Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
5.58
5.06 5.19 5.06 5.27 5.20*
5.02 5.03 5.01 5.01
4.79
4.4
3.6 3.7 3.6
3.4 3.4
3.0 3.1 2.9
FY FY FY FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
DEC DEC DEC DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC
13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18
13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18
INFLATION MONTHLY
COMPOSITION INFLATION & CPI
112
PREPARED FOODS, BEVERAGES & CIGARETTE 4.1 4.0 3.1 3.0
109.3
110
2.5
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE 5.1 2.1 1.6
108
2.0
105.4
CLOTHES 3.9 3.1 2.7 106
1.5
104
HEALTHY 3.0 3.1 2.5 102.3
1.0
102
EDUCATION, RECREATION & SPORT 3.3 3.2 2.9 100.0
0.5
100
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Jun-15
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-18
Sep-15
Sep-16
Sep-17
Sep-18
SOURCE: BPS.GO.ID 3
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (BANK CENTRAL) BANK
INDONESIA
Indonesian consumer confidence level relatively unchanged since mid of last year.
150
CONFIDENCE ABOUT FUTURE
140 135 CONDITION
130
135
122
122
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
120
SEP‘18
110
110 CONFIDENCE ABOUT
100 CURRENT CONDITION
110
100
90
JUN 17 - recent
ANNOUNCEMENT OF
80 SEP 15 SEVERAL RETAIL
USD HIKES TO 14K
STORES CLOSURES CCI - CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
CECI - CONSUMER ECONOMIC CONDITION INDEX
70
CEI - CONSUMER EXPECTATION INDEX
JUN15 SEP15 DEC15 MAR16 JUN16 SEP16 DEC16 MAR17 JUN17 SEP17 DEC17 MAR18 JUN18 SEP18
275
1,787
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
278 276
249
1,712
291 1,557
1,863 1,546
270 302
239 252
1,717 1,719
1,411 1,640
314 2,226
243 265 250 262
1,610 1,458 1,545
1,299
329 283 267 283 292 1,990 1,647 1,504 1,402 1,457
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
SOURCE: ASSOCIATION NUMBERS (GAIKINDO AND AISI) 5
IN-HOME PURCHASE SHOWED SIMILAR TREND CPS
IN-HOME
CONSUMPTION
VALUE CONSUMPTION AVG. PRICE/ VALUE CONSUMPTION AVG. PRICE/
GROWTH (VS YA) EQL VOLUME GROWTH (VS YA) EQL VOLUME
MAT 18 % GROWTH MAT 18 % GROWTH
FMCG 2% 1% FMCG 2% 1%
COOKING AID 3% 0%
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
PURCHASE
TOTAL PANEL
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
B ETWEEN 4.0%
4.0 A ND A B OVE% -4.0 A ND B ELOW
TO -4.0%
SOURCE: NIELSEN CPS DATA – FMCG ONLY 7
CHANNELS DYNAMIC RMS
Positive growth is still happening in minimarket, yet it is below the expansion growth.
180
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
SEP15 DEC15 MAR16 JUN16 SEP16 DEC16 MAR17 JUN17 SEP17 DEC17 MAR18 JUN18 SEP18
• The fundamental of economy is • FMCG industry is adjusted post festive Consumer still slowly increase spending for
expected to grow steadily with period. However several category groups FMCG in home consumption with
relatively slower inflation rate. show recovery indications especially Dairy adjustment on their shopping trip:
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
9
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site that may be accessed via hyperlink in this publication and any information on such sites are not incorporated
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of this publication. This publication may not be redistributed or published, in whole or in part, without the
express written consent of Nielsen.
10
MINERAL WATER
The Recovering of Mineral Water
12
NON GALLON REMAIN AS THE BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR IN RTD BEVERAGE
It also become total market driver along with Liquid Milk, whereas most other categories move to opposite direction –
besides RTD Gel Dessert
-17.4 6
9
8 Flavoured Water 6
-11.4 +6.3
Isotonic 17
+9.2 21 18 -2.2
20 RTD Juice
CSD
RTD Tea
55 +7.9 58
SPS Water
+8.7
28 30
Indonesia by Channel & Region | Mineral Water Non Gallon | Vol Contribution & Growth | YTD Sep
Indonesia by Region | Mineral Water Non Gallon | Numeric Distribution, Average SKU Carried | Jan & Sep
Numeric Distribution SEP16 SEP17 SEP18 Avg SKU Carried JAN16 SEP16 JAN17 SEP17 JAN18 SEP18
Jakarta Greater 88 85 88 Jakarta Greater 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.5 4.5 4.6
West Java 72 73 77 West Java 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.5
Central Java + DIY 74 74 77 Central Java + DIY 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.8
East Java 74 81 82 East Java 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.8
Other Islands 83 82 88 Other Islands 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
15
JAVA ISLAND IS THE MAIN OPPORTUNITY AREA FOR MINERAL WATER RMS
Consumption of Mineral Water (non-gallon) in Java Island area still holding the most, moreover the
growth is also faster.
Volume (L)/People | YTD SEP 2018
INDONESIA Mineral Water
POPULATION* Vol Sales (L) +8%
265 Million 3,808 Million L
+1% +11%
Sumatra Kalimantan
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
+6%
Jakarta
88.2 L/Person
+14%
0%
Other Java Bali Nusra
11.0 L/Person 13.5 L/Person
General Trade & Minimarket| Mineral Water Non Gallon by Packtype | Vol Contribution & Growth | YTD Sep
3.6 3.9
21.6 20.5
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
7.0 11.3
35.7 36.2
2.0 22.5 6.3 22.3
300
7.7
250 10.4 5.2 Vol Growth YTD 18 vs
Driven by local 13.2 YTD 17
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
players
200 Cup 8.9
General Trade by Region | Top Brands | Vol Share, Share Change, Growth, ND | YTD Sep 18
Indonesia by Channel | Mineral Water Medium Bottle | Vol Contribution & Growth | YTD Sep 17 vs YTD Sep 18
Channel Contribution
Players in Vol Share Vol Growth vs ND Max
5.0 10.7 Minimarket YTD 18 YTD 17
4.3 4.5 Sep 17 Sep 18
Indonesia by Channel | Mineral Water Medium Bottle | Vol Contribution & Growth | YTD Sep 17 vs YTD Sep 18
10.6 11.8
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
12.7 12.0
Vol Growth YTD 18 vs YTD 17 Vol Growth YTD 18 vs YTD 17
37.3
Medium Bottle 10.5 39.0 Medium Bottle 5.3
< 3000 8.5 < 3000 0.7
3000 - 5000 14.0 60.9 3000 - 5000 8.4
62.7
>= 5000 -8.2 >= 5000
75.3
77.6
Indonesia by Channel | Mineral Water Large Bottle | Vol Contribution & Growth | YTD Sep 17 vs YTD Sep 18
Channel Contribution
Players in Vol Share Vol Growth vs ND
0.5 14.8 Minimarket YTD 18 YTD 17
4.1 4.3 Sep 17 Sep 18
2.0 6.3 ND
Players in Vol Share Vol Growth vs
67.4 66.3 Minimarket YTD 18 YTD 17 Sep 17 Sep 18
Indonesia by Channel | Mineral Water Medium Bottle | Vol Contribution & Growth | YTD Sep 17 vs YTD Sep 18
3.8
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
26
GALON
Branded vs unbranded
GALLON MINERAL WATER CATEGORY IS LOSING BUYERS BUT THE REMAINING BUYERS
STILL MANAGED TO MAINTAIN ITS VOLUME AND SPENDING
Total Indonesia l Volume, Value, Growth l Gallon Mineral Water l MAT Sep 2018 vs LY
Billion
25 12,000 +11.4% +4.5%
20 11,297.5 11,517.5 10,000 1,001.2
10,970.9 Spend/Buyer (Rp)
8,000
15
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
10
6,000 430K +15.2% +7.1%
4,000
5 2,000 Volume Cont. (%)
0 0
MAT 2LY MAT LY MAT TY
Price/ liter 29 5.0% 30 1.3% 31 Gallon
IDR
404.5 418.5 429.1 Branded
Price Growth
(%) +3.5 +2.5
-2.7% Gallon
Growth % MAT LY MAT TY 71 70 -1.4% 69 Unbranded
Volume -0.5 -0.6
Value 3.0 1.9
MAT 16 MAT 17 MAT 18
28
CPS
21 15
36 24
Growth
69 44 12 (%)
Total Branded Unbranded
12 7
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
29
Summary
• The market is driven by local players which • Medium and Large Bottle driven mostly by top
move faster by increasing the distribution in 5 players which holds around 80% share.
main areas
• Top 5 players dominate the market as the
• Price point 500 works the most for Cup distribution Is higher compare to any other
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
brands
• Opportunity lies in Java Island as the growth is
faster than Outer Java, however outer java is • Brand image might hold important roles as
also has big potential as it is not yet cheaper price is not giving maximum impact
developed. for bigger packsize
Will be improved by Nielsen
30
Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.