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Absolute :REDUCE
Relative : Benchmark
2QFY18 Result: Estimates (), Target (), Rating () Regular Coverage 2.9% ATR in 11 months
EPS (18E) 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0 sanctions/disbursements remain key risks. RoA (%) 1.9 % 2.0 % 1.9 % 1.9 %
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666) / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 1 of 13
Before reading this report, you must refer to the disclaimer on the last page.
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Quarterly performance
Particulars %Variation
(Rs. mn) 2QFY18 2QFY18E 2QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18E 2QFY17 1QFY18
Net interest income (NII) 1,280 1,269 1,010 1,234 0.8% 26.7% 3.7%
Other income 146 156 121 122 -6.5% 20.9% 19.5%
Total income 1,426 1,426 1,131 1,356 0.0% 26.1% 5.2%
Operating expenses 204 215 198 203 -5.1% 3.2% 0.9%
Staff expenses 102 110 100 103 -7.7% 2.3% -1.2%
Other expenses 102 105 98 99 -2.4% 4.2% 3.0%
Operating profit 1,222 1,210 933 1,153 0.9% 31.0% 5.9%
Total provisions 80 69 60 42 15.3% 32.7% 91.8%
Profit before tax 1,142 1,141 873 1,112 0.1% 30.8% 2.7%
Tax 392 411 322 400 -4.6% 21.7% -1.9%
Profit after tax 750 730 551 712 2.7% 36.2% 5.3%
Balance sheet (Rs mn) 2QFY18 2QFY18E 2QFY17 1QFY18 % change vs Est % change y-y % change q-q
Advances 144,560 144,984 119,800 138,080 -0.3% 20.7% 4.7%
Gross NPL (Rs mn) 580 298 523 94.3% 10.9%
Net NPL (Rs mn) 259 36 234 624.0% -
Ratios (%) 2QFY18 2QFY18E 2QFY17 1QFY18 bp change y-y bp change q-q
Profitability ratios
Yield on Advances – Cal 10.44% 11.0% 10.5% -58 -6
Cost of Borrowing 7.76% 8.6% 7.8% -79 -8
NIM – Cal 3.6% 3.5% 3.6% 14 -1
RoaA 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 24 4
RoaE 24.6% 21.7% 25.5% 282 -99
Asset Quality
Gross NPL ratio 0.40% 0.25% 0.38% 15 2
Net NPL ratio 0.18% 0.0% 0.2% 15 1
Coverage ratio (reported) 55.3% 88.0% 55.3% -3,271 2
Business & Other Ratios
Cost-income ratio - Calc 14.3% 17.5% 14.9% -317 -61
Non int. inc / total income 10.2% 10.7% 9.0% -44 123
CAR 18.8% 18.9% 19.2% -8 -38
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page2 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Exhibit 1: Advances growth continues to grow at 21% yoy as supply side issues
persist in the affordable housing segment Exhibit 3: GNPL/NNPL ratio stood at 0.40%/0.18%
(Rs 000') Advances YoY Growth GNPA NNPA Provision Coverage
140 50% 0.49% 125%
0.42%
110 40% 100%
0.35%
80 30% 0.28% 75%
0.21% 50%
50 20%
0.14%
20 10% 25%
0.07%
0.00% 0%
-10 0%
1QFY15
2QFY15
3QFY15
4QFY15
1QFY16
2QFY16
3QFY16
4QFY16
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
2QFY15
3QFY15
4QFY15
1QFY16
2QFY16
3QFY16
4QFY16
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
Source: Company, Equirus Securities Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Exhibit 2: The housing: non-housing loan mix stands at ~89%:11% Exhibit 4: C/I ratio improves further to 14.3% from 14.9% in 1QFY18
Housing Loans Non-Housing Loans
100% 40%
80% 32%
60% 24%
40% 16%
20% 8%
0% 0%
4QFY15
1QFY16
2QFY16
3QFY16
4QFY16
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
1QFY15
2QFY15
3QFY15
4QFY15
1QFY16
2QFY16
3QFY16
4QFY16
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
Source: Company, Equirus Securities Source: Company, Equirus Securities
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page3 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Exhibit 5: NIMs remain stable at 3.64% Exhibit 7: Repayment /loans at 2QFY18-beginning rises to ~5.1% from 4.5% in 2QFY17
Average Yield on Assets Average Cost of Borrowing NIM - RHS
Repayments/ Opening qtr Loans
12% 4.0%
5.5%
3.5% 5.0%
10%
4.5%
3.0%
4.0%
8%
2.5% 3.5%
6% 2.0% 3.0%
1QFY16
2QFY16
3QFY16
4QFY16
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
4QFY15
1QFY16
2QFY16
3QFY16
4QFY16
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
Source: Company, Equirus Securities Source: Company, Equirus Securities
20.0%
59.0% 19.0%
2.0%
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 4 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Exhibit 9: Share of salaried & professional class in O/S loans declines further to ~74%
4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18
Salaried & Professionals 84.4% 83.6% 82.8% 81.7% 80.4% 79.2% 77.8% 76.7% 75.3% 74.6% 73.9%
Non Salaried Class - Self Employed & Non Professionals 15.1% 15.9% 16.7% 17.8% 19.1% 20.5% 21.9% 23.0% 24.4% 25.1% 25.9%
Builders Loans 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Staff Loans 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 5 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
RERA, demonetization and GST-related issues are getting sorted out in the market. Advances (A) 106,430 133,130 161,661 200,261 240,313
RERA complied schemes are coming up in the lower income group (LIG) and middle Investments (B) 149 161 0 0 0
income group (MIG) segments.
Interest Earning Assets (C)(A+B) 106,579 133,291 161,661 200,261 240,313
Salaried class has deferred home buying decisions post demonetization and RERA
implementation. Average Interest Earning Assets (D) 94,549 119,935 147,476 180,961 220,287
Credit related to CLSS has not been delayed in genuine cases where the carpet area NII/Avg Int Earning Assets 3.2% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.4%
restrictions are met.
Non Int Inc/Avg Int Earning Assets 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Competition is stiff from well-established players, but not much from new players.
Total Income/Avg Int Earning Assets 3.6% 3.9% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8%
Management stated that pre-payment pressure persists.
Op. Costs/Avg Int Earning Assets 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
Earnings/Balance Sheet
Yield on advances in the housing/non-housing book was 10%/12.5-13%. PPI/Avg Int Earning Assets 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2%
There is a difference of 25bps between salaried and non-salaried housing loans. Provisions/Avg Int Earning Assets 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
~90% of CANF’s portfolio comprises housing loans, with an avg. ticket size of Rs 1.8mn. Taxes/Avg Int Earning Assets 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
Disbursements in Tamil Nadu are returning to normalcy. Return on Avg Int Earning Assets 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9%
Branches Extraordinary item 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
CANF is cautious on opening new branches and is strictly examining the cost-benefit
analysis before opening any branch. Adj Return on Avg Int Earning Assets 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9%
Productivity (Avg Int Earning
The company added three affordable housing centers in the first week of October. 98.9% 98.9% 99.2% 99.4% 99.6%
Assets/Avg Total Assets)
Guidance Return on Average Total Assets 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9%
Management reiterated its 2020 loan book vision of Rs 350bn. Leverage (Average Total
11.6 12.4 12.5 12.4 12.2
Assets/Average Equity)
CANF stated that it would not compromise on asset quality to achieve its
Return on Average Equity 19.0% 24.1% 25.4% 24.2% 23.7%
Rs 170bn loan book target for FY18.
CANF expects salaried segment loan book growth to revive as the RERA, GST and Source: Company, Equirus Securities
demonetization related issues have diluted.
Second half of the fiscal would be better than 1HFY18.
FY19 and FY20 would be key years for HFCs, and achieving of the ‘Housing for All’
goal by 2022 would lead to a robust growth in these years for HFCs.
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 6 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Company Snapshot
How we differ from Consensus Sensitivity to Key Variables % Change % Impact on EPS
- Equirus Consensus % Diff Comment
Net Interest Income 10 % 17.5 %
FY18E 22.8 22.4 1.7 %
EPS Provisioning Costs 10 % -0.9 %
FY19E 26.6 28.5 -6.5 %
NII + FY18E Loans & Advances Growth 10 % 1.3 %
5,829 9,580 -39.2 %
Other We expect consensus to be updated
Inc FY19E 6,951 11,848 -41.3 % ERoE Valuations & Assumptions
FY18E 3,031 3,064 -1.1 % Rf Ke Term. Growth RoE in Terminal Yr
PAT
FY19E 3,547 3,910 -9.3 % 6.8 % 14.0 % 5.0 % 21 %
Our Key Investment arguments: Loan growth for the company is moderating even as - FY18E FY19-22E FY23-27E FY28-37E
asset quality remains healthy and C/I ratio contained. PAT Growth 28.8 % 20.3 % 17.1 % 16.9 %
Dividend Payout (%) 10.5 % 33.3 % 25.0 % 25.0 %
Key Assumptions 2016A 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E
BV growth 21.6% 18.3% 19.5% 17.7%
Yields on Advances (%) 11.1% 10.9% 10.3% 10.1% 10.1%
RoE (%) 25.4 % 25.0 % 22.9 % 21.2 %
Yield on Investments (%)
-
Cost of Funds (%) 9.1% 8.3% 7.6% 7.5% 7.5% Years of strong growth 1 5 10 20
NIMs (%) 3.2% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.4% Valuation as on date (Rs) 210 277 355 523
NII Growth (%) 69.4% 40.3% 24.3% 18.4% 21.2% Valuation as of 30th Sep’18 222 293 376 554
PPI Growth (%) 80.1% 42.1% 28.1% 18.4% 21.3%
Our Sep’18 target price of Rs. 554 implies 20 years of high growth with average RoE of
Provisions Growth (%) 36.2% -6.2% 48.1% 29.5% 26.1% 23%,cost of equity of 14%and terminal growth of 5% on ERoE basis.
PAT Growth (%) 82.2% 49.8% 28.8% 17.0% 21.0%
Company Description:
Advances Growth (%) 29.2% 25.1% 21.4% 23.9% 20.0%
CANF was incorporated in 1987; Canara Bank owns 30.0% stake in the company. CANF has
Key Risks:Margin pressure due to rate competition, and slowdown in fresh a pan-India presence with 177 branches including 33 satellite offices. Four southern
sanctions/disbursements. states (Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Kerala) constitute ~76% of its loan
Key Triggers: Healthy growth in fresh sanctions and disbursements with improving book.
margins.
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 7 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
CoF 8.5 % 8.4 % 8.3 % 7.8 % 7.7 % 7.7 % 7.7 % 7.6 % 7.6 % 7.6 % 7.6 % 7.6 % 8.3 % 7.6 % 7.5 % 7.5 %
NIM 3.4 % 3.5 % 3.6 % 3.7 % 3.6 % 3.6 % 3.6 % 3.6 % 3.5 % 3.5 % 3.5 % 3.4 % 3.5 % 3.6 % 3.4 % 3.4 %
C/I Ratio 17.8 % 17.5 % 16.2 % 17.3 % 14.9 % 14.3 % 14.6 % 14.8 % 15.0 % 15.2 % 15.3 % 15.4 % 17.2 % 14.7 % 15.2 % 15.1 %
CD Ratio 112.0 % 111.1 % 111.5 % 112.1 % 112.5 % 112.7 % 112.7 % 112.4 % 112.4 % 112.4 % 112.4 % 111.9 % 112.1 % 112.4 % 111.9 % 111.9 %
Non-Interest Income/ Total Income 10.1 % 10.7 % 7.5 % 11.6 % 9.0 % 10.2 % 10.3 % 10.4 % 10.5 % 10.6 % 10.6 % 10.8 % 10.0 % 10.0 % 10.6 % 10.5 %
ROA 1.8 % 1.9 % 1.9 % 2.2 % 2.1 % 2.1 % 2.1 % 2.0 % 2.0 % 2.0 % 2.0 % 1.9 % 1.9 % 2.0 % 1.9 % 1.9 %
ROE 22.1 % 23.4 % 24.1 % 27.1 % 26.0 % 26.0 % 25.0 % 24.9 % 24.7 % 24.1 % 23.7 % 23.7 % 24.1 % 25.4 % 24.2 % 23.7 %
Sequential Growth (%)
NII 6.0 % 9.9 % 9.2 % 7.7 % 3.8 % 3.7 % 4.4 % 4.6 % 4.3 % 4.0 % 4.5 % 4.5 %
TI 3.7 % 10.6 % 5.5 % 12.8 % 0.8 % 5.2 % 4.4 % 4.7 % 4.5 % 4.1 % 4.6 % 4.7 %
PPI 3.9 % 11.0 % 7.1 % 11.3 % 3.7 % 5.9 % 4.1 % 4.4 % 4.2 % 3.9 % 4.4 % 4.5 %
Provisions and Write-offs 290.1 % 9.1 % 0.0 % -88.2 % 484.5 % 91.8 % -9.2 % 5.5 % 6.0 % 5.0 % 5.0 % 6.0 %
PAT 4.8 % 10.7 % 8.2 % 18.9 % 0.5 % 5.3 % 2.4 % 4.3 % 4.1 % 3.8 % 4.4 % 4.4 %
EPS 4.8 % 10.7 % 8.2 % 18.9 % 0.5 % 5.3 % 2.4 % 4.3 % 4.1 % 3.8 % 4.4 % 4.4 %
Advances 5.1 % 7.1 % 5.9 % 4.9 % 3.7 % 4.7 % 5.5 % 6.0 % 5.0 % 5.0 % 6.0 % 6.0 %
Borrowings 5.4 % 7.9 % 5.6 % 4.3 % 3.4 % 4.5 % 5.5 % 6.3 % 5.0 % 5.0 % 6.0 % 6.5 %
Total Business 5.2 % 7.5 % 5.8 % 4.6 % 3.6 % 4.6 % 5.5 % 6.1 % 5.0 % 5.0 % 6.0 % 6.2 %
Yearly Growth (%)
NII 43.5 % 42.4 % 39.1 % 37.1 % 34.3 % 26.7 % 21.1 % 17.5 % 18.1 % 18.4 % 18.6 % 18.5 % 40.2 % 24.3 % 18.4 % 21.2 %
TI 46.4 % 41.2 % 30.3 % 36.5 % 32.7 % 26.1 % 24.8 % 15.8 % 20.0 % 18.9 % 19.1 % 19.1 % 37.9 % 24.3 % 19.3 % 21.1 %
PPI 55.0 % 46.8 % 33.8 % 37.6 % 37.3 % 31.0 % 27.3 % 19.4 % 20.0 % 17.7 % 18.0 % 18.2 % 42.1 % 28.1 % 18.4 % 21.3 %
Provisions and Write-offs 57.1 % -20.0 % -14.3 % -49.6 % -24.5 % 32.7 % 20.5 % 974.0 % 94.8 % 6.6 % 23.3 % 23.9 % -6.2 % 48.1 % 29.5 % 26.1 %
PAT 54.9 % 55.7 % 41.3 % 49.4 % 43.2 % 36.2 % 28.8 % 13.0 % 17.1 % 15.5 % 17.7 % 17.8 % 49.8 % 28.8 % 17.0 % 21.0 %
EPS 54.9 % 55.7 % 41.3 % 49.4 % 43.2 % 36.2 % 28.8 % 13.0 % 17.1 % 15.5 % 17.7 % 17.8 % 49.7 % 28.8 % 17.0 % 21.0 %
Advances 28.3 % 28.8 % 28.2 % 25.1 % 23.5 % 20.7 % 20.2 % 21.4 % 22.9 % 23.3 % 23.9 % 23.9 % 25.1 % 21.4 % 23.9 % 20.0 %
Borrowings 29.1 % 29.0 % 29.4 % 25.3 % 22.9 % 19.0 % 18.9 % 21.1 % 23.0 % 23.6 % 24.2 % 24.5 % 25.3 % 21.1 % 24.5 % 20.0 %
Total Business 28.7 % 28.9 % 28.8 % 25.2 % 23.2 % 19.9 % 19.6 % 21.3 % 23.0 % 23.4 % 24.0 % 24.2 % 25.1 % 21.4 % 23.9 % 20.0 %
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 8 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
StandaloneFinancials
P&L (Rs mn) FY17A FY18E FY19E FY20E Balance Sheet (Rs mn) FY17A FY18E FY19E FY20E Cash Flow (Rs mn) FY17A FY18E FY19E FY20E
Interest Income 13,061 15,186 18,346 22,333 Equity Capital 266 266 266 266 Operating PBT 3,702 4,705 5,542 6,706
Interest Expense 8,840 9,940 12,135 14,803 Reserve 10,497 12,822 15,921 19,700 Provisions & Depn. 182 270 349 441
NII 4,221 5,246 6,212 7,531 Deposits 0 0 0 0 Changes in Dep 0 0 0 0
Operating Exp 807 855 1,060 1,272 Borrowings 118,720 143,783 178,954 214,744 Changes in Borr 24,280 25,063 35,171 35,791
PPI 3,884 4,974 5,892 7,146 Current liabilities 5,097 5,801 6,279 6,063 Changes in Inv -91 665 478 -215
Provisions 182 270 349 441 Total Liabilities 134,580 162,672 201,420 240,774 Changes in L&A -26,663 -28,524 -38,600 -40,052
Non Int Inc 470 584 739 887 Net Fixed Assets 100 107 120 138 Changes in Others -124 32 0 0
Profit Before Taxes 3,702 4,705 5,542 6,706 Loans and Adv 133,130 161,661 200,261 240,313 Net Cash Ops -62 536 946 255
Tax 1,349 1,674 1,995 2,414 Investments 161 0 0 0 Net Cash from Inv -13 -20 -13 -18
Rep PAT bef ext 2,353 3,031 3,547 4,292 Int Earning Assets 133,291 161,661 200,261 240,313 Net Cash from Fin -370 -705 -449 -513
Extraordinary 0 0 0 0 Cash 181 904 1,038 322 Cash Generation -445 -189 484 -275
Adjusted PAT 2,353 3,031 3,547 4,292 Other LTA - - - - Ending Cash Balance 181 904 1,038 322
EPS (Rs) 17.7 22.8 26.6 32.2 OCA 1,008 0 0 0 RoE (%) 24.1 % 25.4 % 24.2 % 23.7 %
Adj EPS 17.7 22.8 26.6 32.2 Total Assets 134,580 162,672 201,420 240,774 Adjusted RoE (%) 24.1 % 25.4 % 24.2 % 23.7 %
BVPS (Rs.) 80.9 98.3 121.6 150.0 Yield 10.9 % 10.3 % 10.1 % 10.1 % RoA(%) 1.9 % 2.0 % 1.9 % 1.9 %
Adj BVPS (Rs.) 80.9 98.3 121.6 150.0 Cost of Funds 8.3 % 7.6 % 7.5 % 7.5 % Adjusted RoA (%) 1.9 % 2.0 % 1.9 % 1.9 %
DPS (Rs.) 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 P&L Provisions 182 270 349 441 CAR(%) 18.5 % 18.6 % 18.4 % 18.8 %
Provision/Avg Loans 0.1 % 0.2 % 0.2 % 0.2 % Cost to Income 17.2 % 14.7 % 15.2 % 15.1 % P/E 30.5 23.7 20.2 16.7
NIMs (%) 3.5 % 3.6 % 3.4 % 3.4 % Cost to Average Asset 0.7 % 0.6 % 0.6 % 0.6 % Adj P/E 29.0 20.2 16.5 13.1
NII Growth 40.2 % 24.3 % 18.4 % 21.2 % L&A Growth 25.1 % 21.4 % 23.9 % 20.0 % P/BV 6.7 5.5 4.4 3.6
Adj PAT Growth (%) 49.8 % 28.8 % 17.0 % 21.0 % Leverage 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.1 Adj P/BV 6.7 5.5 4.4 3.6
Adj EPS Growth (%) 49.7 % 28.8 % 17.0 % 21.0 % Advances/Borrowings 112.1 % 112.4 % 111.9 % 111.9 % Div Payout (%) 11.3 % 10.5 % 10.5 % 9.9 %
Adj BVPS Growth 22.6 % 21.6 % 23.7 % 23.3 % Change in Provisions -6.2 % 48.1 % 29.5 % 26.1 % Div Yield(%) 0.4 % 0.4 % 0.5 % 0.6 %
Dividend Gr. (%) -80.0 % 20.0 % 16.7 % 14.3 % GNPA 0.2 % 0.2 % 0.2 % 0.3 %
Tax Rate (%) 36.4 % 35.6 % 36.0 % 36.0 % NNPA 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
1 -yr forward P/E 1 -yr forward P/B
Price 10x 15x 20x 25x 800 Price 1x 2x 4x 6x
800
600 600
400 400
200
200
0
0
Apr-17
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14
Oct-14
Jan-15
Apr-15
Oct-15
Jan-16
Apr-16
Oct-16
Jan-17
Oct-17
Jul-12
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
-200
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Oct-12
Apr-13
Oct-13
Apr-14
Oct-14
Apr-15
Oct-15
Apr-16
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October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 9 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 10 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Equirus Securities
Research Analysts Sector/Industry Email Equity Sales E-mail
Abhishek Shindadkar IT Services abhishek.shindadkar@equirus.com 91-22-43320643 VishadTurakhia vishad.turakhia@equirus.com 91-22-43320633
Ashutosh Tiwari Auto, Metals & Mining ashutosh@equirus.com 91-79-61909517 SubhamSinha subham.sinha@equirus.com 91-22-43320631
Depesh Kashyap Mid-Caps depesh.kashyap@equirus.com 91-79-61909528 SwetaSheth sweta.sheth@equirus.com 91-22-43320634
DevamModi Power & Infrastructure devam@equirus.com 91-79-61909516 Viral Desai viral.desai@equirus.com 91-22-43320635
Dhaval Dama FMCG, Mid-Caps dhaval.dama@equirus.com 91-79-61909518 BinoyDharia binoy.dharia@equirus.com 91-22-43320632
Manoj Gori Consumer Durables manoj.gori@equirus.com 91-79-61909523 Dealing Room E-mail
Maulik Patel Oil and Gas maulik@equirus.com 91-79-61909519 Ashish Shah ashishshah@equirus.com 91-22-43320662
PrafulBohra Pharmaceuticals praful.bohra@equirus.com 91-79-61909532 IleshSavla ilesh.savla@equirus.com 91-22-43320666
Rohan Mandora Banking & Financial Services rohan.mandora@equirus.com 91-79-61909529 Manoj Kejriwal manoj.kejriwal@equirus.com 91-22-43320663
Associates E-mail Dharmesh Mehta dharmesh.mehta@equirus.com 91-22-43320661
Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com 91-79-61909533 SandipAmrutiya sandipamrutiya@equirus.com 91-22-43320660
Bharat Celly bharat.celly@equirus.com 91-79-61909524 Compliance Officer E-mail
Harshit Patel harshit.patel@equirus.com 91-79-61909522 Jay Soni jay.soni@equirus.com 91-79-61909561
Meet Chande meet.chande@equirus.com 91-79-61909513
Parva Soni parva.soni@equirus.com 91-79-61909521
Pranav Mehta pranav.mehta@equirus.com 91-79-61909514
Ronak Soni Ronak.soni@equirus.com 91-79-61909525
Samkit Shah samkit.shah@equirus.com 91-79-61909520
Shreepal Doshi shreepal.doshi@equirus.com 91-79-61909541
Vikas Jain vikas.jain@equirus.com 91-79-61909531
Rating & Coverage Definitions: Registered Office:
Absolute Rating
• LONG : Over the investment horizon, ATR >= Ke for companies with Free Float market cap >Rs 5 billion and ATR >= Equirus Securities Private Limited
20% for rest of the companies Unit No. 1201, 12th Floor, C Wing, Marathon Futurex,
• ADD: ATR >= 5% but less than Ke over investment horizon
• REDUCE: ATR >= negative 10% but <5% over investment horizon N M Joshi Marg, Lower Parel,
• SHORT: ATR < negative 10% over investment horizon Mumbai-400013.
Relative Rating
• OVERWEIGHT: Likely to outperform the benchmark by at least 5% over investment horizon Tel. No: +91 – (0)22 – 4332 0600
• BENCHMARK: likely to perform in line with the benchmark Fax No: +91- (0)22 – 4332 0601
• UNDERWEIGHT: likely to under-perform the benchmark by at least 5% over investment horizon
Investment Horizon
Investment Horizon is set at a minimum 3 months to maximum 18 months with target date falling on last day of a Corporate Office:
calendar quarter.
Lite vs. Regular Coverage vs. Spot Coverage 3rd floor, House No. 9,
We aim to keep our rating and estimates updated at least once a quarter for Regular Coverage stocks. Generally, we Magnet Corporate Park, Near Zydus Hospital, B/H Intas Sola Bridge,
would have access to the company and we would maintain detailed financial model for Regular coverage companies.
We intend to publish updates on Lite coverage stocks only an opportunistic basis and subject to our ability to contact S.G. Highway Ahmedabad-380054
the management. Our rating and estimates for Lite coverage stocks may not be current. Spot coverage is meant for Gujarat
one-off coverage of a specific company and in such cases, earnings forecast and target price are optional. Spot
coverage is meant to stimulate discussion rather than provide a research opinion. Tel. No: +91 (0)79 - 6190 9550
Fax No: +91 (0)79 – 6190 9560
© 2017 Equirus Securities Private Limited. All rights reserved. For Private Circulation only. This report or any portion hereof may not
be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Equirus Securities Private Limited
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 11 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Analyst Certification
We, Rohan Mandora/Ankit Choudhary, author to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or companies and its or
their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Disclosures
Equirus Securities Private Limited (ESPL) having Corporate Identification Number U65993MH2007PTC176044 is registered in India with Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as a trading member on the
Capital Market (Reg. No. INB231301731), Futures & Options Segment (Reg. No.INF231301731) of the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and on Cash Segment (Reg. No.INB011301737) of Bombay Stock
Exchange Limited (BSE).ESPL is also registered with SEBI as Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 (Reg. No. INH000001154), as a Portfolio Manager under SEBI (Portfolio Managers
Regulations, 1993 (Reg. No.INP000005216) and as a Depository Participant of the Central Depository Services (India) Limited (Reg. No.IN-DP-324-2017). There are no disciplinary actions taken by any regulatory
authority against ESPL. ESPL is a subsidiary of Equirus Capital Pvt. Ltd. (ECPL) which is registered with SEBI as Category I Merchant Banker and provides investment banking services including but not limited to
merchant banking services, private equity, mergers & acquisitions and structured finance.
As ESPL and its associates are engaged in various financial services business, it might have: - (a) received compensation (except in connection with the preparation of this report) from the subject company for
investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services in the past twelve months;(b) managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months; or (c) have
received a mandate from the subject company; or (d) might have other financial, business or other interests in entities including the subject company (ies) mentioned in this Report. ESPL & its associates, their
directors and employees may from time to time have positions or options in the company and buy or sell the securities of the company (ies) mentioned herein. ESPL and its associates collectively do not own (in
their proprietary position) 1% or more of the equity securities of the subject company mentioned in the report as the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report. ESPL or its Analyst or
Associates did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ESPL nor
Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or
brokerage service transactions. ESPL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company.
The Research Analyst engaged in preparation of this Report:-
(a) has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months; (b) has not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months;
(c) has not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months; (d) has not received any compensation for products
or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months; (e) has not received any compensation or other benefits from the
subject company or third party in connection with the research report; (f) might have served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company; (g) is not engaged in market making activity for the
subject company.
This document is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution,
publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ESPL and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein
may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to a certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession of this document are required to inform themselves of, and to observe, such applicable
restrictions. Please delete this document if you are not authorized to view the same. By reading this document you represent and warrant that you have full authority and all rights necessary to view and read this
document without subjecting ESPL and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction.
This document has been prepared solely for information purpose and does not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy, sell or subscribe any security. ESPL or its affiliates are not soliciting any action based
on this report. The information and opinions contained herein is from publicly available data or based on information obtained in good faith from sources believed to be reliable but ESPL provides no guarantee as
to its accuracy or completeness. The information contained herein is as on date of this report, and is subject to change or modification and any such changes could impact our interpretation of relevant
information contained herein. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on reasonable basis, ESPL and its affiliates, their directors and employees are under no obligation to update or keep the
information current. Also there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent ESPL and its group companies from doing so. This document is prepared for assistance only and is not intended
to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an
investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document including the merits and risks involved. This document is intended for general circulation and does not take into account the specific
investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. ESPL and its group companies, employees, directors and agents accept no liability, and disclaim all responsibility, for the
consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. ESPL/its affiliates do and seek to do business with
companies covered in its research report. Thus, investors should be aware that the firm may have conflict of interest.
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at http://www.nseindia.com/ChartApp/install/charts/mainpage.jsp and www.bseindia.com (Choose a company from the list on the browser and select the
“three years” period in the price chart).
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 12 of 13
Canfin Homes Absolute – REDUCE Relative – Benchmark 2.9% ATR in 11 Months
Disclosure of Interest statement for the subject Company Yes/No If Yes, nature of such interest
Research Analyst’ or Relatives’ financial interest No
Research Analyst’ or Relatives’ actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more No
Research Analyst’ or Relatives’ material conflict of interest No
October 25, 2017 Analyst: Rohan Mandora rohan.mandora@equirus.com (+91-9737065666)/ / Ankit Choudhary ankit.choudhary@equirus.com Page 13 of 13