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This critique seeks a good explanation and evaluation of Urban Regeneration as a relevant
instrument to the advancement of the community. Approached using the theory of change, the
work is an application of the realistic model
otherwise referred as the 1997 Pawson Tilley CMO
model. CMO is a diagnostic tool for evaluating how
particular approaches to a given circumstance
produce specific outcomes. It is to note that realistic
evaluation assumes that intervention shall occur. The
framework outlines the context to which planning
prescription determines a clear relationship between
a problem and outcome, and that a measurable
change can be identified. CMO is: context (+)
mechanism (=) outcome. Context shall situate the
Map of Woodberry Down. Finsbury Park lies east
problem from which an instrument was prescribed, while The Bridge in LB Haringey is immediately north.
London Borough of Hackney continues south and east
of the area (Sissons 2009)
SITE CHARACTERISTICS
Woodberry Down Estate is a post-war housing estate bordering the northwest of the London
Borough of Hackney, which was a landmark project of the 1940 London County Council. The
area covers about 24 hectares and mostly residential, built around two small shopping sites:
Woodberry Grove and Manor House. Its entirety sweeps through six lower level output areas
toward Brownswood and New River. Accessibility is a stronghold of the area with direct access
to central London by the Underground, and next to the transport hub at Manor House. Seven
Sisters Road A503 divides the estate in half, while Green Lanes A105 seams the DP area. Nearby
borders are the East and West Reservoirs, the estate is adjacent to Finsbury Park and Clissold
Park (Sissons 2009, Europan brief 2001).
Woodberry Down endures extensive disadvantage given limited investments in social housing
and physical infrastructure in the recent 25 years, with Hackney identified as the most deprived
local authority district across the country (IMD 20041). The District has its economic base in
manufacturing, aside an emerging prominence in the
arts and media. The vibrant community has a unique
character with its diverse ethnic mix, with more than
half of the residents in subsidised livings having
income levels well below the London average
(Sissons 2009, Europan brief 2001).
REGENERATION PLAN
The Urban Regeneration project was conceived towards the close of the 1990 economic boom.
Apart from the major remodelling on the entire complex, Hackney Council decided for a cost
saving knock down of the gigantic estate over the expenditure to refurbish units at the Decent
Homes standard. These large social housing blocks are home to near on 2,000 family residents
(East London Lines 2012). Insofar, the creation of a mixed cultural economic centre is the
kingpin strategy of the Woodberry Down urban regeneration plan. In a cultural dimension, the
community is comprised of 32% of its full population of fifty eight thousand, White British
lineage 17%, Black African 10%, Black Caribbean and
Black British 10%. A substantial count of resident
minorities is Turkish and Kurdish, and the largest
Orthodox Jewish community living nearby. The
community is relatively young with about 23% of the
population aged 14, and a handful of transient
arrivals from Eastern European Accession States. The
elderly group comprises 15% of the estate
population, mostly longstanding tenants and
leaseholders (Sissons 2009).
ECONOMIC PROFILE
Structure of the local economy,
unemployment, economic links.
SOCIAL PROFILE
Human resources, socio
economic status, social
deprivation, ethnic inclusion
Urban development
ENVIRONMENTAL PROFILE Corporations 1981-1988
TRENDS Enterprise zones 1981-1996
Economic Quality of urban fabric and
infrastructure, environmental Estate action 1985-1994
Social City Grant 1988-1994
Spatial pollution, waste management
City challenge 1993-1999
English Partnerships 1993-1999
CHANGES IN Single regeneration budget
Governance 1994
Technology Estates renewal
politics Challenge fund 1996
New deal for communities 1998
OUTPUTS
Strategies for
change
Megatrends
SOCIAL PHYSICAL
Employment to training, Rebuilding city centre,
improvement in improvement of
education and housing, new social
healthcare services facilities, transportation
ECONOMIC
New economic ENVIRONMENTAL
opportunities, economic Environmental action:
diversification, support green policies
for new and existing
firms OUTCOMES
Cities or places
Competitive
Improved quality of
life
Fiscal soundness
Social Inclusion
The Hackney Council shifted from its “Decent Homes Strategy”, and pursued the self-funded
regeneration programme, decided as the better option to meet the Decent Homes Standard.
The existing tenure which comprised chiefly of social housing dampens the economic
potential for income generating activity. While the market demand on affordable housing is
high, a fairly homogeneous tenure of 67% into social rented spaces, has resulted to economic
stagnancy.
The placement of Seven Sisters Road, which is a six lane main thoroughfare, creates a visible
divide. It is too cumbersome to get across the highway to use facilities at the other side. Studies
find that this scenario has weakened community
cohesion, and can induce racially motivated crime.
Many residents have qualifications at primary level and amongst the working age population
35% had no qualifications.
Access to public services and shops remain a problem. These include the lack of access to
services, such as mental health care and other social infrastructures that circumvent poorer life
chances.
DEVELOPMENT CAPACITY
The policy on affordable housing and unit size forms a critical element in the regeneration plan,
which sets out with 1,458 social rented homes composing 34.0% of the full allocation.
Intermediate housing makes up 7% and 59% as private units for sale. Intermediate housing
could increase to a maximum of 17% should funds be available, that would be taken out of the
private housing scheme. 35% of these newly
developed homes are for 3-beds category or more,
aside the raised density of 200 units per hectare.
10% of the development area is for public open
space, built around garden squares are the
‘traditional London urban form’ block between 2 and
20 storeys. 456 units are for completion within a 3-4
year period.
COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
Blackman (1995) states that community development is in fact a strategy for putting urban
policy into practice: “Community development is about strengthening representation and
participation where there are barriers to this; an equal opportunities framework is therefore
essential and this requires the investment of resources. Giving voice to people who are
disempowered by disability, caring responsibilities or lack of English means resourcing their
participation: using staff who can communicate effectively with target groups, providing access
and facilities for disabled people, and providing child care, travel expenses and translation.”
“Bringing Britain Together: a national strategy for neighbourhood renewal,” was the slogan
coming off the report of the Social Exclusion Unit and underlying principles used in the
formulation of the urban regeneration objectives of the particular project. The objectives set
In the implementation phase, the Woodberry Down Community Organisation or WDCO was
formed. The WDCO is the resident elected body established to represent all residents and
workers within Woodberry Down. The recognised organisation for the negotiating arm for the
urban regeneration programmes, and meets on the third Thursday of every month at the
Redmond Community Centre with the various subcommittees and partners for discussion on
the issues, sentiments and concerns of the urban regeneration project. A housing management
and regeneration office has been set up to respond to resident inquiries such as the interim
repairs on blocks in Phases 3-5. For advisement on specific concerns about the regeneration of
the Woodberry Down estate, the services of the Independent Tenants and Leaseholders
Advisor or ITLA is commissioned on call schedule basis every Tuesday and Thursday 3pm-7pm
at 93 Woodberry Grove (hackney.gov.uk/woodberry-down).
10Lack of child friendly areas, signage, playgrounds and 7Alongside these the Genesis Housing Association helps
protected paths Woodberry Down residents who want to start up
business
(Table 1 Synthesis of sources: Sissons 2009. Couvee 2012. Genesis Housing Association 2011. East London Lines 2012. Europan brief 2011. http:/www.hackney.gov.uk/woodberry_down_library.htm.
Koen and Mulkens 2010)
consulting firms and expertise organisations have been engaged to strengthen the overall
concept and vision, through the detail of crafting correct child friendly spaces, open locations,
and support infrastructure for family and work life. A technique to build a sustainable urban
project is determined through the broadened selection of tenure which in itself would establish
the social mixture.
FINANCIAL VIABILITY
Woodberry Down urban regeneration is a high-profile project that persists to break new
ground. For the initial phase of huge development executed over two decades, this is to
complete the construction of over 4500 homes at the Hackney, for private ownership, shared
ownership or other schemes on social rent. A Principal Development Agreement between
Hackney Council, Berkeley Homes, and Genesis Housing Group PCHA was forged in March 2010
for £1billion worth over the next 20 years. The development on Woodberry Grove North and
Green Lanes, involves the construction of 187 units for social rent and 60 homes under shared
ownership. Neighbourhood revival introduces community facilities to enhance business,
improve education, safeguard health and stir social interaction. This urban regeneration
initiative is benchmarked for affordable quality homes and a broadened selection of tenure
(Land 2010).
Project delays earlier in 2009, root in the argument on the business formation and stock
transfer to the Genesis Housing Association from Hackney Council, following the disapproval of
a £40m grant from Government. In January 2011, the injection of funds from the Homes and
Communities Agency and the Hackney Council, revived the project. These funds were depleted
on the housing construction at Green Lanes, Woodberry Grove North, Horston and Sherwood.
Today, a total of 117 social rented flats are already occupied (Couvee 2012).
Negotiations later on for a Single Regeneration Budget proposal for some £25m have been
successful. At present the project negotiation is towered by the Private Finance Initiative to find
the best investment return of £160m over 10 years. The worrisome aspect of such initiatives is
that it is overwhelmed by bargaining for different kinds of financial vehicles, aside the
inconclusive debates on the “best value for money.”
For this exercise, a medium yield of 8% has been applied on the two acres of land in the
deprived area in the London Borough of Hackney. CIL is pegged at £35.
Net present value on the full development value of £19.012m has an internal rate of return of
11% and a payback of 2½ years. Development value is determined at 90% sales on both office
and residential spaces for 12½ years of purchase at 8% yield.
Legal £45,000
Architects 5.5% £466,950
Profit margin 15% £1,273,500
Structural engineer 3% £254,700
Quantity Surveyor 2.5% £212,250
Planning Consultant £12,000
Planning application £18,000
Building regulations £30,000
Sale fees 2% £169,800
Contingencies 6% £509,400
Notwithstanding, over recent years, yields for property have incurred move outs, suggesting
lower confidence in the capability of tenants to pay rent and in future demand for space. As
the economy rebounds, yield improvement is expected.
The figure outlines a front loaded expenditure profile which would mean the built environment
costs are cash flow negative throughout the initial project phase 2½ years and at ideal scenario,
thus requires a good financial vehicle. Financing arrangements in place allow for these
substantial amounts to yield at 8%.
All the same, the residual viability value with economic potential that deflates in a less than
ideal scenario can be argued to be feasible when the potential residual value exceeds the worth
in its current use. Secondly, viability can be established on the basis of the project contribution
to country goals on affordable housing. For the case in hand, the land value on a deprived area
is raised as a result of the urban regeneration plan. It is to note that 8% Residual Land Value is
the accepted margin; and requires a more thorough analysis to be performed.
For the case in hand where the property is owned by the Council, for valuation purposes it is
assumed that the land is for sale, but that there is no claim for a premium over the actual value
by its user, rather the user insists that affordable dwelling tenure be provided.
It is to note that the mathematical equation of Residual Land Value as the basis of project
viability is most sensitive to the typical three greatest costs and revenues which are identified
as the sales values, construction costs and the cost of acquiring the land. In spite project delays
given the economic backdrop, the Woodberry Down urban regeneration project presents with
a benchmarked viability. The constraints set in by the unprecedented market conditions over
the last few years does not impede directly on the project because the majority of the space
has an original value calculated under socialised housing schemes. Thus the sales values seen in
the lowest points of the market do not make a large proportion of financial scenarios in the
model unviable.
What are of greater impact on urban regeneration projects is in fact policy and the accessibility
to the Social Housing Grant has a significant consequence on scheme viability. Phasing the
project over lengthy periods can further improve viability considerably on the expenditures
expected on cash flow. Consequentially, changing the variables on the housing schemes would
CONCLUSION
The Woodberry Down urban regeneration undertaking is a tangible expression of the energy of
a community, its culture and pride of heritage; in oppose profit maximisation and uncertainty.
And to say differently the thoughts of Roeback (1999): “In transformative undertakings,
everyone needs everyone else to deliver change. It is compelling all communicate, build
partnerships and trust, focus, deliver, and celebrate.”
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Couvee, K. 2012. Woodberry Down: bright future, visible social divide, London Lines
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Westview Press, Boulder CO, pp 292
Koen, L. and Mulkens, J. 2010. The child friendliness of Woodberry Down, Hackney Homes in
partnership with the Hackney Council.
Land, J. 2010. Woodberry Down regeneration ‘breaks new ground’ with PDA agreement,
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association, SAGE Publications, London.
Rowley, A. 1998. Private property decision makers and the quality of urban design, Elsevier Ltd,
Oxford UK, pp 332
Sissons, A. 2009. Case study: Woodberry Down Baseline Report, Shared Intelligence, UK
Tsenkova, S. 2002. Urban regeneration: Learning from the British experience, University of
Calgary, Faculty of Environment Design, Canada
The Berkeley Group, 2012. Creating strong communities: How to measure the social
sustainability of new housing developments, Surrey UK