DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL DE TRES PARAMETROS

PRECIPITA PRECIPITA FUNCION DE

AÑO ORDEN Y=ln(x-xo)
CION (MM) CION (MM) DENSIDAD

1964 12.20 1 12.20 4.803003 0.6592670

1965 19.90 2 17.00 4.841632 1.9230085
1966 20.00 3 19.40 4.860400 2.8528341
1967 25.00 4 19.90 4.864267 3.0628565
1968 21.50 5 19.90 4.864267 3.0628565
1969 19.40 6 20.00 4.865038 3.1052821
1970 28.80 7 21.50 4.876539 3.7498599
1971 32.00 8 23.50 4.891671 4.5852583
1972 23.50 9 23.80 4.893921 4.7029527
1973 32.20 10 24.00 4.895418 4.7798072
1974 28.00 11 25.00 4.902871 5.1412790
1975 38.00 12 25.00 4.902871 5.1412790
1976 35.00 13 25.60 4.907316 5.3367196
1977 30.00 14 26.00 4.910269 5.4566944
1978 32.00 15 28.00 4.924902 5.9120765
1979 17.00 16 28.80 4.930696 6.0189998
1980 24.00 17 30.00 4.939324 6.0926999
1994 23.80 18 31.00 4.946458 6.0740822
1995 32.00 19 32.00 4.953542 5.9848999
1996 35.00 20 32.00 4.953542 5.9848999
1997 38.20 21 32.00 4.953542 5.9848999
1998 32.70 22 32.20 4.954952 5.9589575
1999 25.60 23 32.70 4.958470 5.8828339
2000 42.30 24 35.00 4.974496 5.3490722
2001 52.70 25 35.00 4.974496 5.3490722
2002 39.00 26 35.30 4.976567 5.2606451
2003 48.80 27 36.30 4.983441 4.9419541
2004 19.90 28 38.00 4.995020 4.3386611
2005 35.30 29 38.20 4.996373 4.2644145
2006 43.30 30 39.00 5.001769 3.9639642
2007 43.30 31 42.30 5.023722 2.7453372
2008 25.00 32 43.30 5.030280 2.4069013
2009 26.00 33 43.30 5.030280 2.4069013
2010 36.30 34 48.80 5.065602 0.9971377
2011 31.00 35 52.70 5.089914 0.4590608
MAXIMA DIFERENCIA

X0 = -109.675862
MEDIANA = 31.00
PROMEDIO = 4.94
DESCIACION ST. = 0.0654559
52
PARAMETROS
DISTRIBUC
PROBABILI
ION DIFERENCIA
DAD
TEORICA 7.0000000 FUNCION DE DENSIDAD
0.0174697 0.0278 0.0103

DENSIDAD
0.0643921 0.0556 0.0088 6.0000000
0.1089419 0.0833 0.0256
0.1203761 0.1111 0.0093 5.0000000
0.1203761 0.1389 0.0185
4.0000000
0.1227553 0.1667 0.0439
0.1621602 0.1944 0.0323 3.0000000
0.2252910 0.2222 0.0031
0.2357413 0.2500 0.0143 2.0000000
0.2428406 0.2778 0.0349
0.2798348 0.3056 0.0257 1.0000000
0.2798348 0.3333 0.0535
0.0000000
0.3031297 0.3611 0.0580 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.0
0.3190658 0.3889 0.0698 PRECIPITACION
FUNCION DE DENSIDAD
0.4025504 0.4167 0.0141
0.4371360 0.4444 0.0073
/ P RO BA B IL IDA D

0.4894636 0.4722 0.0172

0.5329050 0.5000 0.0329
0.5756552 0.5278 0.0479
0.5756552 0.5556 0.0201
0.5756552 0.5833 0.0077
D ISTR IB U C IO N TEO R IC A

0.5840800 0.6111 0.0270

0.6049145 0.6389 0.0340
0.6952947 0.6667 0.0286 DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL DE TRES PARAMETROS
1.2000000
0.6952947 0.6944 0.0009
0.7062841 0.7222 0.0159 1.0000000

0.7413714 0.7500 0.0086

0.8000000
0.7951634 0.7778 0.0174
0.8009851 0.8056 0.0046 0.6000000
0.8231854 0.8333 0.0101
0.4000000
0.8966985 0.8611 0.0356
0.9135837 0.8889 0.0247 0.2000000
0.9135837 0.9167 0.0031
0.0000000
0.9714661 0.9444 0.0270 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.0
PRECIPITACION
0.9885233 0.9722 0.0163
PROBABILIDAD DISTRIBUCION TEORICA
MAXIMA DIFERENCIA 0.0698
N DE DENSIDAD

.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00

PRECIPITACION
CION DE DENSIDAD

MAL DE TRES PARAMETROS

30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00

RECIPITACION
DISTRIBUCION TEORICA
 PRECIPITACION PROYECTADA

METODO DE DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL DE TRES PARAMETROS

XO -109.675862
PROMEDIO 4.94
DESVIACION ESTANDAR 0.0654559

TIEMPO DE PROBABILID PRECIPITACION

RETORNO W KT
AD PROYECTADA
(TR)
5 0.200 1.79 0.8414567174 38.1643
10 0.100 2.15 1.2817287565 42.4868
15 0.067 2.33 1.5013851892 44.6904
20 0.050 2.45 1.6452114401 46.1505
25 0.040 2.54 1.7510765311 47.2340
50 0.020 2.80 2.0541885887 50.3783
75 0.013 2.94 2.21680565 52.0910
100 0.010 3.03 2.3267853326 53.2598
200 0.005 3.26 2.5762360813 55.9420
300 0.003 3.38 2.713433108 57.4360
500 0.002 3.53 2.8785061077 59.2515
1000 0.001 3.72 3.0905222258 61.6121
 DETERMINACION DE LA INTENSIDAD METODO IILA-SENAMHI-UNI

Para 3 < t <= 24 horas

Donde: i: Intensidad de lluvia (mm/hr)

a: Parametro de Intensidad
k: Parametro de Frecuencia
b: Parametro (hora) = 0.4 Horas (sierra)
n: Parametro de duracion(adim.)
Datos: t: Duracion (Hr)
Para la region Hidrologia 123 6 - Andahauylas(Ajustado)
a= 11.000
k= 0.553
b= 0.400
n= 0.380

Calculo de la intensidad (mm/hr)

Duración Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad

(min) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr)
Tr=5.00 años Tr=10.00 años Tr=15.00 años Tr=20.00 años Tr=25.00 años Tr=50.00 años
15 36.02 40.35 42.88 44.67 46.07 50.39
30 23.44 26.25 27.90 29.07 29.97 32.79
45 18.23 20.42 21.70 22.61 23.31 25.50
60 15.25 17.08 18.15 18.91 19.50 21.33
75 13.28 14.88 15.81 16.47 16.98 18.58
90 11.86 13.29 14.12 14.71 15.17 16.59
105 10.78 12.07 12.83 13.37 13.79 15.08
120 9.92 11.12 11.81 12.31 12.69 13.88
135 9.23 10.33 10.98 11.44 11.80 12.90
150 8.64 9.68 10.29 10.72 11.05 12.09
165 8.15 9.12 9.70 10.10 10.42 11.39
180 7.72 8.64 9.19 9.57 9.87 10.80
195 7.34 8.23 8.74 9.11 9.39 10.27
210 7.01 7.86 8.35 8.70 8.97 9.81
225 6.72 7.53 8.00 8.33 8.59 9.40
240 6.46 7.23 7.69 8.01 8.26 9.03
255 6.22 6.97 7.40 7.71 7.95 8.70
270 6.00 6.72 7.14 7.44 7.68 8.40
285 5.80 6.50 6.91 7.20 7.42 8.12
300 5.62 6.30 6.69 6.97 7.19 7.87
315 5.46 6.11 6.49 6.77 6.98 7.63
330 5.30 5.94 6.31 6.57 6.78 7.41
345 5.16 5.78 6.14 6.39 6.59 7.21
360 5.02 5.62 5.98 6.23 6.42 7.02

Duración Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad Intensidad

(min) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr) (mm/hr)
Tr=75.00 años Tr=100.00 años Tr=200.00 años Tr=300.00 años Tr=500.00 años Tr=1000.00 años
15 52.92 54.72 59.04 61.57 64.76 69.09
30 34.44 35.60 38.42 40.06 42.14 44.95
45 26.78 27.69 29.88 31.16 32.77 34.96
60 22.41 23.17 25.00 26.07 27.42 29.25
75 19.51 20.17 21.77 22.70 23.88 25.47
90 17.43 18.02 19.44 20.27 21.32 22.75
105 15.84 16.37 17.67 18.43 19.38 20.67
120 14.58 15.07 16.26 16.96 17.84 19.03
135 13.55 14.01 15.12 15.77 16.58 17.69
150 12.70 13.13 14.16 14.77 15.53 16.57
165 11.97 12.37 13.35 13.92 14.64 15.62
180 11.34 11.72 12.65 13.19 13.87 14.80
195 10.79 11.16 12.04 12.55 13.20 14.08
210 10.30 10.65 11.50 11.99 12.61 13.45
225 9.87 10.21 11.02 11.49 12.08 12.89
240 9.49 9.81 10.58 11.04 11.61 12.38
255 9.14 9.45 10.19 10.63 11.18 11.93
270 8.82 9.12 9.84 10.26 10.79 11.51
285 8.53 8.82 9.51 9.92 10.43 11.13
300 8.26 8.54 9.22 9.61 10.11 10.78
315 8.01 8.29 8.94 9.32 9.81 10.46
330 7.79 8.05 8.69 9.06 9.53 10.16
345 7.57 7.83 8.45 8.81 9.27 9.89
360 7.38 7.63 8.23 8.58 9.03 9.63
 Curva I - D - Tr
80.00

70.00
Intensidad (mm/hr)

60.00

50.00

40.00

30.00
f(x) = -8.2223717499 ln(x) + 51.2292820238
R² = 0.91228244
20.00

10.00

0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Tr=5.00 años Logarithmic (Tr=5.00 años) Duracion (minutos)
Tr=10.00 años Tr=15.00 años Tr=20.00 años Tr=25.00 años

Tr=50.00 años Tr=75.00 años Tr=100.00 años Tr=200.00 años Tr=300.00 años Tr=500.00 años

Tr=1000.00 años
 NORMALIZACION DE DATOS PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 50 AÑOS
METODO DE BLOQUES ALTERNOS

TIEMPO DE RETORNO= 50 AÑOS

HIETOGRA
Tiempo Intensidad Precipitaci Incremento HIETOGRA MA
de ORDEN ORDEN
(min) (mm/hr) on (MM) Precipitacion MA NORMALIZA
DO

15 50.39 12.60 12.60 23 0.69 0.83 1

30 32.79 16.39 3.80 21 0.74 0.88 2
45 25.50 19.13 2.73 19 0.78 0.94 3
60 21.33 21.33 2.21 17 0.84 1.01 4
75 18.58 23.22 1.89 15 0.91 1.09 5
90 16.59 24.89 1.67 13 1.00 1.20 6
105 15.08 26.39 1.50 11 1.11 1.33 7
120 13.88 27.76 1.37 9 1.27 1.52 8
135 12.90 29.03 1.27 7 1.50 1.79 9
150 12.09 30.22 1.19 5 1.89 2.26 10
165 11.39 31.34 1.11 3 2.73 3.26 11
180 10.80 32.39 1.05 1 12.60 15.06 12
195 10.27 33.39 1.00 2 3.80 4.54 13
210 9.81 34.34 0.95 4 2.21 2.64 14
225 9.40 35.26 0.91 6 1.67 1.99 15
240 9.03 36.13 0.88 8 1.37 1.64 16
255 8.70 36.97 0.84 10 1.19 1.42 17
270 8.40 37.78 0.81 12 1.05 1.26 18
285 8.12 38.57 0.78 14 0.95 1.14 19
300 7.87 39.33 0.76 16 0.88 1.05 20
315 7.63 40.06 0.74 18 0.81 0.97 21
330 7.41 40.78 0.71 20 0.76 0.91 22
345 7.21 41.47 0.69 22 0.71 0.85 23
360 7.02 42.15 0.68 24 0.68 0.81 24
PRECIPITACION TEORICA 42.15
PRECIPITACION DE DISEÑO 50.38
PRECIPITACION (mm)
PRECIPITACION (mm)

70.00
INTENSIDAD NO
HIETOGRAMA NORMALIZADO
16.00 60.00

14.00
50.00
12.00
40.00
10.00

8.00 30.00
6.00
20.00
4.00
 60.00

PRECIP
16.00

PRECIPI
14.00
50.00
12.00
40.00
10.00

8.00 30.00
6.00
20.00
4.00

2.00 10.00

0.00
0.00

195
105
120
135
150
165
180

210
225
240
255
270
285
300
315
330
345
360
15
30
45
60
75
90
0 50 100 150
DURACION (min) DU
INTENSIDA
HIETOGRAMA NORMALIZADO
TORNO DE 50 AÑOS

Incremento
de INTENSIDAD
Precipitacio Precipitacio NORMALIZA
n n (MM) DA (mm/hr)
Normalizad
o

15.06 15.06 60.23

4.54 19.60 39.19
3.26 22.86 30.48
2.64 25.50 25.50
2.26 27.76 22.21
1.99 29.75 19.83
1.79 31.54 18.02
1.64 33.18 16.59
1.52 34.70 15.42
1.42 36.12 14.45
1.33 37.45 13.62
1.26 38.71 12.90
1.20 39.91 12.28
1.14 41.05 11.73
1.09 42.14 11.24
1.05 43.18 10.80
1.01 44.19 10.40
0.97 45.16 10.04
0.94 46.10 9.71
0.91 47.01 9.40
0.88 47.89 9.12
0.85 48.74 8.86
0.83 49.57 8.62
0.81 50.38 8.40

00
INTENSIDAD NORMALIZADA (mm/hr)

00

00

00

00

00
00

00

00

00

00

00

00
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
DURACION (mm)
INTENSIDAD NORMALIZADA (mm/hr)
HIETOGRAMA DE ABSTRACCIONES PARA 50 AÑOS

N°DE CURVA = 93
Pmin 3.82

PRECIPITACI HIETOGRAMA
PRECIPITACION PRECIPITACION CONDIC ON EN CON
TIEMPO Pe
(mm) ACUMULADA ION EXESO A ABSTRACCIONES
USAR TR=50 AÑOS
15 0.83 0.83 0 0.556 0.000 0.00
30 0.88 1.71 0 0.263 0.000 0.00
45 0.94 2.65 0 0.077 0.000 0.00
60 1.01 3.65 0 0.002 0.000 0.00
75 1.09 4.74 0 0.042 0.000 0.00
90 1.20 5.94 0 0.211 0.000 0.00
105 1.33 7.27 0 0.527 0.000 0.00
120 1.52 8.79 0 1.024 0.000 0.00
135 1.79 10.59 0 1.767 0.000 0.00
150 2.26 12.84 0 2.891 0.000 0.00
165 3.26 16.11 0 4.805 0.000 0.00
180 15.06 31.16 1 16.090 16.090 16.09
195 4.54 35.70 1 19.927 19.927 3.84
210 2.64 38.34 0 22.215 0.000 0.00
225 1.99 40.33 0 23.962 0.000 0.00
240 1.64 41.98 0 25.416 0.000 0.00
255 1.42 43.39 0 26.679 0.000 0.00
270 1.26 44.65 0 27.808 0.000 0.00
285 1.14 45.79 0 28.834 0.000 0.00
300 1.05 46.84 0 29.779 0.000 0.00
315 0.97 47.81 0 30.659 0.000 0.00
330 0.91 48.72 0 31.484 0.000 0.00
345 0.85 49.57 0 32.263 0.000 0.00
360 0.81 50.38 0 33.002 0.000 0.00

HIETOGRAMA DE ABSTRACCIONES PARA 25 AÑOS

NUMERO DE CU 93
Pmin 3.82

PRECIPITACI HIETOGRAMA
PRECIPITACION PRECIPITACION CONDIC ON EN CON
TIEMPO Pe
(mm) ACUMULADA ION EXESO A ABSTRACCIONES
USAR TR=25 AÑOS
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#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.00
PRECIPITACIONENEXESO

PRECIPITACION E HIDROGRAMA DE EXESO DE LA LA CUENCA PARA TR=50 AÑOS

18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00 TIEMPO (min)
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

HIETOGRAMA CON ABSTRACCIONES TR=50 AÑOS

P RESIP ITAC IO N EN EX ESO

HIETOGRAMA CON ABSTRACCIONES TR=25 AÑOS

1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
 HIETOGRAMA CON ABSTRACCIONES TR=25 AÑOS

P RESIP I
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00
TIEMPO (min)
1964 12.20
1965 19.90
1966 20.00
1967 25.00
1968 21.50
1969 19.40
1970 28.80
1971 32.00
1972 23.50
1973 32.20
1974 28.00
1975 38.00
1976 35.00
1977 30.00
1978 32.00
1979 17.00
1980 24.00
1994 23.80
1995 32.00
1996 35.00
1997 38.20
1998 32.70
1999 25.60
2000 42.30
2001 52.70
2002 39.00
2003 48.80
2004 19.90
2005 35.30
2006 43.30
2007 43.30
2008 25.00
2009 26.00
2010 36.30
2011 31.00
DISTRIBUCION NORMAL

DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL DE DOS PARAMETROS

DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL DE TRES PARAMETROS
PRECIPITACION
35 52.7 0.9722 0.9918 0.9910 0.0196