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reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Directors, or the
governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the source, originality, accuracy, completeness
or reliability of any statement, information, data, finding, interpretation, advice, opinion, or view
presented, nor does it make any representation concerning the same.
By Arianto A. Patunru 2
Introduction
1
Figure 1 also depicts GDP growth rates as well as open
unemployment rates during 1998 to 2010. The Asian financial crisis
hit the country severely with a result of 13% contraction. Slowly the
country pulled out and reached its pre-crisis level in 2007, ten years
after the crisis. The recent global financial crisis turned out to be far
less damaging. In fact Indonesia came out quite resiliently (along
with China and India) with a growth rate of 4.5% in 2009, while most
countries in the world experienced a contraction or near-zero
growth.
4
These dynamics are not very clear from Figure 1. The World Bank report,
however, makes its case using not only unemployment rate as the
measure, but also employment rate, share on non-agricultural
employment, share of formal sector employment, and median hourly
wages for employees (World Bank 2010).
2
with poverty and employment. But to assess the link, one needs to
see poverty in broader contexts, e.g. Indonesia’s poverty in
comparison with other countries, its important features, and then
juxtapose it with those of environment.
Using the USD 2 per day threshold, more than half of Indonesia’s
population is still poor. It is ahead of India, Lao PDR, and Cambodia,
but behind China and other countries. The two measures of
inequality show rather mixed picture. However, Indonesia’s
inequality is still relatively high. In terms of inequality Indonesia is
comparable to Vietnam, but Indonesia’s poverty fares worse.
In the ADB report (2010) China, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam are
recognized as “early achievers” in meeting the MDG’s target of USD
1.25/day, while Cambodia is “on track”, and India, the Philippines,
and Lao are those with “slow progress”. As for Indonesia, the ADB
report makes no assessment due to insufficient data, but it asserts
that in 2007, 29.4% Indonesians were still living on less than USD
1.25/day, suggesting a difficulty in reaching the MDG target by
2015.
While the MDG target might be missed, Indonesia has also missed
its own national target regarding poverty reduction. The medium-
term plan (RPJM) 2005-2009 targeted a poverty reduction from
18.2% in 2002 to 8.2% in 2009. In fact, the poverty headcount rate
was still high at 14.2% in 2009. This was particularly due to a rather
steep increase in poverty number in 2006, after a slow-but-steady
decrease since 2002. In 2005 the poverty headcount index was
3
16%, but it increased to 17.8% in 2006, due mostly to a 33%
increase in rice price and to a lesser extent, an increase on fuel
price in October 2005 (World Bank 2006).
4
Unhygienic floor Percentage of population living in 15.79 5.03 10.76
earth-floor housing
Monetary Poverty Percentage of population below 17.35 10.72 6.63
official poverty line
Source: Suryahadi et al. 2010
5
Table 3. Regional Poverty 2009
Rural Urban Total Per Capita Per Capita
Income: Rural Income: Urban
Sumatra 15.0 12.2 13.9 357 558
Java-Bali 17.7 10.6 13.7 294 543
Nusa 22.4 24.6 23.0 253 405
Tenggara
Kalimantan 9.1 5.1 7.5 376 697
Sulawesi 18.3 6.7 14.8 275 570
Maluku 25.9 7.5 20.9 313 591
Papua 46.3 5.9 37.1 315 707
Indonesia 18.9 10.7 14.1 311 550
Source: BPS 2009, Resosudarmo and Yusuf 2009
Note: Per capita income in Rp ‘000 (2008 prices)
Environmental condition
6
Cambodi 73.3 59.2 451 4441 0.0 0.3
a
Malaysia 68.1 63.6 56593 194476 3.1 7.3
Philippin 35.5 24.0 44532 70916 0.7 0.8
es
Thailand 31.2 28.4 95833 277511 1.7 4.1
Vietnam 28.8 39.7 21408 111378 0.3 1.3
Source: ADB 2010
7
Table 5. CO2 Emission in 2005 (million tons)
Industr Industry Househol Transpor TOTA
Province Electricity
y (Coal) (fuel) d (fuel) t (fuel) L
Aceh 0.00 0.05 0.25 1.40 0.74 2.45
North Sumatra 0.02 1.34 1.31 4.08 3.93 10.68
West Sumatra 7.50 0.21 0.60 1.22 1.21 10.73
Riau 3.82 1.36 0.54 2.31 1.27 9.29
Jambi 0.00 1.71 0.39 1.12 0.47 3.68
South Sumatra 1.46 1.55 0.64 1.36 1.35 6.36
Bangka-Belitung 0.02 0.05 0.37 0.43 0.22 1.09
Bengkulu 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.33 0.25 0.89
Lampung 0.05 1.44 0.68 1.20 1.24 4.61
Jakarta 0.02 3.12 3.70 15.03 17.99 39.87
West Java 2.77 12.94 3.08 4.09 15.10 37.98
Banten 1.32 8.80 0.95 0.61 2.17 13.85
Central Java 5.69 1.79 1.97 10.08 8.01 27.54
Jogjakarta 0.01 0.09 0.55 2.00 1.16 3.81
East Java 12.28 3.54 2.57 10.35 13.21 41.94
West Kalimantan 0.05 0.45 0.63 1.20 0.78 3.12
Central
0.00 0.08 0.37 0.57 0.34 1.36
Kalimantan
South Kalimantan 1.57 0.25 0.55 1.34 0.92 4.63
East Kalimantan 0.00 0.48 0.51 1.55 1.02 3.56
North Sulawesi 0.00 0.13 0.35 0.44 0.59 1.51
Gorontalo 0.00 0.02 0.19 0.12 0.14 0.46
Central Sulawesi 0.00 0.02 0.35 0.99 0.35 1.71
South Sulawesi 10.22 0.23 0.91 1.24 1.99 14.58
Southeast
0.30 0.03 0.42 0.22 0.25 1.22
Sulawesi
Bali 0.00 0.03 0.72 2.80 1.79 5.35
West Nusa
0.00 0.02 0.45 0.67 0.43 1.56
Tenggara
East Nusa
0.31 0.02 0.30 0.31 0.32 1.27
Tenggara
Maluku 0.00 0.23 0.09 0.27 0.21 0.80
North Maluku 0.00 0.14 0.03 0.00 0.12 0.29
Papua 0.00 0.49 0.06 0.35 0.42 1.32
257.5
47.41 40.62 23.82 67.67 78.01
Total 2
Source: Yusuf 2010
8
Opportunities of for poverty reduction through the green
economy
There is less doubt now that the climate change is happening and
that it will impact on the economy via many channels. This then will
affect especially the poor, as they are the ones working and living in
the less advantaged regions. Therefore, poverty reduction and
environmental protection should not be seen as two independent
policy strategies. The poverty increase in 2006, for example, had
much to do with the rice and fuel price increase, both of which are
related with environmental condition, direct or indirectly.
9
One year prior to the enactment of Law 32/2009, the government
established the National Council for Environmental Change (Dewan
Nasional Perubahan Iklim, DNPI) with Presidential Regulation
46/2008 (Niode 2010). The Council is assigned to: (1) Formulate
national policies, strategies, programs, and activities with regards to
climate change mitigation and adaptation, (2) Coordinate all
activities on adaptation, mitigation, technology transfer and
financing of climate change issues, (3) Formulate policies for carbon
trading mechanism, (4) Undertake monitoring and evaluation of
climate change policies, and (5) Represent Indonesia in international
forums for climate change.
Despite the laws and regulation, it seems that the existing policies
addressing poverty and environment are disconnected one another.
It is true that the government has stated its intention to revitalize
agriculture, for example. In such case one can easily see the link to
poverty reduction as most of the poor work in agriculture sector. But
the environmental aspect to it has been overlooked. Furthermore,
the total factor productivity growth in agriculture sector has been
very low. This therefore will require considerable investment on
infrastructure (road, irrigation) as well as better land reform (i.e.
land titling). And all should take environmental aspect into account.
Some proposals
10
estimates of environmental degradation and natural resource
depletion. This idea of measuring Green GDP has been long
overdue. However, until now there has not been any determined
political will to officially announce it along with the conventional
GDP.
11
green” the province is. It is interesting that in general, provinces in
eastern Indonesia or remote areas are less green than those
elsewhere. Papua, for example, has a ratio of 56% while Jakarta
91%. This is again consistent with the view that those who suffer
from environmental problem usually come from poor areas.
12
Table 6. GRDP and Eco-Regional GDP 2005
ERDP/GRD
GRDP ERDP
P (%)
Aceh 56,952 47,481 83.37
North Sumatra 139,618 125,938 90.20
West Sumatra 44,675 37,946 84.94
Riau 180,004 130,992 72.77
Jambi 22,487 17,864 79.44
South Sumatra 81,532 63,345 77.69
Bangka-Belitung 14,172 11,601 81.86
Bengkulu 10,134 8,921 88.03
Lampung 40,907 36,700 89.71
Jakarta 433,860 395,011 91.05
West Java 389,245 348,137 89.44
Banten 84,623 75,228 88.90
Central Java 234,435 207,283 88.42
Jogjakarta 25,338 22,019 86.90
East Java 403,392 353,319 87.59
West Kalimantan 33,869 29,997 88.57
Central Kalimantan 20,983 18,882 89.99
South Kalimantan 31,794 25,291 79.55
East Kalimantan 180,289 129,862 72.03
North Sulawesi 18,763 16,921 90.18
Gorontalo 3,481 3,052 87.69
Central Sulawesi 17,117 14,817 86.57
South Sulawesi 56,203 46,223 82.24
Southeast Sulawesi 12,981 10,987 84.64
Bali 33,946 28,804 84.85
West Nusa Tenggara 25,683 18,536 72.17
East Nusa Tenggara 14,810 13,629 92.02
Maluku 4,571 3,925 85.88
North Maluku 2,583 2,247 87.00
Papua 51,529 29,136 56.54
Total 2,669,9 2,274,0 85.1
76 93 7
Source: Yusuf 2010
13
Table 7. Subsidy in National Budget
2009 2010 2011
(Actual) (Revised) (Proposed)
Total Subsidies (USD 13.3 22.0 19.9
bn)
% of GDP 2.5 3.2 2.6
% of Expenditures 14.7 18.0 15.4
Energy (USD bn) 9.1 15.7 14.4
Fuel (USD bn) 4.3 9.7 10.0
Electricity (USD 4.8 6.0 4.4
bn)
Non-energy 4.2 6.3 5.5
Memo:
Exchange Rate 10408 9200 9300
(IDR/USD)
Budget Deficit (% of 1.6 2.2 1.7
GDP)
Source: GOI (various years)
14
that provide huge subsidy for their energy consumption. Again, the
table implies the dependence of energy consumption on subsidy,
including in Indonesia.
Concluding remarks
15
existing public transportation system. Here appropriate policies for
poverty eradication would be pivotal.
16
Reference:
17
World Bank. 2010. Indonesia Jobs Report: Towards Better Jobs and
Security for All. Jakarta: The World Bank Office.
Yusuf, A.A. 2010. Estimates of the “Green” or “Eco” Regional
Domestic Product of Indonesian Provinces for the Year 2005.
Working paper, accepted and forthcoming in Economics and
Finance in Indonesia.
18