC stores, including the subject, our range was at between of
sales for the last 2-year period and at for the subject (2017-2018YTD). We therefore concluded at
for purposes of this analysis.
Selling Costs, General and Other Administrative Costs: This cost category addresses all other expenses
including distribution, marketing, occupancy costs, etc. If we include occupancy costs, we would estimate these
costs in the order of based on information provided.
Generally speaking, returns for typical Department Stores ranged from on Department Stores
reviewed in our survey. This is after the deduction of all direct and indirect costs and before taxes.
also falls within this range. For the purpose of this report, we have applied an profit margin as a reasonable
amount to maintain viability and sustainability for a Department Store. To ensure that store operations were viable
and profitable, the required return of was also considered as a necessary deduction, prior to determining our
market rent.
Following the calculations and deductions listed above, an approximate market rental rate was determined with
any necessary adjustments made based on recent and historical trends in the sales performance.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB VALUATION AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 38
The sales performance has been over the past five years, reflecting the
of the downturn in the economy. From a physical standpoint, the subject is an older, large downtown
department store in average condition. Only 3 of the 6 floors are currently in use, the remaining floors being
permanently closed. The property suffers from any functional issues as a consequence of its age, size and layout
being inefficient relative to new generation department stores. Functional obsolescence is however mitigated
somewhat by its location at the intersection of Portage Avenue and Memorial Boulevard. While the location is
towards the west of the core, the area is experiencing significant redevelopment, particularly within the multi-
residential sector.
NOTES:
1. Use actual HBC Occupancy Costs as per P & L
2. Used Actual Sales for 2018 (12 months) and 2019 Projected
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB VALUATION AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 39
RETAIL RENTS
As confirmation to the market rent estimate using the sales affordability analysis previously, we have also reviewed
rents of various Department Stores in major Urban Centres. The rents indicated were as follows:
As indicated the average rate is $20.72 psf, much higher than appropriate for the subject given its Winnipeg
location characteristics which would be considered inferior to the majority of our sample rents. In addition, the
subject is significantly larger than the sample analyzed.
In our opinion, there is no retail department store tenant in the Canadian market that we know of that can lease the
entire subject department store given its large size. As noted above, the largest potential retailers in the Canadian
market are less than 200,000 sf in size (typically 100,000 to 150,000 sf) and include Simons and Holt Renfrew. As
such, our market rent estimate of $9.75 psf for an alternative single use basis is cognizant of the challenge posed
by the subject’s large size and real possibility that a large part of the store, will likely be not be utilized and possibly
subleased to other tenant(s).
In conjunction with our single user market rent and to entice a new tenant, we have allowed for an improvement
allowance of $75.00 psf - typically this can range from $50 to $175 psf in today’s market.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB VALUATION AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 41
We have also investigated local area rental rates for generally smaller sized premises (see below) in order to
gauge the relative weight of market rents if they were applied to the subject property on a level by level basis,
considering that the lowest retail levels are typically the most valuable in the subject property:
RETAIL RENTS
The average rate at $22.69 psf, is considered reasonable for the subject given the majority of comparables are
within the greater Winnipeg market.
In conjunction with our multiple user market rent and to entice a new tenant, we have allowed for an improvement
allowance of $50.00 psf.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB VALUATION AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 42
In order to determine a capitalization factor for the subject we have examined yields for largely Urban retail properties
across Canada. Our research is summarized in the table below:
4 5288-130 Avenue SE Calgary Alberta 6,517 Jun-18 $4,800,000 100% 6.05% $736 Multi-tenanted retail occupied by four tenants
5 600 Manning Crossing Edmonton Alberta 12,349 Jun-18 $2,820,000 100% 6.23% $228 Single tenant occupied by Goodw ill
6 3301-17th Avenue S.E. Calgary Alberta 21,201 Jan-18 $12,200,000 100% 4.60% $575 Single tenant retail built in 1958- Rexall drug store
135 Yorkville Avenue (Units 101- Loocated w ithin the “older” Four Seasons Hotel, leased to
7 Toronto Ontario 3,000 Aug-18 $9,571,744 100% 4.50% $3,191
103) local tenancies on ground & upper floor
8 2211 Brant Street Burlington Ontario 13,911 Aug-18 $7,800,000 100% 5.30% $561 Single tenant-Shoppers built in 2008
10 1141 Kennedy Road Scarborough Ontario 34,338 Apr-18 $10,750,000 100% 5.80% $313 Single tenant- Good Life Fitness- built in 2003
17 351-353 Victoria Avenue Westmount Quebec 1,764 May-19 $1,800,000 n.a. n.a. $1,020 2 storey multi tenant retail building constructed 1918
18 7150 Jarry Street East Anjou Quebec 2,905 Apr-19 $1,970,000 100% 5.80% $678 Tim Horton's single tenant retail building constructed in 1993
21 1476 Crescent Street Montreal Quebec 17,356 Sep-18 $8,335,000 100% 5.34% $480 3-storeys, built in 2001, 2 tenants.
1909 TAVERNE 1280 Des Single tenant (restaurant) next to Bell Centre in Tour des
24 Montreal Quebec 25,714 Apr-18 $24,900,000 100% 5.29% $968
Canadiens Canadiens 1 condo tow er built 2016
350-360 DeMaisonneuve W & Retail condo ground floor, multi-tenant, 2010 built (Louis
25 Montreal Quebec 15,169 Feb-18 $9,250,000 n.a. 5.08% $610
1500-08 Bleury Boheme).
26 1321 Ste-Catherine West Montreal Quebec 9,570 Jan-18 $25,000,000 100% 3.35% $2,612 2 storeys leased to Apple. Built in 1928, renovated in 2008.
Part of a mixed use new 2017 condo apt building comprising
27 L'Avenue des Canadiens Montreal Quebec 118,200 Jun-17 $85,936,000 75% 4.31% $727
the retail & office section of the building over 7 levels.
620 - 630 Ste Catherine W, 1240 1894 built, 4 storeys, to be renovated & expanded into a
28 Montreal Quebec 76,270 Nov-16 $38,000,000 100% n.a. $498
Du Square Phillips (Birks) boutique hotel, jew elry store & restaurant ($32M cost).
Street front retail w ith Banana Republic (renew ed to July
29 777 Ste-Catherine St West Montreal Quebec 19,553 Sep-16 $41,800,000 100% 4.91% $2,138
2021) & law yers offices above.
Single tenant 2015 built Shoppers (Pharmaprix) leased for a
30 1120 Ste-Catherine St West Montreal Quebec 13,200 Jan-16 $34,600,000 100% 4.75% $2,621
20 year term w ith annual rent escalations.
Galileo on Robson - 350 Robson Dow ntow n strata retail & office in a 16 storey 1989 built.
31 Vancouver BC 17,689 Jun-17 $16,200,000 100% 3.76% $916
St, 806 - 820 Homer St (21 strata Tenants include Starbucks & Global Village English Centre.
A 4-storey retail facility built in 2005. Leased to Canadian
32 2200 - 2290 Cambie St Vancouver BC 148,215 Jun-17 $94,200,000 100% 3.29% $636
Tire and Best Buy.
Wholly owned freehold
Ownership development with no Wholly owned freehold asset with no
Structure B C+ C D+ D E ownership encumbrances.
ownership encumbrances.
AAA AA+ AA A+ A B+
AAA AA+ AA A+ A B+
AAA AA+ AA A+ A B+
Rental structure at market,
Performance & with reasonable cash flow Owner occupied. Significantly below average
Cash Flow B C+ C D+ D E sales performance.
assumptions.
AAA AA+ AA A+ A B+
Leased long term (15 yrs.)
Tenant/Property to institutional grade Owner-occupied property with good locational
Covenant B C+ C D+ D E features but limited alternative use or user.
covenant.
Expenses PSF
Property Insurance $0 $0.00
Common Area Mainternance 5,246,040 $8.00
Management Fee 245,646 $0.37
Real Estate Taxes $305,000 $0.47
Total Expenses $5,796,686 $8.84
NET OPERATING INCOME $6,485,605 $9.89
Expenses PSF
Property Insurance $0 $0.00
Common Area Mainternance 812,660 $2.05
Management Fee 2% 184,704 $0.47
Real Estate Taxes $305,000 $0.77
Total Expenses $1,302,363 $3.29
NET OPERATING INCOME $7,932,814 $20.02
3. GO DARK VALUATION
S INGLE T ENANT OCCUPANCY
In order to estimate the “As Dark” value for the subject property, we first estimate a Stabilized Market Value
conclusion. The Stabilized Market Value estimate of $100,000,000 represents the value of the subject property
assuming that the property is leased at a market rent level as of the effective date of value.
Based on current market conditions and the availability of similar space in the regional and local marketplace, we
have estimated a 24-month lease-up period. The costs associated with leasing the property to a stabilized
occupancy level are calculated based upon this lease-up period. Therefore, the costs borne by the property
owner over the assumed lease-up period would include the following:
The total lease-up costs are deducted from the Stabilized Market Value of the property, are summarized below:
However, in order to achieve the higher rental rates the landlord would incur significant capital costs associated
with re-demising the space. Also, we have applied a tenant improvement allowance to $50.00 per square foot.
Finally, we believe there would be additional downtime associated with this scenario.
Deducting the appropriate lease-up cost and downtime results in the following as is value conclusion assuming
multi-tenant occupancy:
We have concluded to the higher of the two value indicators as a prudent investor would pursue the type of
tenancy which maximizes the value of the property.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB ADDENDA CONTENTS 48
ADDENDA CONTENTS
ADDENDUM A: ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITING CONDITIONS ----------------------------------------------------------------- 49
ADDENDUM B: CERTIFICATION OF APPRAISAL-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 52
ADDENDUM C: GLOSSARY OF TERMS AND DEFINITIONS --------------------------------------------------------------------- 53
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, BC ADDENDA CONTENTS 49
ADDENDUM A:
ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMI TING CONDITIONS
"Report" means the appraisal or consulting report and conclusions stated therein, to which these Assumptions
and Limiting Conditions are annexed.
"C&W" means Cushman & Wakefield or its subsidiary that issued the Report.
"Appraiser(s)" means the employee(s) of C&W who prepared and signed the Report.
The Report has been made subject to the following assumptions and limiting conditions:
No opinion is intended to be expressed and no responsibility is assumed for the legal description or
for any matters that are legal in nature or require legal expertise or specialized knowledge beyond
that of a real estate appraiser. Title to the Property is assumed to be good and marketable and the
Property is assumed to be free and clear of all liens unless otherwise stated. No survey of the
Property was undertaken.
The information contained in the Report or upon which the Report is based has been gathered from
sources the Appraiser assumes to be reliable and accurate. The owner of the Property may have
provided some of such information. Neither the Appraiser nor C&W shall be responsible for the
accuracy or completeness of such information, including the correctness of estimates, opinions,
dimensions, sketches, exhibits and factual matters. Any authorized user of the Report is obligated to
bring to the attention of C&W any inaccuracies or errors that it believes are contained in the Report.
The opinions are only as of the date stated in the Report. Changes since that date in external and
market factors or in the Property itself can significantly affect the conclusions in the Report.
The Report is to be used in whole and not in part. No part of the Report shall be used in conjunction
with any other analyses. Publication of the Report or any portion thereof without the prior written
consent of C&W is prohibited. Reference to the Appraisal Institute or to the MAI designation is
prohibited. Except as may be otherwise stated in the letter of engagement, the Report may not be
used by any person(s) other than the party(ies) to whom it is addressed or for purposes other than
that for which it was prepared. No part of the Report shall be conveyed to the public through
advertising, or used in any sales, promotion, offering or SEC material without C&W's prior written
consent. Any authorized user(s) of this Report who provides a copy to, or permits reliance thereon by,
any person or entity not authorized by C&W in writing to use or rely thereon, hereby agrees to
indemnify and hold C&W, its affiliates and their respective shareholders, directors, officers and
employees, harmless from and against all damages, expenses, claims and costs, including attorneys'
fees, incurred in investigating and defending any claim arising from or in any way connected to the
use of, or reliance upon, the Report by any such unauthorized person(s) or entity(ies).
Except as may be otherwise stated in the letter of engagement, the Appraiser shall not be required to
give testimony in any court or administrative proceeding relating to the Property or the Appraisal.
The Report assumes (a) responsible ownership and competent management of the Property; (b)
there are no hidden or unapparent conditions of the Property, subsoil or structures that render the
Property more or less valuable (no responsibility is assumed for such conditions or for arranging for
engineering studies that may be required to discover them); (c) full compliance with all applicable
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, BC ADDENDA CONTENTS 50
federal, state and local zoning and environmental regulations and laws, unless noncompliance is
stated, defined and considered in the Report; and (d) all required licenses, certificates of occupancy
and other governmental consents have been or can be obtained and renewed for any use on which
the value opinion contained in the Report is based.
The physical condition of the improvements considered by the Report is based on visual inspection
by the Appraiser or other person identified in the Report. C&W assumes no responsibility for the
soundness of structural components or for the condition of mechanical equipment, plumbing or
electrical components.
The forecasted potential gross income referred to in the Report may be based on lease summaries
provided by the owner or third parties. The Report assumes no responsibility for the authenticity or
completeness of lease information provided by others. C&W recommends that legal advice be
obtained regarding the interpretation of lease provisions and the contractual rights of parties.
The forecasts of income and expenses are not predictions of the future. Rather, they are the
Appraiser's best opinions of current market thinking on future income and expenses. The Appraiser
and C&W make no warranty or representation that these forecasts will materialize. The real estate
market is constantly fluctuating and changing. It is not the Appraiser's task to predict or in any way
warrant the conditions of a future real estate market; the Appraiser can only reflect what the
investment community, as of the date of the Report, envisages for the future in terms of rental rates,
expenses, and supply and demand.
Unless otherwise stated in the Report, the existence of potentially hazardous or toxic materials that
may have been used in the construction or maintenance of the improvements or may be located at or
about the Property was not considered in arriving at the opinion of value. These materials (such as
formaldehyde foam insulation, asbestos insulation and other potentially hazardous materials) may
adversely affect the value of the Property. The Appraisers are not qualified to detect such
substances. C&W recommends that an environmental expert be employed to determine the impact of
these matters on the opinion of value.
Unless otherwise stated in the Report, compliance with the requirements of the Americans with
Disabilities Act of 1990 (ADA) has not been considered in arriving at the opinion of value. Failure to
comply with the requirements of the ADA may adversely affect the value of the Property. C&W
recommends that an expert in this field be employed to determine the compliance of the Property with
the requirements of the ADA and the impact of these matters on the opinion of value.
If the Report is submitted to a lender or investor with the prior approval of C&W, such party should
consider this Report as only one factor, together with its independent investment considerations and
underwriting criteria, in its overall investment decision. Such lender or investor is specifically
cautioned to understand all Extraordinary Assumptions and Hypothetical Conditions and the
Assumptions and Limiting Conditions incorporated in this Report.
If the Report is referred to or included in any offering material or prospectus, the Report shall be
deemed referred to or included for informational purposes only and C&W, its employees and the
Appraiser have no liability to such recipients. C&W disclaims any and all liability to any party other
than the party that retained C&W to prepare the Report.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, BC ADDENDA CONTENTS 51
Any estimate of insurable value, if included within the agreed upon scope of work and presented
within this report, is based upon figures derived from a national cost estimating service and is
developed consistent with industry practices. However, actual local and regional construction costs
may vary significantly from our estimate and individual insurance policies and underwriters have
varied specifications, exclusions, and non-insurable items. As such, we strongly recommend that the
Client obtain estimates from professionals experienced in establishing insurance coverage for
replacing any structure. This analysis should not be relied upon to determine insurance coverage.
Furthermore, we make no warranties regarding the accuracy of this estimate.
By use of this Report each party that uses this Report agrees to be bound by all of the Assumptions
and Limiting Conditions, Hypothetical Conditions and Extraordinary Assumptions stated herein.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB ADDENDA CONTENTS 52
ADDENDUM B:
CERTIFICATION OF APP RAISAL
We certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief:
The statements of fact contained in this report are true and correct.
The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions are limited only by the reported assumptions and
limiting conditions, and are our personal, impartial, and unbiased professional analyses, opinions,
and conclusions.
We have no present or prospective interest in the property that is the subject of this report, and no
personal interest with respect to the parties involved.
We have no bias with respect to the property that is the subject of this report or to the parties involved
with this assignment.
Our engagement in this assignment was not contingent upon developing or reporting predetermined
results.
Our compensation for completing this assignment is not contingent upon the development or
reporting of a predetermined value or direction in value that favors the cause of the client, the amount
of the value opinion, the attainment of a stipulated result, or the occurrence of a subsequent event
directly related to the intended use of this appraisal.
The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions were developed, and this report has been
prepared, in conformity with the requirements of the Code of Professional Ethics & Standards of
Professional Appraisal Practice of the Appraisal Institute.
The use of this report is subject to the requirements of the Appraisal Institute relating to review by its
duly authorized representatives.
Lorena Garcia did make a personal inspection of the property that is the subject of this report on July
18, 2019, Vicki Arista did not inspect the subject property.
Vicki Arista is a licensed appraiser under the Real Estate Act of Alberta.
The signatories have not performed a previous appraisal of the subject property within the three
years prior to this assignment.
As of the date of this report, Vicki Arista has completed the continuing education program of the
Appraisal Institute of Canada. Lorena Garcia is a candidate with the Appraisal Institute of Canada.
ADDENDUM C:
GLOSSARY OF TERMS AN D DEFINITIONS
The following definitions of pertinent terms are taken from The Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal, Fifth Edition
(2010), published by the Appraisal Institute, Chicago, IL, as well as other sources.
A S I S M ARKET V ALUE
The estimate of the market value of real property in its current physical condition, use, and zoning as of the
appraisal date. (Proposed Interagency Appraisal and Evaluation Guidelines, OCC-4810-33-P 20%)
B A ND OF I NVESTMENT
A technique in which the capitalization rates attributable to components of a capital investment are weighted and
combined to derive a weighted-average rate attributable to the total investment.
C A SH E QUIVALENCY
An analytical process in which the sale price of a transaction with nonmarket financing or financing with unusual
conditions or incentives is converted into a price expressed in terms of cash.
D EPRECIAT ION
In appraising, a loss in property value from any cause; the difference between the cost of an improvement on the
effective date of the appraisal and the market value of the improvement on the same date. 2. In accounting, an
allowance made against the loss in value of an asset for a defined purpose and computed using a specified
method.
E LLWOOD F ORMULA
A yield capitalization method that provides a formulaic solution for developing a capitalization rate for various
combinations of equity yields and mortgage terms. The formula is applicable only to properties with stable or
stabilized income streams and properties with income streams expected to change according to the J- or K-factor
pattern. The formula is:
E XPOSURE T IME
The time a property remains on the market. 2. The estimated length of time the property interest being appraised
would have been offered on the market prior to the hypothetical consummation of a sale at market value on the
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB ADDENDA CONTENTS 54
effective date of the appraisal; a retrospective estimate based on an analysis of past events assuming a
competitive and open market. See also marketing time.
F EE S IMPLE E STATE
Absolute ownership unencumbered by any other interest or estate, subject only to the limitations imposed by the
governmental powers of taxation, eminent domain, police power, and escheat.
H YPOTHETICAL C ONDITIONS
A hypothetical condition is “that which is contrary to what exists but is supposed for the purpose of analysis.
Hypothetical conditions assume conditions contrary to known facts about physical, legal, or economic
characteristics of the subject property; or about conditions external to the property, such as market conditions or
trends; or about the integrity of data used in an analysis.”
I NSURA BLE V AL UE
A type of value for insurance purposes.
L EASED F EE I NTEREST
A freehold (ownership interest) where the possessory interest has been granted to another party by creation of a
contractual landlord-tenant relationship (i.e., a lease).
L EASEHOLD I NTEREST
The tenant’s possessory interest created by a lease. See also negative leasehold; positive leasehold.
M ARKET R ENT
The most probable rent that a property should bring in a competitive and open market reflecting all conditions and
restrictions of the lease agreement, including permitted uses, use restrictions, expense obligations, term,
concessions, renewal and purchase options, and tenant improvements (TIs).
M ARKET V AL UE
As defined in the Agencies’ appraisal regulations, the most probable price which a property should bring in a
competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, the buyer and seller each acting
prudently and knowledgeably, and assuming the price is not affected by undue stimulus.
Implicit in this definition are the consummation of a sale as of a specified date and the passing of title from seller
to buyer under conditions whereby:
4
“Interagency Appraisal and Evaluation Guidelines.” Federal Register 75:237 (December 10, 2010) p. 77472.
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB ADDENDA CONTENTS 55
O PERATING EXPENSES
Other Taxes, Fees & Permits - Personal property taxes, sales taxes, utility taxes, fees and permit expenses.
Property Insurance – Coverage for loss or damage to the property caused by the perils of fire, lightning,
extended coverage perils, vandalism and malicious mischief, and additional perils.
Management Fees - The sum paid for management services. Management services may be contracted for or
provided by the property owner. Management expenses may include supervision, on-site offices or apartments for
resident managers, telephone service, clerical help, legal or accounting services, printing and postage, and
advertising. Management fees may occasionally be included among recoverable operating expenses
Total Administrative Fees – Depending on the nature of the real estate, these usually include professional fees
and other general administrative expenses, such as rent of offices and the services needed to operate the
property. Administrative expenses can be provided either in the following expense subcategories or in a bulk total.
1) Professional Fees – Fees paid for any professional services contracted for or incurred in property operation; or
2) Other Administrative – Any other general administrative expenses incurred in property operation.
Heating Fuel - The cost of heating fuel purchased from outside producers. The cost of heat is generally a tenant
expense in single-tenant, industrial or retail properties, and apartment projects with individual heating units. It is a
major expense item shown in operating statements for office buildings and many apartment properties. The fuel
consumed may be coal, oil, or public steam. Heating supplies, maintenance, and workers’ wages are included in
this expense category under certain accounting methods.
Electricity - The cost of electricity purchased from outside producers. Although the cost of electricity for leased
space is frequently a tenant expense, and therefore not included in the operating expense statement, the owner
may be responsible for lighting public areas and for the power needed to run elevators and other building
equipment.
Gas - The cost of gas purchased from outside producers. When used for heating and air conditioning, gas can be
a major expense item that is either paid by the tenant or reflected in the rent.
Water & Sewer - The cost of water consumed, including water specially treated for the circulating ice water
system, or purchased for drinking purposes. The cost of water is a major consideration for industrial plants that
use processes depending on water and for multifamily projects, in which the cost of sewer service usually ties to
the amount of water used. It is also an important consideration for laundries, restaurants, taverns, hotels, and
similar operations.
Other Utilities - The cost of other utilities purchased from outside producers.
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Total Utilities - The cost of utilities net of energy sales to stores and others. Utilities are services rendered by
public and private utility companies (e.g., electricity, gas, heating fuel, water/sewer and other utilities providers).
Utility expenses can be provided either in expense subcategories or in a bulk total.
Repairs & Maintenance - All expenses incurred for the general repairs and maintenance of the building,
including common areas and general upkeep. Repairs and maintenance expenses include elevator, HVAC,
electrical and plumbing, structural/roof, and other repairs and maintenance expense items. Repairs and
Maintenance expenses can be provided either in the following expense subcategories or in a bulk total. 1)
Elevator - The expense of the contract and any additional expenses for elevator repairs and maintenance. This
expense item may also include escalator repairs and maintenance. 2) HVAC – The expense of the contract and
any additional expenses for heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems. 3) Electrical & Plumbing - The
expense of all repairs and maintenance associated with the property’s electrical and plumbing systems. 4)
Structural/Roof - The expense of all repairs and maintenance associated with the property’s building structure and
roof. 5) Pest Control – The expense of insect and rodent control. 6). Other Repairs & Maintenance - The cost of
any other repairs and maintenance items not specifically included in other expense categories.
Common Area Maintenance - The common area is the total area within a property that is not designed for sale
or rental, but is available for common use by all owners, tenants, or their invitees, e.g., parking and its
appurtenances, malls, sidewalks, landscaped areas, recreation areas, public toilets, truck and service facilities.
Common Area Maintenance (CAM) expenses can be entered in bulk or through the sub-categories. 1) Utilities –
Cost of utilities that are included in CAM charges and passed through to tenants. 2) Repair & Maintenance – Cost
of repair and maintenance items that are included in CAM charges and passed through to tenants. 3) Parking Lot
Maintenance – Cost of parking lot maintenance items that are included in CAM charges and passed through to
tenants. 4) Snow Removal – Cost of snow removal that are included in CAM charges and passed through to
tenants. 5) Grounds Maintenance – Cost of ground maintenance items that are included in CAM charges and
passed through to tenants. 6) Other CAM expenses are items that are included in CAM charges and passed
through to tenants.
Painting & Decorating - This expense category is relevant to residential properties where the landlord is
required to prepare a dwelling unit for occupancy in between tenancies.
Cleaning & Janitorial - The expenses for building cleaning and janitorial services, for both daytime and night-
time cleaning and janitorial service for tenant spaces, public areas, atriums, elevators, restrooms, windows, etc.
Cleaning and Janitorial expenses can be provided either in the following subcategories or entered in a bulk total.
1) Contract Services - The expense of cleaning and janitorial services contracted for with outside service
providers. 2) Supplies, Materials & Misc. - The cost any cleaning materials and any other janitorial supplies
required for property cleaning and janitorial services and not covered elsewhere. 3) Trash Removal - The
expense of property trash and rubbish removal and related services. Sometimes this expense item includes the
cost of pest control and/or snow removal .4) Other Cleaning/Janitorial - Any other cleaning and janitorial related
expenses not included in other specific expense categories.
Advertising & Promotion - Expenses related to advertising, promotion, sales, and publicity and all related
printing, stationary, artwork, magazine space, broadcasting, and postage related to marketing.
Professional Fees - All professional fees associated with property leasing activities including legal, accounting,
data processing, and auditing costs to the extent necessary to satisfy tenant lease requirements and permanent
lender requirements.
Total Payroll - The payroll expenses for all employees involved in the ongoing operation of the property, but
whose salaries and wages are not included in other expense categories. Payroll expenses can be provided either
THE BAY - DOWNTOWN WINNIPEG STORE, MB ADDENDA CONTENTS 57
in the following subcategories or entered in a bulk total. 1) Administrative Payroll - The payroll expenses for all
employees involved in on-going property administration. 2) Repair & Maintenance Payroll - The expense of all
employees involved in on-going repairs and maintenance of the property. 3) Cleaning Payroll - The expense of all
employees involved in providing on-going cleaning and janitorial services to the property 4) Other Payroll - The
expense of any other employees involved in providing services to the property not covered in other specific
categories.
Security - Expenses related to the security of the Lessees and the Property. This expense item includes payroll,
contract services and other security expenses not covered in other expense categories. This item also includes
the expense of maintenance of security systems such as alarms and closed circuit television (CCTV), and
ordinary supplies necessary to operate a security program, including batteries, control forms, access cards, and
security uniforms.
Roads & Grounds - The cost of maintaining the grounds and parking areas of the property. This expense can
vary widely depending on the type of property and its total area. Landscaping improvements can range from none
to extensive beds, gardens and trees. In addition, hard-surfaced public parking areas with drains, lights, and
marked car spaces are subject to intensive wear and can be costly to maintain.
Other Operating Expenses - Any other expenses incurred in the operation of the property not specifically
covered elsewhere.
Real Estate Taxes - The tax levied on real estate (i.e., on the land, appurtenances, improvements, structures and
buildings); typically by the state, county and/or municipality in which the property is located.