No denuclearize – 2ac

North Korea will never denuclearize

Tyler Bauer 18, JD/MBA Candidate at the IU Robert H. McKinney School of Law and the IU
Kelley School of Business, “The North Korea Deal - One Month Later”, FF Blog, 2019

Here’s the truth – North Korea has no intention to denuclearize, and – objectively speaking –
they shouldn’t. For all their faults, the North Koreans are able to learn from history. Many
Americans were talking about implementing a “ Libya model” for North Korean
denuclearization. The Libyan model was, and is, a terrible model. After agreeing upon a
denuclearization plan with the United States, Libya’s leader, Muammar Gaddafi, was dragged
through the streets and sodomized to death. (WARNING: That link is VERY graphic.) Libya has
since descended into a country full of violence and open-air slave trades. A “Libyan model”
doesn’t work well for anyone, especially the country’s leader, so it should come as no
surprise that Kim Jong Un didn’t agree to anything specific in Singapore.

Going Forward

Holding the North Koreans to a deal has been difficult in the past. This was proved in
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s recent trip to North Korea, which was an utter
failure. Pompeo disagrees, but the North Koreans and most news outlets confirm that the
meetings were not productive. This recent failure is largelly due to the United States’ push for
denuclearization. North Korea will never denuclearize voluntarily.

Nuclear weapons are the only way to guarantee security from the United States . Think
of the countries the United States has gone to war with or intervened in since World War Two –
none of them had nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, nuclearized countries like Pakistan and
China – neither of which are allies of the United States – have been left alone since they
nuclearized. Nuclear weapons are the only thing keeping Kim Jong Un in power. Without
nuclear weapons, he could meet a fate similar to Gaddafi’s. Leaders like Kim Jong Un are
often made out to be crazed lunatics determined to destroy the world, but they aren’t. Kim is a
rational (albeit terrible) person, and he won’t be giving up his nuclear weapons without a
fight, meaning that any deal including denuclearization is destined to fail.
 no denuclearize – 1ar
kim will never give up his nukes, like ever
we've been trying to make them do that for 25 years across like 4 different
administrations and have offered them a bunch of shit in exchange – but they know
nukes are the only things that protect them from the US – after what happened to
Gaddafi, they’ll never ever give them up – that’s Bauer

It would be regime suicide and Kim knows it – even assuming US concessions

Samantha Cooper 19, Goucher College, "Living with a nuclear North Korea", Washington
Jewish Week, https://washingtonjewishweek.com/52631/living-with-a-nuclear-north-
korea/editorial-opinion/voices/
President Donald Trump is to be credited with motivating Chairman Kim Jong-Un to not test any
nuclear weapons or ballistic missiles in the last 260 plus days. But Trump needs to recast his
overall strategy with Kim, because his stated chief goal will never be realized. Kim will never
denuclearize North Korea. It is certainly possible that he will partially denuclearize. For
example, he may reduce the number of nuclear weapons he has, from 60 to 30. But it is hard to
see how he could completely denuclearize.

North Korea has been an outcast nation since the end of the Korean War. North Korean
leaders and North Koreans citizens live in fear of the United States and the West. The United
States dropped atomic bombs on an Asian country in World War II (and destroyed three
quarters of the buildings of North Korea during the Korean War), and North Koreans therefore
have some basis to think that they are an Asian country that might have atomic bombs dropped
on them by the United States in the future.

Trump has significant experience in the area of construction. As president, he is partly

responsible for economic development in our country. He has said that he wants to see North
Korea undergo great economic development.
The question is: To what extent can the United States help North Korea undergo major
economic development along the lines of Vietnam or even Japan and South Korea, without
seeing North Korea totally denuclearize? Many hard liners in the United States demand total
denuclearization, as has Trump and his administration. But if this is never going to happen, is it
a good goal to have?

Why would any country which has nuclear weapons, and especially a country that fears
for its existence, give them up? Is Pakistan giving up its nuclear weapons? Is Israel? Is
Russia? Are we?
Libya did, and look what happened to its leader.

The United States has been betting on the trade of economic development, both removal of
sanctions and presumably some sort of Marshall Plan, for denuclearization. If this trade is not
going to happen, is it still to our benefit to lift up the North Korean economy?
There is no clear answer to this question, but it is worth remembering that if North Korea ever
did unleash nuclear weapons on the United States it would basically be kissing its existence
good-bye. No president could absorb that kind of catastrophe with a proportional response. We
would have to destroy their country.

Kim knows this, but he likes having the threat to attack us with nuclear weapons as
leverage in his negotiations.

Realizing that it will be impossible to get Kim to destroy all of his nuclear weapons and nuclear
capabilities, the rational course of action is to force him to be a peaceful player in the world.
Make him scale down his nuclear capability. Punish him if he tests nuclear weapons or ballistic
weapons. Compel him to sign a treaty which lays out a viable path forward with specific goals
and timetables, including partial denuclearization.